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Amyc Trade Journal

  • #481
  • Jun 7, 2010 8:29pm Jun 7, 2010 8:29pm
Short once more on AU at 8180 stop 8197. Price has moved up 80 pips from the lows if it can start trading below 8173 then it may continue down again. If not then its doing another 80 pips up.
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  • #482
  • Jun 7, 2010 11:18pm Jun 7, 2010 11:18pm
AU has bounced off the daily highs at 8208, so far the move down is looking good, if price can get a 4hr close under the midpoint in 45 mins then this will be a high probability short. I took a short on this pair earlier without waiting for the resistance...silly, still holding.
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  • #483
  • Jun 7, 2010 11:20pm Jun 7, 2010 11:20pm
Only one problem that I see with this short is that us indicies look like they are going to move up on Tuesday back towards the weekly pp. If they go up they will probably take au with them.
  • #484
  • Jun 8, 2010 12:41am Jun 8, 2010 12:41am
AU, after selling down from daily highs there was no 4hr close under the midpoint, that means price will probably be back up into 8208 with no guarantees that it will hold this time.
  • #485
  • Jun 8, 2010 12:45am Jun 8, 2010 12:45am
Quoting amyc
AU, after selling down from daily highs there was no 4hr close under the midpoint, that means price will probably be back up into 8208 with no guarantees that it will hold this time.
What are you all up to in Australia right now? Stop the rally!
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #486
  • Jun 8, 2010 12:49am Jun 8, 2010 12:49am
Quoting MarcVUM
What are you all up to in Australia right now? Stop the rally!
I think its the dollar thats causing the problems, once it hits that 87.93 level things may improve for shorters.
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  • #487
  • Jun 8, 2010 2:08am Jun 8, 2010 2:08am
Quoting amyc
Short once more on AU at 8180 stop 8197. Price has moved up 80 pips from the lows if it can start trading below 8173 then it may continue down again. If not then its doing another 80 pips up.
AU needs to tank soon. and Oil needs to go with it. I'm so tired of this sideways junk on these pairs.... LETS GOOOOOO!!!!!
Many choose unhappiness over uncertainty.
  • #488
  • Jun 8, 2010 2:12am Jun 8, 2010 2:12am
Quoting Dan Gilbert
AU needs to tank soon. and Oil needs to go with it. I'm so tired of this sideways junk on these pairs.... LETS GOOOOOO!!!!!
I agree, 8216 may have been a top, that was daily highs based on gmt time. Still holding shorts.

8208 earlier was based on 5pm ny time.
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Click to Enlarge Name: au.GIF Size: 11 KB
  • #489
  • Jun 8, 2010 2:16am Jun 8, 2010 2:16am
Quoting amyc
I agree, 8216 may have been a top, that was daily highs based on gmt time. Still holding shorts.

8208 earlier was based on 5pm ny time.
It seems like everyone has the same bias except for those who have the ability to tip it over the edge. It's like watching paint dry....
Many choose unhappiness over uncertainty.
  • #490
  • Jun 8, 2010 2:26am Jun 8, 2010 2:26am
what's your target amy, 8150 and 8083?
  • #491
  • Jun 8, 2010 2:30am Jun 8, 2010 2:30am
Quoting OvT
what's your target amy, 8150 and 8083?
targets are all longterm, 7995 is the next one in June, but I think we will easily break that, then I will have to wait and see what July and Q3 gives as targets.
  • #492
  • Jun 8, 2010 8:20am Jun 8, 2010 8:20am
Quoting amyc
targets are all longterm, 7995 is the next one in June, but I think we will easily break that, then I will have to wait and see what July and Q3 gives as targets.
ic ok. thanks, good luck!
  • #493
  • Jun 8, 2010 8:45am Jun 8, 2010 8:45am
PA rarely crosses the 200sma and is always worth another 50 pips on the first revisit! History proved to be right once again!

Now the 150 and 200 just crossed so this is a great time to buy. Looking at H4 my TP would be around 8250.
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Click to Enlarge Name: au.jpg Size: 157 KB
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #494
  • Jun 8, 2010 5:02pm Jun 8, 2010 5:02pm
This is the short setup I was waiting for on AU. 80 pip top with the pink resistance. Notice it is the same setup as last week was at 8519.

I stopped yesterdays shorts when price crossed 8216 again but have taken more this morning off 8275. There is another pattern to complete which may push price up towards 8350 first but this doesn't always complete. If it does I will add to my shorts.
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Click to Enlarge Name: au.GIF Size: 14 KB
  • #495
  • Jun 8, 2010 5:17pm Jun 8, 2010 5:17pm
Quoting amyc
This is the short setup I was waiting for on AU. 80 pip top with the pink resistance. Notice it is the same setup as last week was at 8519.

I stopped yesterdays shorts when price crossed 8216 again but have taken more this morning off 8275. There is another pattern to complete which may push price up towards 8350 first but this doesn't always complete. If it does I will add to my shorts.
Great charts Amy!
  • #496
  • Edited 6:51pm Jun 8, 2010 5:52pm | Edited 6:51pm
Dow has completed the move from green lows back to midpoints on Tuesday. The usual pattern would be Wednesday consolidates around the highs and then on Thursday there is a large down day.

The S&P is lagging on this up move but I have noticed this year that the dow seems to give more accurate tops and bottoms.

Target in June for the dow is 9624. I will start to build short positions from here.
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  • #497
  • Jun 8, 2010 5:55pm Jun 8, 2010 5:55pm
GU moved down to the green lows and bounced on Tuesday, this should move back to the green midpoints on Wednesday before selling down again.
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  • #498
  • Jun 8, 2010 6:31pm Jun 8, 2010 6:31pm
Quoting amyc
This is the short setup I was waiting for on AU. 80 pip top with the pink resistance. Notice it is the same setup as last week was at 8519.

I stopped yesterdays shorts when price crossed 8216 again but have taken more this morning off 8275. There is another pattern to complete which may push price up towards 8350 first but this doesn't always complete. If it does I will add to my shorts.

Good morning amyc, i also took shorts around this level too!
  • #499
  • Jun 8, 2010 7:00pm Jun 8, 2010 7:00pm
Quoting epeks
Good morning amyc, i also took shorts around this level too!
Hi epeks, hopefully this time we see some new lows.
  • #500
  • Jun 8, 2010 7:59pm Jun 8, 2010 7:59pm
Chart below is Gold monthly.

Price has almost touched the yearly highs at 1253, I am looking for Q3 to reverse back into the green lows which are currently sitting at 1073. If its going to move down this should be where it peaks.

Shahab if you read this, how does this compare with your charts?
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