Pathfinding

They way i see it, the people that want to control other people owe me a lot. I aint never tried to control anybody, why should anybody try to control me? Tell me what to do and what not to do, hwo are they to know? Is theyre wisdom greater then mine? Do they know my future, do they want to control it?

The way i see it i am a lot more wise to my own ways and to my own future, then anybody i have ever met in my life. So why should they tell me what to do, what to think?

I never accepted the paradigm of school, i saw it as a prison sentence on somebody that was innocent (me and the others). And thats what we are doing to our kids, we are locking them up and brainwashing them damnit!

They need to learn how to read and write? No problem, that takes a couple of months. They need a profession? Get them to a place where people actually work then and let them learn. We cant let them run around freely in the daytime? Why not, if we gave them the confidence and showed them the trust, that might work.

This world will not keep on as it has been keeping on, cause it cant. Its changing and we cant stop it, even if we wanted to.

I will NEVER tell anybody what to do, and least of all young people, they need to find theyre own lot.

At this day, there where more exchange between euro and dollar, then ever before, about 120.000 in volume, yet that day it moved less then 200 pips down. Even in the middle of the night, huge volumes where being moved, about 1500/15min.

This being so, while there are other days, like the ones before christmas 2008 that had about 500 pips a day, with a volume of about 30000-40000.

That means opinion in this day in may was 120.000/200 = 600

While prechristmas 2008 days was 35.000/500 = 70

The lower the number, the more one sided the move, and thus the stronger the opinion.


I noticed the volumes for the demo account is not the same as for the live accounts. Thats very peculiar. Seems the demo volume is a little higher.

At 36 or below/minute = A little

At 72 or above/minute = A lot

Anything in between is pretty much average.

Acting at a lot or beyond is dangerous.


Sweet and simple.

I finally manage to work around both the issues with requotes: That it takes some time after the script have been used before i can see if it got through or if the order was requoted, which means sometimes i either accidentaly get 2 orders if i spam with the script, or i just dont get in at all when i wanted to.

It would seem i have learned that requotes can be used to my advantage: If i place to order and get requoted it often means things are moving fast right? Well thats actually good because i dont want to get in at those times. The optimal event to get in at is exactly at some kind of support, or in other words a place where mutliple people have pending orders or happen to place live orders. Calculating when people (70% eas) will do this might seem impossible prima facie, but actually isnt at all.

To ponder this further: It would seem that at a certain volume, say below 72/minute, or to be precise, at times that i cant really quantify, requotes are a given fact.

Its really quite simple when you think about it. Im not trying to get in on any "trend", im looking to get in when the "trend" changes, say the 2-60 seconds when its undecided so to speak. Thats when i want to get in, and thats when i dont get requoted, because im getting in 2-3 seconds before the "trend" is empirically confirmed.

When i say "when its undecided" that means at the point when it actually is decided, but people/eas are not aware of it yet, or at least they havent placed theyre orders yet. Well its actually a matter of philosophical definition if its decided or not. Ponder it this way: If i know what you are going to eat tomorrow, does that mean it is decided what you are going to eat, before you know it, if it is the case that i know it and the future proves me right?

However may be the case, im not interested in answering that question.

Price krept through a bunch of S/R during the night.

07:45 Right now things are gearing up for yet another nice day, up until 2:30 pm at least when people want to ruin all the nice waves with theyre incessant talk, talk, talk. Volumes are about right, still below 36/min most of the time.

08:49 Volum very low, often less then 36

09:03 This day was coming on a little too slow actually, so i thought i needed to at least be able to say

13/16 days +

So i made a tiny trade.

09:54 Yeap, spidey sense was tingling like crazy and BOOM there it is, 30 pips in a couple of candles. A dead giveaway, since it shot straight from the 200 like a rocket. Reminds me a lot of the stuff that happend every week this summer, looks exactly the same. Too calm in the morning then BOOM 65 in 15 minutes. It feels good to know about these things.

10:09 It found some support on B1 in the first push, so it didnt go as strong as some of the craziest rallies. If i hadnt my wits about me that thing could have easily made of with .075 of my account. This move is exactly what i have been training and training and training and trading and trading and trading to anticipate, the biggest and most dangerous enemy. The move got down to kiss the 20 relatively quick, in about 30 mins.

10:20 First shoulder very slanted down, hes wearing a pointed hat and second shoulder is pointy. Would not want to make any bets on whats next, its just now navigating the 20.

In the seconds before this one i saw that B2 had little effect on the price. So there was really about 5-10 seconds there that i still wondered if i should enter or not. When i saw that price didnt much respect the B2, i spidey sense went haywire screaming "DONT DO IT FOR *UCK SAKE!". I think this and the fact that there hadnt still been any good move for the B2 channel, up until almost 10 a clock, made the hwole situation really weird, reminding me strongly of late summer where no moves in all morning and low volume and then BOOM was run of the mill.


By the way, hi Smikester, how you doing? Please feel free to comment and discuss.


10:28 Slow descent from the 20 to the 39, so no major league insane move. It stopped exactly at slow M15 channel and mR3.

10:31 One would have had a SL of like 90 and a lot of guts and training to place incremental positions at very precise places, in order to get out of this on +. I think its possible to get that good, but thats going to take almost the doubled effort i put down so far.
For an instance giving it a 5x lot at mR3 would have been one way of doing it, but even that would have needed to have a SL of 60-70 pips to acomodate historical rallies.

I claim the following to be true:

The underlying political scene and direction of the euro and dollar is not publicly known, therefore trying to trade that with public information is impossible at worst and hard at best.

However the dynamic short term movements of the market IS publicly known. Its underlying direction and long term plan is in this case irrelevant. Therefore all the information that is needed to trade that is publicly known.

With that said im not saying that doing the second is easy, its not something you can do after an afternoon of training and thinking.

Got the notion for a M15 B3, and see how that plays out historically, will try with B2 x2 setting and have a look see.

Comes into play maybe twice a month, so doesnt do that much.

Strong opinion upmove this morning, even before 8 am. Bernanke and other people want to talk talk talk today. Relative strength went haywire. Seems its 30 years since i was born today.

14/18 days + so far

Got caught in a mental picture of doublebooking: First move made it to B3, but at second move i thought: If it stops at B2, im in the green, if it dont i place second lot at B3, and then itll meet in the middle somewhere and im in the green.

It seems i did not take my own advice seriously: When price reaches an outer border, the old one is not sufficient s/r, until price resets which is often at night, sometimes when volume dries up.

A thing i have been doing a lot and not expressing is not trading when conventional S/R comes into play: Daily pivots and some important historical turningpoints.

These comes into play when ever they offer visualy confirmed support. In advande that can of course be hard to know, and therefore i must assume that i DONT know that. Another thing about them is that if they offer S/R they often need to be taken out in a rush.

This same sort of goes for the M15 MAs, but to a lesser extent.

15/19 days + it would seem

Euros being very willing to drop. I have deviced two more borders and act from them at volatile times. Sell opurtunities @ B2, buy @ B3. I really think that would be a brilliantly simple solution to greater volatility then the one that is contained withing B2. So what really needs to be done, is look at some short history, 12-48 hours, and decide if B2 contains price with great probability, if not, would B3 work? And it seem either of these will do the trick. However, i still need to look out for breakouts and all that of course. So price needs to show its real nice and housebroken to get back to B2. Right now its the downmoves that needs to calm down significantly in order to buy @ B2.

So uuuh, US is getting real nazi. This is just one in a million fascist incursions.

http://www.youtube.com/user/russiato.../3/sKU-on3sUTg

Id like to see some dirt on Russia, but that would come from US journalists and they dont seem to report on anything but US events.


Anyway some not so apologetic macreconomic sentiments:

Where i live, politicians are greedy, petty idiots hwo act as lackeys for Bilderberg. The people are ass misled as ever, they stare at theyre TVs all night and work all day where they sit on theyre lazy ass and drink as much coffee as possible and talk about shoes, food, theyre next vacation and how old theyre kids are.

The US are populated by politicians that obey one law: The law of gathering as much electronic, fiat currency as possible. Theyre politicians have CFR, Bilderberg AND the trilateral commision. Wall street and the bank cartel sets the agenda, and multinational corprations move in and buys power for theyre agenda. And there is NO REGARD FOR HUMAN LIFE and FREEDOM in all that. The US public is so effectively kept in the dark that they often think TSA grabbing theyre genitals, removing every ounce of self respect they had left, is good for them.

Russia is run by mobsters ever since theyre military bureacratic complex crumbled in -86. They sometimes seem pleasant i am sure, byt they WILL kill you in an instant if you get uncomfortable even in the slightest. I dont think there is much of any systematic to russias domestic affairs other then: Take what you can, give nothing back.


It has been a lot of requotes today and a fair bit of trouble when trying to close.

13:18 Support as tough as 9 inch steel encountered @ 1.35370, at DS1 line.

16:16 Price is dropping OUTSIDE of warning channel, it punched through an old floor. Right now its getting close to warninchannel/channel turner on M15, but it has so much momentum its going to hit that hard.

17:45 Last time Euro droped this fast was in august. And now there isnt any stops below that i can see, its been sliding down a slippery, very steep slope since lunchtime.

So when volume near or at 72, B3

When volume seldom or never at 72, B2


Thats the general idea, specifics coming up. But anyway, i need to judge that. I used to think that having even more borders complicates things, and didnt want them therefore, but now i am so used to looking at my stuff that its actually needed, to show physical S/R. Think ill use some pokerthinking here: Look for a reason to fold (a border). Since i want to be safe, not sorry, if there is much of any serious doubt in what border to use, i should use B3.

Second lot is placed at border that is outer from where the first order was placed. A third should probably not be used.

It should be noted that retraces from B3 comes home very quickly, which is cool.

One other thing: The fact that B2 comes into contact with warning channel means a definite signal to used B3, if any trading is to undertaken at all.

Warning channel is obstructing my wiev now that i am trading within it. I should find a way of making it less conspicuious and yet show me what is happening. One way would be to make it just one thin red line, but it would seem a good risk i might not take notice of it.

LOL i just figured that i cn actually go negative in pips, but profit when i comes to money. That because the second position can outweigh losses from the first in money but not in pips, since the second i slightly bigger then the first.

Ibland verkar det som om tv:n saknar framtid. Vi tillbringar allt mer tid framför datorerna och det är ingen större tvekan om att många unga hellre tittar på Youtube i datorn än ser på tv.

Men Brian David Johnson är ändå optimistisk. Han är framtidsforskare på Intel och leder en forskargrupp som arbetar med att försöka förstå vad tv:ns roll kommer att vara år 2020. Till sin hjälp har han allt från antropologer som är ute och ser hur människor verkligen beter sig, till science-fictionförfattare som målar upp det mer visionära.

För Intel är det en kritisk fråga. Företaget är världens största tillverkare av processorer till persondatorer och vill behålla sin starka position när konsumenterna skaffar sig allt fler prylar som är ständigt uppkopplade till internet.


Det handlar om allt från datorlika mobiler, till nya typer av mobila datorer, digitala bokläsare och alla andra kommande prylar som drar uppmärksamheten från den traditionella tv-apparaten i vardagsrummet. Trots det säger Brian David Johnson:

–Tv:s framtid är strålande. Vi har en väldigt optimistisk syn på hur det kommer att bli. Det beror på att vi bygger våra prognoser på vad konsumenterna vill ha och konsumenterna är överlag optimistiska.

Den bild Intels framtidsforskare ser framför sig är hur vi börjar använda olika typer av apparater för att se på samma innehåll. Vi börjar kanske titta på något i den vanliga tv:n, fortsätter att se på samma sak i den datorlika mobilen och avrundar med att se färdigt i den bärbara datorn. Eller så ser vi på flera saker samtidigt i olika apparater.

Det innebär att själva tv-apparaten blir mindre dominerande. Men intresset för tv-innehållet blir snarast större.

–Folk kommer framför allt att använda alla de här apparaterna till att se på tv. Så även om tv:n förändras kommer den absolut inte att försvinna. Folk älskar faktiskt tv, säger Brian David Johnson när han pratar på ett seminarium som statliga Teracom, ansvarigt för utsändningarna i marknätet, håller om tv:s roll framöver.

Att det kommer nya prylar är nu bara en del i det hela. Det är mycket annat som också ska till för att tv-vanorna verkligen ska ändras.


Marie Nilsson, vd för analysföretaget Mediavision, pekar på det gigantiska problemet med rättigheter. Ett tv-företag som köper rätten att sända en serie via satellit får inte automatiskt rätt att sända serien till mobiler och datorer. Dessutom måste det oftast till speciella avtal om de ska få rätt att distribuera innehåll på direkt beställning från kunderna, det som kallas on demand.

–Det är en riktig härva där olika rättighetsområden går in i varandra och där olika aktörer oftast drar åt olika håll idag, säger Marie Nilsson.


Fast hon påpekar också att det skett framsteg. De inblandade företagen verkar ha insett att konsumenterna vill ha mer frihet att välja själva, vad de ska se, när de ska se det och vilken apparat de ska se det i.

–Frågan är bara om konsumenterna verkligen vill betala för den friheten, säger Marie Nilsson och varnar för att kostnaden för att distribuera tv har ökat snabbt.

From SVD



That didnt at all make things better. Companies have realized that consumers want to be able to choose what to see on TV. That is they want to be able to change da channel. Now when i turn on that thing i see crap. And i change the channel and i see some uninteresting crap with some lies. Change it again and i see something i dont at all care about, and so on. So i cant really choose what to see on TV, id want investigative journalism of the outmost uncomfortable kind for for people/companies with power/money. And then some indepth documentaries about scientifical progress in all its aspects. And then id like some live rock concerts sometimes. None of that is to be seen on TV. The jorunalism has resorted to commenting on short pieces of text that TT and Reuters produce in theyre propaganda factory. Documentaries is bought propaganda about only those things that was bought and paid for to tell the public. And it aint much rock and subversive music around, its just "Babe i wanna xyz".

From my studies of hermeneutics i delved quite a long time on the concept of interpretation. Its really a labourious task to try to really understand something as fickle as the human personal geist as well as the intpersonal geist and the volksgeist. You have to try this, try that, see if it works out, see what fits, change some, remove some of your analysis, constantly. And then perhaps some way down the line present a conclusion that does something that needs to be done. Now that last part hermeneutics and academics in general often fail to do, often theyre just a bunch of beared idiots mumbling incoherently to eachother.

Anyway what im am doing on price is really interpreting in a hermeneutical way. I am well aware of the fact that i could do things very differently and get very different results. But i have to say, ive tried long term trading and to me it doesnt at all make sense. I think its self evident that you need to try to find the best ratio of retraces compared to the climbs and drops. Nothing much other then that matters as a first step. And i dont see that ratio anywhere in larger quantities then in eur/usd, and the higher the timeframe, the less of retraces.

So now its 16/20 days +

If i try to trade the LV26 way today id be ruined, luckily i dont. These days LV27 is fashionable, and that takes volume/borders into account.

I accidentaly traded a demo because i wanted to have a look at commodities. Fortunately i was able to switch to live before the opurtunity had passed.

Right now id say its about .8 probability that ill still be trading in 6 months time.


Gold @ 1376 USD - Hit some resistance at 1424 couple of weeks ago, went down to 1330 where it found some support, and now its dancing around in the middle between those.

Oil @ 83.6 USD - This thing climbed steadily, some resistance at about the same time as gold, at 90, wavered down and hit a support recently at 82.40 and then gained some. There has been some teleporting price here at about 2010.11.24 at 2am swedish time, up for about 60 cents a barrel, so i dont know how many millions that is, if not billions, but somebody put down a nice fat order right about that minute or the one before or after.

Silver @ 27.4 USD - Climbed from about 25 up to 27.9 where resistance was encountered (JP Morgan probably) Been bouncing around between 26 and 28 for about 5-6 days,


At 12 up until now: up H & S @ B3, B2, B3 where it smacked S/R. Then into tight range low vol.

I present the following evidence:

Premiss 1: The Military industrial complex wants the people to consume stuff
Premiss 2: When stuff is consumed, that stuff come from natural resources, many of them finite.
Premiss 3: The Military industrial complex now figured that consumption is something bad, because natural resources are running out, coming to a very serious peak in 2020-2040.

Ergo sum: Since the military industrial complex no longer apear to hold Premiss 1 as true, theyre planning did not work out, and not even theyre logic. So to sum up: They are dimwits, idiots and shortsighted buttheads that can only stay in power through violence and fear.





A this Buckley fella is a clear example of a imperialist swine, that knows exactly nothing of what hes talking. Hes mumbling when ever he refers to historical events, and when it seems he dont know what hes talking about he switches subject. If i where chomsky id just get tired and leave i think, so he has (had) a lot of stamina.

At 2:40 in the second part, thats friggin hilarious. This guy actually think that the US and UK INVADED France, France as in the nation state France, not France as area that Germany had conqured in WW2.

Now ive been crunching this riddle in my head for a couple of days:

Alternative 1: Split orders, which means making half lots of what i think i should be trading at the border.

+ Its more fun to have more orders to play around with, close one at a safe place and play around with the other.

- Getting both out, cause of requotes its often that i cant get them out at the optimum place, or even far from it, often as much as 1 pip off, which is really lousy.


Alternative 2: Not having split orders, just the correct amount of orders with theyre correct amount of SL, TP and lot size.

+ Easier to place them, since only half as many to throw at the price.

- Less fun since i often must choose between closing the hwole deal at once or taking out the larger ones a little earlier to get on the safe side.


Alternative 2 tight but stressfull, alternative 1 is more chill but a little less profitable.


However that goes, i reached that conclusion that is possible to trade even though there is great volatility, to a certain extent. It is however regretable that i need to clutter my chart somewhat with a lot of lines, but think its inevitable if i am going to trade 70-80% of all possible days.

B = Border

number x = The number of that border from the center counting outwards.

Damnit, apparently there is a (regular) US bank holiday. Maybe i should trade anyway?

17/21 days +

Volumes is oscilating between zero and 75/min

Yeah thats pretty much the definition of irregular volumes.

I mean DAMN, the US banks should just keep it closed and let us other people handle this money thing, this PA is just AMAZING! Supercalm, supercool waves. If this PA would be run of the mill id double my account every month, no problem. If that where the case id have 1+ orders out about 50% of the time, just munching on price like a maniac.

Now this isnt true, but there might be some trugh IN it: Wall street, dow jones, Goldman sachs and JP Morgan in the US have a lot of employess, and they are closed today. And what do you know? Price becomes like a gentle, pefectly predictible wave function. What does that tell yah? Those guys are *ucking things up!

14:40 I took a long shower and the instant i sat down in front of the computer there was a great opurtunity, i took it and as usual it worked out fine.

I wonder if humanity will demand/enforce dignity, when oil gets to scarce for it to be profitable to dig it out of the ground. A lot of imperialist power is about controlling natural resources.

What happens to that control when there is no natural resources to control, or when that which is left is so scarce that its worth the effort to take it back?

What happens when people are dying because of imperialist genocide measures as well as the scarcity of natural resources?

It has happend many times in history that the nature of control of production and its material components, become to such an extent NOT in the interest of the broad masses of people that production for theyre necessary lively consumption puts them to the brink of extinction. When that happens there is only one thing that can happen: Revolution, a forcefull ripple effect in that volksgeist, a more or less violent, mor or less organised overthrow or disintegration of the current societal structures.

And that seems like a logical conclusion of the same power as geometrical conclusions is what they are given by theyre premisses and/or indisputable observations.

So in other words: Revolution is a given mathematical fact, not an ideological issue. That has always been the case historically, and we live in current history, so why should this time be any different?

This nice lady knows what she is talking about, on the same note as the thoughts above.

http://theautomaticearth.blogspot.com/

I think she is one of the most intelligent people of our time. Specifically she is interested in the hwole of our world and she analysis it with a piercing, resolved logic. If she has one of the greatest societal analytic logic of our time, Jiddu Krishnamurti had a logic so simple and clean that there is seldom any way not to agree with him. Since there really is only one thing to talk about, they both talk about the same thing, but in very different ways.


Yes we stand on the doorstep of very challenging events, an enormous clash of a perpetuated fantasy world in which celebrities with theyre drugs and artificial breasts is most important, and the physical reality where the food we eat exist and where the water we drink exist. The looming derivates bubble and its trumendous, stupendous implications as a result of its cheer size in comparision to the money in peoples pockets and bank accounts. I dont think we will ever know how much so called "money" there is in the derivates bubble, but we will be very aware of the grave material future consequences of this fantasy construct.

I mean, really? Have a look at those. So a rate of about 1.5% of inflation is historically not to crazy. At 1 x 1.015 x 1.015 x 1.015 and so on 5 more times, is about 1,27. So prices should according to that inflation be about 1,27 times what they where 8 years ago. In other words, prices today should be about 27% higher then 8 years ago. However, and this is a HUGE however, if we look at these prices for silver, gold and oil, that doesnt at all add up.

The price of gold - If only normal inflation 300 x1.27=381 dollars

The price oil - If only normal inflation 26 x1.27=33.02 dollars

The price of silver - If only normal inflation 5 x1,27=6.35 dollars

So, if prices where adjusted only by a regular inflation gold would be 381 dollars per ounce, oil would be 33.02 dollars per barrel and silver would cost 6.35 dollars per ounce. Clearly thats not what has been going on for 8 years, clearly inflation is not the thing here, at least not regular inflation. Instead we have a gold:

Gold at 1372, which is 260% more then what it should be adjusted only for regular inflation.

Oil at 85 which is 158% more then what it should be adjusted only for regular inflation.

Silver at 27.42 which is 331% more then what it should be adjusted only for regular inflation.

So if a take an average, basked value for that 250. Which means that price has gained 250% more then what would be normal if the supply if these goods was renewed in the same pace that they where consumed. So that means hidden dollar inflation + scarcity of resources is 2.5 times what it should be if these goods where renewed and inflation was on historically normal levels.