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  • #201
  • Mar 24, 2011 6:25pm Mar 24, 2011 6:25pm
Anybody who reads this post is gonna owe me beers...

Start shorting this piece of crap.....

recent run up for the lat 6 days is due to earth quake relief fund for the nzd. Look at the aud/nzd chart for the last 6 days, and look at the correlation between nzd/usd and aud/usd pairs but besides nzd/usd has gained a little more momentum each day compared to aud/usd. Also, go to www.eqc.govt.nz/ You will see the claims are almost done which accounts for the capitulation today. What I am getting at is.....money coming from the usa banks and euro banks either slide directly into aud or nzd....with the aud getting reverted to nzd in the end. Also go to finviz.com and look at aud futures you will notice pure commercial buying. I am not saying this is the top...but I am saying we are damn close....It could take a run at 1.0250 but I will bet hedge funds will be all over that....

Short this MUTHER #!*&#&
Don't be fooled by randomness
  • #202
  • Mar 24, 2011 8:33pm Mar 24, 2011 8:33pm
The demand for NZD is not going to be large, compared to EURUSD or any other major currency. Worse still, in an event of sudden demand for NZD, USD should dive. In that case, AUDUSD would most likely be pushed up as a result.
  • #203
  • Mar 24, 2011 9:17pm Mar 24, 2011 9:17pm
Short @1.0050

Reason:
78.6% + TrendLine + Divergence(1hr) + Gartley(1hr)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audcad.jpg Size: 169 KB
  • #204
  • Mar 24, 2011 9:55pm Mar 24, 2011 9:55pm
Quoting skipismad
Both Cable and Fiber are both dropping fast, but Ozzie is moving in the opposite direction.

This pair doesn't seem to respect the DAX.
i am with you mate, looks no reason for the aud to go that high,
my feeling is for the steel company are under influenced by the speculating japan's rebuilding, and resource demand.

but this process might take 1-5 years, it not a one night order.


my negative view on aud is still around china, china is really on crashing edge because of overproduction and overspending. Chinese government is the winner on this, but the middle class and bottom life class population are struggling , or deserted.
maybe its next move will be nasty and bloody political reform.
  • #205
  • Mar 24, 2011 9:59pm Mar 24, 2011 9:59pm
Quoting baron193
1.03340 ish is the obvious spot for the more advanced traders looking for an intermediate target (multi day/week) but it is so obvious that it shouldn't be that simple....
if finshed this fibo move targeting 10333, i should say economy is sound but, check the reality, europe is still fragile. at the moment, its all depanding on germany.
lets wait and see
  • #206
  • Mar 24, 2011 10:19pm Mar 24, 2011 10:19pm
Quoting Peter-FX
Maybe not soon…but take a look at my monthly chart.
Does that look like a Dragonfly Doji and only 5 days to go before April?
If it stays as a Dragonfly then be watchful, because Dragonflies can go either way. If it comes down a little, then we have a Hammer and a Hammer is a reversal pattern.
[font=Times New Roman][font=Comic Sans MS][size=3]One...
Great post Sir!
Some how I fail to never factor in the eminent dangers of the monthly chart. What a huge tail of the dragon tale indeed.
Atm, I will play a top at short risk(2 positions at BE and let it ride) before the end of civilization......... Just in case.
Thank you, and many pips
  • #207
  • Mar 24, 2011 10:29pm Mar 24, 2011 10:29pm
H1 20EMA is providing the support now. If the bullish engulfing candle plays out it may retest the 1.025 high. Stoch is approaching oversold, and appears to be crossing soon.
Attached Image
  • #208
  • Mar 24, 2011 10:55pm Mar 24, 2011 10:55pm
Quoting skipismad
H1 20EMA is providing the support now. If the bullish engulfing candle plays out it may retest the 1.025 high. Stoch is approaching oversold, and appears to be crossing soon.
Bullish M15 pin formed.

Long 1.0195
TP 1.025
SL 1.017
  • #209
  • Mar 24, 2011 11:14pm Mar 24, 2011 11:14pm
Quoting frothy
Anybody who reads this post is gonna owe me beers...

Start shorting this piece of crap.....

recent run up for the lat 6 days is due to earth quake relief fund for the nzd. Look at the aud/nzd chart for the last 6 days, and look at the correlation between nzd/usd and aud/usd pairs but besides nzd/usd has gained a little more momentum each day compared to aud/usd. Also, go to www.eqc.govt.nz/ [color=black]You will see the claims are almost done which accounts for the capitulation...
Piece of crap is this Muther... umm what's a muther sir??
AND it's going down is it?
Please tell us WHEN it is going down so we'll know and short it, even better, tell us when you are shorting it.
Biggest joker
  • #210
  • Mar 24, 2011 11:17pm Mar 24, 2011 11:17pm
ohh boy it will be nice if a long comes at 1.0170ish
Biggest joker
  • #211
  • Mar 24, 2011 11:34pm Mar 24, 2011 11:34pm
Quoting Chillypiper
Great post Sir!
Some how I fail to never factor in the eminent dangers of the monthly chart. What a huge tail of the dragon tale indeed.
Atm, I will play a top at short risk(2 positions at BE and let it ride) before the end of civilization......... Just in case.
Thank you, and many pips

Thanks Chillypiper,
Don’t forget we are looking at the monthly so we won’t know until 1st April whether it’s a Dragonfly Doji or Hammer. At the moment it’s still a Dragonfly.
  • #212
  • Mar 25, 2011 12:04am Mar 25, 2011 12:04am
Quoting skipismad
Bullish M15 pin formed.

Long 1.0195
TP 1.025
SL 1.017
SL moved to BE, will manually adjust this on the way up to cash in whatever the market gives. Daily chart looks top-ish (stoch overbought).
  • #213
  • Edited 12:38am Mar 25, 2011 12:12am | Edited 12:38am
short 206 tight stop
stopped out -7
Biggest joker
  • #214
  • Mar 25, 2011 12:54am Mar 25, 2011 12:54am
Quoting skipismad
SL moved to BE, will manually adjust this on the way up to cash in whatever the market gives. Daily chart looks top-ish (stoch overbought).
Good trade mate, well done.
Biggest joker
  • #215
  • Mar 25, 2011 1:00am Mar 25, 2011 1:00am
Quoting baron193
Good trade mate, well done.
My EA program has a take profit at 1.04....lol do you guys think we'll get there? (before the SL at 1.00 again........) hmmm. It's only risking like 100 bucks......so I'm inclined to let it run, but it's interesting..
  • #216
  • Mar 25, 2011 1:01am Mar 25, 2011 1:01am
Quoting skipismad
SL moved to BE, will manually adjust this on the way up to cash in whatever the market gives. Daily chart looks top-ish (stoch overbought).
erm.. nice Long~ i would say..haha.
good that you able to catch some Long there.
The aussie spike to 1.0222 just not long ago.
Not closing for a profit =P ? (~ 30 pips) =P =P =P
  • #217
  • Mar 25, 2011 1:11am Mar 25, 2011 1:11am
Quoting lolygagv2
My EA program has a take profit at 1.04....lol do you guys think we'll get there? (before the SL at 1.00 again........) hmmm. It's only risking like 100 bucks......so I'm inclined to let it run, but it's interesting..
Personaly i think it is very possible, HOW it's going to get there is the interesting bit, i trade sessions and even though i do place longer term trades i suck at it.
1.0340 is what i always had in mind, a spike above it to 1.04 more likely and possibly an excelent place for a short, if you can identify entries with very limited risk, getting caught short on this pair is expensive long term.
Biggest joker
  • #218
  • Mar 25, 2011 2:00am Mar 25, 2011 2:00am
Quoting evelee8
erm.. nice Long~ i would say..haha.
good that you able to catch some Long there.
The aussie spike to 1.0222 just not long ago.
Not closing for a profit =P ? (~ 30 pips) =P =P =P
Seems to be struggling to pass recent high of 1.0227.

TP remains at historic high of 1.025, SL moved to 1.0205 (10 pips gain, better then nothing )
  • #219
  • Mar 25, 2011 2:39am Mar 25, 2011 2:39am
Quoting skipismad
Seems to be struggling to pass recent high of 1.0227.

TP remains at historic high of 1.025, SL moved to 1.0205 (10 pips gain, better then nothing )
I would love to believe that we have cleared 1.0227.

1.025 here we come...

SL moved to 1.0215.
  • #220
  • Mar 25, 2011 2:51am Mar 25, 2011 2:51am
Quoting skipismad
Seems to be struggling to pass recent high of 1.0227.

TP remains at historic high of 1.025, SL moved to 1.0205 (10 pips gain, better then nothing )
OMG ~ breaking 1.024..
Congrats lor..
T.T i missed the entry @ 1.019x though...haha.
I have to hammer my brain..
By missing a 50+ chance.
T.T T.T T.T
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