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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #231,481
  • Sep 3, 2010 7:45am Sep 3, 2010 7:45am
Quoting honeybhi
Closed half pos for 150 pips at weekly pivot.

Rest at breakeven.
...then 134.20 next? let c how today close......
  • #231,482
  • Sep 3, 2010 7:53am Sep 3, 2010 7:53am
Quoting grashid
...then 134.20 next? let c how today close......
Initial target around top of the swing at 133.50 area bro.

Will keep an eye on the daily 50ema.
  • #231,483
  • Edited 8:21am Sep 3, 2010 7:55am | Edited 8:21am
Quoting Eulogy
Frankly really wouldn't be surprised if NFP comes out around -140 to -150k. ADP was crap, census still firing, only wild card being the B/D screw overs.
Ironically what i said was exactly spot on, even though the market certainly didn't think the number was bad.

Headline number -54k
B/D adjustment +115k

Actual NFP -169k

what i find exceedingly exasperating is somehow ADP showed -10k and yet the official private payrolls was +67k. Whats notably different between the two was ADP showed Construction as -33k while the BLS has it at +19k hmm someone's lying

EDIT: Yep, sorry forgot to mention, took a short on the way up at 131.35 (not the top but meh) TP set at 130.6

Anybody else notice? They just tacked on an extra -96k to Jun results when no-one's watching
  • #231,484
  • Sep 3, 2010 8:22am Sep 3, 2010 8:22am
Quoting Eulogy
Ironically what i said was exactly spot on, even though the market certainly didn't think the number was bad.

Headline number -54k
B/D adjustment +115k

Actual NFP -169k

what i find exceedingly exasperating is somehow ADP showed -10k and yet the official private payrolls was +67k. Whats notably different between the two was ADP showed Construction as -33k while the BLS has it at +19k hmm someone's lying

EDIT: Yep, sorry forgot to mention, took a short on the way up at 131.35 (not the top but meh) TP set at 130.6

Anybody else notice?...
Link ?? I wouldn't be surprised... those tricky bastards...
  • #231,485
  • Sep 3, 2010 8:31am Sep 3, 2010 8:31am
Quoting egutie6970
Link ?? I wouldn't be surprised... those tricky bastards...
Official NFP

Official ADP

BLS Birth Death Adjustments
  • #231,486
  • Sep 3, 2010 8:33am Sep 3, 2010 8:33am
Hello everybody .I 'am new to forex trading.IS this wave count correct ??
Please correct me if I'am wrong.
Thanks
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ALL IS WELL
  • #231,487
  • Sep 3, 2010 8:43am Sep 3, 2010 8:43am
Obama's team announced Wed or Thurs a time certain for him to speak after the NFP ... there is more than a teleprompter up his sleeve.
  • #231,488
  • Sep 3, 2010 8:56am Sep 3, 2010 8:56am
May be a last minute ramp job before US Services PMI atm. Can't be sure about this number today. Services employment have been going up lately but forward looking is still very hazy.
  • #231,489
  • Sep 3, 2010 9:07am Sep 3, 2010 9:07am
Quoting Eulogy
May be a last minute ramp job before US Services PMI atm. Can't be sure about this number today. Services employment have been going up lately but forward looking is still very hazy.
Yep ramp job is right. PMI 51.5

TP'd at 130.6 85 pips in the bag.

ok very bad number for the services industry. You have to take note that its been the services industry that has been carrying the employment during these last few months. Without them NFP would go straight into the shit bag unless the BLS starts counting 'work for the dole'. This bad number's gonna affect future service hirings.
  • #231,490
  • Sep 3, 2010 9:20am Sep 3, 2010 9:20am
Loading fresh longs .SL 129.
  • #231,491
  • Sep 3, 2010 9:34am Sep 3, 2010 9:34am
not sure
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  • #231,492
  • Sep 3, 2010 9:39am Sep 3, 2010 9:39am
ok...gap close n reload 130.135.... up n down with not less than 320pips in less than 2 hr....what a nice trading day today..

hapy weekend all n catch later next week....

chow

g
  • #231,493
  • Sep 3, 2010 9:41am Sep 3, 2010 9:41am
Quoting grashid
ok...gap close n reload 130.135.... up n down with not less than 320pips in less than 2 hr....what a nice tradng day today..

hapy weekend all n catch later next week....

chow

g
Same here bro.
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  • #231,494
  • Sep 3, 2010 9:51am Sep 3, 2010 9:51am
nothing unexpected. bias remains to the downside, and in fact nfp was a very good opportunity to add more shorts.

we are still below weekly resistance - see h4 chart. if this holds, we should soon see a break to the downside through blue line. but is weekly resistance is broken then i expect a test of monthly resistance: green line, mid 134 next week.
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Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #231,495
  • Sep 3, 2010 10:06am Sep 3, 2010 10:06am
and a gu chart, somehow similar. the problem with this one is that price bumped into serious support and as i already mentioned i expect some horsing around at these levels.

resistance is at red lines, see labels. if that one is broken, next levels for the month of september are upper 1.57 / 1.58.

buy all dips and sell all rallies. unless we see a break out of this range, your trade will close on profit from wherever you open it IF you have enough patience.
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Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #231,496
  • Sep 3, 2010 10:12pm Sep 3, 2010 10:12pm
Hi Shamo, do you still expect the fib%50 on the daily? you did mention it two weeks ago and I think we will get around 1.5080/22 while price under 15575
I will short to these targets..
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  • #231,497
  • Sep 3, 2010 10:28pm Sep 3, 2010 10:28pm
Quoting rupeshrock
Hello everybody .I 'am new to forex trading.IS this wave count correct ??
Please correct me if I'am wrong.
Thanks
Hello and welcome to FF.I'am no wave expert ,may be someone can help you.

Maanawi.I will be watching this .Wating for 4hr to close and retest .
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  • #231,498
  • Sep 3, 2010 10:33pm Sep 3, 2010 10:33pm
I will wait for 1.5350 level to clear before attempting any shorts.Until then bias remains bullish.
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  • #231,499
  • Sep 3, 2010 10:42pm Sep 3, 2010 10:42pm
I see daily is in retrace mode.May be after this upmove we might dump.

I maybe wrong .Lets see.Good Luck to u.
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  • #231,500
  • Edited 11:25pm Sep 3, 2010 11:15pm | Edited 11:25pm
Quoting honeybhi
Maanawi.I will be watching this .Wating for 4hr to close and retest .
Hi mate , many trend options even i have another setup on weekly showin bullish but here is my view attend the lower level ..
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