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vsa with Malcolm

  • #11,801
  • Feb 9, 2011 8:20am Feb 9, 2011 8:20am
Quoting kave
Another test on X after retracement..
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Yet another test...on X. This time is a spring.

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  • #11,802
  • Feb 9, 2011 8:38am Feb 9, 2011 8:38am
EU M5 as shown, and M15 (not shown) are looking like absorption volume to me. Anyone else agree?
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Change is the only constant
  • #11,803
  • Feb 9, 2011 8:57am Feb 9, 2011 8:57am
Quoting tgwhbb
EU M5 as shown, and M15 (not shown) are looking like absorption volume to me. Anyone else agree?
Agreed. After that lethargic London session, I'm expecting this to get to 1.377 hopefullly. We're right at the DTL from the 1.385 high though. 80 pips off the bottom, so we're under the ADR, not to mention the pent up effect of shoring up support. USDJPY heading down, although it's not been behaving lately and correlations aren't in traditional form.

Closing out the hourly right at the top - should be set to fly ... pending the Ben Effect.
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  • #11,804
  • Feb 9, 2011 9:05am Feb 9, 2011 9:05am
We broke 3700. days range around 3740 which is my target.
  • #11,805
  • Feb 9, 2011 9:11am Feb 9, 2011 9:11am
Go pounder go!
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"Don't trade to trade . . . trade to win." - James16
  • #11,806
  • Feb 9, 2011 9:18am Feb 9, 2011 9:18am
Quoting kave
Just to add to the above a view in 1hr, Potential test after spring (shakeout) on X.

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Shakeout on X now...level U as an intermediate auto rally point which now is broken, a test of this break out is good thing to expect next...
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  • #11,807
  • Feb 9, 2011 9:26am Feb 9, 2011 9:26am
I have no clue what to do next...
  • #11,808
  • Feb 9, 2011 9:28am Feb 9, 2011 9:28am
wait for a test of 3680. i've been mentioning it the last days.

Quoting duyk20
I have no clue what to do next...
  • #11,809
  • Feb 9, 2011 9:30am Feb 9, 2011 9:30am
Quoting Dr.Geppynius
wait for a test of 3680. i've been mentioning it the last days.
yes, sir. news coming next...
  • #11,810
  • Feb 9, 2011 9:33am Feb 9, 2011 9:33am
GU stalling at resistance and DTL. Seeing a ND on 10M.
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  • #11,811
  • Feb 9, 2011 9:53am Feb 9, 2011 9:53am
i'm reading posts in this thread for a while. i think i understand that volume analysis plays a key role in understanding the currency markets.

is there anyone who has thought about using regrssion analysis to get a messure for the real volume instead of using tick data. when both EJ and UJ are going down or up in the same time frame it seems to be obvious that jpy is traded in higher volumes in that time frame as eur and usd are.
using this idea and including many(or at least the more liquid) currencies in regression analysis, it should be possible to get a quit exact messure for volume, which provide much more information that can be analyzed.
  • #11,812
  • Feb 9, 2011 10:01am Feb 9, 2011 10:01am
GU stopped right on a trigger number line i draw on monday 1 hr
  • #11,813
  • Feb 9, 2011 10:37am Feb 9, 2011 10:37am
Quoting cashbyclick
i'm reading posts in this thread for a while. i think i understand that volume analysis plays a key role in understanding the currency markets.

is there anyone who has thought about using regrssion analysis to get a messure for the real volume instead of using tick data. when both EJ and UJ are going down or up in the same time frame it seems to be obvious that jpy is traded in higher volumes in that time frame as eur and usd are.
using this idea and including many(or at least the more liquid) currencies in regression analysis, it should be...
I don't think so.

An opposite and correlative reaction in EJ, UJ or some other cross pair is not a given, and therefore unreliable. Sounds like it would complicate things and add confusion and lack of clarity.

Studying VSA is intricate enough, and with a decent liquidity provider - or eSignal's GTIS - works quite well. Once you get into it, there will be plenty there, and no need to complicate it further. One step at a time.
  • #11,814
  • Feb 9, 2011 10:44am Feb 9, 2011 10:44am
Quoting kave
AU have hit AR level but with relatively weak supply still, A bearish scenario here would be a test back up on Prelim supply level or W to confirm the Secondary test for distribution..

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PS: of coz since we are at it for AU to hit the level W, might as well see what wyckoff wave provides in 5mins to capitalize on the move. Here is an e.g.
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Quick & early test for AU, merely reaching the prelim supply area with a trap upmove, now driven down pass AR...
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  • #11,815
  • Feb 9, 2011 10:48am Feb 9, 2011 10:48am
Quoting Beljevina

An opposite and correlative reaction in EJ, UJ or some other cross pair is not a given, and therefore unreliable.
that is the point i wanted to make. the strengh of the correlation is the basis of this idea. imagine a huge movement in E/U is happening because many big players are just taking action. in this case the correlation between EU and Eur with its other counterparts (same way for usd) might be very strong.
  • #11,816
  • Feb 9, 2011 10:48am Feb 9, 2011 10:48am
After studying VSA for two years and ONLY now just getting to grips with it,there is NO WAY I'd wanna learn something else. VSA has become an Industry standard for those that really want to understand how the markets work.

Thanks for the offer, but I'll stay with what cost me thousands of pounds and screen time to learn.
:-)
  • #11,817
  • Feb 9, 2011 10:55am Feb 9, 2011 10:55am
Interesting setup for USDCAD now, with supporting wyckoff formation & now a spring on previous support X which also test the recent break out of X. Price also have been hovering above 200MA on this 4hr chart...
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  • #11,818
  • Feb 9, 2011 10:56am Feb 9, 2011 10:56am
nice words

i think i should get into studying this vsa stuff also

Quoting hardpippin
After studying VSA for two years and ONLY now just getting to grips with it,there is NO WAY I'd wanna learn something else. VSA has become an Industry standard for those that really want to understand how the markets work.

Thanks for the offer, but I'll stay with what cost me thousands of pounds and screen time to learn.
:-)
  • #11,819
  • Feb 9, 2011 11:05am Feb 9, 2011 11:05am
yeah you should, seems to be working pretty nice...
but start slowly

Quoting Dr.Geppynius
nice words

i think i should get into studying this vsa stuff also
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #11,820
  • Feb 9, 2011 11:06am Feb 9, 2011 11:06am
I guess it's time to enter the market soon
Stupid me, seeing NS but hesitate to enter (
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