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Amyc Trade Journal

  • #461
  • Jun 6, 2010 6:19pm Jun 6, 2010 6:19pm
Quoting hutrader
Would you still enter GU short on monday morning or have any better entry price for it?
I think there is a possibility of some retrace early this week for all usd pairs, I am waiting to add to my positions.
  • #462
  • Jun 6, 2010 6:22pm Jun 6, 2010 6:22pm
EA looks like it may have put in a bottom on Thursday, it is now looking bullish while above the green midpoints. If that continues then the aud could be in freefall mode again this week.
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  • #463
  • Jun 6, 2010 6:31pm Jun 6, 2010 6:31pm
DX, probable 0.8 point reversal coming up, careful with shorting usd pairs for now.
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  • #464
  • Jun 6, 2010 8:05pm Jun 6, 2010 8:05pm
EU, looking for a move back to 1.2048. The bounce off the green lows at 1.1892 and 4hr close above should push it back to the green midpoints before the next sell down. This is helped by the 80 pip low with pink support at 1.1887.
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  • #465
  • Jun 6, 2010 8:16pm Jun 6, 2010 8:16pm
GU, 1.4533 would be a good sell on GU but since price has yet to make it to the green lows on Friday or today it could just continue down into 1.4348 today.
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  • #466
  • Jun 6, 2010 8:19pm Jun 6, 2010 8:19pm
AU, close below the green lows on both Friday and today, chances of a retrace seem slim for this pair, next target 8042.
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  • #467
  • Jun 6, 2010 9:34pm Jun 6, 2010 9:34pm
Thats quite a big retrace for the EU after the latest drop, do you think it will make it that far back up?
  • #468
  • Jun 6, 2010 9:49pm Jun 6, 2010 9:49pm
Quoting drandycollings
Thats quite a big retrace for the EU after the latest drop, do you think it will make it that far back up?
Normally it would manage to do this retrace without any problem, maybe this time the strength of the trend will be too much for it. Another thing to note is that if it can't retrace that far back on Monday then on Tuesday the midpoint will drop lower so it may meet price on Tuesday, it's a high probability move so I won't be shorting until either its complete or it's obvious it's not going to happen.
  • #469
  • Jun 6, 2010 10:03pm Jun 6, 2010 10:03pm
S&P and Dow also looking like retracing back to the green midpoints on Monday.
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  • #470
  • Jun 6, 2010 10:16pm Jun 6, 2010 10:16pm
Quoting amyc
AU, close below the green lows on both Friday and today, chances of a retrace seem slim for this pair, next target 8042.
I am on the same page with you on this one. But PA seems to be making a small retrace. I am taking both scenarios into consideration, so I have PA targets on a retrace and targets on a drop. But like you, I thought that this had further south to go. Guess we will have to wait and see. Good stuff Amy; as always. You and Shahab's thread posts get sent right to my blackberry Also, that other thread you pointed me to, Coke's, is really good too All the best to you and your trades Amy
  • #471
  • Jun 6, 2010 10:35pm Jun 6, 2010 10:35pm
Quoting Saxon
I am on the same page with you on this one. But PA seems to be making a small retrace. I am taking both scenarios into consideration, so I have PA targets on a retrace and targets on a drop. But like you, I thought that this had further south to go. Guess we will have to wait and see. Good stuff Amy; as always. You and Shahab's thread posts get sent right to my blackberry Also, that other thread you pointed me to, Coke's, is really good too All the best to you and your trades Amy
I think now a retrace is probably the higher probability scenario for NY session Monday just bc I think indicies will rise and there is a high correlation there. But price needs to get above 8145 first I have strong resistance here. AU also has a pattern to complete into 8091 today so one more fall could occur before a rise. EU completed its pattern when it fell to 1.1877.

I don't mind either way as I am going to hold my shorts into 66 if I can, but if it rises and I get to short more then that is good too. I am trying to work my way into some long term shorts as I am going to be away for a month in another 2 weeks and I don't want to miss the fall into July.

There is definitely a good group of traders in FF at the moment. Out of all the traders here you have made the most difference to my bottom line though. One day you said you never trade in the first hour of the London session, I looked through my trades and realised that hour was more expensive to me than the rest of the day put together.
  • #472
  • Jun 6, 2010 11:00pm Jun 6, 2010 11:00pm
Quoting amyc
I think now a retrace is probably the higher probability scenario for NY session Monday just bc I think indicies will rise and there is a high correlation there. But price needs to get above 8145 first I have strong resistance here. AU also has a pattern to complete into 8091 today so one more fall could occur before a rise. EU completed its pattern when it fell to 1.1877.

I don't mind either way as I am going to hold my shorts into 66 if I can, but if it rises and I get to short more then that is good too. I am trying to work my way into some...
Glad I could help, your calls/analysis have made many pips for me, or kept me out of bad trades. Enjoy trading with you
  • #473
  • Jun 6, 2010 11:08pm Jun 6, 2010 11:08pm
Quoting Saxon
Glad I could help, your calls/analysis have made many pips for me, or kept me out of bad trades. Enjoy trading with you
Same
  • #474
  • Jun 7, 2010 6:01pm Jun 7, 2010 6:01pm
Pound shorts got taken last night at 1.4530, stops are currently sitting above yesterdays highs at 1.4570. Targeting 1.41 and 1.38.
  • #475
  • Jun 7, 2010 6:09pm Jun 7, 2010 6:09pm
AU shorts have also been added to at 8120, this short was taken off the 40 pip top shown at 8123, if price starts to trade above 8126 I will exit. This is not a low risk entry and I will probably be stopped out. But AU is trying to make its way to 79 so I will keep trying to short it until it gets there. Maybe I will get lucky.
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  • #476
  • Jun 7, 2010 7:22pm Jun 7, 2010 7:22pm
Quoting amyc
Pound shorts got taken last night at 1.4530, stops are currently sitting above yesterdays highs at 1.4570. Targeting 1.41 and 1.38.
Wow, what a coincidence !!
#189
#197
  • #477
  • Jun 7, 2010 7:33pm Jun 7, 2010 7:33pm
Quoting shahab8b
Wow, what a coincidence !!
#189
#197
You would be suprised how often you and I match up with trade calls, just shows 2 very different methodologies still come up with the samething.
  • #478
  • Jun 7, 2010 7:38pm Jun 7, 2010 7:38pm
Quoting amyc
AU shorts have also been added to at 8120, this short was taken off the 40 pip top shown at 8123, if price starts to trade above 8126 I will exit. This is not a low risk entry and I will probably be stopped out. But AU is trying to make its way to 79 so I will keep trying to short it until it gets there. Maybe I will get lucky.
Not so lucky on that one. Short AU again at 8146, next 40 pip top, also matches with daily pp. Stop 8165, lets see this time.
  • #479
  • Jun 7, 2010 7:59pm Jun 7, 2010 7:59pm
Quoting amyc
Not so lucky on that one. Short AU again at 8146, next 40 pip top, also matches with daily pp. Stop 8165, lets see this time.
Back to my desk. Holy Moly. I can't believe it went up so far. Sorry about that last call before I left.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #480
  • Jun 7, 2010 8:03pm Jun 7, 2010 8:03pm
Quoting MarcVUM
Back to my desk. Holy Moly. I can't believe it went up so far. Sorry about that last call before I left.

Thats ok, just closed out the 2nd trade at 8153, daily close above the gmt pivot point. 8216 is within reach now.
I knew the trade wasn't going to work anyway, today must be going to be one of those days where I do my best to give away my account.
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