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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #233,121
  • Dec 18, 2010 2:20pm Dec 18, 2010 2:20pm
aud/jpy video-with sound

we should get a signifficant bounce @ 84.50 +- -- if not a long term top --

lets see how it works!

http://screencast.com/t/adn1y6SK
  • #233,122
  • Dec 19, 2010 9:05am Dec 19, 2010 9:05am
here is the outlook for GJ 2011 and possible right through to 2012--

anyone think that it bottom --- nope not yet--

watch this video and you will have a clear view where are we going and where will we bottom and then we can look for 207.50..

in short--- range between 139.40 & 126 -then LAST BIG SELL OFF TO 111.50/113.50 ( and it will be a right angle breakout) the faster we will drop to 111.50/113.50 the quicker will be the pullback and bottom is confirm---

here is wht im doing -- to sell orders -- one @ 139.35 and other one just below 126 -but i do see we willl get it up to 139.40 before a break of 126--and its a monthly ranging period this---

just look at the video and you will see wht i mean--

history repeats itself!!

its a plessure!

http://screencast.com/t/RNnntIbH

(srry but sound is no good )
  • #233,123
  • Dec 19, 2010 9:34am Dec 19, 2010 9:34am
this is without a video format--

range for another few months between 139.40 and 126 -and then a big sell of to 111/113 somewhere --then up we go to 207.50

so all wht we can hope for is a move upto 139.40 to get it in and hold for that big sell off that is coming--(maybe it can range another 12 months) so bad -- i still see up in range period to 139.40,then bang down we go to 111/113 maybe lower ?? dont know--but this is not the bottom..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gj77.jpg Size: 87 KB
  • #233,124
  • Dec 19, 2010 4:31pm Dec 19, 2010 4:31pm
Quoting gucci1
nice chart

check this yearly candle chart of GU --
and about every single time when we confirm a evening star or MS,then like an always the 4th or 5th candle retraces right back to the low of that middle candle and high of the middle candle of a MS --

and your last 2 candles(thats the last 2 years) is right now in that triangle-clearly visible on monthly and weekly chart . so we can maybe break up north to 1.9 after completion of this triangle--

but on the other hand its a bearish wedge type of thingy--so maybe break down to complete the...
Good stuff!!

Which Broker you are using for yearly Charts?
Markets are not Random, they are designed!
  • #233,125
  • Dec 19, 2010 5:27pm Dec 19, 2010 5:27pm
Quoting Raza
Good stuff!!

Which Broker you are using for yearly Charts?
this is the webiste---but could not find the charts--

http://www.akmos.ru/

maybe a russian who understands the lang. can help here to find the charts--
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: eur_yr.jpg Size: 81 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: swiss_yr.jpg Size: 86 KB
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Click to Enlarge Name: jpy_yr.jpg Size: 84 KB
  • #233,126
  • Dec 21, 2010 6:17am Dec 21, 2010 6:17am
Got in that trade a bit late, but 129.15 should give a temp respite to the dragon.

http://img337.imageshack.us/img337/1008/geto.gif
  • #233,127
  • Dec 21, 2010 6:28pm Dec 21, 2010 6:28pm
Hello all,

Is anyone following the downward parallel channel from 132.93?? Currently the bottom of the channel comes in at 129.20 and top is at 130.50 and slowly descending over time. I will be taking long positions at any touch of the lower channel-line with a 50 pips stop so right now the order to long is sitting at 129.25 with a 50 pip stop and will target a retest of the 133 area.

GL,
AssuranceFX
  • #233,128
  • Dec 22, 2010 10:48pm Dec 22, 2010 10:48pm
Quoting AssuranceFX
Hello all,

Is anyone following the downward parallel channel from 132.93?? Currently the bottom of the channel comes in at 129.20 and top is at 130.50 and slowly descending over time. I will be taking long positions at any touch of the lower channel-line with a 50 pips stop so right now the order to long is sitting at 129.25 with a 50 pip stop and will target a retest of the 133 area.

GL,
AssuranceFX
The fact that 128.75 gave way is a signal to sell any rallies. I am placing a sell order at 128.70 with 50 pip stop and target 127. We should find some support between 126.50 and 127 at which time I may look at enter longs.
GL,
AssuranceFX
  • #233,129
  • Dec 27, 2010 8:55am Dec 27, 2010 8:55am
Happy new year for every one, been long time since I posted here as I been busy looking after business I have, I have created a new ratios that seem good as in back test but I still need time to experience it to give good signals like I used to do here, so just for now let my posts to be an idea to help and to be more eye to see chart with.

here is my chart and view for GJ, good luck to all.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GJ1h127.53.jpg Size: 135 KB
  • #233,130
  • Dec 28, 2010 7:06am Dec 28, 2010 7:06am
HEllo you can calcualte the Pips/. During the day and going to 4H and 1H?



Quoting maanawi
Happy new year for every one, been long time since I posted here as I been busy looking after business I have, I have created a new ratios that seem good as in back test but I still need time to experience it to give good signals like I used to do here, so just for now let my posts to be an idea to help and to be more eye to see chart with.

here is my chart and view for GJ, good luck to all.
  • #233,131
  • Dec 28, 2010 7:10am Dec 28, 2010 7:10am
Quoting alfalasi
HEllo you can calcualte the Pips/. During the day and going to 4H and 1H?
Hi Alfalasi,

sorry, I didn't get you! what do you mean?
  • #233,132
  • Dec 28, 2010 3:44pm Dec 28, 2010 3:44pm
done
Quoting maanawi

here is my chart and view for GJ, good luck to all.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: done.gif Size: 22 KB
  • #233,133
  • Dec 28, 2010 5:42pm Dec 28, 2010 5:42pm
Quoting maanawi
done
I'm confused as to if it was a long term reversal point or not? As in will we retest 133?
  • #233,134
  • Dec 28, 2010 5:59pm Dec 28, 2010 5:59pm
Quoting gotpips92
I'm confused as to if it was a long term reversal point or not? As in will we retest 133?
I think it will be difficult to see 133 before another big fall start imo.

see attached image / tpl these are the major TL for now
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gj.gif Size: 30 KB
Attached File(s)
File Type: tpl gj.tpl   457 KB | 241 downloads
  • #233,135
  • Dec 28, 2010 6:03pm Dec 28, 2010 6:03pm
Quoting maanawi
I think it will be difficult to see 133 before another big fall start imo.

see attached image / tpl these are the major TL for now
One thing to look out for during these low liquidity times however is that this is also the best time for the big guns to come in and squeeze every last weak holder out of the market.
  • #233,136
  • Dec 28, 2010 9:56pm Dec 28, 2010 9:56pm
Quoting brucehvn
Hi Merc,

I see you are using FXSniper's Ergodic CCI & Trigger....
Hi Bruce,

I stumbled upon your BH-Ergodic indicator just a month ago that you wrote. Extremely nice work. Still being a newbie, with just over a year trading, finding your indicator has made a huge improvement in my trading going from a 84% to 93% success rate and gaining more pips than I normally would by having the confidence to enter trades 1 -2 bars earlier . I trade very little in the M30, some in the H1, mostly in the H4 and D1 in 8 different currency pairs.

I am not a programmer at all. I know enough to get me into trouble. My programming skills go back to when I was in the Air Force, learning Cobalt and Fortran with punch cards. Just a little outdated.

Attached is a screen shot using your BH-Ergodic combined with the Russian Color STC. The STC is great for entry when combined with over indicators. Sections that are labeled A, show the STC giving off erroneous signals during a trend. Using your BH-Ergodic indicator keeps me in a trade much longer when the STC is showing a weak trend reversal.

Settings used:
STC 5 6 18
BH-Ergodic 2 2 10 5 1 0

Is there any way these two indicators can be combined to display what is depicted in sections B to eliminate this?

Your help would be greatly appreciated.

Thanks,

Mark
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: STC_ Erodic Indicator.jpg Size: 170 KB
  • #233,137
  • Dec 28, 2010 10:55pm Dec 28, 2010 10:55pm
Quoting AssuranceFX
The fact that 128.75 gave way is a signal to sell any rallies. I am placing a sell order at 128.70 with 50 pip stop and target 127. We should find some support between 126.50 and 127 at which time I may look at enter longs.
GL,
AssuranceFX
Will look to enter longs at 125.80 with 100 pips stoploss and target 128 area.

GL,
AssuranceFX
  • #233,138
  • Dec 30, 2010 3:02am Dec 30, 2010 3:02am
Amazing how thousands of retail traders are doing the same mistakes over and over again :

https://media.dailyfx.com/illustrati..._Picture_3.png

GBPJPY - The ratio of long to short positions in the GBPJPY stands at 7.11 as nearly 88% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 7.26 as 88% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 5.5% higher than yesterday and 16.5% stronger since last week. Short positions are 7.8% higher than yesterday and 7.5% weaker since last week. Open interest is 5.8% stronger than yesterday and 1.1% below its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more GBPJPY losses.

I expect this currency pair to fall further!
________________________________ Errare humanum est
  • #233,139
  • Edited 4:25am Dec 30, 2010 4:04am | Edited 4:25am
Just maybe y r right that gj will fall however price did not break 2600 and in my opinion gj will repeat same scenario of last year and break topside to 130.00. Maybe if price breaks 126.00 Pa can go down to 124.80.
Time will tell
  • #233,140
  • Dec 30, 2010 4:11am Dec 30, 2010 4:11am
Quoting Piters
np.. my collection is big.. (over the years collected from forums and friends)

If you need anything specific .. PM me..
Hello Piters,

Do you have an ebook by John Hayden " The 21 irrefutable truths of trading". If you have it, can you share please.

Thanks in advance.

Falcon45X
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