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Silent Service Method

  • #10,961
  • Oct 7, 2010 5:54pm Oct 7, 2010 5:54pm
A chart that I found interesting.....

Gaps, and the effect they can have on a stock. This is BP. Check it out:
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  • #10,962
  • Oct 7, 2010 6:02pm Oct 7, 2010 6:02pm
Quoting Low
Could somebody with a real (not only FX) feed post a DXY chart at the end of today?

I just want to see the volume.

Thanks in advance.
I don't subscribe to the ICE, but here is what they had on their site as far as estimated vol:
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  • #10,963
  • Edited 10:51am Oct 8, 2010 10:31am | Edited 10:51am
Pretty sweet payroll # today:

 

  1. -95k overall Jobs lost
  2. +64k "Private sector" jobs created (lower than expected)
  3. -6k manufacturing jobs lost
  4. Unemployment rate stead at 9.6% (more people dropping out of the workforce).

And Japan can't push the yen down... 81.83 - yikes! And gold & silver probably won't print a weekly pinbar after all...

...Good Times!

EDIT - Some fun Friday Reading. In honor of us re-taking the pre-flash-crash levels on the Dow, I thought I'd post a fascinating article on the Flash Crash: http://arstechnica.com/business/news...pplication.ars

Have a good weekend all!

  • #10,964
  • Oct 8, 2010 10:57am Oct 8, 2010 10:57am
gsz on weekly. i am already long since this morning based on the daily tf breakout.
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meine augen sind die sterne
  • #10,965
  • Oct 8, 2010 11:54am Oct 8, 2010 11:54am
Quoting clockwork71
still a little early to post a daily chart, but does anyone else see what could be forming at the 61.8%?

Its also the 50% retrace of the Summer 2008 high. Confluence is fun . Add that into 1.40 being a nice round handle, and you might be onto something.
  • #10,966
  • Oct 8, 2010 4:47pm Oct 8, 2010 4:47pm
No inflation? Well, not yet.....but it's coming.

Wheat and Corn went limit up today because of two things: A miss in the crop estimate AND the dying USD. Lean hogs went limit up in all but one of it's contracts.
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  • #10,967
  • Oct 8, 2010 7:03pm Oct 8, 2010 7:03pm
Blog has the new audio cast.
  • #10,968
  • Oct 9, 2010 4:04pm Oct 9, 2010 4:04pm
Interesting article out there that might gives us a peak at the BoJ:

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6980CI20101009
  • #10,969
  • Oct 9, 2010 5:39pm Oct 9, 2010 5:39pm
Chris, looks like Ohio State might be the new #1 in college football.
  • #10,970
  • Oct 9, 2010 6:07pm Oct 9, 2010 6:07pm
Quoting unlv_tj
Chris, looks like Ohio State might be the new #1 in college football.

Yeah, just got done watching the S.Carolina/Alabama game. Good thing....but to be honest, after seeing 'Bama barely escape the Arkansas game, I figured they might lose sooner or later.

Long way to go in the season though.....Wisconsin and Iowa are the two "tough" games the Buckeyes face for the remainder. It's really up to OSU to win it for themselves......

Now who will be #2 is the question. Probably some SEC team....but with luck, it might be Oregon, which Ohio State should wax.
  • #10,971
  • Oct 9, 2010 11:06pm Oct 9, 2010 11:06pm
Quoting clockwork71
....but with luck, it might be Oregon, which Ohio State should wax.
Ya think? Oregon looks friggin TOUGH. Oh and there's that Boise State bunch just waiting in the wings...
  • #10,972
  • Oct 9, 2010 11:49pm Oct 9, 2010 11:49pm
Quoting InfinitySL
Ya think? Oregon looks friggin TOUGH. Oh and there's that Boise State bunch just waiting in the wings...
Oregon is the same team OSU ran over last year in the Rose Bowl......

Boise State is good, but they don't really play anyone. If they would ever get to the big show, it would be interesting to see how they would do against an Ohio State, Alabama, or other similar type team.

Unfortunately for Boise, they aren't a big name, so there wouldn't be as much money in the game for the various bigwigs.
  • #10,973
  • Oct 10, 2010 1:25am Oct 10, 2010 1:25am
Quoting clockwork71
Oregon is the same team OSU ran over last year in the Rose Bowl......
I wouldn't judge a team by how good/bad they were last year... Never know who leaves to go pro and who is new that can take over. The least number of points scored by Oregon's offense this year: 42... And they are 6-0. OSU is good too, but I'll withhold judgment until I see them play Wisconsin/Iowa.

I doubt they would "wax" Oregon. Perhaps a gentleman's wager? How many points do i get if I take Oregon?
  • #10,974
  • Oct 10, 2010 8:49am Oct 10, 2010 8:49am
Quoting InfinitySL
I wouldn't judge a team by how good/bad they were last year... Never know who leaves to go pro and who is new that can take over. The least number of points scored by Oregon's offense this year: 42... And they are 6-0. OSU is good too, but I'll withhold judgment until I see them play Wisconsin/Iowa.

I doubt they would "wax" Oregon. Perhaps a gentleman's wager? How many points do i get if I take Oregon?

I'd give you 10.....
  • #10,975
  • Oct 10, 2010 9:05am Oct 10, 2010 9:05am
Just to put things in perspective, here is a monthly continuous gold chart.....we are starting to turn up, and soon will be in parabolic territory. Gold ATMs, grandmothers starting to hoard it, perhaps we are forming a nice bubble? What we will need to see now is a nice "blow off top", which I think is probably coming.....
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  • #10,976
  • Oct 10, 2010 10:31am Oct 10, 2010 10:31am
Quoting clockwork71
Just to put things in perspective, here is a monthly continuous gold chart.....we are starting to turn up, and soon will be in parabolic territory. Gold ATMs, grandmothers starting to hoard it, perhaps we are forming a nice bubble? What we will need to see now is a nice "blow off top", which I think is probably coming.....

im gonna laugh my ass off when all the people hording gold bars see the bubble burst... Good luck offloading a heap of physical gold...

there are better inflation hedges then gold... gold is far away from its fundamentals imo, gold 2010 = oil 2007
Grabbing the bull by the horns!
  • #10,977
  • Oct 10, 2010 11:43am Oct 10, 2010 11:43am
Quoting whitegoodman
im gonna laugh my ass off when all the people hording gold bars see the bubble burst... Good luck offloading a heap of physical gold...

there are better inflation hedges then gold... gold is far away from its fundamentals imo, gold 2010 = oil 2007
http://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/october-1-2010-3.html

Even the permabears are starting to think things are getting out of hand. If you look at the chart from Oct 1 till now it looks pretty enticing.

My call of hitting 1363 a week or so back was pretty close to the market and based on the make up of the current active wave (assuming further downside doesn't break 1300) I think 1410 area will be the top of the blow off.

Obviously that is just ignorant conjecture on my part but I am starting to look for sells again now once price breaks to new highs.
  • #10,978
  • Oct 10, 2010 12:31pm Oct 10, 2010 12:31pm
Quoting whitegoodman
im gonna laugh my ass off when all the people hording gold bars see the bubble burst... Good luck offloading a heap of physical gold...

there are better inflation hedges then gold... gold is far away from its fundamentals imo, gold 2010 = oil 2007
I couldn't agree more. The first real sell signal is that idiot with the "Gold ATM" company. Give me a break.

It really, really, really feels like oil in 2007, without a doubt.
  • #10,979
  • Oct 10, 2010 12:53pm Oct 10, 2010 12:53pm
In regards to my previous (wrong) post about the success rate of trading in general, and where the stats come from, here is the only article I have found (thus far) that quotes actual studies.

The conclusion seems biased when we consider what returns indexing has provided in the most recent decade, but history is the only metric we have for comparison.

Personally I would love to see more of the same, only updated to include the "great financial crisis".

anyways, enjoy

http://www.travismorien.com/FAQ/trad...dersuccess.htm
  • #10,980
  • Oct 10, 2010 3:27pm Oct 10, 2010 3:27pm
Anyone else see that tubby little thing that's about to take over N. Korea?

Just like the old man......he only needs the ridiculous Elivs toupee to complete the look.
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