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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #23,141
  • Feb 25, 2011 5:29am Feb 25, 2011 5:29am
Quoting Fana
Hi Trigger 88990

What for is this information? How to do attack and rescues from this information? What will newbies think, when they first see such posts? This is predictive and i dont know, what is the purpose? Regards
You must keep it in the context of the conversation which is knowing your enemy and the terrain

I was just trying to pointing out the market cycles by point out this paragraph is just matter of perspective and what you are looking for

There is a time when interest rates remain lower for whaterer purpose and when this purpose is no longer satisfied and lower interest rates are not serving their purpose, a change is due to come and it comes a new cycle of higher interest rates to serve new purpose, till it will start all over again from the begining.

hope I shed a little light here.

all the best!
  • #23,142
  • Feb 25, 2011 6:31am Feb 25, 2011 6:31am
Quoting triger88990
You must keep it in the context of the conversation which is knowing your enemy and the terrain

I was just trying to pointing out the market cycles by point out this paragraph is just matter of perspective and what you are looking for

There is a time when interest rates remain lower for whaterer purpose and when this purpose is no longer satisfied and lower interest rates are not serving their purpose, a change is due to come and it comes a new cycle of higher interest rates to serve new purpose, till it will start all over again from the...
Hi again. I must stress NO. This can unconsciously affect the mindset. Everytime "toping, or bottoming" actions can iniciate "feelings - chances" in people. And NOBODY wants to lose. Why they lose?
Your conscious brain see 1,45 and is saying : Of course... i know that...
But your unconscious brain is watching the only one think from that info : 1,45! 1,45!!! 1,45!!!!!!!!
  • #23,143
  • Feb 25, 2011 6:42am Feb 25, 2011 6:42am
I borrow this from some else thread...

HAPPY WEEKEND :-)
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  • #23,144
  • Feb 25, 2011 6:54am Feb 25, 2011 6:54am
Chill out guys and go with the flow. It's the weekend, time for fun and flirtations with ladies of a different kind.

fti - so glad to hear you are OK. Love and respect to you.

@ Barbara - have a good one!

Mark
  • #23,145
  • Feb 25, 2011 8:10am Feb 25, 2011 8:10am
FTI, hey good to hear that your health is improving again and good to know you are still around and watching here and there into the crowd.

when i read about your fate, then i think far back to books like kybalion or tunnel thru the air... the cycle of life is still present, may god bless you with health... always remember the community which has formed around you and you will always know that there a some ladies and some of the guys which like to eat pommes, "bockwurst", like drinking martini, smoking terribly when involved in turmoil of trading and all remember on lessons learned in this thread and by you, you are a teacher, a guide and more then all together you are a friend to everybody here.

i wish you all the best and nice weekend to rest of the crowd, i managed to book some icecream money for my book this week. next week leaving traing wheels behind me



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  • #23,146
  • Feb 25, 2011 8:20am Feb 25, 2011 8:20am
Quoting ukmanthailan
Chill out guys and go with the flow. It's the weekend, time for fun and flirtations with ladies of a different kind.

fti - so glad to hear you are OK. Love and respect to you.

@ Barbara - have a good one!

Mark
All the best to Samantha as well

Niels
  • #23,147
  • Feb 25, 2011 10:00am Feb 25, 2011 10:00am
imjscn: Seems panda put options barrier on euro at 13850

fti: so panda is writing 13850 calls?

fti: ok lets see how they gonna hedge the calls if the rates gets bumped up over the weekend They probably using the premiums buying euro puts, and if rates get bumped. The strangle will kill that panda
  • #23,148
  • Feb 25, 2011 12:41pm Feb 25, 2011 12:41pm
hmmm... so I have a feeling that that of fib numbers will lead to determination of "range leg window", which fti had previously stated is confidential since the capitalization is very high?

I will read over the last few posts tonight. This stuff is gold.

I have also been reading up on options recently. I understand some of the mechanics, but I am wondering besides delta hedging by buying underlying, how institutions would manage their greeks...how do they forecast volatility to prepare for moves? Is there an fti method for options as well?
  • #23,149
  • Feb 25, 2011 1:39pm Feb 25, 2011 1:39pm
Quoting fullperson
hmmm... so I have a feeling that that of fib numbers will lead to determination of "range leg window", which fti had previously stated is confidential since the capitalization is very high?

I will read over the last few posts tonight. This stuff is gold.

I have also been reading up on options recently. I understand some of the mechanics, but I am wondering besides delta hedging by buying underlying, how institutions would manage their greeks...how do they forecast volatility to prepare for moves? Is there an fti method for options as well?...
you can find some interactive tutorials, about option pricing models provided by following link:

http://www.interactivebrokers.com/en...&ib_entity=llc

hope this is what you are asking for

all the best!
  • #23,150
  • Feb 25, 2011 7:36pm Feb 25, 2011 7:36pm
Quoting imjscn
imjscn: Seems panda put options barrier on euro at 13850

fti: so panda is writing 13850 calls?

fti: ok lets see how they gonna hedge the calls if the rates gets bumped up over the weekend They probably using the premiums buying euro puts, and if rates get bumped. The strangle will kill that panda


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  • #23,151
  • Edited 10:08pm Feb 25, 2011 9:58pm | Edited 10:08pm
Quoting fullperson

Is there an fti method for options as well?

Read this review on Amazon of Dynamic Hedging, but substitute TAF for 'the book', fti for 'Taleb', and technical analyst for 'quant'......

http://www.amazon.com/review/R20ERJA...cm_cr_rdp_perm
  • #23,152
  • Feb 25, 2011 10:44pm Feb 25, 2011 10:44pm
Quoting ukmanthailan
Chill out guys and go with the flow. It's the weekend, time for fun and flirtations with ladies of a different kind.

fti - so glad to hear you are OK. Love and respect to you.

@ Barbara - have a good one!

Mark
i just wana put it out there the wkend started roughly 11 gmt thursday.
if any1 has comments on this Flow i would b really interseted????
otherwise MY wkend started 11.01 gmt Thursday.....
cye monday hopefully
HAPPY WEEKEND All

"add em
remove em
& keep it simple)
where are you getting (1)out(isl) and where are you (2)getting in(pt!!)"

My last Quote Sounds easy-but im still learning
and cant wait 2 be the master of it!!!!!!!!
  • #23,153
  • Feb 26, 2011 2:52am Feb 26, 2011 2:52am
Hi guy,Does basic analysis work？
Since you negetive technical analysis，can you tell us what about basic analysis？
  • #23,154
  • Feb 26, 2011 1:05pm Feb 26, 2011 1:05pm
there are many interpretations of oil and gold prices as it pertains to the dollar, I was wondering what fti thinks of the relationship of gold/oil and the dollar. How do they sync up? Why?


Quoting imjscn
Eur looks topish on the top, I was thinking to short. fti said--" ya, and wait they catch us short when rise rate ?"...
  • #23,155
  • Edited 5:28pm Feb 26, 2011 1:43pm | Edited 5:28pm
My apologies to those whom I scaring.

for warriors
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  • #23,156
  • Feb 26, 2011 7:13pm Feb 26, 2011 7:13pm
hmm... I'm thinking kepler's laws (kepler dealt with a lot of golden ratio stuff/timing) and center of mass (keeps your basis as close to market w/ different size positions at different locations)... or maybe has something to do w/ random walk

Quoting fti
Hi All,

wow, at long last a true mathematician.
Ok, now you understand about MM structure. About robustness of base and the dynamics of progressions.
I am shocked of your understanding of the 1:3 sure odds mystery.
But there's a little more to unravel. But soonest someone will crack that as well. I know we have some phycisist here.
If you think deep enough(and read carefully between the lines in what i had tried to present), there's also heaps in relates to the other lessons.

Kudos BaiFu.

As for me, I had left Sg already.
Lost the...
  • #23,157
  • Feb 26, 2011 10:01pm Feb 26, 2011 10:01pm
Quoting Gro
My apologies to those whom I scaring.

for warriors
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pNeNTMmltyc

Good to know u r fine....


V
  • #23,158
  • Feb 26, 2011 11:07pm Feb 26, 2011 11:07pm
Quoting Gro
My apologies to those whom I scaring.

for warriors
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pNeNTMmltyc
Great video, Gro. The lessons there just jump out at you.

islandorange, thank you for your video. I'm sure there's a lot I'm missing about the Daoist teachings in there, but like so much of the info. here, it's enough to just feel it like a poem.
  • #23,159
  • Edited 1:25am Feb 27, 2011 1:03am | Edited 1:25am
Hi Friends,

just for info.
Maybe someone of our family is trading wih FXCM.

As alsways, you have to build a judgement of your own ...

Great weekend to all!

Niels

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=280376


p.s.:

And here is the lawsuit in more detail:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...&postcount=174
  • #23,160
  • Feb 27, 2011 2:46pm Feb 27, 2011 2:46pm
Quoting Baifu
2+2 and Mike Haran,

You are preaching to the choir, nobody here count or label waves. You would have more response if you take your arguments to the EW threads in FF.

May be you are confusing us with EW followers because of the use of Fibonacci numbers. This thread uses the phi spiral for money management, this is position sizing using Fibonacci number progressions, as example of the minimum skew for averaging cost closer to market. ...
Hi Baifu
... you Skipping 3 numbers to ...
Rgs
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