I see a distinct difference between the Alpari candles in my regular account compared to my mini account. About 10 candles is different in a 2 hour period.
Well feelings and money management DONT mix, now ive apparently proved it once more, didnt know i had to but thats what happend. I should just stick to my calculations and experience and not start using some other for the moment calculated MM, damnit. I removed all frivolous scripts, making money is boring i should not try to make it fun it doesnt work, and i should stick to what i got until/if there is reason to change it.
Bunch of MAs as roof on daily right now, M15 to H1 is below, but we are dropping right now. US Job data coming in at 2:30, could smash through the roof on daily.
Figured a price for the strategy, 1.5 million euros for data and employing me for 10 months to train people. Data wont do em much good without proper training. Even a slightly profitable scalping strategy is easily worth 50 million euros, so its a good discount. Hi data mining scripts!
07:59 Low vol morning, still beneath 35. So either there will be little action today or there is great anticipation. Hopefully the first. Roof on D1 ends at about 1.34770, se great chance of 200 pip move up today if there is going to be any try to get through that, its been smacking at D1 MA 20 friday, monday, tuesday, took a rest yesterday. Tuesday last week was a very nice and habitually calculated place to buy. M15 looked good right after lunch.
08:08 If there is worries, if there is volatilty other then usual thats not seen on D1, its behaving habitual since 2007, slightly less so before that because volume was only fractional compared to now.
08:11 Going to US in may was really expensive, about 8.1 SEK/USD, now its about 6.8, so now its pretty cheap and you get raped by TSA for free, what a discount!
08:13 Still havent got to any B, thats good, means there isnt much directed action in price today, so some indecisive ranging is getting within the scopes.
08:18 Cant keep this up, i need coffee to stay awake if its going to behave like this. Almost looks like a classical summer day gearup for a rush.
08:36 MAs converging like old ladies for knitting and coffee. About that coffee, god damn phone got me thinking of that.
08:54 Went up and got back down actually, still looks a lot like a gearup.
09:16 Couple of minutes ago about a 15 pip tall candle presented itself straight through MAs on its way down. Wonder if all this strange action has anything to do with US unemployment data coming up 2:30 as well as European central bank bulletin at 10. IT went pretty exactly from DR1 down to DS1.
About 10:30 A drop that everybody seemed to know about, pretty low volume compared to how fast it went down.
18:25 Seems i did a good thing in stop trading, todays been craziest in a long time, i can note a 20 pip candle at 16:08 not news induced. So there has been a lot of money that to battle for DS 1 Pivot, raging all day. If you know what you are scalping, money could of course have been made today also, but its tougher then usual.
Its very evident that todays action is made in steps. in units of pivot SR. That means its intelligent, that means it planned, that means these moves are not random, that means these moves is not the result of some things going on in the stock market or somewhere else.
Its very evident how short sighted, egoistic, ignorant, arrogant and uneducated the politcal class is. Why would anyone in their right mind want to be a part of such a thing as the euro? For that to even be on the table all the econimic indicators in the differing geographic locations that wants to use it, must be almost exactly the same. If something is priced even 10% in difference in any of those locations, using a fiat note in the same way, pricing it in the same way will have huge detrimental effects to all economic thinking. The idea that buying something cheap in one place and moving it to another to sell is truly idiotic, hwo benefits from it? The people in the second place is the loosers, and the generally loose more then the merchant gain, since the merchant needs to pay the freight company, the store needs to pay the merchant and so on. So there is a hwole host of differing actors that need leach of something that shouldnt be in the first place.
Dreaful slow PA this day. Made a small trade so as to at least have done something to the account today, i bet it feels so lonely and left out if nothing happens to it.
I put one there earlier that was a school book example of what im trying to do, it was excuted in excatly the right moment and closed exactly in the right moment. Volume was really low, about 40. Of course i could have held unto it for a least three times the profit, but im not crying over something i havent lost.
Next week i must remember to think about doubling lot size.
12:15 Range is 60.9 pips for today, so its coming along real slow. Yesterday was 158.0
13:42 E/U has pretty much gone into equlibrium right now. Pretty much all MAs mare flat, and price is not moving. Daily MAs are slightly above price, but pretty much all others are right at price. US trade balance coming in at 14:30, so that will probably push the euro up.
16:21 I never see much action around the mR and the mS lines. Its a good thing they are made different then the DPVs.
I cant see why Tarpley things Assange is a stupid *uck. I dont see why this is important issue on the other hand, i cant say i care. Wikileaks still havent really done that much to change my world. Maybe they enlighten someone, but i dont really see in what way, did people not know that civilians is killed for fun in war? I thought that had been clear for a couple of thousand years.
I havent even seen enough from wikileaks to warrant any sort of investigation into their credibility. For me to want to investigate something like that i need to see something on ther website that would seem like something someone would gain something for saying untruthfully, and that does not seem to fit into my world wiev or challenge it seriously. Dont get ge wrong, i want to challenge my world wiev, i look for things to challenge it.
Another technique investigated was connecting a barbiturate IV into one arm and an amphetamine IV into the other.[29] The barbiturates were released into the person first, and as soon as the person began to fall asleep, the amphetamines were released. The person would then begin babbling incoherently, and it was sometimes possible to ask questions and get useful answers.
Other experiments involved drugs such as temazepam (used under code name MKSEARCH), heroin, morphine, MDMA, mescaline, psilocybin, scopolamine, marijuana, alcohol, sodium pentothal,[30] and ergine (in Subproject 22).
Yeah that seems like an accurate technique, get people to babble!. I can see the results of their research, if this is it, was very modest. I am not so sure the average american taxpayer thinks this was good use of tax.
Ive decided to restructure desk so as to the last 50% of the left screen now occupies 4 different timeframes so i can keep track of all MAs on all timeframes. I wont be able to see Alex and the other as well but ill know more about the MAs, which is most important after all.
Its interesting that she comes from a background of education. I guess that things are very evident from that background, since we can see there what we are ment to think.
She does that smart thing to talk about very general things, which i think speaks to her wisdom, the particular going ons arent that interesting, they are as examples still of course. But the whole agenda and ideas of what we need to fight is the important thing. She seems somewhat like Watt, but less distanced from society. Watt seems a bit too into his own world, im not saying hes wrong just that he is very focused on historical events.
She is smart enough to understand that what we are fighting is a planned economy, doesnt matter if its called fascist, socialist, christian, totalitarian or what ever, these words are just subverted, watered down concepts.
When the truth has been burned or hidden one immediately suspects connivance among those in charge, or to use a "dirty" word: "conspiracy". We have been conditioned to believe that those who attribute certain actions to conspiracy should not be taken seriously in regard to the particular issue at hand or, more importantly, any issue they may discuss in the future. The media has been highly successful in limiting discussion of important issues simply by rejecting out of hand any mention of the role of conspiracy or planning in the economic, social, and political transformation of the globe as a whole. Its continued success in controlling the news has had a devastating impact on the ability of the average citizen to know what is going on, which would enable us to participate in public policy or as elected officials. Conspiracy is nothing more than a fancy word for "planning" in which the citizens have deliberately been excluded from the early stages thereby leaving them in the dark as to the ultimate goal of the project. This website contains a vast amount of information regarding the who, where, what, and how of recent history, most of which has not been easily available to the public until very recently.
Meditating on lot allocation. Perhaps halved size, larger TP, double the SL in volatile times? I must not get caught in a set way of thinking and think that i must use only one position and one lot size or something like that.
Goda damn its cold here today, im gonna go turn up the heat -16 c
All in all a pretty good day. Biggest gain was definetly the realisation that i just need one position at a time, really, but i need to prepared to enter right after a loss, just as long as i do it according to systematics.
In efternoon steep expo gain. Its been rushing up between the pivots and other supports all afternoon, quite habitual, and not in great volume. Very up opinionated since it stopped some 25 pips close to the market crash/wild times M15 limit.
Anyway, the issue is this: If one position is used, the tepes are never divided, so their success is easy to calculate and results are easily to evaluate and become quite great as opposed to splitting the positition in two or more, where most tepes will have only that cash in them that the tepes of the first position will allow, while the difficult, catastropic stoppies will remove a lot more of those winnings which occured with only one position, which have been and will be the case in this instance. For de facto it is very difficult to try to get a mutiple, large TP from the multiple positions one is forced to use sometimes in a split position/multilot positioning.
So in other words when many lots is used in theory, the tepes are small and stoppies large.
But when one position is used, the tps are big and the stoppies small.
Of course given only that one position is the obvious choice. But the difficulty here being that in a many lot system a weaker signal can be used, giving perhaps twice as many opurtunities in the time x. Not to mention the de facto times when a second position could easily turn a loss into a gain, almost at least in histotheory, remove all chance of loss. But the problem here being that in histotheory it de facto IS never a complete chance of either thing, given that i have not found reliable theory to add sufficient probability to such venture, given that i have not, if i have not.
Of course the underlying issue here is skill. Given sufficient skill, this issue would seize, since then i would "know", and not have issue, given that i am in theory able to as well as in practice to "know". This is not a mad development, since as i have seen time come along, the gravity of my former folly seem more and more evident, specifically regarding normal tepes to catastrophic stoppies ratio first in theory, then in practice. My former underlying conjecture was that i would be able to spot a catastrophic climb/dump of price, after first position was placed. That doesnt seem to be the case, for what ever reason, necessary or not, present or no longer present regarding histodata.
However, and which ever be that as it may with the former issue, i think the minutiae have been disregarded. Such an observations as: when the candles reaches a point that histodata wise give sr, what happens? And i mean in its complete detail, every possible empirical aspect of it.
So: candle gets there, then what happens? It jumps 0.5 pips toward base, it never stops just keep on going, it stops for 3 seconds then jump to base 1.5 pip and so on. Acute vision, acute bookkeeping and acute mental capacity is key here. Perhaps there is such relation as: When price gets to sr 2 times and is rejected both, that might add multiply chance of success 2 times.
Why didnt i think of this, must write it down before forget...how to put it. Its better to let a position die away, just let it be and then enter at when i should again. This solves the hwole MM issue and all of it. This is the solution i have been looking for for ages it feels like. I wonder how i came up with that.
Morning started with a classical bull rush, quite habitual as in the summer. There wasnt much power to stay or go on though. Looks like he has an extra shoulder, lets see if he is swimming with flare gun or knife, or if hes just gonna have a nice slanting back. It was a long time since i saw one of these. Now that one has been out swimming with hes flare gun or knife, the probability of another is greatly increased. Looks like hes just floating around in a rising wave.
God damn its cold today -20 almost.
EU is going to make it impossible for organic farmers to sell their seeds, god damn fascists.
24/33 days +
10:04: looks like that rush was aiming at an SR @ 1.34370 ish, 11 days old, since 12-03. It settled there and just sort of died there. I was just requoted when things wherent moving that fast. That agitates me something fierce, it was only good for a few seconds so there wasnt enough time to try again.