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Amyc Trade Journal

  • #501
  • Jun 8, 2010 8:02pm Jun 8, 2010 8:02pm
AU has not moved down far enough in this 4 hr period, the close above daily midpoints should push it back up into the daily highs which are 8293.

I will continue to hold my shorts though as they are for the long term.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au.GIF Size: 9 KB
  • #502
  • Jun 8, 2010 9:15pm Jun 8, 2010 9:15pm
I have just taken a speculative short on EU at 1.1950, my charts are making bearish patterns but price is yet to move back to the midpoint yet which is what I have been waiting for since Monday. Since this hasn't happened I won't be suprised to be stopped out.
  • #503
  • Jun 8, 2010 9:48pm Jun 8, 2010 9:48pm
Quoting amyc
AU has not moved down far enough in this 4 hr period, the close above daily midpoints should push it back up into the daily highs which are 8293.

I will continue to hold my shorts though as they are for the long term.

old support=new resistance that we need to see this thing drop? Maybe within 7 months? lol!
Attached Image
Many choose unhappiness over uncertainty.
  • #504
  • Jun 8, 2010 9:51pm Jun 8, 2010 9:51pm
Quoting Dan Gilbert
old support=new resistance that we need to see this thing drop? Maybe within 7 months? lol!
I think we may see another big move on Thursday, just hoping I don't get stopped on everything before then.
  • #505
  • Jun 8, 2010 9:52pm Jun 8, 2010 9:52pm
Quoting amyc
I think we may see another big move on Thursday, just hoping I don't get stopped on everything before then.
Where is your stop on AU? I'm at 8385. Looks ok above the 61.8 retracement. I'm seeing good resistance on oil at 73 as well. time will tell here.
Many choose unhappiness over uncertainty.
  • #506
  • Jun 8, 2010 9:54pm Jun 8, 2010 9:54pm
Quoting Dan Gilbert
Where is your stop on AU? I'm at 8385. Looks ok above the 61.8 retracement. I'm seeing good resistance on oil at 73 as well. time will tell here.
I have shorts at 8360, 8285 and 8275 stops are at 8390 currently.
  • #507
  • Jun 9, 2010 1:03am Jun 9, 2010 1:03am
8226-28 is current reistance on AU, as long as price stays below here then it should move down another 80 pips. Above here puts a move back towards 8275 back on the cards.

Edit price is moving up, it could go as far as 8293 as mentioned earlier. Wednesday should be a choppy day so keeping my stops wide at the moment.
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  • #508
  • Jun 9, 2010 2:57am Jun 9, 2010 2:57am
GU has almost moved back into the midpoint at 1.4501. I have added to my shorts at 1.4488, I chose this bc it was the 140 pip top. It will probably do 1.45 before going down though. Target 1.38 stop 1.4550.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gu.GIF Size: 22 KB
  • #509
  • Jun 9, 2010 8:12am Jun 9, 2010 8:12am
Dollar has moved back into support, time to start looking for eu shorts again. 1.2047 and 1.2070 are areas I am interested in.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dx.GIF Size: 15 KB
  • #510
  • Jun 9, 2010 8:24am Jun 9, 2010 8:24am
AU has completed 2 140 pip bars up since Mondays lows, it should complete the 80 pip top at 8344. If it can't move down from there then it looks like it's moving back to 85. Short order at 8344, stops on all trades above here.
Attached Image
  • #511
  • Jun 9, 2010 9:14am Jun 9, 2010 9:14am
Quoting amyc
AU has completed 2 140 pip bars up since Mondays lows, it should complete the 80 pip top at 8344. If it can't move down from there then it looks like it's moving back to 85. Short order at 8344, stops on all trades above here.
I take it that 8343 was the top. Where do you have us moving to now?
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #512
  • Jun 9, 2010 9:15am Jun 9, 2010 9:15am
Quoting MarcVUM
I take it that 8343 was the top. Where do you have us moving to now?
I hope so, new lows if it was. if not then 85-86
  • #513
  • Jun 9, 2010 9:19am Jun 9, 2010 9:19am
Quoting amyc
I hope so, new lows if it was. if not then 85-86
The Doji stars on my H1 and M15 are fantastic. I'm short from here.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #514
  • Jun 9, 2010 9:19am Jun 9, 2010 9:19am
Quoting MarcVUM
The Doji stars on my H1 and M15 are fantastic. I'm short from here.
Whats your stop?
  • #515
  • Jun 9, 2010 9:23am Jun 9, 2010 9:23am
Quoting amyc
Whats your stop?
8347
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #516
  • Jun 9, 2010 9:25am Jun 9, 2010 9:25am
Quoting MarcVUM
8347
I get the feeling this is not stopping here today, I hope i'm wrong.
  • #517
  • Jun 9, 2010 10:31am Jun 9, 2010 10:31am
Quoting amyc
I get the feeling this is not stopping here today, I hope i'm wrong.
Through the weekly PP through the Daily R1 and now looks like through the 61.8 Fib from the last swing high. ohh boy.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #518
  • Jun 9, 2010 12:24pm Jun 9, 2010 12:24pm
Hope it is a top, added a short order right below Weely Piv
  • #519
  • Jun 9, 2010 5:44pm Jun 9, 2010 5:44pm
AU is selling down from the 8344 area currently but I am feeling less and less confident that it will continue.

Chart below is weekly, it has been in the back of my mind all week that a retest of the quarterly breakout at 8568 could be on the cards. Looking back at previous breakouts this has about a 70% chance of happening, but the 30% of times it doesn't are when the market is heavily trending in one direction like September 08. I don't think that the trend is that strong yet that a retest can be ruled out.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au.GIF Size: 16 KB
  • #520
  • Jun 9, 2010 5:49pm Jun 9, 2010 5:49pm
EU found resistance at 1.2070 as expected. This should continue to sell down into 1.1917 on Thursday. Thursday open under daily pp and sell down to daily lows. Resistance 1.2008.
Attached Image
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