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Price Behaviour Trading - Gossip and Banters

  • #81
  • Mar 9, 2010 6:41am Mar 9, 2010 6:41am
  •  ams
  • | Joined Apr 2009 | Status: Perspective,Position,Plan ,Pattern | 2,859 Posts
priceless info!!
I would have vouched for you again if I was allowed to do so.
Have some drinks on me until we meet

ta
ams


Quoting elitejets
No there is no spot crude, unless you actually want some delivered

The Nymex pit hours are 09:00 to 14:30 NY time (14:00-19:30 london time), so starts half an hour before stocks but I guarantee you those pit traders are in an hour before that and getting things moving.
The US crude contracts are also traded on the European ICE exchange so its pretty liquid from when London opens....
  • #82
  • Mar 9, 2010 6:58am Mar 9, 2010 6:58am
For me, because of the time of day and the fact we moved up without testing 80 means we are going down again. I won't buy unless we get back above the TL
  • #83
  • Mar 9, 2010 7:02am Mar 9, 2010 7:02am
  •  ams
  • | Joined Apr 2009 | Status: Perspective,Position,Plan ,Pattern | 2,859 Posts
Makes sense as we have more room to go and we are retracing, only to fall further I guess.

Thanks Nic!

ta
ams


Quoting elitejets
For me, because of the time of day and the fact we moved up without testing 80 means we are going down again. I won't buy unless we get back above the TL
  • #84
  • Edited 7:47am Mar 9, 2010 7:35am | Edited 7:47am
  •  ams
  • | Joined Apr 2009 | Status: Perspective,Position,Plan ,Pattern | 2,859 Posts
Gold trendline touched, break of this meaning larger fall or we retrace from here. Let's see..

EDIT: oh heck, I am long from here...Let's see if gold is lucky for me :-)


Quoting ams
that's what I thought when everyone going for the gold rush hard to see this thing going down soon. Buy on dips it seems.

ta
ams
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gold.gif Size: 22 KB
  • #85
  • Mar 9, 2010 7:58am Mar 9, 2010 7:58am
1100 maybe ?
my short is still on

Quoting ams
Gold trendline touched, break of this meaning larger fall or we retrace from here. Let's see..

EDIT: oh heck, I am long from here...Let's see if gold is lucky for me :-)
  • #86
  • Mar 9, 2010 8:03am Mar 9, 2010 8:03am
  •  ams
  • | Joined Apr 2009 | Status: Perspective,Position,Plan ,Pattern | 2,859 Posts
good luck to both of us..I am targeting 1118 min.
My 1st ever sensible trade on gold..won't be sensible if my SL is hit :-)

ta
ams


Quoting samer960
1100 maybe ?
my short is still on
  • #87
  • Mar 9, 2010 8:17am Mar 9, 2010 8:17am
if this 4 h bar close above the trendline i will join u , so u wont be alone


Quoting ams
good luck to both of us..I am targeting 1118 min.
My 1st ever sensible trade on gold..won't be sensible if my SL is hit :-)

ta
ams
  • #88
  • Mar 9, 2010 8:22am Mar 9, 2010 8:22am
  •  ams
  • | Joined Apr 2009 | Status: Perspective,Position,Plan ,Pattern | 2,859 Posts
Make sense, sensible call!!

My first trade on gold, so I am allowed to act stupid :-)

Quoting samer960
if this 4 h bar close above the trendline i will join u , so u wont be alone


  • #89
  • Mar 9, 2010 9:09am Mar 9, 2010 9:09am
hey mate looking to join u soon

Quoting ams
Make sense, sensible call!!

My first trade on gold, so I am allowed to act stupid :-)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: closing short.gif Size: 17 KB
  • #90
  • Edited 9:50am Mar 9, 2010 9:32am | Edited 9:50am
  •  ams
  • | Joined Apr 2009 | Status: Perspective,Position,Plan ,Pattern | 2,859 Posts
I chickened out @ 1117.50 matey...
almost 5 or 50 pips whatever in terms of gold :-)

1st trade so had to be careful..


Quoting samer960
hey mate looking to join u soon
  • #91
  • Mar 9, 2010 9:53am Mar 9, 2010 9:53am
lol great , so it is as u have said we had luck both of u , i close it for 60 pip i could have close it with 110 , but this is forex , it retraced so fast . anyway i am always happy with what ever market gives me .
i had good trades today with ej , eu and gj
so nothing to complain about
cheers
samer


Quoting ams
I chicked out @ 1117.50 matey...
almost 5 or 50 pips whatever in terms of gold :-)

1st trade so had to be careful..
  • #92
  • Mar 9, 2010 9:59am Mar 9, 2010 9:59am
  •  ams
  • | Joined Apr 2009 | Status: Perspective,Position,Plan ,Pattern | 2,859 Posts
ain't get better than that..both in profit....

Good luck to us.


ta
ams



Quoting samer960
lol great , so it is as u have said we had luck both of u , i close it for 60 pip i could have close it with 110 , but this is forex , it retraced so fast . anyway i am always happy with what ever market gives me .
i had good trades today with ej , eu and gj
so nothing to complain about
cheers
samer
  • #93
  • Mar 9, 2010 10:40am Mar 9, 2010 10:40am
Nice one Ams! (& Samer)
  • #94
  • Mar 9, 2010 10:47am Mar 9, 2010 10:47am
  •  ams
  • | Joined Apr 2009 | Status: Perspective,Position,Plan ,Pattern | 2,859 Posts
Nic,

have a look at this chart and let me know if we both are looking at the same picture?
EDIT: IF this comes true, we will be looking at ugly picture on the forex side!!


ta
ams
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: oil.gif Size: 22 KB
  • #95
  • Mar 9, 2010 11:23am Mar 9, 2010 11:23am
Quoting ams
Nic,

have a look at this chart and let me know if we both are looking at the same picture?
EDIT: IF this comes true, we will be looking at ugly picture on the forex side!!


ta
ams
Yeah. That could be a very nice, very symetrical, very reliable, diamond top like the one that worked so well on cable weekly. I am not going to call it that other term because it invites hysteria.
The indices are going to fall when the last of the dumb money is invested. The rally on Friday was on pretty good volume and stories like this make me think the fabled money on the sidelines might be finally going into equities again.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...d=aPidmY6Nga30

When that happens I think we fall off and more than 10% this time.
I am not so much in the double dip camp anymore, I see equities this year as a long drawn out sideways, or big range trade. Lots of volatility in FX.
  • #96
  • Mar 9, 2010 11:29am Mar 9, 2010 11:29am
  •  ams
  • | Joined Apr 2009 | Status: Perspective,Position,Plan ,Pattern | 2,859 Posts
I agree with you there totally.
All I am doing is, looking at the PA of different instruments.

I do not see OIL higher then 85 in the near future. I'll start building my shorts on OIL soon. Look at Aussie, I wouldn't say short it but it's becoming very toppy for no apparent reason. I see a big fall is coming soon. Perhaps in march end or April begining.


ta
ams



Quoting elitejets
Yeah....
  • #97
  • Mar 10, 2010 5:27am Mar 10, 2010 5:27am
  •  ams
  • | Joined Apr 2009 | Status: Perspective,Position,Plan ,Pattern | 2,859 Posts
Same charts I posted yesterday.

Look where we are now. Did it work? yes you bet!


http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...6&postcount=61

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...1&postcount=62
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #98
  • Mar 10, 2010 8:26am Mar 10, 2010 8:26am
nice , a PRO

Quoting ams
Same charts I posted yesterday.

Look where we are now. Did it work? yes you bet!


http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...6&postcount=61

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...1&postcount=62
  • #99
  • Mar 14, 2010 5:30am Mar 14, 2010 5:30am
  •  ams
  • | Joined Apr 2009 | Status: Perspective,Position,Plan ,Pattern | 2,859 Posts
Posted this info on DT's thread.

We have seen 2 weekly candles with pinbars. I am sure monthly candle has a lot more weight then weekly. This is forex and anything can happen here.

Look at the monthly chart and ensure ourselves to book our profits while we can and expect anything. Talking about weekly tweezers, I see 2 of them "monthly" and twice :-)

"Monthly pins" before falling so hard that it almost lost 50 prercent of it's value. Also, we have to break 54500 before ensuring we will be able to break 58. Big Line in the sand for cable.

I know it's very far and this doesn't mean I am not scalping longs :-)
I am taking longs when I can.

Also, give a thought about weekly chart.

My short term bias for cable is, this is a short covering rally. Long term bias is still bearish unless proved otherwise by breaking 58.
If EU bailout happens. EG will go up along with EU, and it will drop cable.

Only thing that can drag GU up is dollar and EG shorting.




ta
ams
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  • #100
  • Mar 14, 2010 10:36am Mar 14, 2010 10:36am
  •  ams
  • | Joined Apr 2009 | Status: Perspective,Position,Plan ,Pattern | 2,859 Posts
As usual, I start with indices.

Dollar index, Seems correction is on the way. Euro, and pound Same story, in range still.

Yen index, similiar to dollar. Might break or retrace back UP. Aussie, showing signs of exhaustion but very bullish still and presents a good opportunity to buy the dips.
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