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Ichimoku Trade Room

  • #181
  • Apr 26, 2011 10:08am Apr 26, 2011 10:08am
Quoting Jns
919 who is OU or PM me. I'll tell you where I have used it before. Similar settings but I'll tell you the full story
Sent u a PM
Low Risk Low Stress High Reward High Probability Trades
  • #182
  • Apr 26, 2011 10:09am Apr 26, 2011 10:09am
This pair is making lower highs and higher lows since May 2010!

mayby its time for this to start trending soon
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpcad.gif Size: 31 KB
Never again will fade the trend
  • #183
  • Apr 26, 2011 10:13am Apr 26, 2011 10:13am
PA seem to have bounced the second time on the 76.4 FR level as attached. Will watch for possible resumption of the uptrend or wait for PA to break below both the 76.4 FR & WR1 levels for a ST trend change.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpusd h1 chart.jpg Size: 187 KB
Low Risk Low Stress High Reward High Probability Trades
  • #184
  • Apr 26, 2011 8:38pm Apr 26, 2011 8:38pm
My trade focus numbers for today

BuySell
EURUSD47124640
GBPUSD65316466
USDCHF87508700
USDJPY81608125
USDCAD95439490
AUDUSD1.08221.077
NZDUSD80868030
CHFJPY93669306
CADJPY85908536
CADJPY85908536
NZDJPY65976546
EURGBP89148873
EURCHF28502780
EURCAD39833917
GBPCHF44394352
GBPAUD53085256
GBPNZD2.04592.0411
CADCHF91939142
AUDCHF94489393
AUDCAD1.02771.0247
NZDCAD76747643

I see a lot of setups today, but also a word of caution with potential reversal signs lurking around the corner. Do your research :-)

Cheers, and God bless

George
Low Risk Low Stress High Reward High Probability Trades
  • #185
  • Apr 27, 2011 2:23am Apr 27, 2011 2:23am
Morning guys!

Well I'm looking at my first trade of the week as I've not been at home.
It looks like it could turn out to be a beauty on EUR/AUD.
The chart is pretty self explanatory. Will keep an eye on it and jump in once everything is in the right place.

EUR/AUD Daily
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #186
  • Apr 27, 2011 3:02am Apr 27, 2011 3:02am
Quoting fosking
Morning guys!

Well I'm looking at my first trade of the week as I've not been at home.
It looks like it could turn out to be a beauty on EUR/AUD.
The chart is pretty self explanatory. Will keep an eye on it and jump in once everything is in the right place.

EUR/AUD Daily
Attachment
that looks real goodwill you wait for a brake of 1.3525 aerea?
Never again will fade the trend
  • #187
  • Apr 27, 2011 3:15am Apr 27, 2011 3:15am
Quoting swingfiddle
that looks real goodwill you wait for a brake of 1.3525 aerea?
Yeah, a break of the recent lows on the D1 should push us on our way.
On the weekly, there is a possible 1000 pip profit before a pull back, so I think patience here is key.
  • #188
  • Apr 27, 2011 10:22am Apr 27, 2011 10:22am
Quoting 919gilead
My trade focus numbers for today

BuySell
EURUSD47124640
GBPUSD65316466
USDCHF87508700
USDJPY81608125
USDCAD95439490
AUDUSD1.08221.077
NZDUSD80868030
CHFJPY93669306
CADJPY85908536
CADJPY85908536
NZDJPY65976546
EURGBP89148873
EURCHF28502780
EURCAD39833917
GBPCHF44394352
GBPAUD53085256
GBPNZD2.04592.0411
CADCHF91939142
AUDCHF94489393
AUDCAD1.02771.0247
NZDCAD76747643

I...
All 20 trade focus numbers were triggered with 3 (NZDUSD long; GBPAUD short & AUDCAD long) triggered before the numbers were posted. Trades generated between 14 and 214 pips - GBPNZD 214; GBPCHF 157; USDJPY 107; USDCHF 81; AUDCHF & EURCHF both 76; CADJPY 69; etc.

Best way to trade - trade bounces btw support & resistance, and I am still learning
Low Risk Low Stress High Reward High Probability Trades
  • #189
  • Apr 27, 2011 10:06pm Apr 27, 2011 10:06pm
I have no trade focus today as market continues to move from yesterday's number, with some reversing. The USD is just weak across the board and taking a good beating but almost all the pairs are at extreme levels, and will trade with caution.

See you folks in the chat room during the London & US sessions
Low Risk Low Stress High Reward High Probability Trades
  • #190
  • Apr 29, 2011 10:20am Apr 29, 2011 10:20am
bump for chat room!
  • #191
  • Apr 29, 2011 6:31pm Apr 29, 2011 6:31pm
This is my analysis for next week, please feel free to shoot me down in flames, any constructive criticism is welcome.

Basis of analysis: The only indicators I use are Ichimoku, I only trade in the direction of the trend on higher TF's. If price action is more than 250-300 pips from kijun sen on daily TF I would not enter a trade and be looking to tighten stops on existing trades. TF's have to align on daily, 4H and 1H. Numbers in brackets are a rating, 1 being best.

USD/CAD; bearish on all 5 Ichimoku indicators and all TF's. Looking for short entry (1)
EUR/AUD; bearish on all 5 Ichimoku indicators and all TF's, looking for short entry (1)

GBP/JPY; weekly trend looks like it might be turning up, looking for price to break 136.5 to consider going long (2)
EUR/JPY; weekly either turning or retracing, waiting for 1H and 4H to line up to confirm direction (2) (Note as this is correlated to GBP/JPY that would suggest trend is turning up) we will see.
CHF/JPY; weekly made new highs, all five indicators have lined up on all TF's, looking for long entry (1)
GBP/CAD; weekly trend looks like it may be turning, daily needs to close above cloud to look for long entry (2)

AUD/JPY; waiting for price action to break cloud on 1H for TF's to line up

EUR/GBP; waiting for TF's to line up, 4H and daily is long but 1H is short
EUR/CHF; waiting for TF's to line up, 1H and 4H are short, but Daily is long

GBP/USD; price action on daily has moved to far from kijun sen, waiting for that gap to close to below 250 pips before considering this pair.
EUR/USD; as above
AUD/USD; as above
GBP/CHF; as above
GBP/AUD; as above
Silver: as above

As I have said please feel free to comment, good or bad.
  • #192
  • Apr 30, 2011 5:17am Apr 30, 2011 5:17am
Quoting Tkd
This is my analysis for next week, please feel free to shoot me down in flames, any constructive criticism is welcome.

Basis of analysis: The only indicators I use are Ichimoku, I only trade in the direction of the trend on higher TF's. If price action is more than 250-300 pips from kijun sen on daily TF I would not enter a trade and be looking to tighten stops on existing trades. TF's have to align on daily, 4H and 1H. Numbers in brackets are a rating, 1 being best.

USD/CAD; bearish on all 5 Ichimoku indicators and all TF's. Looking for short...
I agree TKD,nice outlookthey are all good setups if formed,i will add my opinion on your rating - regarding what would be the best choise in yoursetups
if we are going to sell yen,finally it looks that the best choise will be CHF/JPY as you mentioned,
or AUD/JPY(both are ready for an entry ?),i see an advantage in these pairs because monthly is strongly bullish in both of them, but bearish in G/J and E/J

if we are going to sell euro or pound,EURAUD looks better that GBPAUD IMO because we are getting in in the start of downtrend in euraud.

if we are going to sell usd ,USDCAD is very appealling,and i would add NZDUSD(audusd indeed to extended)

GU and EU as you mentioned(but dont feel confident with eurozone for somereason..)

for GBPCAD i think this weekly chart has to clear first,where this consolidation will lead?up or down?


if we could enter now ,eur/aud -aud/jpy-chfjpy look pretty ready

have a great weekend all!
Never again will fade the trend
  • #193
  • Apr 30, 2011 4:19pm Apr 30, 2011 4:19pm
Great analysis guys. I'm going to post my pairs I'll be watching most immediately for breakouts:

AUD/CHF: CS is ready to breakout above price/kumo on the 4H for the first time in a month. Huge bull pin bar on the monthly.

However, the 1H CS is still under price and within the Kumo. Will wait for 1H to have clear direction, and if it does, there's potential for a huge breakout.

AUD/JPY: All time frames bullish, except for 1H within the Kumo.

EUR/CAD: Had looked extremely bullish on 1H, 4H, and daily, but dropped 300 pips Friday. Upon closer inspection, weekly price had been in the Kumo and was reaching the top and was corrected. Will Keep eye on to see if 4H and Daily return into a downtrend.
  • #194
  • Apr 30, 2011 4:32pm Apr 30, 2011 4:32pm
I see EUR/AUD triggered the alert at 1.3535 in the last 4 hours of trading on Friday.
  • #195
  • Apr 30, 2011 5:44pm Apr 30, 2011 5:44pm
Also, on EU we're definitely heading into the Kumo on 1H, so I'd hold off on any longs until we're headed back up.
  • #196
  • May 1, 2011 12:57am May 1, 2011 12:57am
My trade focus numbers for the 28 pairs I regularly review is as follows, and you can compare

BUYSELL
EURUSD 4851 4800
GBPUSD 6745 6621
USDCHF86868625
USDJPY81628100
USDCAD95199448
AUDUSD1.09761.0880
NZDUSD81108000
EURGBP89158857
EURCHF29152773
EURCAD41103988
EURAUD35633490
EURNZD84218267
EURJPY121.12119.88
GBPJPY136.00135.17
CHFJPY94039335
CADJPY85888556
AUDJPY89228865
NZDJPY65756534
GBPCHF45114400
GBPCAD58645775
GBPAUD52735209
GBPNZD2.07062.0593
CADCHF91899105
AUDCHF95109456
AUDCAD1.04021.0342
AUDNZD35943507
NZDCHF70146972
NZDCAD76867613

Good trading friends
Low Risk Low Stress High Reward High Probability Trades
  • #197
  • May 1, 2011 6:31am May 1, 2011 6:31am
just a simple observation

AUD/CHF
CHF/JPY
AUD/JPY are all trending north

and ready for an entry.but i think the best option is aud/jpy because aud is stronger than chf which is stronger than jpy.
Never again will fade the trend
  • #198
  • May 1, 2011 10:23am May 1, 2011 10:23am
Looking for a BIG breakout on GBP/AUD this week.
Ichimoku us lining up nicely on the weekly too.

GBP/AUD Daily
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gadayly.png Size: 169 KB
  • #199
  • May 1, 2011 2:40pm May 1, 2011 2:40pm
Quoting fosking
Looking for a BIG breakout on GBP/AUD this week.
Ichimoku us lining up nicely on the weekly too.

GBP/AUD Daily
Attachment
My only concern with this pair is the price is already 300 below kijun sen, although the price action is nice and uniform. And I would assume it has a correlation to EUR/AUD which has just hit the trigger late Friday. What would you be looking at to confirm, a break of 1.5134 perhaps?
  • #200
  • May 1, 2011 3:20pm May 1, 2011 3:20pm
Quoting Tkd
My only concern with this pair is the price is already 300 below kijun sen, although the price action is nice and uniform. And I would assume it has a correlation to EUR/AUD which has just hit the trigger late Friday. What would you be looking at to confirm, a break of 1.5134 perhaps?
Hey Tkd,

I think the 300 pips under the Kijun Sen is testament to just how bearish the pair is.
Dropping out to the weekly and even monthly charts, it's just bears in absolute control.
On the weekly it's been in a down trend since 04/10/2008 carving beautiful lower highs and lower lows.
I think on a fundamental level the AUD is so much stronger than GBP (especially the low interest rates and deep cuts coming from the UK).
The break of 1.5148 will take out stops and then a retrace is possible before the down move continues.
To be honest, I don't think there will be many stops below this level apart from the guys trying to pick bottoms.
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