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vsa with Malcolm

  • #16,441
  • Mar 16, 2011 7:50am Mar 16, 2011 7:50am
Quoting Flynchenberg
Hi,
Can I have this POC indicator too?

Thx,
Seb
you can get it from the AMT thread in the attachments: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=277528
Change is the only constant
  • #16,442
  • Mar 16, 2011 7:55am Mar 16, 2011 7:55am
Quoting tgwhbb
you can get it from the AMT thread in the attachments: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=277528
I will find it, thx
  • #16,443
  • Mar 16, 2011 7:57am Mar 16, 2011 7:57am
Quoting Flynchenberg
I will find it, thx
would help if I told you which one it is ay-MarketProfileDWM.v1.31, and Auction Market indicator (those are the two on my chart)
Change is the only constant
  • #16,444
  • Mar 16, 2011 8:16am Mar 16, 2011 8:16am
H4 Gann just turned red. H1 Gann is red too.
  • #16,445
  • Mar 16, 2011 8:29am Mar 16, 2011 8:29am
seems 3880 is imminent.
  • #16,446
  • Mar 16, 2011 8:34am Mar 16, 2011 8:34am
h4 hulls just turned red, moving down on volume straight thru 3950 and now 3920 as well (although its just bounced a bit).

looking for sells only now unless i see some huge buying. wouldnt surprise me to see 3850 again today and 3750 tomorrow. NY always seems to buy everything in sight though so also wouldnt surprise me if we still close above 4000 lol. i will not go against 4h hulls though, looking for sells myself
  • #16,447
  • Mar 16, 2011 8:43am Mar 16, 2011 8:43am
Quoting ewokuk
h4 hulls just turned red, moving down on volume straight thru 3950 and now 3920 as well (although its just bounced a bit).

looking for sells only now unless i see some huge buying. wouldnt surprise me to see 3850 again today and 3750 tomorrow. NY always seems to buy everything in sight though so also wouldnt surprise me if we still close above 4000 lol. i will not go against 4h hulls though, looking for sells myself
Seems like a nice shake out.
  • #16,448
  • Mar 16, 2011 8:49am Mar 16, 2011 8:49am
Quoting tgwhbb
3965 is the developing POC which is where you would expect a reaction. Given the reaction is at 8:30 AM EST (half way thru NY initial balance), the drop from 3965 is looking like a test IMO. I would not expect it to go much further below 3942 (London initial balance low extension). Plus price has closed on the 30M back inside value just before. A reasonable expectation now is a follow-thru to the developing VAH, currently around 3985
damn...left the charts for a bit and boom, ND shows up on the 5M after a UT around 3965...and then my SL hit at BE...back to square one...
Change is the only constant
  • #16,449
  • Mar 16, 2011 8:54am Mar 16, 2011 8:54am
Quoting tgwhbb
damn...left the charts for a bit and boom, ND shows up on the 5M after a UT around 3965...and then my SL hit at BE...back to square one...
Better than being down anything! Some high volume has come in on the 5min so you may get another opportunity.
  • #16,450
  • Mar 16, 2011 8:54am Mar 16, 2011 8:54am
Very hard day to read the markets, The overall trend intra-day on the Eurusd is down but I am hard pressed to sell it. May just want to sit on your hands today.

We do however have some interesting price action on the UsdJpy although a lot of brokers are not letting customers trade it.

The GBPUSD seems to be finding support around 6061.
  • #16,451
  • Mar 16, 2011 8:57am Mar 16, 2011 8:57am
Quoting KinsaleForex
Better than being down anything! Some high volume has come in on the 5min so you may get another opportunity.
there will always be other opportunities

seems like 3900 may be a good place to go long. A reversal there could be the setup for an inverse H&S on the 4HR...

EDIT: its also just below the initial balance extension low...where price should go to since the initial balance low was breached...

like sonofsin...hard pressed to sell EU...
Change is the only constant
  • #16,452
  • Mar 16, 2011 8:59am Mar 16, 2011 8:59am
I still think EUR is strong, here's my Beljevina inspired chart (3 trend channels!)

Current hour is coming down to the bottom of an uptrend on high volume closing off the low.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Eddie 1hr.png Size: 93 KB
  • #16,453
  • Mar 16, 2011 9:01am Mar 16, 2011 9:01am
Quoting KinsaleForex
I still think EUR is strong, here's my Beljevina inspired chart (3 trend channels!)

Current hour is coming down to the bottom of an uptrend on high volume closing off the low.
TG just marked that hourly bar with sign of weakness - "Trap Upmove", still not convinced though.
  • #16,454
  • Mar 16, 2011 9:15am Mar 16, 2011 9:15am
Gu
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: chickens suck.jpg Size: 105 KB
  • #16,455
  • Mar 16, 2011 9:27am Mar 16, 2011 9:27am
Quoting KinsaleForex
I still think EUR is strong, here's my Beljevina inspired chart (3 trend channels!)

Current hour is coming down to the bottom of an uptrend on high volume closing off the low.
Yeah, acknowledgement they can be helpful, lol!!

OK, well we got lower as I expected and bounced from 1,3925 and had a decent ride 50 pips up to my POC @ 39752 and monthly R, which gave us a violent set of 3 bars down - first 2 full of sellers then buyers at 391 (a M15 ND just before it too?), thankfully with even more buyers than previous downthrust, but now we have that potential down reversing M15 doji and need to see buyers keep up their intent. 38987 as prev low is potential but my bullishness continues to get milder - need to see if another reach for the DPP is made and a possible reach up to that dashed white top end channel - agree it is a tough read today - if one can grab 20-30 or so pips of a 40-60 pip leg, that is great IMO, until one directional positions holds.

Still just not liking the PA - keep in mind things should slow to a crawl in the next 60-90 minutes, thus next few M15 bars are key for directional confirmation and possible limit/trend for rest of day. Just feeling we're very news sensitive here, as range and fair price is being built. PA in GU, GY, EY, UJ remains ugly IMO, and EU still holding out best, but it is an uphill & perhaps overoptimistic climb.

P.S. - Still unsure about my POC accuracy due to server & other time zone issues & indi settings - mine is wildly different from other's, yet seemingly respected, lol - still gotta figure out it's accuracy/settings!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #16,456
  • Mar 16, 2011 9:28am Mar 16, 2011 9:28am
EUR/USD Wed 16-Mar H1, Last Hour touch low of 1.3914 with high vol.
This is the same low as Fri High/Mon Gap.
It seems testing this Gap.
And H1 bar close way off the low, possible more buyers.

Waiting for further test of this area, unsure long or short at the moment.

Personally still have long E/U from yesterday.

Hard to read now for both E/U and G/U.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #16,457
  • Mar 16, 2011 9:29am Mar 16, 2011 9:29am
Quoting Sonofsin5
Gu
ha! bastard and back to square one...same like in EU...
Change is the only constant
  • #16,458
  • Mar 16, 2011 9:31am Mar 16, 2011 9:31am
Quoting Sonofsin5
Gu
LOL, couldn't have said it better myself: bastards & mixed bags, as the fight goes on!!!
  • #16,459
  • Mar 16, 2011 9:31am Mar 16, 2011 9:31am
EU M15 shakeout?

even if, so far, no avail.

Seb
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #16,460
  • Mar 16, 2011 9:32am Mar 16, 2011 9:32am
I do like a break of 6050 though, I think if we break and rise on a nd we may have a nice short entry. Ill post if I see it.
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