Pathfinding

The more i understand of PA the more obvious this is:

People screw up price

EAs have control 90% of the time

Lossing is a matter of not understanding

For zone trade i think SL is good as per the 1 position calculations (havent failed yet)

TP is also pretty good, need to watch those significant MAs, the remove 1-5 pips each of em, so extra strength is needed to get through.

Counting in opurtunities and not in positions, this is operational and my accuracy is somewhere like .9 or 1, though many TPs are very small, proably due to my inexperience.

I should note that candle size warning system works both ways.

OMG the euro went like a rocket while i was away shopping.

So for that CCI i got there, toward the 0, beyond the green line, thats where things are getting interesting. Has good cred for showing when price lets go of a envelop it sort of fell in love with.

That very special level is very interesting, things happen there.

If i combine that with corresponding RSI stuff, voila!

I think i was so set back in the days (couple of months ago) in seeing at what maximum level things turn back to baseline. I think what i didnt understand was that its not a matter of where exactly maximumwise, but just where exactly IN GENERAL where is much better a question. And it seems i answered that.

So the fast does internal bounce and the slow CCI does turnback time show up.

There might be some systemacy behind volume and CCI/RSI, should investigate that later next week.

Placing a couple of nice small lots i so much more fun then one big one. It so much fun closing every one of them in profit, or at least 67% of them. It has the drawback of becoming very screwy very fast, updating multiple TPs by hand and all that, but its almost worth it is so much fun.

So it seems we are off like a rocket once again, even before NY, this is unusual.

After carefull consideration i introduced an oldie again, the round numbers. Even if i DO place TPs on the other side i still want to know where they are, and hopefully be able to refrain from putting TPs on the other side.

Price just went BOOOING! when getting through the 1.34228 and the bears went all "OH SAVE ME JEEBUS, SAVE ME!"

After carefull consideration i intruduced both sides of my brain through brain stem meditation excercises. That sort of make things clear, what is what, who i am, what the world is, all of that.

I missed out on some action when i went to the loo. I should have a couple of goblins to help me out, think ill summon some tonight.

Separation of MAs is getting to big, i cant even fit a zone trade into the picture. On the other hand i almost made good on my promise to my account already and that might spell "early holiday" for this scalper.

Its a little to cold for a nice walk, -10, id like something more like -5 or warmer.

I think id like a screen that is sort of higher at least the right one. I think there are screens that can be twisted so the longer sides is vertical. Well no i would want one that is just bigger, twice as big would be really cool, then i could have some space beneath and above to see what S/R is coming while still keeping the last 2 hours in wiev.

Oh thats nice, Alpari lag actually worked to my advantage for once. I got about 15% more from that one then i would have without lag.

Things are really heated today, first big things one way then big things the other, someone is an eager beaver today fo sue!

"Observera att om du bor i Sverige tar det cirka en vecka innan blanketten kommer med posten." So if i lived in Uganda it would be here in a jiffy?

I can really see why i had second thoughts on the none empirically significant MAs, if price gets into them its really hard to see whats happening.

We are moving steadily for a consolidation at 1.3409, right smack between two S/R. Consoloidation didnt happen, we dropped out instead.

Oh crap i would want to keep the PF im holding at now, 6.6. Scratch that, more like 7.

Its a good thing im not betting in consolidation, now it seems its happening anyway.

So the question is: How much to raise lot size for next week? maybe ill increase 50%, for both types.

I just had an idea, what i if make the non empirical MAs dashed lines instead? Ill try that on se how it looks. Nah looks terrible, i cant get the feel for behaviour that way.

That blue stuff is just incredible, if price wants to screw around, that blue stuff knows about it and tells price "If yer gonna screw around like that, no deal dude!". While the red stuff is like "Hey im not saying they are gonna stop here im just telling yah what they are doing."

Right now price is really screwing around not doing much of anything. Maybe i should go do some drawing...

I just came up with an idea, i always have a battle between how much of price to watch and how big to make the indie window. Solution: Put indies in different window by the side, that way i have vertical space only for price window.

I was just going to put the laundry away, it had dried, and on the way i uped my account 0.4%, thats pretty neat.

My PF is getting legendary today, at about 10 or something. I think that stuff i came up with yesterday did the trick.

They live is kick ass movie.

Today was not much strange stuff going on, not a couple of hundred million of man made disasters like yesterday. They should just let it go and let the EAs push the wave so i can ride it.

This thread might have been good, its not that good though.

It seems that central banks and people like that make deals with about .5 or .51 or even less probability of profit. Of course on average the probability of profit is .5 if spread is disregarded.

Im trying to keep to the trades that about 1 probability of profit, it seems to work out pretty good.

All the EAs and all the people compete to understand price, they are all trying to grasp price, understand what it is. We are all trying to grasp the idea of price, since price is not something physical. The one with the firmest grasp of this idea, ends up on top.

I wonder if i should start up some heavy duty slower high timeframe analysis. Hypothesis to investigate could be:

Empirical difference between M1 and H1

Long term trends crisscross eachother, H4, D1, MN that kinda stuff

FI = 1.618

Bank holiday = No trading, i must remember this, there is nothing sane going on today.

No i have affirmed that AGAIN, its absolutely impossible!

This was pretty good, most of these guys are pretty cool, but he just had to go find the idiots, and of course they where idiots.

Note for tommorow, dont forget about divergence!

Ill have to learn to subtract projected shape of CCI fro account for fixed level S/R, ive been seeing all day today how cool CCI is at its critical junction, but how it is being cut off by fixed S/R. Today have been bumping and thumping at 1.34 almost all day.

Need to see inside action at big moves, need to see that bars develop inside of other bars, at least for a pip or something before i enter, so i gotta remember that and the CCI. If i work em both ill be friggin unstopable.

Another thing i just thought of with the CCI is that ok maybe always entering at the line is a bit overkill in safety, sacrificing a lot of the action, but at least i should want to see something going on that way, aiming for it, before i enter on the big moves.

I have a fever, again. Whats up with this crap, why am i having two colds in a row? Maybe its because i ate to little and worked too much.

Updated precise MAs are kicking the butt of price. Im just not used to see them show up yet.

Seems today will be a pretty cool day, its not a tuesday, no incessant nagging from any costumed bobbing head or conference.

If i dont have at least 12 pips of MA separation, im not supposed to take any zone trades, i must remember that, the CCI and RSI alone aint got nuthin.

Im getting a bit anxious these days. Im seeing to little loss and too much risk for the outward trades. But i guess not seeing any big losses is a good thing, but it makes things hard to calculate, if i cant say how often i loose, how am i to calculate lot size? I am at the line in the sand where increasing lot size is mathematically uncomfortable, but that is if i base my comfort on a set of data X, where X really and mostly is a scenario that have not in practice happend.

Really sluggish PA today, i really had to extort price to get 0.5% today.

If NY doesnt pick up soon im hitting the shower.

14:25 finally somethings going on

Got hit HARD yesterday and HARD today. My mind is not aligned, i got rid of B2, concentrating in inward S/R bounce and B3 instead.

B2 had low TPs and often drag down the better later positions. So ill skip some small gains, but ill skip almost all big losses. Besides i have the learn to get really good at the inward S/R, that stuff is the real deal, low risk, high yield.

A good guideline is the longer the trend the shallower the CCI goes before the retrace, so the the first gray line is for long trends and the second for shorter ones.

The angle of approach of the Investor MAs is really important, if they are flat you might as well sell as you might buy.

Besides, these deals are not to be taken when price is inside the big ol´Mas since no trend is to be discerned while in them. I can see many times i got into a world of hurt when that happend, peculiar i didnt realize that sooner.