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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #15,161
  • May 11, 2010 2:46am May 11, 2010 2:46am
Quoting aiyahmarklah
Thank you the heads up. It will be interesting how they do it, they cannot print money like US does. Do you see the parity of E/U a possibility ? Many are speculating that it will.
Hey Mark, sorry, don't mean to jump on your points. No offense intended.

That swap line btw ECB + BoJ to Fed.
That's telling me they're open to e Fed's printing of money and swapping them into Euro or JPY.

Fed can print money. The 3 major C/banks know the power of flooding the market with liquidity to restore confidence. LIBOR-OIS is gradually beginning to creep down already.

Nothing personal here ok? Well intentioned post and open to correction if wrong... either way, we can only take what the market gives to us...

Edit: Oops. Fti beat me to the punch.
One Mind, Any Market
  • #15,162
  • May 11, 2010 3:01am May 11, 2010 3:01am
Quoting fti
Oh yes, they can. If they want to. Who is there to stop the ECB? They only need an excuse to do it.

Parity, if that happens, then Europe and US merges.
One World Order?
Like you said, there are many gamblers.
If only I know whats for dinner tomorrow?

regards
Yah man...watching closely...thanks
  • #15,163
  • May 11, 2010 3:02am May 11, 2010 3:02am
Quoting Cyrus
Hey Mark, sorry, don't mean to jump on your points. No offense intended.

That swap line btw ECB + BoJ to Fed.
That's telling me they're open to e Fed's printing of money and swapping them into Euro or JPY.

Fed can print money. The 3 major C/banks know the power of flooding the market with liquidity to restore confidence. LIBOR-OIS is gradually beginning to creep down already.

Nothing personal here ok? Well intentioned post and open to correction if wrong... either way, we can only take what the market gives to us...

Edit: Oops. Fti beat...
no lah, i appreciate your comment. whats so personal about it lol ?

cheers man...money is always on the table
  • #15,164
  • May 11, 2010 3:05am May 11, 2010 3:05am
Good morning friends

But what will be the effect of weak Euro on macroeconomics? It should support export... and subsequently Euro should strenghten...?
Isnt it only a non-reasonable panic now?
  • #15,165
  • May 11, 2010 3:16am May 11, 2010 3:16am
Quoting Fana
Good morning friends

But what will be the effect of weak Euro on macroeconomics? It should support export... and subsequently Euro should strenghten...?
Isnt it only a non-reasonable panic now?
Well. With an over all crap EZ. We expect the whole zone to be not so great wrt the US in terms of growth, etc.

BUT! On the other hand, weak eur = good for major exporters. Who? Germany.

Tell u what mate, attached a file for u. Take a read.
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf Greece's_impact_on_Asia_and_the_Middle_East__10_05_10_03_55.pdf   464 KB | 709 downloads
One Mind, Any Market
  • #15,166
  • May 11, 2010 3:26am May 11, 2010 3:26am
Quoting Cyrus
Well. With an over all crap EZ. We expect the whole zone to be not so great wrt the US in terms of growth, etc.

BUT! On the other hand, weak eur = good for major exporters. Who? Germany.

Tell u what mate, attached a file for u. Take a read.
Thank you

Apologies, but when i hear ...Fitch, Moody, SaP agencies... my blood is boiling. Gonna kill them all. Unfortunatelly these have still some abilities to influence economics. What is very strange to me that EVERY COUNTRY have a debt... To whoom? They pick our brain. And we all hear these news... from economic, despite it is...what it is...
  • #15,167
  • May 11, 2010 3:27am May 11, 2010 3:27am
Quoting Fana
Thank you

Apologies, but when i hear ...Fitch, Moody, SaP agencies... my blood is boiling. Gonna kill them all. Unfortunatelly these have still some abilities to influence economics. What is very strange to me that EVERY COUNTRY have a debt... To whoom? They pick our brain. And we all hear these news... from economic, despite it is...what it is...
I care about how it influences price action... cause tt's how I make money my friend. Doesn't really matter if they are even useful or not, if enough big money thinks they are, they affect the market and tt's all that really matters now yes? =)
One Mind, Any Market
  • #15,168
  • Edited 4:57am May 11, 2010 4:43am | Edited 4:57am
It seems the bailout did not get the applause it was meant for. Actually just got the word that a few European banks have been seen actively shorting the EUR today. I wonder what tomorrow's gonna bring, hah.

P.S. I'm sure George Soros is impressed now.
  • #15,169
  • May 11, 2010 6:11am May 11, 2010 6:11am
I understand it like this...
It is just an idea, practically it must be modified...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #15,170
  • May 11, 2010 6:35am May 11, 2010 6:35am
Quoting Zoran
fti, with all due respect I am just questioning whether your method is effective and having the desired outcome at this point in time....
That is quoted from commentary of photographs of a vertical slope hill hike challenge for scouts I train. Whats that got to do with spirals? But sure is violation of my privacy, in that facebook is my electronic means to communication with some of my boys and some friends.

Your ambitions overcomes you. Very unbecoming.
  • #15,171
  • Edited 6:59am May 11, 2010 6:45am | Edited 6:59am
Quoting Fana
Good morning friends

But what will be the effect of weak Euro on macroeconomics? It should support export... and subsequently Euro should strenghten...?
Isnt it only a non-reasonable panic now?
Its the new world order of things, its a way to force panda's money policies. By defect if all currencies devalue in tandem,guess what is the panda's comparative purchasing value? But this will causes some others robust economies to hyper inflate. But of course for the "greater "good. Their egos overcomes them too. Some people just don't care and have no scruples of their actions, they are the center of the universe.


regards
  • #15,172
  • May 11, 2010 6:48am May 11, 2010 6:48am
Fti,

Once again, thank you for all the time and effort you've invested in the thread and those who journey along with you.

Business calls, gotta take a break.

Wishing all good fortunes and trades..........

Chao,

Inserted Video
  • #15,173
  • May 11, 2010 6:51am May 11, 2010 6:51am
Quoting Fana
Thank you

Apologies, but when i hear ...Fitch, Moody, SaP agencies... my blood is boiling. Gonna kill them all. Unfortunatelly these have still some abilities to influence economics. What is very strange to me that EVERY COUNTRY have a debt... To whoom? They pick our brain. And we all hear these news... from economic, despite it is...what it is...
when rating agencies starts downgrading country risk. Their cost of borrowing will be impacted. So guess whats gonna happen in the money markets? Of course there is impact.

regards
  • #15,174
  • May 11, 2010 6:54am May 11, 2010 6:54am
Quoting Setebos
It seems the bailout did not get the applause it was meant for. Actually just got the word that a few European banks have been seen actively shorting the EUR today. I wonder what tomorrow's gonna bring, hah.

P.S. I'm sure George Soros is impressed now.
What they came up with is a frame work for rescue, with ton of "if" conditions attached. have you seen any movement of funds?

Yeah , why do you think he was invited for meeting with CBs. To critique the coffee?

regards
  • #15,175
  • May 11, 2010 7:04am May 11, 2010 7:04am
If Greece [2% of EU economy] crushed EURO, in few months.. and Lehman [again 2-3% of US economy] did the same an year ago.. then a good question is what is going to happen, when UK and US lose AAA+ ???
Bond market is an END GAME.. credit cards, and commercial real estate are only collateral..

My take is that what w we saw with greece is only a TEST probe, from what we are to Expect in next months - year/two...

BTW.. nice article..

European Banks Now Feverishly Betting Against Euro, As Bailout Fails, Gold Surges [just as an idea]

http://www.zerohedge.com/


World is full with pandas.. Thanks fti..
  • #15,176
  • May 11, 2010 7:04am May 11, 2010 7:04am
Hello Fti
About the world changes. I think, that there are many idio.s and clones, family-fortune and power inheritors. They dont care about quality... What is the solution??? regards
  • #15,177
  • May 11, 2010 7:05am May 11, 2010 7:05am
Quoting auxesis
Fti,

Once again, thank you for all the time and effort you've invested in the thread and those who journey along with you.

Business calls, gotta take a break.

Wishing all good fortunes and trades..........

Chao,

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RdSWXRZu7OM
Thank you to you too, you are a great contributor in this thread.

I hope to "see" you again here.

Good luck!

Textor
  • #15,178
  • May 11, 2010 7:07am May 11, 2010 7:07am
Do you know the name of the chap that suggested euro usd parity? What was the basis sighted?
Good , now that all the euro bears are in the open, its easier to clean house?
I just remembered what the german's (I cannot remember name) said that no speculators will be given the opportunity to benefit from the greece bailout. Wonder what was meant? and who it was directed at?


regards
  • #15,179
  • May 11, 2010 7:09am May 11, 2010 7:09am
Quoting fti
What they came up with is a frame work for rescue, with ton of "if" conditions attached. have you seen any movement of funds?
EU CBs already started buying out debt from what was made public.
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSWEA125920100510
I'm getting the warm gut feeling that it's exactly the tons of "if" that's causing the problems lately.

Quoting fti
Hitman?

regards
Yeah, that's the one

@ Piters One of my favorite sources, just love their style
  • #15,180
  • May 11, 2010 7:12am May 11, 2010 7:12am
Quoting Setebos
EU CBs already started buying out debt from what was made public.
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSWEA125920100510
I'm getting the warm gut feeling that it's exactly the tons of "if" that's causing the problems lately.



Yeah, that's the one

@ Piters One of my favorite sources, just love their style
becareful you not carrying his baby , when he decides to cash out.

be nimble, you'll survive.
Be herd, and you're on his plate.
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