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vsa with Malcolm

  • #12,141
  • Feb 11, 2011 2:55pm Feb 11, 2011 2:55pm
Not bad post for German dude ! YOur germish is pretty good ( cross between German and English)

I agree... last 2 days getting pretty bullish.

Quoting Dr.Geppynius
been watching those for a while. the fact, that the last pin did not manage to closed below the previous weeks pin on a vol surge makes the picture not all to clear here since we should have seen more downside action.

with the steady downdrift to 3500 we for sure have taken a whole lot of stops.

todays daily bar is very interesting to be honest, compared to the last time we hit this spot (last friday, first bar marked). of shape & position it for sure is a test. an upday on monday would confirm it and we did not close below the lows of last...
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #12,142
  • Feb 11, 2011 2:58pm Feb 11, 2011 2:58pm
behave, i speak finest old english, dude.

Quoting malcolmb14
Not bad post for German dude ! YOur germish is pretty good ( cross between German and English)

I agree... last 2 days getting pretty bullish.
  • #12,143
  • Feb 11, 2011 3:01pm Feb 11, 2011 3:01pm
Quoting malcolmb14
to obvious.... I am long 3500 eu and 1.6 gu ..targets 700 pip eu and 500 gu .

Chat to you all in March lol
Hey, we're almost in agreement 2 out of 3 lol --- I definitely see 500+ pips, and I'm long 3500 although not heavily yet), so it's only the trajectory direction ... I'm choosing not to complicate it, but time will tell.

P.S. - Don't lose sight of USDX ... ! And oh, fundies will get us there!
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  • #12,144
  • Feb 11, 2011 3:09pm Feb 11, 2011 3:09pm
just put it in your watchlist for learning purposes. 2x leveraged silver short etf.

as the other "pro's" which have not put any effort into research here try to convince us, tick vol is bullshit and even tough it means acitivity it is pure cr@p i advice you to watch this etf and what might happen here. if this all is selling, it would be bad business i guess. the amount of money flown into this etf also for sure is not accountable to retailers.


http://img145.imageshack.us/img145/2...0211220346.png
  • #12,145
  • Feb 11, 2011 3:25pm Feb 11, 2011 3:25pm
Quoting Dr.Geppynius
just put it in your watchlist for learning purposes. 2x leveraged silver short etf.

as the other "pro's" which have not put any effort into research here try to convince us, tick vol is bullshit and even tough it means acitivity it is pure cr@p ...
Great observation Dr. G, got to warn my gold-buggy relatives. Ein schönes Wochenende wünsche ich.

Gruß,

Wolfgang
  • #12,146
  • Edited 3:44pm Feb 11, 2011 3:31pm | Edited 3:44pm
gold has weakness present for sure, but not yet that massive.

silver is far more primed to come off (in the medium term)

based on history metals are going into correction mode during end of feb-march.

if there is no physical gold present, it is not a bad idea to take profits now and buy back cheaper. my favorite would be 1160 spot.


Quoting declaime
Great observation Dr. G, got to warn my gold-buggy relatives. Ein schönes Wochenende wünsche ich.

Gruß,

Wolfgang
  • #12,147
  • Feb 11, 2011 3:42pm Feb 11, 2011 3:42pm
cisco and nokia, big and substantial companies.

coinicidence that we gap down below psychological 10 & 20.

i better describe this as stealing money, masked by economic reasons.

http://img829.imageshack.us/img829/2...0211223848.png

http://img684.imageshack.us/img684/9...0211223926.png
  • #12,148
  • Feb 11, 2011 3:42pm Feb 11, 2011 3:42pm
get them the hell out of gold....

daily rounded top WITH MASSIVE DISTRIBUTION ... retrace 1310 to 1360 is 38 % reatrce of down move
1360 is sell for 1300 to 1275 . i am in a sell 1360 , will add

Quoting declaime
Great observation Dr. G, got to warn my gold-buggy relatives. Ein schönes Wochenende wünsche ich.

Gruß,

Wolfgang
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #12,149
  • Feb 11, 2011 3:49pm Feb 11, 2011 3:49pm
mickey mouse but volume pretty same as tradeguider

bar 1 buying climax
bar 2 no demands
bar 3 up bar but squat and not gone anywhere since ...effort to rise of sorts fialed ..

also rounded top

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Quoting malcolmb14
get them the hell out of gold....

daily rounded top WITH MASSIVE DISTRIBUTION ... retrace 1310 to 1360 is 38 % reatrce of down move
1360 is sell for 1300 to 1275 . i am in a sell 1360 , will add
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #12,150
  • Feb 11, 2011 4:19pm Feb 11, 2011 4:19pm
Quoting malcolmb14
Now where did i put my bong .... need ti smoke a bit before looking at that chart

make it simple.... s/r is king .. nothing else. Think it is by surprise that gu is on 1.6 and eu 1.3500 and that these may form lows of feb ?
lol
Number #1 in PnL and Pips on Dukascopy Trader Contest since 2011
  • #12,151
  • Feb 11, 2011 5:51pm Feb 11, 2011 5:51pm
i heard that qatar and other arab oil rich countries lied about their oil reserves,theyve admitted that they have 40 % less than they said
and obviously what we have seen last months in pure oil manipulation bringing th price of oil up

i wouldnt bet on gold going down
because its a commodity thatsdissapearing,now goldman or jp morgan i heard said that they are gonna buy gold ,they are waking up to the fact that their 1t $ derivaties bubble is gonna burst so they will need gold to cover themselves
jp morgan has a 1tsilver short,leveraged to the max
ouh,man thats gonna pop
i also heard that the central banks and imf i think,were all sellers of gold before,now they are all buyers

im looking at 1h gold chart and its shown reverse head and shoulders
and its also rebounded the 1440 ema
before when it rebounded from this ma,it always went up
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  • #12,152
  • Feb 11, 2011 5:56pm Feb 11, 2011 5:56pm
Quoting Sonofsin5
Well I dont normally like giving a personal longer term analysis but I'm going to stick my neck out and call it as I see it. I see major buying in the GBPUSd. Looking at a hourly chart for the week you can clearly see the level that has been protected and bought. We have had an incredible amount of news this week shaking the USD such as NJ bond defaults and the tension in Egypt to name a few. With no real downside pressure and todays "pin" bar I am targeting a break of 1.6250 next week. I am curently long from below .6060 and will look to add....
doing ?
  • #12,153
  • Feb 11, 2011 8:11pm Feb 11, 2011 8:11pm
Quoting Dr.Geppynius
just put it in your watchlist for learning purposes. 2x leveraged silver short etf.

as the other "pro's" which have not put any effort into research here try to convince us, tick vol is bullshit and even tough it means acitivity it is pure cr@p i advice you to watch this etf and what might happen here. if this all is selling, it would be bad business i guess. the amount of money flown into this etf also for sure is not accountable to retailers.


http://img145.imageshack.us/img145/2...0211220346.png
Could it be retailers hedging their silver stock.
  • #12,154
  • Feb 11, 2011 8:51pm Feb 11, 2011 8:51pm
I have been watching gold for some time - i do not tade it except when in hedge mode.

So what happens if the world reserve currencie diverts from dollar to Euro
Is this possible ?
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hifx
  • #12,155
  • Feb 11, 2011 9:05pm Feb 11, 2011 9:05pm
Hello Friends. This is a 5M chart of the top on 7th of February from 0300 to 0800 GMT+1. What is the VSA name of bar D? I'm likely wrong but, I do not think it is an Effort to Move Up because of its low TA. (edit: On second thought, it could be a trap up bar. The low TA would imply that sellers momentarily stepped aside. A horizontal line drawn from A would have made a handy target for bullish buy stops or bearish sell limits.) What do you think?

Many Thanks and Best Wishes Too
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  • #12,156
  • Feb 11, 2011 9:23pm Feb 11, 2011 9:23pm
The Chinese Dragon has been asleep for many genarations,they have been playing the long game for a long ,long time.
Between them (saudi,Japan and a few sleepers) they firtualy own the US.
How much longer can the US print money willy nilly before the chikens come home home to roost.
The Chinese are now making in roads to Africa and its corrupt leadership
a nation waiting to be raped once again for its rich untaped mineral resource and capacity to produce food in the right hands,not to mention the Chinese market for rare animal remidies.Tiger come to mind right away.
Possibley it is not in the Chinese interest to devalue all the debt the have in there hip pocket ,but it is an ace up there with the whole Korea scenario
hifx
  • #12,157
  • Feb 11, 2011 9:27pm Feb 11, 2011 9:27pm
Quoting rbumbalough
Hello Friends. This is a 5M chart of the top on 7th of February from 0300 to 0800 GMT+1. What is the VSA name of bar D? I'm likely wrong but, I do not think it is an Effort to Move Up because of its low TA. (edit: On second thought, it could be a trap up bar. The low TA would imply that sellers momentarily stepped aside. A horizontal line drawn from A would have made a handy target for bullish buy stops or bearish sell limits.) What do you think?

Many Thanks and Best Wishes Too
not sure what to call that bar - and the name does not matter either- , but its times like that where you want to zoom out a bit for clarity. If oyu look at the M15, you essentially have a UT bar - a bar with massive relative volume that closes in the lower part of its range which could not close above the previous swing high from around 2:30 AM. On the M5 that UT manifests itself in 3 bars, which can be tricky to spot.
Change is the only constant
  • #12,158
  • Feb 11, 2011 9:31pm Feb 11, 2011 9:31pm
Quoting malcolmb14
Now where did i put my bong .... need ti smoke a bit before looking at that chart

make it simple.... s/r is king .. nothing else. Think it is by surprise that gu is on 1.6 and eu 1.3500 and that these may form lows of feb ?
Yes indeed, SR is the king & those quarter levels don't show up by surprise...
  • #12,159
  • Feb 11, 2011 9:31pm Feb 11, 2011 9:31pm
Ranting and raving ,sorry wrong forum to do this
hifx
  • #12,160
  • Feb 11, 2011 9:33pm Feb 11, 2011 9:33pm
Quoting malcolmb14
mickey mouse but volume pretty same as tradeguider

bar 1 buying climax
bar 2 no demands
bar 3 up bar but squat and not gone anywhere since ...effort to rise of sorts fialed ..

also rounded top

Attachment
yep I got my mickey mouse chart too & been waiting for this ND...
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