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vsa with Malcolm

  • #5,981
  • Nov 1, 2010 12:57pm Nov 1, 2010 12:57pm
Quoting lexazver
I like how neutral you are ))

I thought of today in the same way - no demand. first i though well germany and some other EU contries on holidays so volume is low but then if someone really wanted to drive pound higher, today would've been the day... and isnce there was no interst to the upside I guess only one other option remaining)
put it this way if gu gets back under 1.5980 it is done....

check your 60 min

at this present time I am pretty USD bull based on what I am seeing on 2 hour futures charts and spot charts

lets see stock market gained what 12% on 6 weeks
housing data was wicked last week
ism awesome
adp liekly awesomne to

why the hell do they need qe2 ? seems economy is in recovery ....lol

oh the games they play

really all numbers are fixed to make the pros some lolly anyway
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #5,982
  • Nov 1, 2010 12:59pm Nov 1, 2010 12:59pm
We will see, patterns don't have to complete each time. But I see at least 2 hourly seller shakeouts today (2 and 17 hours ago), and the drop you caught was countertrend-news-driven. We also forming (while price are staying at the current levels) small bull flag on hourly. Anyway, we should observe what is happening and avoid any biases. 1.599x is key sup for me atm
  • #5,983
  • Nov 1, 2010 1:08pm Nov 1, 2010 1:08pm
Quoting hyh
We will see, patterns don't have to complete each time. But I see at least 2 hourly seller shakeouts today (2 and 17 hours ago), and the drop you caught was countertrend-news-driven. We also forming (while price are staying at the current levels) small bull flag on hourly. Anyway, we should observe what is happening and avoid any biases. 1.599x is key sup for me atm
here you go .. 1,5980 taken out then gu scenarior becomes VERY bearish

to many pairs are setting up with rounded tops and bottom and as for usdchf well on the weekly if it break resistance just above is a 1000 to 2000 pip trade ... can you say gold and ponzi in same sentence .. or should that be feds and qe2 ? lol

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.jpg Size: 107 KB
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  • #5,984
  • Nov 1, 2010 1:10pm Nov 1, 2010 1:10pm
this is why 1.5980 area critical in gu ....

kind of cup and handle but more triangle that can lead to break out.

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Click to Enlarge Name: eu.jpg Size: 100 KB
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  • #5,985
  • Nov 1, 2010 1:17pm Nov 1, 2010 1:17pm
Quoting hyh
We will see, patterns don't have to complete each time. But I see at least 2 hourly seller shakeouts today (2 and 17 hours ago), and the drop you caught was countertrend-news-driven. We also forming (while price are staying at the current levels) small bull flag on hourly. Anyway, we should observe what is happening and avoid any biases. 1.599x is key sup for me atm
that rounded top is my fav pattern of all ... has bull flag beat hands down in a poker game..lol
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #5,986
  • Nov 1, 2010 1:20pm Nov 1, 2010 1:20pm
Quoting malcolmb14
here you go .. 1,5980 taken out then gu scenarior becomes VERY bearish

to many pairs are setting up with rounded tops and bottom and as for usdchf well on the weekly if it break resistance just above is a 1000 to 2000 pip trade ... can you say gold and ponzi in same sentence .. or should that be feds and qe2 ? lol

Attachment

i was lookin at ur posts malc all day.....i think were on the same page . im seeing hidden usd strength in a lotta pairs. I need to see some spikes though before i enter. I was short gu today from 6084, I covered earlier. If price spikes to 6100 ill be short. 6137 looks good to me.....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gunov1.jpg Size: 149 KB
  • #5,987
  • Nov 1, 2010 1:24pm Nov 1, 2010 1:24pm
Quoting mfoste1
i was lookin at ur posts malc all day.....i think were on the same page . im seeing hidden usd strength in a lotta pairs. I need to see some spikes though before i enter. I was short gu today from 6084, I covered earlier. If price spikes to 6100 ill be short. 6137 looks good to me.....
love it to see some ut etc on some pairs on a 4 hour . I would sell everything and come back end of month collect my 500 pip x 3 pairs lol

in the mean time day trading has been pretty nice , eu look at the higher itme frame 30 min and do not get shaken out on the 15 .. she is choppy for sure... watch the daily range targets and look for vsa set ups in line with the direction of the daily range targets.. hence my eur sell today for 70 pip

I am watching audusd with interest as rates are tonight
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #5,988
  • Nov 1, 2010 1:45pm Nov 1, 2010 1:45pm
Hi Mal,

ES closed the gap and then some?
  • #5,989
  • Nov 1, 2010 2:54pm Nov 1, 2010 2:54pm
Quoting sidhujag
Hi Mal,

ES closed the gap and then some?
inevitable .... remeber when we spoke the other day i said any up move in asia is mark up we had 9 point mark up then continued a bit in us but sellers hit it hard at 1190 and 1192 on a 15

I sold 1190 , cover 1178 and 1175.

1168
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #5,990
  • Nov 1, 2010 2:55pm Nov 1, 2010 2:55pm
Mal,
How do you watch the daily range target? You mean last day open and close difference? Do you use any indicator for it?


Quoting malcolmb14
love it to see some ut etc on some pairs on a 4 hour . I would sell everything and come back end of month collect my 500 pip x 3 pairs lol

in the mean time day trading has been pretty nice , eu look at the higher itme frame 30 min and do not get shaken out on the 15 .. she is choppy for sure... watch the daily range targets and look for vsa set ups in line with the direction of the daily range targets.. hence my eur sell today for 70 pip

I am watching audusd with interest as rates are tonight
  • #5,991
  • Nov 1, 2010 3:01pm Nov 1, 2010 3:01pm
Quoting skyscraper
Mal,
How do you watch the daily range target? You mean last day open and close difference? Do you use any indicator for it?

work out average 21 days .. there are a bunch of indies out there
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #5,992
  • Nov 1, 2010 3:04pm Nov 1, 2010 3:04pm
Thx,
So lets say if daily avg 21 days = 140,
so for today you will see from open to up move of 140 or total up and down move of 140?

Quoting malcolmb14
work out average 21 days .. there are a bunch of indies out there
  • #5,993
  • Nov 1, 2010 3:05pm Nov 1, 2010 3:05pm
Quoting malcolmb14
inevitable .... remeber when we spoke the other day i said any up move in asia is mark up we had 9 point mark up then continued a bit in us but sellers hit it hard at 1190 and 1192 on a 15

I sold 1190 , cover 1178 and 1175.

1168
Hi Malcolmb, I read FF forum long time, registry a few days ago, My english is not perfect but want put my five cent here about AuD today trade
11:30am (NY Time) AU RBA Rate Decision Forecast 4.50% Previous 4.50%
ACTION: AUD/USD BUY 4.75%
Trade Plan
If RBA hikes rates, I should jump in and buy AUDUSD or other AUD crosses as the expectation for a rate hike is less than 27%. If RBA decides to keep rates unchanged, I should could a sell-off in the AUD as market would have been pricing in this rate hike since Sunday open.
I try trade every RED news,
  • #5,994
  • Nov 1, 2010 3:12pm Nov 1, 2010 3:12pm
I think i already know the news .. or at least reaction to it. They are leaving rates steady ....

look at your 60 min charts

Quoting pip1hunter
Hi Malcolmb, I read FF forum long time, registry a few days ago, My english is not perfect but want put my five cent here about AuD today trade
11:30am (NY Time) AU RBA Rate Decision Forecast 4.50% Previous 4.50%
ACTION: AUD/USD BUY 4.75%
Trade Plan
If RBA hikes rates, I should jump in and buy AUDUSD or other AUD crosses as the expectation for a rate hike is less than 27%. If RBA decides to keep rates unchanged, I should could a sell-off in the AUD as market would have been pricing in this rate hike since Sunday open.
I try trade every RED news,...
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #5,995
  • Nov 1, 2010 3:22pm Nov 1, 2010 3:22pm
aud and vsa ...

seller on friday
gap up on mt4 feed ...

vertical red lines left to right

1) buyers on dip got absorbed and almost no demand
2) upthrust and top reversal
3) a real no demand on lower high
4) rounded top

5) enter trade 9880 , stop 30 pip .. tp 9670

nice r/r

only us muppets are sitting around waiting for the news .. the pros already know it

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.jpg Size: 118 KB
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #5,996
  • Nov 1, 2010 3:45pm Nov 1, 2010 3:45pm
Quoting malcolmb14
I think i already know the news .. or at least reaction to it. They are leaving rates steady ....

look at your 60 min charts
Interest rate change movement( 0.25%) is 70 pips,if they not change rate maybe we see spike down and buy on dips, i don't think so we will see 1.00 x 1.00. After Asia season sale on top , this my scenario before Wed FOMC statement.
  • #5,997
  • Nov 1, 2010 4:03pm Nov 1, 2010 4:03pm
Quoting pip1hunter
Interest rate change movement( 0.25%) is 70 pips,if they not change rate maybe we see spike down and buy on dips, i don't think so we will see 1.00 x 1.00. After Asia season sale on top , this my scenario before Wed FOMC statement.
overall i am pretty bullish usd though

1 trillion qe2 built in.

if they do not prodcue eu and gu gonna drop like rock.

already we are seeing signs of distribution ion eu , gu may be stronger for now and may get ut

gu have been talking about 100 billionb qe2 of their own .. if they do produce on thursday then gu down to 5700 and lower we go .

best pair to trade these days is eu or even usdchf
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #5,998
  • Nov 1, 2010 4:05pm Nov 1, 2010 4:05pm
Quoting malcolmb14
aud and vsa ...


only us muppets are sitting around waiting for the news .. the pros already know it

Attachment

Funny stuff Malc can only come from a Northern English man....

Keep up the great work - the things I have learnt from you in the past 18 months certainly brighten up these dark northern england days!

D
  • #5,999
  • Nov 1, 2010 4:07pm Nov 1, 2010 4:07pm
Quoting rossobonks
Funny stuff Malc can only come from a Northern English man....

Keep up the great work - the things I have learnt from you in the past 18 months certainly brighten up these dark northern england days!

D
wot Northern ..lol... I am from south East
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #6,000
  • Nov 1, 2010 4:30pm Nov 1, 2010 4:30pm
Quoting malcolmb14
wot Northern ..lol... I am from south East
Seems like only one northern monkey around these parts ;0)

Nice one Mal, 6000th post nailed.

Enjoying the teachings, maybe one day I'll be a fully fledged VSAer
Le singe est dans l'arbre
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