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Price is everything

  • #13,961
  • Mar 30, 2011 1:59pm Mar 30, 2011 1:59pm
Quoting Dishwasher
NZD/USD at supply on 4 hour.

Look at that spike down on the 1 min. Hey Red, didn't you say that spikes like that often happens before a trend change?


that spike on kiwi south - is a leading indicator for a trend change ..... we have discussed this before here, its not bad data misquotes - its a leading indicator


true
  • #13,962
  • Mar 30, 2011 1:59pm Mar 30, 2011 1:59pm
Quoting Dishwasher
NZD/USD at supply on 4 hour.

Look at that spike down on the 1 min. Hey Red, didn't you say that spikes like that often happens before a trend change?
I am already short on this pair (long-term trade)

Entry: 0.7631
SL: 0.7661
TP1: 0.7445
TP2: 0.7255
TP3: Trailing Stop

Here is the pretty picture to match the above numbers!

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSD_H4_Short.png Size: 57 KB
  • #13,963
  • Mar 30, 2011 2:04pm Mar 30, 2011 2:04pm
Quoting bbakker
I am already short on this pair (long-term trade)

Entry: 0.7631
SL: 0.7661
TP1: 0.7445
TP2: 0.7255
TP3: Trailing Stop

Here is the pretty picture to match the above numbers!

Attachment

before it can go south, it has to clear demand - l will buy it lower where you will likely tp
  • #13,964
  • Mar 30, 2011 2:11pm Mar 30, 2011 2:11pm
Quoting Dishwasher
Clearing demand for a move south. We see what they are doing....

can't be hidden


see you in demand
  • #13,965
  • Mar 30, 2011 2:13pm Mar 30, 2011 2:13pm
Quoting redsword11
that spike on kiwi south - is a leading indicator for a trend change ..... we have discussed this before here, its not bad data misquotes - its a leading indicator


true
wow, never heard of that. this thread really kicks ass!
here is my (rather longterm) view on nzd/usd. nice confluence...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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meine augen sind die sterne
  • #13,966
  • Mar 30, 2011 2:32pm Mar 30, 2011 2:32pm
Quoting redsword11
that spike on kiwi south - is a leading indicator for a trend change ..... we have discussed this before here, its not bad data misquotes - its a leading indicator


true
Nice that this thread views such occurrences as what they are - trading - instead of launching into all kinds of crazy conspiracy theories.
  • #13,967
  • Mar 30, 2011 2:34pm Mar 30, 2011 2:34pm
Quoting FXSurfer
Nice that this thread views such occurrences as what they are - trading - instead of launching into all kinds of crazy conspiracy theories.


price is...........put all else in the nearest bin
  • #13,968
  • Mar 30, 2011 2:43pm Mar 30, 2011 2:43pm
Am I totally wrong in wanting to entertain a g-u short from 6081-6088 area?
Any takers?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #13,969
  • Mar 30, 2011 2:46pm Mar 30, 2011 2:46pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #13,970
  • Mar 30, 2011 2:58pm Mar 30, 2011 2:58pm
Quoting CamaRon
Am I totally wrong in wanting to entertain a g-u short from 6081-6088 area?
Any takers?
Nothing wrong with this trade. I was in it earlier today -

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...53#post4508753

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...66#post4509166

I took profit off the table before the news earlier today and then closed nearly all of it when I saw PA turning back. It is second time back there, so some of the supply here will be consumed.

You can alternatively wait for a supply zone further up before going short again. I have marked them off on the chart below (h1) using m15 timeframe.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSD_H1.png Size: 57 KB
  • #13,971
  • Mar 30, 2011 2:58pm Mar 30, 2011 2:58pm
Quoting CamaRon
Am I totally wrong in wanting to entertain a g-u short from 6081-6088 area?
Any takers?
Dont sell eu and guy, buy from demand instead and make your life easier unless youre willing to scalp and trade like i do.
  • #13,972
  • Mar 30, 2011 3:03pm Mar 30, 2011 3:03pm
Ok. Thanx guys!
I did put a sell at 6085, but nothing yet...
  • #13,973
  • Mar 30, 2011 3:26pm Mar 30, 2011 3:26pm
NZDUSD - H4
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: kiwi.gif Size: 24 KB
  • #13,974
  • Mar 30, 2011 3:32pm Mar 30, 2011 3:32pm
Quoting redsword11
hello, oh, cable hit tg as l am writing this


lets take cable buy just now as example - its in an uptrend, therefore buy @ demand PA dependant


downtrends - sell @ supply PA dependant - bearish enguilfing, scan through tfs look for tidy levels - if you were veiwing the cable on lets say 30min, you would not beable to see the detailled price structure as presented on the 5 min charts l posted and traded


......... where it all happens, here, with my army
bravo redsword... bravo. very nice trade. because of this thread, I have been watching sam seiden and there is some awesome stuff, thank you for putting him on to me. really has me looking at the markets differently. In some of your trades, I understand the logic of the PA, in others I don't. that pound trade you took, what was the PA there? I see sometimes you wait for the bull bars to encompass the bear bar that would take you into demand zone.

what TF do you use to determine trend? thanks again for all the help and posting these trades, very very helpful.
  • #13,975
  • Mar 30, 2011 3:40pm Mar 30, 2011 3:40pm
Quoting vyder
bravo redsword... bravo. very nice trade. because of this thread, I have been watching sam seiden and there is some awesome stuff, thank you for putting him on to me. really has me looking at the markets differently. In some of your trades, I understand the logic of the PA, in others I don't. that pound trade you took, what was the PA there? I see sometimes you wait for the bull bars to encompass the bear bar that would take you into demand zone.

what TF do you use to determine trend? thanks again for all the help and posting these trades, very...


zero bravo - not too much to it


ok - tfs is a huge subject, can't cover it all in a few sentences - the cable PA was more a RR trade, demand within an uptrend, one thing l have asked myself often is - why would it change JUST BECAUSE I ENTERED THE MARKET?


no reason, momentum is price and the trades we take within the context of S/D

...... been telling and requesting my live room to sell notthing, even if the dollar grows a pair, before lets say audusd can fall it has to clear demand, therefore because we know and can map demand zones we will buy there and forget selliing anything - before ANY UPTREND SWITCHES TO A POTENTIAL DOWNTREND IT HAS TO CLEAR DEMAND ZONES - we will cut its fcuking throat @ demand ANY PAIR ANY TF


the traders do listen to me but they are their own traders and have their own plan, they have what it takes - salute ya fcukers
  • #13,976
  • Mar 30, 2011 3:50pm Mar 30, 2011 3:50pm
l have enough food and hard alcohol for another 18 hours charting


great
  • #13,977
  • Mar 30, 2011 3:57pm Mar 30, 2011 3:57pm
25.86% in 7 days trading ....... and counting
  • #13,978
  • Mar 30, 2011 3:59pm Mar 30, 2011 3:59pm
Quoting redsword11
l have enough food and hard alcohol for another 18 hours charting

great
charting is goooooood...
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  • #13,979
  • Mar 30, 2011 4:02pm Mar 30, 2011 4:02pm
Quoting anthoniex
charting is goooooood...


my goodness - you have got to know me well


yes, will unleash when the market is ready for a kicking
  • #13,980
  • Mar 30, 2011 4:22pm Mar 30, 2011 4:22pm
Quoting redsword11
l have enough food and hard alcohol for another 18 hours charting


great
fcuk ya!
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