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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #24,261
  • Apr 7, 2011 3:23am Apr 7, 2011 3:23am
This is a good picture, I learned 3k from this. I think fti mentioned that when aligned it's the "super-duper" trend. When they are out of sync, then the dollar is likely not the cause of movements, in which case crosses can be looked at to see what's up. Like you guys said, they can also be used to detect lack of volatility. Am I missing something?

I would very much like to learn more about the 3k.

@ Auxesis, you're right about base building. I don't tend to build a base and I square out immediately because recently I had to be very nimble. I guess base building is based on terrain as well.

@ maheswara, nice time to strategize

Quoting Gro
I wonder also ...

I here to give this old picture, good for understanding.
green E/U
blue G/U
yellow U/Y
  • #24,262
  • Apr 7, 2011 6:59am Apr 7, 2011 6:59am
Quoting maheswara
i dont understand au much , but the chart seems really strong ... maybe highly pegged to gold ? afterall the country is mining based , also their interest rate is very high , carry trade effect too i think

edit:
ecb forecast on 1.25% today?? anyone got news on this ?
just remember that the press conference often is more important than the actual bid rate.

regards,
  • #24,263
  • Apr 7, 2011 7:19am Apr 7, 2011 7:19am
Quoting fullperson
This is a good picture, I learned 3k from this. I think fti mentioned that when aligned it's the "super-duper" trend. When they are out of sync, then the dollar is likely not the cause of movements, in which case crosses can be looked at to see what's up. Like you guys said, they can also be used to detect lack of volatility. Am I missing something?

I would very much like to learn more about the 3k.

@ Auxesis, you're right about base building. I don't tend to build a base and I square out immediately because recently I had to be very nimble....
picture tells a thousand words ...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 3xa.jpg Size: 138 KB
  • #24,264
  • Apr 7, 2011 7:35am Apr 7, 2011 7:35am
errr nice vols :/ , wtf is trichett sayin out there?
To Live is the rarest thing in the world , Most people exist , that is all
  • #24,265
  • Apr 7, 2011 8:03am Apr 7, 2011 8:03am
Quoting maheswara
errr nice vols :/ , wtf is trichett sayin out there?
till now here are some key words :


policy remains accomodative

balanced risk

in uncertain economic environment

inflation expectaions need to be kept below 2%

domestic price pressure contributing to possible inflationary risk

alll gover need to achieve the consolidation target by end 2011

decission taken unanimosly to delivere price stability in the medium term,we will continue to do what we have did in the past

high inflation vulnerable

banks are advised to support the 'real economy'

we have not decide if it is the first of a series of increasing in interest rates,yet

all the best!
  • #24,266
  • Apr 7, 2011 8:22am Apr 7, 2011 8:22am
Quoting triger88990
till now here are some key words :


policy remains accomodative

balanced risk

in uncertain economic environment

inflation expectaions need to be kept below 2%

domestic price pressure contributing to possible inflationary risk

alll gover need to achieve the consolidation target by end 2011

decission taken unanimosly to delivere price stability in the medium term,we will continue to do what we have did in the past

high inflation vulnerable

banks are advised to support the 'real...
thank you very much , much appreciated
To Live is the rarest thing in the world , Most people exist , that is all
  • #24,267
  • Edited 12:27pm Apr 7, 2011 11:51am | Edited 12:27pm
Quoting Jaro
Any word how FTI is doing?
Thanks, Jaro
called fti, he still too weak, cannot run from this 7.4 earthquake at fukushima. Even though god sent heli. But he thinks his yen position can ride above 100 yen and he hope he can regain strength to spend it. Is either that or watch northern Japan sink into sea and solve all the nuclear problems. But he very disappointed cannot use his condoms.
when the earthquake struck earlier. He says it would be nice see the japs setting up homes in thailand. Seems flights full daily to bang kok.

Ps: he says now he knows how the bionic man feels. Doctors not allow him walk around as they worried he may trip on the wires all hooked on him.
he said pump is now working again, around 30% but they warning of after shocks from is lv thrombosys. So he will be resting for somemore time.but he is allowed know where the yen is trading hourly or so.
  • #24,268
  • Apr 7, 2011 12:23pm Apr 7, 2011 12:23pm
Quoting imjscn
called fti, he still too weak, cannot run from this 7.4 earthquake at fukushima. Even though god sent heli. But he thinks his yen position can ride above 100 yen and he hope he can regain strength to spend it. Is either that or watch northern Japan sink into sea and solve all the nuclear problems. But he very disappointed cannot use his condoms.
when the earthquake struck earlier. He says it would be nice see the japs setting up homes in thailand. Seems flights full daily to bang kok.

Ps: he says now he knows how the bionic man feels. Doctors...
Hi Imjscn
Thank you very much for update. I pray for Fti health and quick recovery.
  • #24,269
  • Apr 7, 2011 12:45pm Apr 7, 2011 12:45pm
Quoting imjscn
called fti, he still too weak, cannot run from this 7.4 earthquake at fukushima. Even though god sent heli. But he thinks his yen position can ride above 100 yen and he hope he can regain strength to spend it. Is either that or watch northern Japan sink into sea and solve all the nuclear problems. But he very disappointed cannot use his condoms.
when the earthquake struck earlier. He says it would be nice see the japs setting up homes in thailand. Seems flights full daily to bang kok.

Ps: he says now he knows how the bionic man feels. Doctors...
Thanks for the update Jenny. Please let Fti know that we are all thinking of him and wish him all the best. Ray
  • #24,270
  • Apr 7, 2011 1:30pm Apr 7, 2011 1:30pm
thaks for update.
I am praying for him. May God grant him peace and joy.
Jaro
  • #24,271
  • Apr 7, 2011 1:31pm Apr 7, 2011 1:31pm
Quoting imjscn
called fti, he still too weak, cannot run from this 7.4 earthquake at fukushima. Even though god sent heli. But he thinks his yen position can ride above 100 yen and he hope he can regain strength to spend it. Is either that or watch northern Japan sink into sea and solve all the nuclear problems. But he very disappointed cannot use his condoms.
when the earthquake struck earlier. He says it would be nice see the japs setting up homes in thailand. Seems flights full daily to bang kok.

Ps: he says now he knows how the bionic man feels. Doctors...
Thank you for the update. Best wishes to him. I hope he sees profit and gets the time to spend it.
  • #24,272
  • Apr 7, 2011 2:06pm Apr 7, 2011 2:06pm
Quoting imjscn
called fti, he still too weak, cannot run from this 7.4 earthquake at fukushima. Even though god sent heli. But he thinks his yen position can ride above 100 yen and he hope he can regain strength to spend it. Is either that or watch northern Japan sink into sea and solve all the nuclear problems. But he very disappointed cannot use his condoms.
when the earthquake struck earlier. He says it would be nice see the japs setting up homes in thailand. Seems flights full daily to bang kok.

Ps: he says now he knows how the bionic man feels. Doctors...
Thanks for update....and god bless you....

V
  • #24,273
  • Apr 7, 2011 2:58pm Apr 7, 2011 2:58pm
Quoting imjscn
called fti, he still too weak, cannot run from this 7.4 earthquake at fukushima. Even though god sent heli. But he thinks his yen position can ride above 100 yen and he hope he can regain strength to spend it. Is either that or watch northern Japan sink into sea and solve all the nuclear problems. But he very disappointed cannot use his condoms.
when the earthquake struck earlier. He says it would be nice see the japs setting up homes in thailand. Seems flights full daily to bang kok.

Ps: he says now he knows how the bionic man feels. Doctors not...
Hi imjscn
He is a great warrior!
Thanks and Rgs

PS ... heart is still at 30%? no improvement thrombosys?
  • #24,274
  • Apr 7, 2011 3:28pm Apr 7, 2011 3:28pm
Quoting imjscn
called fti, he still too weak, cannot run from this 7.4 earthquake at fukushima. Even though god sent heli. But he thinks his yen position can ride above 100 yen and he hope he can regain strength to spend it. Is either that or watch northern Japan sink into sea and solve all the nuclear problems. But he very disappointed cannot use his condoms.
when the earthquake struck earlier. He says it would be nice see the japs setting up homes in thailand. Seems flights full daily to bang kok.

Ps: he says now he knows how the bionic man feels. Doctors...

Thks for the update imjscn.

Pls send my loving regards to him when u touch base with him again.


Rdgs
Philip
"Thinking Heart & Feeling Brain"
  • #24,275
  • Apr 7, 2011 4:30pm Apr 7, 2011 4:30pm
Quoting imjscn
called fti, he still too weak, cannot run from this 7.4 earthquake at fukushima. Even though god sent heli. But he thinks his yen position can ride above 100 yen and he hope he can regain strength to spend it. Is either that or watch northern Japan sink into sea and solve all the nuclear problems. But he very disappointed cannot use his condoms.
when the earthquake struck earlier. He says it would be nice see the japs setting up homes in thailand. Seems flights full daily to bang kok.

Ps: he says now he knows how the bionic man feels. Doctors not...

Good to hear some news about the boss. Hope he feels better soon.
  • #24,276
  • Apr 8, 2011 3:49am Apr 8, 2011 3:49am
Glad to hear about fti, wishing him a speedy recovery.
  • #24,277
  • Apr 8, 2011 3:53am Apr 8, 2011 3:53am
Quoting maheswara
i dont understand au much , but the chart seems really strong ... maybe highly pegged to gold ? afterall the country is mining based , also their interest rate is very high , carry trade effect too i think

edit:
ecb forecast on 1.25% today?? anyone got news on this ?
Australia is mining based so it's riding an appreciating AUD due to exports to China. According to some analysts, Australia's economy has changed over the past couple of years and become predominantly a mining country with a high AUD corresponding to it. The other thing of course is the high interest rates compared to everywhere else in the world. Also, we didn't get hit by the recession anywhere near as hard as the rest of the world. Sure it was tougher on the job front but most people in Australia were running around going, whats everyone complaining about? It's not so bad. Basically unnoticable in terms of state of economy. Sure there was uncertainty but yer. Can't wait for the collapse though, not sure when or what it will look like though. Don't think it's happening tomorrow though.
  • #24,278
  • Apr 11, 2011 12:38am Apr 11, 2011 12:38am
Quoting imjscn
called fti, he still too weak, cannot run from this 7.4 earthquake at fukushima. Even though god sent heli. But he thinks his yen position can ride above 100 yen and he hope he can regain strength to spend it. Is either that or watch northern Japan sink into sea and solve all the nuclear problems. But he very disappointed cannot use his condoms.
when the earthquake struck earlier. He says it would be nice see the japs setting up homes in thailand. Seems flights full daily to bang kok.

Ps: he says now he knows how the bionic man feels. Doctors...

hi imjscn,
thx for the update. wish him a speedy recovery and be back with us soon!
regards
  • #24,279
  • Apr 11, 2011 5:48pm Apr 11, 2011 5:48pm
what's up? Yen's moving great, but the e and c all out of line. Looks like it's all crosses action today, have long euro 1.444. May have to cut loose soon if pulse dictates. Feels toping action on e now, will watch dollar for signs of strength.

out 1.4437, flip
  • #24,280
  • Apr 12, 2011 3:47am Apr 12, 2011 3:47am
Hi all,

...wild cable...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Chart_GBP_USD_8 Secs_mega down.jpg Size: 186 KB


I wish you a successful trade

Regards
gart
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