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  • #21
  • Mar 15, 2011 2:47pm Mar 15, 2011 2:47pm
Hi guys, don't get upset by some low class moron, at the end of the day you only have to place him/her on ignore...
It is a lesson to everyone not to be fixed sighted on one side only, and that is where he is wrong, not to mention he's probably not making any profit out of this, just a thrill seeker (told you so type).
9845 is a good level to watch
It is also my fault to invite anyone for a live call of trades placed, this game is about changing your mind, and often, the rigidity created by such stupid action as posting positions is not a good thing.
Regards.
Biggest joker
  • #22
  • Mar 15, 2011 7:42pm Mar 15, 2011 7:42pm
Quoting jezek5
With you there Petra,9805 needs to hold
this down move for a bounce.
Got long at 9828 missed my entry at 9805 by
9 pips,already booked some profit on this,
stop to BE on the rest.
9895 needs to hold for further move up.
Next target 1.000.
Cheers.
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
  • #23
  • Mar 15, 2011 8:59pm Mar 15, 2011 8:59pm
Latest updates:

The rate bounces back from overnight lows as a rebound on the Japanese equity market eases risk aversion. Japanese money managers are
seen active buyers of the South Pacific currency this morning.

The rate is at $0.9944 versus $0.9898 in late New York while it is quoted at
Y80.67 versus Y79.87 overnight.

The Aussie is likely to face resistance
at Y81.72 the bottom of the cloud on the daily Ichimoku chart.
  • #24
  • Mar 15, 2011 11:34pm Mar 15, 2011 11:34pm
Another earth quake 6.0 hit Japan.
So far - no more news reported the flame near the reactor 4.
It is at critical junction now at which the gov are opting for few options to stabilise the nuclear plant.
There is some temperature increase sign shown up at reactor 5 and reactor 6.

Aussie hit to the bottom @ 0.9890 again just.
Are we all in good faith?
i m still holding Long for Aussie - TP @ 1.0000
  • #25
  • Mar 16, 2011 3:38am Mar 16, 2011 3:38am
Quoting jezek5
Got long at 9828 missed my entry at 9805 by
9 pips,already booked some profit on this,
stop to BE on the rest.
9895 needs to hold for further move up.
Next target 1.000.
Cheers.
We tested the 9895 level over night,we're
just stuck at some ressistance at 9950,
clear that and 1.000 target should be hit.
Still holding for now but could bail at any time.
9939 needs to be the platform for possible up move.
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
  • #26
  • Mar 16, 2011 4:12am Mar 16, 2011 4:12am
Quoting jezek5
We tested the 9895 level over night,we're
just stuck at some ressistance at 9950,
clear that and 1.000 target should be hit.
Still holding for now but could bail at any time.
9939 needs to be the platform for possible up move.
It's not .995, if it clears .998 then I'd say long is decent idea. For now, not favorable Imo.

I totally see a bear flag here....really, the USD does suck, but I don't see Aussie going above parity in the current economic conditions much more than it already has. I'm not sure about the long plays.
Check out below though. Bear flag should play out down to .98 at least,

above .999 I think the flag is probably invalidated, then i'll start thinking we may break into an uptrend (the 1.0 level will definitely attract at .9990 and there's probably some large buys above.
I see trendline support at around .974 from the LONG TERM Trend.


OH exuse me, why the hell do we have indentical threads for AUD/USD?
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1300259082
  • #27
  • Mar 16, 2011 4:29am Mar 16, 2011 4:29am
Quoting jezek5
Got long at 9828 missed my entry at 9805 by
9 pips,already booked some profit on this,
stop to BE on the rest.
9895 needs to hold for further move up.
Next target 1.000.
Cheers.
Out,booked 100 pips,not sure whats next.
Reason,rejection of 9939 for now,i'm a bit
unsure of PA at the moment,bloody Wednesdays.
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
  • #28
  • Mar 16, 2011 8:02am Mar 16, 2011 8:02am
It's that time all carry traders love--- triple intrest day. I am still long and hoping for a push north towards 1.0140, although that may take a few days. Good trades to all!

Regards,
  • #29
  • Mar 16, 2011 8:49am Mar 16, 2011 8:49am
Think i might be looking to buy around 9805 again,
not sure yet,see if we get nearer.
9885 needs to hold to move up.
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
  • #30
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:07am Mar 16, 2011 10:07am
Quoting jezek5
Think i might be looking to buy around 9805 again,
not sure yet,see if we get nearer.
9885 needs to hold to move up.
Come to mummy.
This looks weak,very strange movement.
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
  • #31
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:11am Mar 16, 2011 10:11am
On the hourly, looks like she's going up.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #32
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:25am Mar 16, 2011 10:25am
Quoting SannaCBranno
On the hourly, looks like she's going up.
You might be right but i'd like
to see what London fix does to
that candle first,feels we're in no mans land at the moment.
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
  • #33
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:29am Mar 16, 2011 10:29am
Oh, most definately. Just observing for signal here, as well.

Quoting jezek5
You might be right but i'd like
to see what London fix does to
that candle first,feels we're in no mans land at the moment.
  • #34
  • Edited 11:24am Mar 16, 2011 11:07am | Edited 11:24am
Quoting SannaCBranno
Oh, most definately. Just observing for signal here, as well.
What you think now Sanna,this looks bad for longs i think.
1 hr close below the last time we were down here.
Just no traction in it.
9805 is calling it.
9842 has got to hold.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
  • #35
  • Mar 16, 2011 12:42pm Mar 16, 2011 12:42pm
Quoting jezek5
Think i might be looking to buy around 9805 again,
not sure yet,see if we get nearer.
9885 needs to hold to move up.
Nearly there now but i'm going to wait
and see how it plays out,thinking we could spike
down into the high 97s,watching and waiting.
Guess i should have shorted when i closed
my long trade but i just can't bring myself
to short this pair.
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
  • #36
  • Mar 16, 2011 12:46pm Mar 16, 2011 12:46pm
Hmmm,

5 waves down at 2H? (Though wave 5 could be not finished yet)
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #37
  • Mar 16, 2011 12:48pm Mar 16, 2011 12:48pm
I am looking at .9780 for comletion of the 5 then time to start longs all over again
  • #38
  • Mar 16, 2011 12:52pm Mar 16, 2011 12:52pm
Daily RSI has hit oversold for the first time in a looooong time. If it bounces out from here without breaking 9800, then we should see some topside for a while as oversold conditions are worked off. If it breaks, it could be a big one---depending upon how many stops are below 9800.

REgards,
  • #39
  • Mar 16, 2011 12:54pm Mar 16, 2011 12:54pm
is the next major support under .9800 around .9550?
  • #40
  • Mar 16, 2011 1:51pm Mar 16, 2011 1:51pm
Quoting mckal33
is the next major support under .9800 around .9550?
Wow, I posted this last night, drew my long term trend line from Nov 08 lows until now, and the line passes right at about .976.

I have my trade locked in for profit, but I didn't expect to be soo spot on, it hit .976 and boom, instant demand comes in and drives it up 50 pips in 5 minutes! That's a lot of demand... Does anyone know what 50 pips translates into in Aussie or USD domination buying power? 10 billion?

ANyway, this could merely be a bounce in the long run. Or it could be major support, and a continuation of the 2 year trend, at this point, I'm not sure what I'd bet on lol. I'm going to look to lock in my 80+ of profit, or maybe just take half off the table.......
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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