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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #15,181
  • May 11, 2010 7:15am May 11, 2010 7:15am
Quoting fti
becareful you not carrying his baby , when he decides to cash out.

be nimble, you'll survive.
Be herd, and you're on his plate.
Amen
  • #15,182
  • May 11, 2010 7:26am May 11, 2010 7:26am
Quoting fti
Do you know the name of the chap that suggested euro usd parity? What was the basis sighted?
Good , now that all the euro bears are in the open, its easier to clean house?
I just remembered what the german's (I cannot remember name) said that no speculators will be given the opportunity to benefit from the greece bailout. Wonder what was meant? and who it was directed at?


regards
Hello,

May be he meant: "...only we want to take benefits of the Greek disaster..."

The politic always said the same: when people sell are evil speculators, when people buy are good investors that trust our policies....

BTW, herr Weber, German CB director is against the policies that took the ECB, mesiuer Trichet.

Rgs,

Textor
  • #15,183
  • May 11, 2010 8:01am May 11, 2010 8:01am
Quoting Zoran
fti, with all due respect I am just questioning whether your method is effective and having the desired outcome at this point in time.
Strange enough, after more than 2 years, if TAF method is not effective or generating desired outcome for you, why still hang around? Even more strange-- you don't know you make money or not?

It's really hard to imagine a student trying to seize knowledge from teacher in such treacherous manner.

This world is really mean and nasty. Anything can happen
  • #15,184
  • May 11, 2010 8:32am May 11, 2010 8:32am
Quoting textor
Hello,

May be he meant: "...only we want to take benefits of the Greek disaster..."

The politic always said the same: when people sell are evil speculators, when people buy are good investors that trust our policies....

BTW, herr Weber, German CB director is against the policies that took the ECB, mesiuer Trichet.


Rgs,

Textor
wasn't weber.
I would remember if it was weber.
was like some german finance intelligence dept.

Anyway if weber was ECB chair. EU probably be in better shape, I think.

regards
  • #15,185
  • Edited 10:30am May 11, 2010 10:19am | Edited 10:30am
I am sure, that despite of some really unsuitable form, Zoran didnt mean it badly. I have to inform you (with my plain english..)from my own experience in Serbia, because i know some Serbians personally, that they are more offensivelly tuned as a nation generally. They are normally ready to discuss, but also fight and defend themselves no matter what is the prize... Imho, Serbia is the most underestimated nation in Europe...
  • #15,186
  • May 11, 2010 10:47am May 11, 2010 10:47am
PLease someone explain me what's going on here...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EUR_USD.jpg Size: 120 KB


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EUR_GBP.jpg Size: 91 KB


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EUR_CHF.jpg Size: 85 KB


Are the FEDS buying Euro?
  • #15,187
  • May 11, 2010 10:56am May 11, 2010 10:56am
Quoting Fana
I am sure, that despite of some really unsuitable form, Zoran didnt mean it badly. I have to inform you (with my plain english..)from my own experience in Serbia, because i know some Serbians personally, that they are more offensivelly tuned as a nation generally. They are normally ready to discuss, but also fight and defend themselves no matter what is the prize... Imho, Serbia is the most underestimated nation in Europe...
A country that gave birth to Ana Ivanovic, you bet.
  • #15,188
  • May 11, 2010 11:01am May 11, 2010 11:01am
Quoting aiyahmarklah
A country that gave birth to Ana Ivanovic, you bet.
typically
  • #15,189
  • May 11, 2010 11:03am May 11, 2010 11:03am
MyTbo, dont try to predict eur buying... dangerous...
  • #15,190
  • May 11, 2010 11:41am May 11, 2010 11:41am
Quoting MyTbo
PLease someone explain me what's going on here...

Attachment

Attachment

Attachment

Are the FEDS buying Euro?
My perspective: the euro is being re-valued to much lower levels across many currency pairs. Reason: falling confidence in the EMU and the EU to manage their problems. Fed is providing dollar liquidity now.
  • #15,191
  • May 11, 2010 12:04pm May 11, 2010 12:04pm
Hey GeFX, I know you're a big fen of EURJPY and you're probably in it now - have you noticed how the YEN started acting different lately? Or is it just me seeing things?
She seems to be bottoming now, lets see.

Regards
S
  • #15,192
  • May 11, 2010 12:33pm May 11, 2010 12:33pm
Quoting Setebos
Hey GeFX, I know you're a big fen of EURJPY and you're probably in it now - have you noticed how the YEN started acting different lately? Or is it just me seeing things?
She seems to be bottoming now, lets see.

Regards
S
Yep, was trading the E/Y today. Not sure what you are referring to regarding the Yen acting differently, aside from the fact that the E/Y crashed into 110.60 last week -- LOL.
  • #15,193
  • May 11, 2010 12:49pm May 11, 2010 12:49pm
Quoting GEfx
Yep, was trading the E/Y today. Not sure what you are referring to regarding the Yen acting differently, aside from the fact that the E/Y crashed into 110.60 last week -- LOL.
Yeah, I hear ya, it did bring some fresh emotions to the game, LOL
I follow a lot of intermarket correlations and some of them were broken recently, with YEN leading the way. I guess the game is a bit different now, that's normal - after all nothing stays the same forever.
Anyway, better focus on the chart now.

Trade well
S
  • #15,194
  • Edited 7:30pm May 11, 2010 7:09pm | Edited 7:30pm
Quoting fti
Do you know the name of the chap that suggested euro usd parity? What was the basis sighted?
Good , now that all the euro bears are in the open, its easier to clean house?
...


regards
Professor Heli.


regards.
  • #15,195
  • May 11, 2010 10:35pm May 11, 2010 10:35pm
Euro looks like it's behaving rather "normally" other than the spike in vols lately. Change is to be expected and as speculators it's a matter of survival to adapt to the changes.

The long term view for Euro seems to be kicking in pretty strong.
Either way, LONG term, EuroZone can't possibly do as well as US with the kinda crap that's unfurling now. Poo poo hit the fan big time.

So unless Germany's exports really get cranked up something chronic more than all the nonsense happening in PIIGS, Euroland is prob heading south.

Daily trend is still strongly short bias as well. I'll be sticking with this view until Euroland begins to pick up economically or US begins to slow down.

Sentiment now is pretty precarious though. China is going to slliiidddde for awhile with yesterday's inflation numbers out. Might precipitate risk aversion in a big way. Will affect JPY side, but Fiber should be "safe" in it's bear trend.

My 0.2pips.
One Mind, Any Market
  • #15,196
  • May 12, 2010 2:23am May 12, 2010 2:23am
http://www.officialjokes.com/images/courage.jpg

This is my dog fight as the cat for today... A picture is worth a thousand words...
Life is a school for the soul
  • #15,197
  • Edited 3:00am May 12, 2010 2:28am | Edited 3:00am
Quoting fti
That is quoted from commentary of photographs of a vertical slope hill hike challenge for scouts I train. Whats that got to do with spirals? But sure is violation of my privacy, in that facebook is my electronic means to communication with some of my boys and some friends.

Your ambitions overcomes you. Very unbecoming.
My intention is not to get into an argument. If you truly felt your privacy violated by my comment then I apologise - it was not my intention.

"Life isn't about safety, is about resolves and skills" - your words and I agree.

Does that apply to trading? With resolve and skill, can we mitigate safety risks? Your reluctance to discuss spirals as far as I'm aware is due to your concern for others safety. That was my point.

In defence of my action, I did not attack you but simply challenged an inconsistency I had in what I considered an objective mannner. We had a conversation together in a semi-public forum. I sensed nothing confidential about our discussion and I am one that prefers to express myself freely.

My intention, if it isn't obvious, is to take this forum to the next level. I think it is a bit unfair to be attacked personally for doing so.
  • #15,198
  • Edited 3:21am May 12, 2010 2:48am | Edited 3:21am
Quoting imjscn
Strange enough, after more than 2 years, if TAF method is not effective or generating desired outcome for you, why still hang around? Even more strange-- you don't know you make money or not?

It's really hard to imagine a student trying to seize knowledge from teacher in such treacherous manner.

This world is really mean and nasty. Anything can happen
I am still here to learn and contribute to this thread. I have been here since the very beginning and I believe I have contributed in a constructive manner. This isn't the first time fti has been upset with me and it's probably not the last. Sometimes I try to push a point across and if it doesn't have the desired result I'll leave it. It is a challenge meant to help. Please think before attacking someone personally.
  • #15,199
  • May 12, 2010 2:57am May 12, 2010 2:57am
Quoting Fana
I am sure, that despite of some really unsuitable form, Zoran didnt mean it badly. I have to inform you (with my plain english..)from my own experience in Serbia, because i know some Serbians personally, that they are more offensivelly tuned as a nation generally. They are normally ready to discuss, but also fight and defend themselves no matter what is the prize... Imho, Serbia is the most underestimated nation in Europe...
Fana, yes, I am Serbian and recently spend most of my time here. But I am also Australian and British. I have lived nearly all of my life in the west and have met people of all nationalities. We have good and bad everywhere but sometimes people are misunderstood. We are all humans and have our prejudices. However, as I read through the bible it has changed me to love and help more - even when obstacles are put before us.

Thanks for your support.
  • #15,200
  • May 12, 2010 3:00am May 12, 2010 3:00am
Does anyone have a program or know of a service that will automatically take screen shots of your platform at set intervals?

I think there has been some mention about this on the thread already.

Regards Seb.
The greatest force on earth is compound interest.
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