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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #234,301
  • Mar 7, 2011 12:01pm Mar 7, 2011 12:01pm
Quoting navhin
agreed.....but if u use elliot wave count, after the bearish movement, it will head up to 135 or above...juz my opinion..
well, I wont look for that big jump before 133.28 broke / retested from up then the target will be or ~137.00 not only 135!
now price is in the bears side and maybe by retesting the 133.28 will drop to ~130.24 but im waiting to see the reaction at the current side:
**test 133.28 first or 132.53 / 27 first then things will be more clear for next waves
, so my advice is to focus on 133.28 / .40 range for taking swing positions
  • #234,302
  • Mar 7, 2011 12:27pm Mar 7, 2011 12:27pm
Quoting maanawi
I thought this pair is only for buying lol
Hard to believe isn't it?
  • #234,303
  • Mar 7, 2011 12:44pm Mar 7, 2011 12:44pm
Quoting maanawi
well, I wont look for that big jump before 133.28 broke / retested from up then the target will be or ~137.00 not only 135!
now price is in the bears side and maybe by retesting the 133.28 will drop to ~130.24 but im waiting to see the reaction at the current side:
**test 133.28 first or 132.53 / 27 first then things will be more clear for next waves
, so my advice is to focus on 133.28 / .40 range for taking swing positions
Was this view you have thought from the USA session or was it their in your mind even before that
  • #234,304
  • Mar 7, 2011 12:48pm Mar 7, 2011 12:48pm
Quoting pkimnyc
Hard to believe isn't it?
lol im joking man I didnt believe in any thing else fall fall since it did break 134.27 with target of 133.45 and lower
  • #234,305
  • Mar 7, 2011 12:51pm Mar 7, 2011 12:51pm
Quoting maanawi
lol im joking man I didnt believe in any thing else fall fall since it did break 134.27 with target of 133.45 and lower
enjoy your scalp.
  • #234,306
  • Mar 7, 2011 12:53pm Mar 7, 2011 12:53pm
Quoting harigp
Was this view you have thought from the USA session or was it their in your mind even before that
since the begin of last week and @ 3 march
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...80#post4431980
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=234232
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  • #234,307
  • Mar 7, 2011 1:00pm Mar 7, 2011 1:00pm
M 15 view of gj
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  • #234,308
  • Mar 7, 2011 1:05pm Mar 7, 2011 1:05pm
Quoting pkimnyc
enjoy your scalp.
thanks mate
  • #234,309
  • Mar 7, 2011 1:12pm Mar 7, 2011 1:12pm
im going to explain in a minutes
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  • #234,310
  • Mar 7, 2011 1:19pm Mar 7, 2011 1:19pm
Yes now I have seen your statment on 3/03/2011 that was thursday and we had NFP on friday

Your trend line was pointing towards 135 and that was the area we hit on NFP . I congratulate for the trend line.

HI chart view will work maximum for a week then the trend can change.

Your quote:
here is my view and the area 134.3* is my safe area to sell if price broke it will retest it again so I will go small short trade with no SL
  • #234,311
  • Mar 7, 2011 2:10pm Mar 7, 2011 2:10pm
Quoting maanawi
im going to explain in a minutes
waiting chances in green and expected levels at red lines to be targets and reverse levels also the TL of the channel to be reverse level supported by fibo channel.
setup based from the channel and its a beta setup that may help for better view!
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  • #234,312
  • Mar 7, 2011 2:33pm Mar 7, 2011 2:33pm
Quoting harigp
M 15 view of gj
Hi
133.777 seem interesting also on 15 M.
  • #234,313
  • Mar 7, 2011 2:50pm Mar 7, 2011 2:50pm
Yes I thinks so

From chart to political

USA is planning to go dip down into the pocket to use the oil reserve .
If that is going to happen gold will fall, EU will Fall, and GJ goes up

As per the news us adminsitration does not want oil to go up more than $ 100 and they want even less, any common man Life is going to be more miserable if it moves above $ 100. Even $ 100 he is in shit shape.
  • #234,314
  • Edited 3:51pm Mar 7, 2011 3:32pm | Edited 3:51pm
Quoting harigp
Yes I thinks so

From chart to political

USA is planning to go dip down into the pocket to use the oil reserve .
If that is going to happen gold will fall, EU will Fall, and GJ goes up

As per the news us adminsitration does not want oil to go up more than $ 100 and they want even less, any common man Life is going to be more miserable if it moves above $ 100. Even $ 100 he is in shit shape.
hmmm
EU - Oil / maybe for weeks but they cant control the prices for ever and its not only USA o use oil, you are right if oil jump higher world may face another crisis.
I attach chart for EU done by a friend focus on time analysis more than price and he expect for EU to fly after some weeks to 1.58/9.
so keep hard work on charts and expect every thing to happen
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1299356694
**we may see this scenario on EU
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  • #234,315
  • Mar 7, 2011 4:07pm Mar 7, 2011 4:07pm
[quote=BailMeOut;4450380]can i give you my thoughts here --

you need always 2 ticks when you see a H&S as VALID-

first--- a TL need to be broken, then

second--- your prev high need to be taken out ( equal as prev high or broken by 1 pip )

then you draw your fibs from high to low-- the nearest FIB level to your left shoulder is normally the entry level (most of the times)

when a H&S pattern is in play ,then where most traders get burn is to enter long or short when we retest the TL after we break it - but what happens then.

you do have a sense of humor i give you that ( bail me out ) and a sound technical view but i personally trade a shorter time frame to you i think and views obviously change all the time so lets not get too bogged down with one direction unless like yourself certain levels have to be taken out and they might be 500 or more pips away different way of trading right now we have a few things to take note of after todays play

news in the middle east ( civil war ) seems close
the effect this has had on the futures
golds topping out equals interest in $ ????
what cable is doing uj etc even eg can help
tomorrows cot report - vol
then your personally plan on entry exit mm etc on trading gj

I don't think your a bad bloke but for some reason your rubbing some members up the wrong way and I did say to start your own thread up along time ago but to no avail therefore you must enjoy rejoining ff every other day so im afraid this is my last response to you and wish you the very best
  • #234,316
  • Edited 3:43am Mar 8, 2011 3:31am | Edited 3:43am
Quoting maanawi
Thanks B. im still on my last setup, plus keepn eye on this
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...5&d=1299047803
~130.24 or ~137.00
I was checking my setup and I was wonder what could drive price on 10 march then I found the BOE Official Bank Rate, but while I check the setup again we are getting so close to the move maybe from tomorrow or even end of today {not so sure} , so keep in mind this setup plus yours.
good luck

* my thoughts but I dont like to share cause it may be confusing but I know how trade them > I see 132.87 / 132.57 / 132.27 in target since last week but maybe we visit some near highs before reach them
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  • #234,317
  • Mar 8, 2011 6:48am Mar 8, 2011 6:48am
UKDAYTRADEr

i see the EUR/usd threat pointing E/U to 1.4450 ? and say break of the "bullflag" and whatnot --

they are GLOOMED DOOMED and BOOMED

you ask wht about the "inverse H&S" -- dont bargain on that H&S - that one you ask "piters" is not really one but it looks like one - i also point that one out a while ago but now it more looks like typical ABC play -

i was expecting it to go 1.41 (4180) max but 1.4 hold it so far --i did start fading from 1.4 but will most likely aadd it up "if we trading higher" and kill it if im wrong- but so far i think we might pop down to 1.2400/23

open up daily chart -- look from the bottom-

do you see ABC move ? that tells me its a HUGE PENNANT -but this is the beginning of it--- and every single target and level/fib lined up with 1.24 (untest aswell ) gotto test that fooocker level .

the current daily chart is the KEY level 1.3420 +- (prev daily swing low) if we took that level --- then you can play that H&S (purple) and ride it down to the 261.8 FE thats sits all together @ 1.24 --

then much later we will prob break out to parity or 1.6 - you decide - i dont know --i dont bother -its next year's headscratch --for now we will ping pong between 1.2 and 1.4 as it was mention yesterday

boooring -but enough pips ups and down inside the pennant -

im only saying it might be one- and hopefully it is one-then we know for the next months the trend up and down on E/U - 78.6 levels!

the pennant was posted a while ago !

cheeerio!

G.
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  • #234,318
  • Mar 8, 2011 5:52pm Mar 8, 2011 5:52pm

Monthly(top)
Daily(bottom)
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  • #234,319
  • Mar 8, 2011 7:15pm Mar 8, 2011 7:15pm
I think price is preparing for a large drop in the coming 2 months. Each upward movement towards resistance (135 area) has been sold off very strongly and price has been unable to make new highs. This is a classic rejection at resistance and after maybe a few more days of testing resistance to shake out the weak short, price will eventually plummet. I'm short at 133.85, SL at 135.60, Target 125 within the next several weeks. If price reached 135.60, then I would be wrong and get stopped out. Then the whole monthly target is completely new picture. But until price action shows me otherwise, my target is 125.
  • #234,320
  • Mar 8, 2011 10:41pm Mar 8, 2011 10:41pm
Morning traders....
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