Pathfinding

Snapped these in november.

So notice the white water vapour, thats just he usual stuff from the engines. But then there is this dark lines. I remember that they remained pretty much stationary long after the planes past, and then sort of slowly they dissipated. Obviously they are not some kind of optical illusion since i snapped them multiple times from multiple angles, there IS something there. Im not saying i know what, might just be a new harmless thing in the fuel.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=5933

Morning: Actually no deal yet today. But instead i think i figured out something really important.

Afternoon: 33/43 days +

Investors are the slow people. And if i want to be right i should go up against them too much. So im dividing the market into investors and traders, just like Guppy and Linuxtroll and those folks. So in effect:

Investors modifies the border.

So if investors is selling, buy signal i one deeper.
If investors are buying, sell signal is one depper.

That should take care of 50% of potential losses and remove only say 20% of opurtunities. Many of those seeming opurtunities was of course losses, in fact most of them, so the general profit factor should be increased.

Cant understand why i didnt think of this before. This way keeping track of S/R wont be much of a hassle, since i got the most fundamental bits of volatility covered, so fundamental that it will probably ignore the function of S/R

Of course this defeats much of the idea of taking account of volume, which is mainly a good thing that adds to accuracy i think since volume seem like such a conspicious thing.

But anyway as long as i can keep accuracy above .8 in the end and anything keeping me there, it is very little that i need to change. So im slowly but steadily working my way out of 1> positions, getting closer to 1 as i go along.

Someone just bought two consecutive forceable dips. Both was done in about 60 seconds. Probably a team of CB EAs or something like that.

Now its high time for coffee, its almost 12 and i havent got round to it yet.

NOTE: Make mechanical M15 thingie showing clearly/mathematically what investors are doing. Maybe a ribbon for some MA or something. Well one idea for that would be to just use the slope of the daily average and stipulate that is what investors are doing ATM.

13:17 So its actually a holiday in today, at least in sweden, AND the Italians have bank holiday. Volume is about right so it would seem money doesnt have a holiday today. Maybe i should switch back to demo? Considering that if a lot of people is on holiday, getting any measures through should be easier, thus resulting in less retraces then normal right? Maybe i stick to cash but do it extra carefull...

NOTE: When investors flip direction there is a big chance for huge hill or deep valley, this is probably many of the cirka 60 pip moves/1 hour. Only do this thing in London open, during nighttime thigns get screwy.

Yesterday when i was analyzing i traded some demo so as not to bore myself to death. Today the PA was a bit screwy so i did some more demoing. Think im done with that for the time being so ill post what happend.

I made a template attempting to be as good on the eyes as possible. If i could split myself id trade that meanwhile in quite a different way. If i would trade that id try to use about 0.1% or 0.2% worth of SL for every position. It would take a long time to gather data on it though to say thumbs up or down compared to what i normally do. It would be much more of inaccuracy and feeling and riding with the waves having positions open for a while.

I think that the halfway solution i will have to utilize is to trade that when i cant trade real money, so at bank holidays and stuff like that. I mean its probably a lot better way of trading, so i should not ignore that, i should not ignore my analytical findings just because i have a practical application of such findings. It still means i would need a copy of myself, but thats not happening anytime soon.

So out of those its 7 bad ones and 37 good ones, thats about a .81 accuracy. Id calculate profit factor but i dont know what that would prove further, buts its not half bad, at least 5 to 1 i think. Its up about 8% of total capital in a few hours trading. But i should consider that lot size is way larger then i would trade with real money (i just havent got round to editing the scripts for something like that).

10% reached in about...8 hours of trading or so. Now im even getting bored of that so ill think ill stop trading for today.

yadda

No trades yet, corrupt official in suit Mr. Trichet is blathering nonsense for about an hour and besides price is having a go at the 1.298 area, which is support as old as mid september.

Afternoon update: Couple of things been done to the account and its

I have introduced S/R zones into the LV34 template and they are making things better.

The day ended extraordinarly well.

34/44 days +

http://www.metro.co.uk/news/851653-m...-small-us-town

http://www.newsnet5.com/dpp/weather/...ound-the-world

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worl...eath-case.html

http://www.sott.net/articles/show/22...-Tampa-Airport

http://www.theblaze.com/stories/fact...cur-regularly/

http://www.sott.net/articles/show/22...sh-up-on-shore

And ATS goes ripe with wild theories
http://www.abovetopsecret.com/forum/thread647135/pg1

And this is just far out
http://www.abovetopsecret.com/forum/...g2#pid10202331

Stanford university article
http://news.stanford.edu/news/2010/a...un-082310.html

So crabs, fish, birds, bats, anemone, sponges, lobster, starfish

At least a couple of cases in each continent it would seem, within a week.

Update 2 is perhaps most interesting.

UPDATE 7: If you enjoy eating Red Talapia fish, then, chances are, your dinner was farm raised in Vietnam. Millions of these fast-growing, low-mercury fish are raised on aquiculture farms there. During the last week of December, officials report more than 150-tons of Talapia died on 41 separate river farms. The cost? A full 35-billion Vietnamese Dollars. The cause? Low oxygen in the water, too many fish in each pen...

UPDATE 6: In New Zealand, dead penguins had been washing up on northern beaches for several weeks now. The country's Conservation Department said penguins, petrels and other seabirds were already dying in large numbers. Autopsies show they all starved to death. The current La Nina weather pattern has reduced the fish population in the area. The fish have moved. So, now the birds can't find enough food to feed themselves and their young...

UPDATE 5: First birds, then fish...now bats. 70 bats were found dead in Tuscon, Arizona last week. A man walking his dog found the dead Mexican Free-tailed bats on a walking path under a bridge on December 28th. The bat carcasses have been sent off to the Arizona Department of health Services for testing. Officials surmise that unseasonably warm weather may have caused the bat deaths. These bats, according to wildlife experts, should have migrated to Mexico two months ago...

UPDATE 4: This one is closer to home...Wildlife officers in Sarnia, Ontario, Canada report a large fish kill in the St. Clair River just across the border from Detroit this week. Hundreds of shad that washed up on shore supposedly died from temperature shock. The Ministry of Natural Resources in Sarnia says that the warm weather around New Years Day followed by a quick cold spell doomed the fish. This is not an usual occurance, say officials. But, it usually happens in spring.

UPDATE 3: First birds and fish...now its CRABS! Reports today say that more than 40,000 Velvet Swimming Crabs have been found dead on UK beaches. And, on top of that, among the dead crabs, there's dead lobster, starfish, anemone, & sponges. The cause of this mysterious mass death? Officials believe its the extreme cold weather. According to wildlife advocates from the Thanet Coast Project, the sea creatures began washing up when snow and cold blasted Europe right around Christmas. Crabs and starfish like warm water. They usually come closer to shore in the winter to feast in the seaweed colonies. They were caught in the rapidly-arriving cold and snow over the passed few weeks.

UPDATE 2: Now its New Zealand! Local newspapers near the Coromandel beaches on the North Island of New Zealand report hundreds of dead snapper fish washing ashore this week. According to the Sydney Morning Herald, the fish line the shore as far as the eye can see. Officials surmise the fish starved to death due to adverse weather conditions. But, local residents contend many of the snapper looked fat and healthy. The Fisheries Ministry is currently investigating the situation.

UPDATE 1: Two more reports of bird deaths just in! Swedish authorities are investigating the deaths of 100 crows in the town of Falkoping, a city near Skovde. No cause can be ascertained yet.

Word out of Kentucky today that several hundred blackbirds, grackles and starlings were found dead last week near Murray, in the western portion of the state. A spokesman for the Kentucky Department of Fish and Wildlife Resources confirmed the deaths and said that several of the dead birds have been analyzed. The tests performed on the birds ruled out diseases or poisons. That leaves the probable cause of death as weather or some other natural event. ######

It seem to end with 155 posts, the bulk of 4qx system being removed, some battle of copyrights about the rainbow thing and that sort of thing. He posted that he was going to publish a 600pip/month EA free for people to use.

Seems a couple of people on that thread stopped posting at all on FF after that.

But there is:

Hello Dahlia,

I finished reading a week or so before the posts were removed and also made then a summary, here you go:

Indies:
In 5m TF add 34 MA in Color from FF forum

Enter:
- rainbow must be 10 pips wide
- rainbows must be in sequence with eachother
- 200 ma must be in same direction as 5m chart
- price must have come back from the yellow
- +cci over 100 (long) -cci under -100 (short)

Exit:
- when cci breaks trendline
OR
- 10-12 pips TP

Money Management:
- SL 12 pips



Which would not work out too good.

But anyway i feel pretty confident trading pretty much anything right now, it seem quite apparent, all of it.

35/45 days + Think ill change this and just post something to show if i go - some day.

Ive overslept a lot today, i need to start setting the alarm again. This is the eight consecutive day im working, i cut down during the holiday but i just felt i had to get some more analyzing done before things got happening today. Think i need to set the alarm for 8 am or something, so thats 7 am London time, even if i dont get in at first thing i need to eat breakfast and have coffee before i start.

Today its actually +0.5 degrees, its + for the first time this winter

I think i could sum my strategy up in this sentence: I stare at it, and i trade it. If im down some but still ok, enter one more, when its good i close it.

The 1440 is coming into wiev dropping from the top, so soon somethings going to have to happen. 720 has been cutting in from above since morning.Its been trying to get up 4 times, but not enough to actually break above. Now city of London is out to lunch so things are quite, but i made something work anyway.

Cool i just found out how to draw objects as backgrond, there is a nice little box to tick for it.

I noticed the hard way that in a failed breakout, zones are questionable. Still + though.

My accuracy is at middle normal = .81

Profit factor about 3,4 today

Downpointing trendline (i move it with every up-spike) is a tough thing to get through. Besides 1440 is still on top, 720 and 200 is below. Waves are really, really wanting to turn this thing around and go up, up, up.

Volume is funny today, doesnt seem to add up. So i guess alpari clients are sitting on their hands today. Although at NY open it bumped up on averade 10-15

These are recent A3 drawings hanging on my wall. I did them in ink/marker.

Subesequent signal within cirka 6< candles = coming into investor territory. If bounce on trader lower bandwith zone= flip = exit on bounce of lower trader bandwith zone

Hope ill still understand that abbrevation in 3 weeks

Why did i enter when strength was growing? I always just ASSUMED you have to get in right at the top/bottom, but thats just one candle, you cant depend on one candle, the TP is to small, so of course i should get in AFTER i see strength sapping from price. That will cut risk down to...1/4

Why didnt i think of it before, its so simple, its right there in front of my eyes!

So i adapt this to the bunch-break routine

Ill just post something to show if i go - at the end of the day, so if i dont post, its normal and im +

Well yesterday was break of downslope trendline, but today all the people pushing down is having a go at the ones pushing up. M15 MA 200 is still not broken through, and it seems well guarded, but its leveling out as i am writing.

Had some intense action for 45 minutes in the morning, made a really dumb move with the zones, tried to make a second deal after entering investor territory, a real dumb move so i had to pay up for that so as not to get into risky territory, but on the way there i made something else happen so i was OK.

I got requoted twice and had to get into a lot of risk because of it. Ended up good, but at increased risk.

Bottom line: My accuracy is up today at .9, although i was shot tell hell by the requote and by that fumbling double trade in the investor zone.

Im getting REALLY tired of being requoted like mad, and its very often in the utmost inconvenient places. Its a bit hard to make any money if cant close the god damn deals!

Got my butt handed to me in a battle with the zones, im not profficient with them yet.

WHAT IS IT WITH TUESDAYS!? Tuesday afternoon is always problemtic, the thrid tuesday in a row! I dont like tuesdays.

Is there a pattern to explain why this tuesday was screwy?

Working hypothesis 1: Dropping/climbing into investor territory. Well if im already in a trade, if it drops down into that it could be hard to tell beforehand if its about too. Today on the other hand it didnt just drop into it, it just stayed there.

Those pictures came out really bad

So if strength is there at red line, and MA SR is there, and its the same slope as 200, its a go, sort of!

I think about 1/2 of my trading is pure money management, the rest is calculated strategy.

DONT AIM THROUGH the 5 day, its tough as nails.

For some reason i clicked the wrong order script twice in a row, so i sold when i should have bought and i bought when i should have sold.

Thankfully i was quick to close. Things worked out in the end, although there was a drop that was a bit too sudden and violent for comfort.

When it comes to closing my positions, it seems im getting pretty proficient with recognition of patterns/structure/systemacy.

If not for those two reversed orders i would have been great, now im at OK.

I need to see a bad deal on the adapted zones/step back to my only my old MAs, before i increase size on those lots.

Alpari is screwing with my account, or my ISP is screwing with my connection.

That misstake with the buy/sell in the morning drew my PF down, but its about 2 maybe for today. Went to high risk only once today, so thats pretty standard.

Big upswing in afternoon so, even the 10 day has leveled out.

Ended up in some heat again but got out on top of things.

yadda

For the rest of the week, and for next week i should really try to integrate the rainbow into my current strategy, that way it will be a 3 pronged attack on the market, counter trend, getting back to trend and moving SR bouncing as well as a bunch of other stuff.

Main problem i need to work with is not limiting actual losses, but limiting theoretical risk.

Its counter trend trading that makes a lot of theoretical risk that needs to be adressed. If i can manage that, to halve it at least then im all set.

I must eliminate all superflous indicators in the rainbow, every bit must be significant systematically, every part verified by empirical evidence, down to the smallest part. Then it needs to be put together again into an entire, systematical unit, making it an indivisible logical unit, uniform at all angles, one thought. I should be able to do that before i go to bed.

The 17 LWC is not significant in this context, as i thought, but in practice it is of course quite close to 20 EC

Was the color signaling something significant, unconsious or consious? It would seem it was significant, empirically, but not precise.

So a alpha is done, now @ LV 35. Trading with that is an art, it would seem im profficient enough to use real money already. The only real difference is how i visualize it. That has trumendous potential, since there are almost never any extreme moves against the trend so to speak.

I need to adress the issue of what color the envelopes should be. It would be a good thing to have the in distinct colors, so that i can instantly see which one is which, if they are the same color as everything else i might get then confused with something else. That must tie into how i color the half day and the hwole day MAs.

Fixed envelopes so that they are numbered in lines to the relation they have in proximity to base line, i remember i did that way back in the days sometime and that worked visually.

I think i did work worth of about 3 normal days today. Damn ive been working hard since new years, this is the 10th day in a row. My head is all fracked up, i dream about candlesticks and horses with floppy legs dancing around. Wonder if i should take the day of tomorrow. Damnit, bad day to slack tomorrow, very little news so there is ample trading time.