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Amyc Trade Journal

  • #381
  • May 27, 2010 6:19pm May 27, 2010 6:19pm
ok just one trade, I am long eu from 1.2301, SL 1.2280 and TP 1.2420. There is a possibility this comes back down into 1.2287 before heading up.
  • #382
  • May 27, 2010 6:27pm May 27, 2010 6:27pm
Quoting amyc
ok just one trade, I am long eu from 1.2301, SL 1.2280 and TP 1.2420. There is a possibility this comes back down into 1.2287 before heading up.
Hey Amy, can you post your chart on AU? Just want to make sure we line up. Thanks! Hope all is well
  • #383
  • May 27, 2010 9:30pm May 27, 2010 9:30pm
AU daily view, the next short is where the yellow and green meet next week. As long as 1 June opens under the monthly pp (Yellow) then it will be down into 80.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au.GIF Size: 13 KB
  • #384
  • May 27, 2010 9:33pm May 27, 2010 9:33pm
For today price should continue to move up into the green highs at 8593, first though it is possible that it moves back as far as 8406.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au.GIF Size: 9 KB
  • #385
  • May 27, 2010 9:36pm May 27, 2010 9:36pm
Thanks Amy!
  • #386
  • May 28, 2010 2:07am May 28, 2010 2:07am
Quoting amyc
ok just one trade, I am long eu from 1.2301, SL 1.2280 and TP 1.2420. There is a possibility this comes back down into 1.2287 before heading up.
Nice call. Suppose you TPed?
  • #387
  • May 28, 2010 2:49am May 28, 2010 2:49am
Quoting GoldenGold
Nice call. Suppose you TPed?
not yet, I removed the tp and have a trailing stop currently at 1.2380
  • #388
  • May 28, 2010 4:10am May 28, 2010 4:10am
Exited the eu long at 1.24 for +100 pips.
  • #389
  • May 30, 2010 4:18pm May 30, 2010 4:18pm
AU, I am looking for au to head up this week into 8605. Once this level has been touched then I will look for a sell that I will hold looking for new lows.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au.GIF Size: 13 KB
  • #390
  • Edited 5:24pm May 30, 2010 4:27pm | Edited 5:24pm
Same deal for ES, looking for a move up into 1114 then a move down into the yellow lows at 1024. I think this market will head down into 970 (yearly pp) before it forms a base so 1024 is a target not a support, price can easily break it and head straight to 970 in June.

As a note to this post, i'm not sure if I mentioned this before but I don't see this as the start of a bear market in equities. I see 970 forming a base and the market moving up making new highs in the 4th quarter and continuing up for the next 5 or so years. If Q2 closes below 970 then this view is probably wrong but until that happens then I will continue to hold it.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: es.GIF Size: 26 KB
  • #391
  • May 30, 2010 4:32pm May 30, 2010 4:32pm
EU, I am still waiting for EU to move back to the blue midpoints and towards the June pp around 1.25 but with this weeks open below the weekly pp this is looking less and less likely to happen. This weeks targets are 1.2124 and then down into yellow lows at 1.19 during June.

I will give it a couple more days but if au and indicies have reached their sell points and eu has still not moved up then I will probably just sell eu anyway.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.GIF Size: 19 KB
  • #392
  • May 30, 2010 4:39pm May 30, 2010 4:39pm
Do you look at openings on other EUR related pairs. for example the open on EURJPY is above the PP so target there could be 113.824, but it is below the weekly PP on EURUSD ?

Andy
  • #393
  • May 30, 2010 4:44pm May 30, 2010 4:44pm
Quoting drandycollings
Do you look at openings on other EUR related pairs. for example the open on EURJPY is above the PP so target there could be 113.824, but it is below the weekly PP on EURUSD ?

Andy
No I don't trade yen pairs, I have never done any analysis on them so I don't know what probability to assign to that, it could be much lower than usd pairs.
  • #394
  • May 30, 2010 6:27pm May 30, 2010 6:27pm
Long au at 8460, as long as price stays above 8452 then it should continue up. Target 8605 stop 8450. I know its not so smart opening a trade on a public holiday but I think the RR is worth it. If price falls below 8452 then it is probably heading down into 8406 before going up.
  • #395
  • May 30, 2010 6:55pm May 30, 2010 6:55pm
Quoting amyc
Long au at 8460, as long as price stays above 8452 then it should continue up. Target 8605 stop 8450. I know its not so smart opening a trade on a public holiday but I think the RR is worth it. If price falls below 8452 then it is probably heading down into 8406 before going up.
You are probably right about the holiday idea but I too had to take a long on A/U. I was in much earlier at 8450. It just hit Daily PP at 8483 however should continue higher. I may add if we break above Daily PP and successfully test it as new support.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #396
  • May 30, 2010 7:01pm May 30, 2010 7:01pm
Quoting MarcVUM
You are probably right about the holiday idea but I too had to take a long on A/U. I was in much earlier at 8450. It just hit Daily PP at 8483 however should continue higher. I may add if we break above Daily PP and successfully test it as new support.
Good luck to both of us
  • #397
  • May 30, 2010 9:41pm May 30, 2010 9:41pm
Amy, the 150ema and 200sma on the M15 that I rely on heavily are too close for comfort for me now. I am closing my A/U long position with 33 pips.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au.jpg Size: 137 KB
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #398
  • May 30, 2010 9:42pm May 30, 2010 9:42pm
8497 on au is going to be problematic for longs, even though price should move up this week it may take some better than expected news on Tuesday to break this level, or it may move down 80 pips and complete the move on the downside then move up from there. I am expecting to be stopped on my longs but that is ok the loss is small.
Attached Image
  • #399
  • May 30, 2010 9:47pm May 30, 2010 9:47pm
Quoting MarcVUM
Amy, the 150ema and 200sma on the M15 that I rely on heavily are too close for comfort for me now. I am closing my A/U long position with 33 pips.
ok i am going to hold mine, i'm willing to take a small loss.
  • #400
  • May 31, 2010 12:00am May 31, 2010 12:00am
closed longs at 8470 +10 pips. I will look for another entry tomorrow.
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