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vsa with Malcolm

  • #16,721
  • Mar 17, 2011 8:39pm Mar 17, 2011 8:39pm
Quoting Sonofsin5
Look to me like the just massively bought the eur.
THERE SHE BLOWS
  • #16,722
  • Mar 17, 2011 8:46pm Mar 17, 2011 8:46pm
Quoting Sonofsin5
THERE SHE BLOWS
today could be crazy... if they all buy UJ at market open then they will have to dump the US $'s into other pairs... could be huge Friday.
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #16,723
  • Mar 17, 2011 8:59pm Mar 17, 2011 8:59pm
Quoting pres78
today could be crazy... if they all buy UJ at market open then they will have to dump the US $'s into other pairs... could be huge Friday.
This move will be reversed in the next few days. This intervention will have to be the first for many. All this did was allow large money to short massive and I mean massive amounts of uj.
  • #16,724
  • Mar 17, 2011 9:08pm Mar 17, 2011 9:08pm
Quoting pres78
today could be crazy... if they all buy UJ at market open then they will have to dump the US $'s into other pairs... could be huge Friday.
way too volatile for my little nerves good luck to anyone trading tomorrow, hopefully you'll still be around on Monday...
Change is the only constant
  • #16,725
  • Mar 17, 2011 10:28pm Mar 17, 2011 10:28pm
Quoting pres78
Similar USDJPY on 1hr... entered this earlier today... just felt right
Stops on both lots moved to +100 (79.60) and now I wait to see what LO and NYO bring. If it drops so be it and I will get stopped out. If it keeps climbing (per G7 agreement for joint interventions at market opens) we very well could get back close to 2011 high before end of day.
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #16,726
  • Edited 1:03am Mar 18, 2011 12:51am | Edited 1:03am
4pm and 8pm bars for today on 4hr looking bearish to me.

Looking for rejection at 4120 and 3900 for possible bounce.

Id post a chart but pc having some issues with TOS at the moment.

EDIT: solved
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot--6E - Charts - 89447486 @ thinkorswim [build 1800.20].png Size: 42 KB
  • #16,727
  • Mar 18, 2011 1:41am Mar 18, 2011 1:41am
So much for my "short eu" plan! But I'm confused. Wasn't intervention supposed to be later today? Or maybe time zones just confuse me

Ok, nevermind, figured it out
  • #16,728
  • Mar 18, 2011 2:00am Mar 18, 2011 2:00am
Quoting SimpleDev
4pm and 8pm bars for today on 4hr looking bearish to me.

Looking for rejection at 4120 and 3900 for possible bounce.

Id post a chart but pc having some issues with TOS at the moment.

EDIT: solved
As the price advances, the vol getting thinner..
But I do not see any stopping vol that comes with the reversal...
Minor retracement expected but not the reversal...

Sonic
  • #16,729
  • Edited 2:36am Mar 18, 2011 2:26am | Edited 2:36am
Quoting pres78
Ok now a few charts as a follow up to my previous post with respect to non close of bar related triggers and also not specifically looking at the highest volume bar seen on the left side of the chart... I am looking at higher than normal volume in the area of current PA, using swings...
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1300397098 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1300397098 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1300397111
Hi Pres78,
I noticed some of the testbars which you've marked when price come back to test the trigger level, is not on lower volume than its previous 2 bars..

so, do you normally consider it to be a valid test bar as long as it is of lower volume than your trigger bar? pls advise, thanks!
  • #16,730
  • Mar 18, 2011 2:45am Mar 18, 2011 2:45am
Quoting sonicdeejay
As the price advances, the vol getting thinner..
But I do not see any stopping vol that comes with the reversal...
Minor retracement expected but not the reversal...

Sonic

I see.. I am reading too much into this. I am just a little too uneasy about the downbar on daily for the 16th that follwed right after a pinbar.

Thanks for the response.
  • #16,731
  • Mar 18, 2011 4:05am Mar 18, 2011 4:05am
Quoting Mtm
Hi Pres78,
I noticed some of the testbars which you've marked when price come back to test the trigger level, is not on lower volume than its previous 2 bars..

so, do you normally consider it to be a valid test bar as long as it is of lower volume than your trigger bar? pls advise, thanks!
Yes I do not only consider it a test if it's lower than previous two... there are many types of tests and it's the reaction at the trigger area that I am most interested in... again this is just how I personally trade them. I see a test on lower volume that the bar that created the trigger as being a low volume test showing no further interest to the downside (in the examples I showed).
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #16,732
  • Mar 18, 2011 4:09am Mar 18, 2011 4:09am
Quoting SimpleDev
I see.. I am reading too much into this. I am just a little too uneasy about the downbar on daily for the 16th that follwed right after a pinbar.

Thanks for the response.
Also take into account the close which is well off it's lows and the next day was up showing we still have buyers. We are definatley seeing a battle between the two...
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #16,733
  • Mar 18, 2011 4:31am Mar 18, 2011 4:31am
I see a big UT on my 60 min EU chart. Could be a beginning of something maybe. Price could be at a top of a channel which I had for a while. It's not a too obvious channel though, so so far I don't read too much into it. Will post a chart later.
  • #16,734
  • Mar 18, 2011 4:35am Mar 18, 2011 4:35am
Quoting comapip
I see a big UT on my 60 min EU chart. Could be a beginning of something maybe. Price could be at a top of a channel which I had for a while. It's not a too obvious channel though, so so far I don't read too much into it. Will post a chart later.
And maybe this one closes as ND, and GU allready moved over 100 points down.
  • #16,735
  • Mar 18, 2011 5:00am Mar 18, 2011 5:00am
Not so clear anymore. M15 too high volume eu.
  • #16,736
  • Mar 18, 2011 5:11am Mar 18, 2011 5:11am
Entered long @4057 after low volume test. Stop moved be +10. For higher prices I would have loved to see it coming lower, into .4015. It may happen even now. I think then we know for sure, up or down.
  • #16,737
  • Mar 18, 2011 5:13am Mar 18, 2011 5:13am
Quoting 1pipperhour
Entered long @4057 after low volume test. Stop moved be +10. For higher prices I would have loved to see it coming lower, into .4015. It may happen even now. I think then we know for sure, up or down.
I was blinded by that H1 UT, that test was also in right place.
  • #16,738
  • Mar 18, 2011 5:16am Mar 18, 2011 5:16am
Ok there are clear stopping attempts on 5 min. EU but so far they resulted in absolutely nothing. The 60 min. UT was not confirmed and resulted in another rally to 1.41. Overall I'm not sure about this. Wouldn't buy or sell just now, better to wait. If EU continues this way, however, then it may end up at 1.43 even today. If that is taken out, then 1.45.
  • #16,739
  • Mar 18, 2011 5:16am Mar 18, 2011 5:16am
Quoting juhanimi
I was blinded by that H1 UT, that test was also in right place.
Yes it was. SL was only 12 pips. I took that UT as a shake out of shorters which seemed it was.
  • #16,740
  • Mar 18, 2011 5:18am Mar 18, 2011 5:18am
Guys, plese if somebody can sand Tradeguider 6e 10 min and 5 min charts

1h and half after London open period and on...

Thanks
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