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Trade Using VSA (Volume Spread Analysis)

  • #7,421
  • May 21, 2010 12:09am May 21, 2010 12:09am
Quoting uraceulose
Do you mind if I copy and paste this post and email it to him(my friend)? I'll of course reference it to you.

I dumped my bofa stock @ 17.25 bought early march 09 @ 4.00

I'm waiting for the 7000 and below area again where I will re-load some. (options/stocks)
yeah sure .. that 9800 level is critical

retracement:

38 = 9450
50 = 9000 ( my fav )
61.8= 8330
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #7,422
  • May 21, 2010 12:11am May 21, 2010 12:11am
Quoting malcolmb14
yeah sure .. that 9800 level is critical

retracement:

38 = 9450
50 = 9000 ( my fav )
61.8= 8330
thank you sir
  • #7,423
  • May 21, 2010 1:05am May 21, 2010 1:05am
Quoting malcolmb14
also in looking at the volumes on the up moves to 1.4450 the volume just vapourises .... 30 min charts

this looks like defending of that support level 1.4250 only , so there is some buying there

also of note is we have had CLEAR signs of bank intervention in the fx market last 2 days . so those large volume spikes we have seen could just be intervention / bank volume.

i have been playing gj on a 15 min which is a little easier then gu right now.
EU I have steared clear of
Thanks for the added info.

How did you get on with your trial of making 1 entry per day depending on Asian activity? Are you still doing that?

Can I ask what your SL was when you traded this way on GU?
  • #7,424
  • May 21, 2010 4:03pm May 21, 2010 4:03pm
According to the News , My trades are crazy!!

Well, call me . crazy .

Nice weekend everyone.........
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  • #7,425
  • May 22, 2010 11:58am May 22, 2010 11:58am
unusual timeframe, but had to post it. no comments.
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Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #7,426
  • May 22, 2010 12:05pm May 22, 2010 12:05pm
Quoting taomql4
According to the News , My trades are crazy!!

Well, call me . crazy .

Nice weekend everyone.........
nothing crazy about them

ecb has been clearly intervening in euro this last week
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #7,427
  • May 22, 2010 12:10pm May 22, 2010 12:10pm
Quoting Scrat
unusual timeframe, but had to post it. no comments.
note the prior week to this week

massive volume closing on a down bar . This week could not get above the close of last week

we just have to wait .

I would not be surprised to see a shake out to 1.4000 before any significant up move
however if 1.4500 breaks I am long for 1.5000

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gu.jpg Size: 226 KB
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #7,428
  • May 22, 2010 12:51pm May 22, 2010 12:51pm
so we read in the news ' bank sector jumps on reforms in senate not being as bad as banks thought ' , ' bottom of market are here ' ' jp morgan jump 5% ' blah blah

what really happened yesterday ?

well it was options expiry ... everyone had puts I bet and they exercised those , meaning that they then had to cover the shorts ... forcing the market up

s and p was very spectacular with a 35 point rise , 15 point drop and 17 point rise in 15 min at end of day

here is a pictures of the dj , while this looks like what may be the formation of stopping volume ( in fact I expect an up day Monday into 1100 on s and p and will be looking for any signs of a no demand day for selling into 950)

the red vol before was a very simialr day to Friday only in reverse .... guess why ? wellthis was the last option expiry and everyone had calls and sold the underlying stock .

so monday looking for any sign of ut / no demand or a failure of 10300 for target 9900 / 9800 later in the week

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: chart2218.png Size: 235 KB
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #7,429
  • Edited 6:36pm May 22, 2010 6:19pm | Edited 6:36pm
lets see how this one plays out

note what happened on last options expiry after a high volume down bar we saw continuation of market direction

options day and volume in the market does not act like any other day .

as stated I am expecting up move to 1100 and looking for any signs of weakness there

I have been trading es intraday and hammering it , one day this week was a 65 point day , friday was a disappointing 30 point day for me on 2 trades

I put my neck out on trades ... rarely see anything from you before it happens only your analysis after it happens.....

BTW ignoring any sign of no demands ,as you indicate in a retrace mode, on the dj or s&p is like saying that the dj is going to 14400 ....and higher.

10300 to 10500 looks like reasonable place for more selling , so i will be looking for any weakness there. weekly is in a down trend with weakness devleoping for MONTHs ... think this drop was a surprise to me ?

I have also attached a chart showing a similar set up in a down trend on setp19 , 2008 ... guess what that was options expiry ....

1050 pretty major support on es ...with 1110 then 1150 as overhead resistance.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: chart2220.png Size: 169 KB






Quoting HiddenGap
Going against Mal is like saying you don't like money. But......

Based on this chart alone, the last candle looks like a Key Reversal Bar (KRB). Note it opens lower than the previous candle, makes a lower low, closes higher than the previous candle and its own open. It also closes slightly off its high. Note also that the volume is increasing. The volume is high, but note that it is not as high as the volume on the shake out.

I would expect the market to move higher. The next candle may indeed be on low volume. However this would not be no demand,...
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #7,430
  • May 22, 2010 6:37pm May 22, 2010 6:37pm
10 min es chart showing vsa

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: chart2221.png Size: 170 KB
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #7,431
  • May 24, 2010 9:23am May 24, 2010 9:23am
hi, do you think it's a good idea to trade e-mini nasdaq100, because off the smaller margins?
"Imagination is more important than knowledge" Einstein
  • #7,432
  • May 24, 2010 10:27pm May 24, 2010 10:27pm
http://www.pipbuilders.com/Advanced_...Screenshot.png

An advanced module test in SMART using Globex AUD
The trend always ends.
  • #7,433
  • May 24, 2010 10:58pm May 24, 2010 10:58pm
well could not even make it back above 1085 today ....

heavy selling during asia.

This post is an example of when vsa does not apply to indexes ( options expiry)

Quoting malcolmb14
lets see how this one plays out

note what happened on last options expiry after a high volume down bar we saw continuation of market direction

options day and volume in the market does not act like any other day .

as stated I am expecting up move to 1100 and looking for any signs of weakness there

I have been trading es intraday and hammering it , one day this week was a 65 point day , friday was a disappointing 30 point day for me on 2 trades

I put my neck out on trades ... rarely see anything from you before it happens only your analysis...
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #7,434
  • May 25, 2010 12:13am May 25, 2010 12:13am
Are we ready to do some beta testing?http://www.pipbuilders.com/Advanced_...Screenshot.png

An advanced module test in SMART using Globex AUD[/quote]
  • #7,435
  • May 25, 2010 11:29am May 25, 2010 11:29am
nice short entry yesterday, but i didn't take it because the confirmation came near by NY close and i don't like to have a open position without to have already profit in and stop at least to break even in asia...anyway, look's like this time i was wrong...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2010-05-25-TOS_CHARTS.png Size: 76 KB
"Imagination is more important than knowledge" Einstein
  • #7,436
  • May 25, 2010 2:41pm May 25, 2010 2:41pm
Quoting bowldog
Are we ready to do some beta testing?http://www.pipbuilders.com/Advanced_...Screenshot.png

An advanced module test in SMART using Globex AUD
We are ready to launch it. Expect an email soon if you signed up for notification. If you didn't... do so from the link on the first post of this thread.
The trend always ends.
  • #7,437
  • May 25, 2010 5:40pm May 25, 2010 5:40pm
Gold Daily Chart illustrating some of the supply/demand weakness/strength modules only. SMART was built to be as customizable as possible within the Metatrader framework (for now <wink>) and you can easily show/hide whichever modules you like.

http://pipbuilders.com/sowdos.png

Some of these signals require validation bars or confirmation bars but you can see how well it works picking out the different reversals and possible entry/exit points based on supply/demand and strength/weakness triggers.

Weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee.
The trend always ends.
  • #7,438
  • May 25, 2010 7:00pm May 25, 2010 7:00pm
Quoting Shamus
Gold Daily Chart illustrating some of the supply/demand weakness/strength modules only. SMART was built to be as customizable as possible within the Metatrader framework (for now <wink>) and you can easily show/hide whichever modules you like.

http://pipbuilders.com/sowdos.png

Some of these signals require validation bars or confirmation bars but you can see how well it works picking out the different reversals and possible entry/exit points based on supply/demand and strength/weakness triggers.

Weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee.
Shamus, SMART will be compatible with MT4, is it correct? Thank you.
  • #7,439
  • May 25, 2010 7:19pm May 25, 2010 7:19pm
Quoting Cheiser
Shamus, SMART will be compatible with MT4, is it correct? Thank you.
Yes it is. After a short break we will start converting it to a stand alone system since mt4 is quite hokey and is one of the main causes for the delays in getting this done. Chuck has done quite a bit of magic with it though and has bent it to his will so it works awesome (even on netbooks with loaded template)
The trend always ends.
  • #7,440
  • May 26, 2010 7:27am May 26, 2010 7:27am
Haha, was waiting for that that it will be stand alone system already when i saw first screenshots
b,
tom

Quoting Shamus
Yes it is. After a short break we will start converting it to a stand alone system since mt4 is quite hokey and is one of the main causes for the delays in getting this done. Chuck has done quite a bit of magic with it though and has bent it to his will so it works awesome (even on netbooks with loaded template)
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