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Aud/usd system analysis

  • #1,921
  • Jan 26, 2011 1:14pm Jan 26, 2011 1:14pm
I thought you said Mr Elliott send you something you never showed us like I asked you to.


Quoting aman4forex
guys time to close all the trades i got gbp +40 and aussie +35

not a lot happen as I mentioned consolidation before FMOC meeting minutes But i will still remain bearish of aussie but 9945 seems to be holding for awhile again.............so keep watching this thread updates from mme and I will help you to trade the best opportunity available

euro not willing to leave 1.3660 so sentiment bullish till 1.3790

take care
  • #1,922
  • Jan 26, 2011 1:23pm Jan 26, 2011 1:23pm
sad news for usd is coming up..............inflation bottoming up..........so usd remain bearesh


Nick Nasad:
Will we hear the Fed say that they now see inflation flattening out? Such a change in language in the statement would mean that the Fed sees that inflation is bottoming out, and since inflation is 1 of the 2 key reasons for quantitative easing and loose monetary policy, it would mean the Fed officials are close to the point of starting to talk about an exit strategy. 7:11

Nick Nasad:
We had some higher inflation in our last reading.
7:11

Nick Nasad:
Consumer prices rose were up 0.5% for December, higher than expected, and the annual rate rose to 1.5%.

7:11

Nick Nasad:
Excluding food and energy CPI was up 0.1%, and remained at 0.8% on the year. The rise in inflation therefore is mainly driven by higher prices at the pump and at the grocery store. Therefore the Fed statement may say that underlying inflation remains depressed, “despite higher prices for food and energy”.
  • #1,923
  • Jan 26, 2011 1:27pm Jan 26, 2011 1:27pm
It was the one I send you in my mail ..........you remember that..........but no use I am not using any more indicators...........just scaping as I got 35 and 40 pips scalping today it is best to use in consolidation.....................and rest I am not dependent on these market driven guys who make promises and dont kept them.................



Quoting Mme
I thought you said Mr Elliott send you something you never showed us like I asked you to.
  • #1,924
  • Jan 26, 2011 1:30pm Jan 26, 2011 1:30pm
aussie down
euro down
market pause for 10 second ahead of fmoc rate statement .............

pips are flying.................at this time

now I can confirm the direction of aussie and kiwi and usd/chf and yen


common everybody with me go aussie go go aussie go
  • #1,925
  • Jan 26, 2011 1:32pm Jan 26, 2011 1:32pm
Given my past experience on US rates not changing indeed causes the dollar to be temporaray and sometimes short term bearish. I placed numorous trades against the dollar prior to news ans I was grabbing pips so fast as kid in candy store. Closed my usd trades before the retrace and the practice account looking like a stallion. Now if we just get some capital in my live account we will be back in business. I however should have taken the advantage to sell my hedge on the Aussie at 9975 and I would have much more capital in my live account as whiplash was down to 9931. I continue to set on sidelines trading only practice to gain focus and experience. Happy PiPin.
  • #1,926
  • Jan 26, 2011 1:35pm Jan 26, 2011 1:35pm
Quoting aman4forex
aussie down
euro down
market pause for 10 second ahead of fmoc rate statement .............

pips are flying.................at this time

now I can confirm the direction of aussie and kiwi and usd/chf and yen


common everybody with me go aussie go go aussie go
Please be careful. When USD rates remain unchanged it sometimes plays hard against the currency. Good luck
  • #1,927
  • Jan 26, 2011 1:49pm Jan 26, 2011 1:49pm

eur/usd pivot points, play saaaaaaaaafeeeeeeee

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  • #1,928
  • Jan 26, 2011 2:13pm Jan 26, 2011 2:13pm
Dan, How is it going?
  • #1,929
  • Jan 26, 2011 2:19pm Jan 26, 2011 2:19pm

BILLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL, Aud/Usd back @9960, make up your mind about your headge.


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,930
  • Jan 26, 2011 2:33pm Jan 26, 2011 2:33pm
Even better now Billy .9982

Quoting Mme

BILLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL, Aud/Usd back @9960, make up your mind about your headge.


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  • #1,931
  • Jan 26, 2011 2:37pm Jan 26, 2011 2:37pm
Quoting Mme
Even better now Billy .9982
How high will it go before it reverses?
  • #1,932
  • Jan 26, 2011 2:40pm Jan 26, 2011 2:40pm
Quoting Mme
Dan, How is it going?

Hi Mme,
I'm still sitting near my entry (14) in the EUR/GPB

http://www.myemoticons.com/images/ho.../ping-pong.gif

  • #1,933
  • Jan 26, 2011 2:40pm Jan 26, 2011 2:40pm
How do you know it is going to reverse?. we only trade what we see billy,it is @ resistance now.

Quoting forxsniper1
How high will it go before it reverses?
  • #1,934
  • Jan 26, 2011 2:43pm Jan 26, 2011 2:43pm
Quoting Mme
How do you know it is going to reverse?. we only trade what we see billy,it is @ resistance now.
I only hope it goes back down to support at 9944 at this point. Dont know which direction it will go? do you have an opinion?
  • #1,935
  • Jan 26, 2011 2:45pm Jan 26, 2011 2:45pm
at this point I need the Aussie to break back below the 9970s.. and fast as Im short from 9985.
  • #1,936
  • Jan 26, 2011 2:48pm Jan 26, 2011 2:48pm
As I said before, Aussie still in a Pennant, I am long Aussie above 1.0100 to 1.0340 and short under .9802 to .9421 this is the only way, i will go long or short, in between just scalping for 50 pips each way. just keep in mind Aussie still long not short.

Quoting forxsniper1
I only hope it goes back down to support at 9944 at this point. Dont know which direction it will go? do you have an opinion?

Monthly Chart

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,937
  • Jan 26, 2011 2:54pm Jan 26, 2011 2:54pm
just scalping here and there....................I think break above 1.0026 now and below 9890 will confirm till this weekend this time its neutral

may be big chance of reversal at parity or 1.0052 level which is next pivot after parity..................see how it happens

rest mme what is your view about aussie................guys if you are not sure about any pair there are hell lot of other pairs....................look for them.............why specially aussie and caddieeee let them on sidelines and think about other pairs very good opportunity with chf crosses with some reversal again appearing on usd euro and gbp crosse against chf............look for them till this weekend if you are not sure about usd crosses
  • #1,938
  • Jan 26, 2011 3:08pm Jan 26, 2011 3:08pm
Bill, this is the weekly chart, you are trading as a scalper, so you have to cash out ever time the market reach support and resistance, you are not a swinger. I shorted the Aussie, when all were long @ 1.0100 out @ .9807, since i have been scalping or in the side line. Me and Dan talked about that. And a lot of people thought I am crazy, But it worked.

Quoting forxsniper1
at this point I need the Aussie to break back below the 9970s.. and fast as Im short from 9985.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: S & L LEVELS 07 Jan. 26, 2011 16.05.jpg Size: 117 KB

  • #1,939
  • Jan 26, 2011 3:13pm Jan 26, 2011 3:13pm
Quoting Mme
As I said before, Aussie still in a Pennant, I am long Aussie above 1.0100 to 1.0340 and short under .9802 to .9421 this is the only way, i will go long or short, in between just scalping for 50 pips each way. just keep in mind Aussie still long not short.



Monthly Chart
Attachment

hedged again at 9978 and grabbed 5.5 pips @ 2 lots profit and put it back in the capital bank. Ill wait for it to hopefully continue upward and exit again on the way through if the opportunity is given.Watch that kiwi climb. Kinda wish Id held it longer in the practice account. Thank you so much for you help, advice, and guidence.You might make a trader out of me sometime. Thanks Aman also. I really appreciate your help also. Bill
  • #1,940
  • Jan 26, 2011 3:22pm Jan 26, 2011 3:22pm
Quoting Mme
Bill, this is the weekly chart, you are trading as a scalper, so you have to cash out ever time the market reach support and resistance, you are not a swinger. I shorted the Aussie, when all were long @ 1.0100 out @ .9807, since i have been scalping or in the side line. Me and Dan talked about that. And a lot of people thought I am crazy, But it worked.




Attachment

I remember that trade exactly. You ran that one right as I began the room. It was a great trade and I watched it go all the way through my hedge because of my inexperience and it was embarrasing. Probably why I worry so much about the aussie going short so im not left in the dark again, but if its to be Im ok with it. Need to generate new pips not refurbish old ones.. lol Thanks
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