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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #229,361
  • Jul 20, 2010 10:48am Jul 20, 2010 10:48am
Quoting gotpips92
what is your profit target?
1.57 and then Monthly 20 ema.
  • #229,362
  • Jul 20, 2010 10:59am Jul 20, 2010 10:59am
Quoting grashid
patient....
Yup .got to be patient .
  • #229,363
  • Jul 20, 2010 11:06am Jul 20, 2010 11:06am
Quoting honeybhi
1.57 and then Monthly 20 ema.
oh I am in GBP/JPY... I think I should be able to ride it to around 134 depending on its performance at 133.53
  • #229,364
  • Jul 20, 2010 1:04pm Jul 20, 2010 1:04pm
lol, I will just keep quite !
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  • #229,365
  • Jul 20, 2010 1:07pm Jul 20, 2010 1:07pm
Quoting maanawi
better than hundred post
Are your targets the red lines?
  • #229,366
  • Jul 20, 2010 1:14pm Jul 20, 2010 1:14pm
Quoting gotpips92
Are your targets the red lines?
no my dear the levels on the img are all done
  • #229,367
  • Jul 20, 2010 1:23pm Jul 20, 2010 1:23pm
Originally Posted by maanawi http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
better than hundred post http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/s..._the_floor.gif

I'm just teasing you guys cause you ignore such simple and clear things and for 3 weeks i keep show you this FF
good luck
  • #229,368
  • Jul 20, 2010 2:17pm Jul 20, 2010 2:17pm
High Level of resistence at EMA 100 at H4
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  • #229,369
  • Edited 2:50pm Jul 20, 2010 2:29pm | Edited 2:50pm
I will short now GBP/JPY and try to take profit at 132.25 After that I think will go back up for a lower high...probably around 134.43 or even 135.25 before we resume the downtrend
  • #229,370
  • Edited 3:06pm Jul 20, 2010 2:57pm | Edited 3:06pm
Quoting kourtney
I will short now GBP/JPY and try to take profit at 132.25 After that I think will go back up for a lower high...probably around 134.43 or even 135.25 before we resume the downtrend
im short too and i will add more upon today's high with range of 20 pips and less, targeting 132.76 as 1st tp
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  • #229,371
  • Jul 20, 2010 3:03pm Jul 20, 2010 3:03pm
Quoting maanawi
im short too and i will add more upon today's high with range of 20 pips and less, targeting 132.76 as 1st tp
cool amigo maanawi...i think will make a higher low around 132.20 or 132...then again a new lower high that can fluctuate netween 134.25 and 135.25...before we resume downtrend... what do u think amigo?
  • #229,372
  • Jul 20, 2010 3:57pm Jul 20, 2010 3:57pm
Trying a 133.7 short - if BE occurs, may look for shorts up to 134.2 - at some point we should come down to retest 133.2 and, should further declines not be in the cards then, will book some profits, and exit other shorts at BE if it goes back up. Looks like (relative volume) sellers on that last 2 M15 up bars. Good 210+ pip bull run for GY, but am still bearish overall, sticking to my long ago cited 130.5/6 test at least (Nice chart Raza!)

Not posting much as not much has changed IMHO. Bulls are trying to run with things & we continue to mirror the S&P/DOW. Everyone with a thinking cap is scratching their head more and more these days, and I'd say the sense of US recovery denial is less and less each day.

US earnings are fated to have more bad and poo-poo news than good, so the melt-up can only last for so long. I'd be very cautious with longs tomorrow 10am EST, as Ben is grabbing the microphone. Am thinking back many months to whenever he spoke the markets reacted - we might see the same tomorrow.

Aside from trembling and worrying when he's alone on how bad things are and how little is working, I can't imagine Ben crafting much positive beyond irrational optimism, which the markets are buying less and less each day. In fact, I'm quite convinced a weaker dollar (temporarily, for months) is what's secretly desired. Along with a growing possibility of QE2, that would be immediately and short term dollar negative, IMO it's a question of timing on when is the best time to do that - now during the summer to create a dollar & economic bottom, and having a flood of cash available for the fall business cycle seems like prudent planning, but what do I know.
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  • #229,373
  • Jul 20, 2010 4:00pm Jul 20, 2010 4:00pm
Quoting kourtney
cool amigo maanawi...i think will make a higher low around 132.20 or 132...then again a new lower high that can fluctuate netween 134.25 and 135.25...before we resume downtrend... what do u think amigo?

hmm
Koko kourtny my head burning doing analysis to answer your Q i may try to figure it out tom ..
  • #229,374
  • Jul 20, 2010 4:28pm Jul 20, 2010 4:28pm
i was looking at long term tf, and realized that we are at key support.

intra-year support sits at 131.50/70 area and it seems to be last support. if it's broken, i expect a test of 127 with a possibility to continue major trend (which is down) and mark a new yearly low. but this is long term... and not until a break of the purple line. trend is to be assumed intact until proven otherwise, therefore long term bias is UP, and the target is at the intra-year resistance - 139 area.

medium term / intra-month direction: still down until price goes above green line. i would think the purple line will get tested at least one more time before a real breakout either way.
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Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #229,375
  • Jul 20, 2010 4:59pm Jul 20, 2010 4:59pm
Where do you believe it stops?

Quoting ukdaytrader
GBP/CAD is a fantastic long term trade IMO. That Monthly bullish divergence has to play out at some stage. As I said yesterday, probably a bit more downside to come based on the Weekly, but long term long looks a great bet.
  • #229,376
  • Jul 20, 2010 7:38pm Jul 20, 2010 7:38pm
Quoting Scrat
i was looking at long term tf, and realized that we are at key support.

i am confused at this point, UJ has confirmed bull div on daily chart

mmm... GBP still strong, AJ is trying to draw inverted shampoo with neckline at 80

dunno but GJ looks pretty bullish to me now unless we clear 131.50/130 key support , also what is very important to me is that GJ bounced off of daily ema50 several times without making new low,

Even GC has bull run potential, double bottom in place.
Will BoE rise rates soon or what other fundamental reason might support this upmove ?
  • #229,377
  • Jul 20, 2010 9:05pm Jul 20, 2010 9:05pm
Quoting 5ysfx
i am confused at this point,
dunno but GJ looks pretty bullish to me now unless we clear 131.50/130 key support
How can GJ look bullish? On the hourly Gann is just flipping to bearish at the moment, momentum points down. Stoch is above 80 and QQE is turning down.
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  • #229,378
  • Jul 20, 2010 9:13pm Jul 20, 2010 9:13pm
Quoting KillerWhale
How can GJ look bullish? On the hourly Gann is just flipping to bearish at the moment, momentum points down. Stoch is above 80 and QQE is turning down.
I was referring to scrat's longer term view.

On intraday i see above 133 bullish
GU below 15250 -> GJ bearish


Anyway London should be bullish after NY bull run.
  • #229,379
  • Jul 20, 2010 9:20pm Jul 20, 2010 9:20pm
Quoting 5ysfx
I was referring to scrat's longer term view.

On intraday i see above 133 bullish
GU below 15250 -> GJ bearish
Anyway London should be bullish after NY bull run.
Lolz, then I better close my short before London opens.
I agree, longer term I see bullish for GJ, especially after the November election in US.
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #229,380
  • Jul 20, 2010 9:56pm Jul 20, 2010 9:56pm
major trend is bearish, yes, and it will resume sooner or later, but this could take weeks/months.

for now, price is above support trend line... and very close to it. since last swing, we didn't see a test of the resistance (139/140 area) so unless support is taken i expect another bounce up.

the wisest thing would be to wait, but my fingers are itching...!!!

Quoting KillerWhale
How can GJ look bullish? On the hourly Gann is just flipping to bearish at the moment, momentum points down. Stoch is above 80 and QQE is turning down.
Nihil Sine Deo.
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