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vsa with Malcolm

  • #12,201
  • Feb 13, 2011 5:35am Feb 13, 2011 5:35am
EU-Daily x 3 (period converter)

If these volumes are right, EU really looks weak.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #12,202
  • Feb 13, 2011 6:02am Feb 13, 2011 6:02am
Quoting juhanimi
EU-Daily x 3 (period converter)

If these volumes are right, EU really looks weak.
Good idea (D3).
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #12,203
  • Feb 13, 2011 6:05am Feb 13, 2011 6:05am
Quoting mima
Good idea (D3).
I don`t know if it is good idea, but surely it looks weak, and I don`t say it will go down or up, but I think looking for short setup`s should be a good idea when trend is down.
  • #12,204
  • Feb 13, 2011 6:10am Feb 13, 2011 6:10am
Quoting juhanimi
I don`t know if it is good idea, but surely it looks weak, and I don`t say it will go down or up, but I think looking for short setup`s should be a good idea when trend is down.
Using different time frames helps to figure out intention of BBs...
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #12,205
  • Feb 13, 2011 6:11am Feb 13, 2011 6:11am
That last green candle had some volume in it, so it must be selling, because price came down after that, or what?
  • #12,206
  • Edited 6:37am Feb 13, 2011 6:24am | Edited 6:37am
http://img819.imageshack.us/img819/1941/adsg.gif

Here is the chart I have, the vertical red line are all show strength in the down move, so I expect eu will go up on monday at least, the rest of the week, I'm not sure
  • #12,207
  • Feb 13, 2011 10:43am Feb 13, 2011 10:43am
Quoting duyk20
http://img819.imageshack.us/img819/1941/adsg.gif

Here is the chart I have, the vertical red line are all show strength in the down move, so I expect eu will go up on monday at least, the rest of the week, I'm not sure
The first 2 red bars indicated are vailid imo, but the others are not so obvious.
The third was a downbar on increased volume, but the volume was still not high and it was a fairly wide spread candle, so a higher volo reading would be expected.
The fourth red bar does indicate some strength, but it's by no means certain thestrength is definitive. The fifth red bar confirms it isn't. It tried to make a new high, but was slapped down.

We then drifted up on lowering volume.

All to play for this week.
  • #12,208
  • Feb 13, 2011 11:26am Feb 13, 2011 11:26am
Quoting kave
Break & driven down pass Y, next could be a test on Y as resistance, to see price down to Z..

Attachment
Somehow the bars are telling me a continuation move to to Z or maybe the Channel is frying my judgment, But that pin bar is telling me hidden selling, not a shakeout...friday upmove on the last 4 hrs low volume suggest demand low. Yes yes i know Friday volume is low & most do ignore it, but i don't subscribe to this notion of low volume for the sakes of it..is what the price do "when" the volume is low that counts for me. In anycase, 2 scenarios here, a spring back to X & test &/or continue down move to Z & to tell u the truth i love to see a huge shakeout on Z...

4hr
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1hr
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  • #12,209
  • Feb 13, 2011 11:48am Feb 13, 2011 11:48am
Quoting kave
Test on K....mini shake.
Attachment
After the test on J with a UT with hidden selling, resulted a drive-down pass X & on the verge of testing pre support W...next could be a bounce back to X..gona be sideways now for loonie for a while after that long spread bar...
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  • #12,210
  • Feb 13, 2011 11:59am Feb 13, 2011 11:59am
quiet similar to EU, AU seeing supply bars on X as resistance now. Even so, a potential recovery back to Y could also see further weakness..

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  • #12,211
  • Edited 1:10pm Feb 13, 2011 12:04pm | Edited 1:10pm
Quoting kave
No more spring on X & now driven down pass AR point W. Next could be similar to EU, a test on W (as resistance) in this case to see price to previous prelim support..

Attachment

AN interim channel can be establish now to ascertain GU's probable move, if the channel glide plays out, we could see price tp Z. In anycase a test back up on X could spell further weakness & the las 3 bars is telling me supply...
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  • #12,212
  • Feb 13, 2011 2:13pm Feb 13, 2011 2:13pm
http://pragcap.com/john-taylor-the-e...parity-in-2011

below parity ...this guy is so way off base

Quoting rahulkghosh
Man EURUSD is such a trap. Literally everyone on EURUSD thread is bearish. Everyone on DailyFX, FXStreet. Good that the pros marked down price for two days in a row and completed the HS for the trap.
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #12,213
  • Feb 13, 2011 2:36pm Feb 13, 2011 2:36pm
Quoting malcolmb14
http://pragcap.com/john-taylor-the-e...parity-in-2011

below parity ...this guy is so way off base

Trouble is - he's not alone.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=385585
  • #12,214
  • Feb 13, 2011 2:57pm Feb 13, 2011 2:57pm
1.3505
  • #12,215
  • Feb 13, 2011 3:23pm Feb 13, 2011 3:23pm
I thought that the euro was supposed to be below parity after all this Greece news hit the market last year. lol

Now I'm getting very very Euro bullish for 2011.

Ask yourself this. Why would one of the worlds largest fx hedge fund managers tell the market his overview on the market and thus by implication give away his position? He wouldn't would he... Just remember take the news you hear with a grain of salt.
  • #12,216
  • Feb 13, 2011 4:37pm Feb 13, 2011 4:37pm
Quoting Sonofsin5
I thought that the euro was supposed to be below parity after all this Greece news hit the market last year. lol

Now I'm getting very very Euro bullish for 2011.

Ask yourself this. Why would one of the worlds largest fx hedge fund managers tell the market his overview on the market and thus by implication give away his position? He wouldn't would he... Just remember take the news you hear with a grain of salt.
He's been bullish on the euro for the short-term in the last three weeks. He's looking for 1.42 by end of the month.

http://www.fx-concepts.com/marketinsightreports.php
Number #1 in PnL and Pips on Dukascopy Trader Contest since 2011
  • #12,217
  • Feb 13, 2011 5:03pm Feb 13, 2011 5:03pm
Help yourself:

http://info-wars.org/wp-content/uplo...ystal-ball.jpg
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #12,218
  • Feb 13, 2011 5:58pm Feb 13, 2011 5:58pm
anyone bargain hunting on the gap down?
Number #1 in PnL and Pips on Dukascopy Trader Contest since 2011
  • #12,219
  • Feb 13, 2011 7:09pm Feb 13, 2011 7:09pm
yup added

Quoting rahulkghosh
anyone bargain hunting on the gap down?
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #12,220
  • Feb 13, 2011 7:14pm Feb 13, 2011 7:14pm
Quoting rahulkghosh
anyone bargain hunting on the gap down?
I was ... easy 30-40 pips coming up. (I think we'll be back down here come London.) Were I not on my mobile phone only, I'd have added GU - 50 pips up there already.
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