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Amyc Trade Journal

  • #81
  • Apr 12, 2010 11:47pm Apr 12, 2010 11:47pm
Amy, I have a long PO at 9204, which is the 150 ma on the H4. Happens to be near the daily and weekly S's as well as a TL.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #82
  • Apr 12, 2010 11:48pm Apr 12, 2010 11:48pm
Quoting MarcVUM
Amy, I have a long PO at 9204, which is the 150 ma on the H4. Happens to be near the daily and weekly S's as well as a TL.
Sorry what's a PO?
  • #83
  • Apr 12, 2010 11:49pm Apr 12, 2010 11:49pm
Quoting amyc
Sorry what's a PO?
pending order
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #84
  • Apr 12, 2010 11:55pm Apr 12, 2010 11:55pm
Quoting MarcVUM
pending order
ok, i am not sure about longs for Tuesday, if we are below 9224 then I won't be touching them, also S&P looks like its preparing to move down tonight, that won't help the aud out.

I think that eu needs to go up and complete a move up to 1.38 and dx move down into 79.4, and I think that aud will move up when that move is completed, not sure if that will be today though.

Trading longs at 9204 today i think will give a similar outcome to trying to trade them at 9300 yesterday. we will see though.
  • #85
  • Apr 13, 2010 12:00am Apr 13, 2010 12:00am
Quoting amyc
Trading longs at 9204 today i think will give a similar outcome to trying to trade them at 9300 yesterday. we will see though.
9204 is the 150ma on the H4. The daily S and weekly S at about 9222 and 9218 is sitting there as well and a TL that you can see in pink on my H4 chart.

Being that it is under the Black MA on my chart that is not a good sign for the bulls but I'm willing to take the chance for a few pips...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au.jpg Size: 153 KB
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #86
  • Apr 13, 2010 12:29am Apr 13, 2010 12:29am
Closed remaining shorts at 9240, seems to have found support. + 30 pips
  • #87
  • Apr 13, 2010 12:37am Apr 13, 2010 12:37am
Strong bounce off 9224 in aud, have taken a half long position at 9240, will add more once trend is more established. SL 9220. TP 94
  • #88
  • Apr 13, 2010 5:34am Apr 13, 2010 5:34am
Added to au longs at gmt +8 at 9252, price should continue to move up into Wednesdays Highs.

Also took longs on EU at 1.3560 targeting 1.38 will add more tomorrow if not stopped out. SL 1.3540.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.GIF Size: 12 KB
  • #89
  • Edited 6:16pm Apr 13, 2010 4:52pm | Edited 6:16pm
EU finally hit daily lows at 1.3548 matched with an 80 pip low and pink support. Price should continue to move up today.

Stops on all trades moved to BE. I will add to the euro long on Wednesday if I see an opportunity.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.GIF Size: 16 KB
  • #90
  • Apr 13, 2010 8:03pm Apr 13, 2010 8:03pm
Aud moved up nicely off the daily lows yesterday at 9225, for Wednesday it should move up into at least 9333. Looking at other charts though i suspect it will break out of this and continue higher.
If it comes back to 9285 I will add longs.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au.GIF Size: 10 KB
  • #91
  • Apr 13, 2010 8:54pm Apr 13, 2010 8:54pm
EU has moved up off Tuesdays daily lows and into Wednesdays highs and stalled. The charts are mixed as to whether it moves up any further today but I will hold my longs as I am still looking for 1.38.
Attached Image
  • #92
  • Apr 13, 2010 11:07pm Apr 13, 2010 11:07pm
EU trading above 1.3660 is bullish and should continue upward into Thursdays highs.
  • #93
  • Apr 14, 2010 12:30am Apr 14, 2010 12:30am
hi amyc i have R at 3660 as well though broken once but it didn't seem like a clean break, perhaps we need another bullish signal to confirm?
perhaps a pull down before challenging 3660 again

btw the dip down yesterday after breaking the channel was unexpected
  • #94
  • Apr 14, 2010 12:34am Apr 14, 2010 12:34am
Quoting OvT
hi amyc i have R at 3660 as well though broken once but it didn't seem like a clean break, perhaps we need another bullish signal to confirm?
perhaps a pull down before challenging 3660 again

btw the dip down yesterday after breaking the channel was unexpected
Hi OvT, I think that if 3660 was going to provide robust resistance today it would have been defended more heavily, instead price has sat here for 4 hours now and been allowed through once. Usually if daily highs/lows are going to cap the move price won't go 1 pip past them.
  • #95
  • Apr 14, 2010 12:48am Apr 14, 2010 12:48am
Quoting amyc
Hi OvT, I think that if 3660 was going to provide robust resistance today it would have been defended more heavily, instead price has sat here for 4 hours now and been allowed through once. Usually if daily highs/lows are going to cap the move price won't go 1 pip past them.
ic, makes sense
at the same time the R turn S 3640 now acts as the bottom of the range
since i closed my longs earlier i shall wait for a better signal, or scalp range with bull bias

with the high correlation, if e/u breaks this R i'd guess a/u probably will break R 9324 as well, perhaps they will reach 3800 and 9400 at the same time

btw great call on e/u, e/u thread seems to be filled with bearish views
  • #96
  • Apr 14, 2010 12:54am Apr 14, 2010 12:54am
Quoting OvT
ic, makes sense
at the same time the R turn S 3640 now acts as the bottom of the range
since i closed my longs earlier i shall wait for a better signal, or scalp range with bull bias

with the high correlation, if e/u breaks this R i'd guess a/u probably will break R 9324 as well, perhaps they will reach 3800 and 9400 at the same time

btw great call on e/u, e/u thread seems to be filled with bearish views
I have 3642 as 4hr support currently so it may head down and bounce off that.

Thanks, if we reach 1.38 I will be taking out large shorts, I couldn't believe my luck when I saw where we opened on Sunday. I still think there is a very high probability that we see 1.3250 by the end of April. As long as the S&P futures doesn't have a weekly close above 1200 I think next week maybe very bearish.
  • #97
  • Apr 14, 2010 2:44am Apr 14, 2010 2:44am
I have added to my long EU position at 1.3624 and 1.3620 SL for both 1.3605. If price moves up from here it should do another 80 pips up into 1.37. If not then its probably going down to 1.3585 first. TP 1.38 for both.
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  • #98
  • Apr 14, 2010 6:06am Apr 14, 2010 6:06am
EU stopped at 1.3610, -10 and -14 pips.

Next entry 1.3585 SL 1.3565
  • #99
  • Edited 6:12pm Apr 14, 2010 5:56pm | Edited 6:12pm
Trade Update

Still holding long auds, price broke out of 9333 on Wednesday so it should continue upwards today. Its slow going but I think it should hit 9400 by the end of the week.

For EU, still holding Tuesdays long and still looking for 1.38 before taking shorts.
  • #100
  • Apr 14, 2010 11:33pm Apr 14, 2010 11:33pm
I have added to my long EU position at 1.3640. This is the same pattern I tried to long yesterday which failed, hopefully today follows through. SL 1.3622.
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