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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #217,501
  • Mar 4, 2010 11:08pm Mar 4, 2010 11:08pm
Quoting Myrza
h4 is too overbought. My CCi 21 is moving too fast compared to trend CCi 55. IMO we may test the bottom range @ 132.8...just like any other nfp days
I'm thinking of going short right before NFP with a small position and a 100 pip target. Should be easy money.
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #217,502
  • Mar 4, 2010 11:33pm Mar 4, 2010 11:33pm
Quoting KillerWhale
I'm thinking of going short right before NFP with a small position and a 100 pip target. Should be easy money.
H1 has made a new up fractal @ 134 .4. After london open ,the range between this level and 132.8 will play much faster I hope. I am shorting now with tight stop above 134.4
  • #217,503
  • Mar 4, 2010 11:47pm Mar 4, 2010 11:47pm
Morning, Not traded it yesterday though I follow 134.64 as one keylevel daily/weekly tf have reached .

Now in M15 price need go below 134.16 & low for buy signal confirmation ,may be again 134.64 or near.

next move shoud be down as in H4 price to go below 133.38 for next confirm bull signal waiting for long time for at least 136.36 even bull is not any favourite.
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #217,504
  • Mar 5, 2010 12:13am Mar 5, 2010 12:13am
Quoting Myrza
H1 has made a new up fractal @ 134 .4. After london open ,the range between this level and 132.8 will play much faster I hope. I am shorting now with tight stop above 134.4
I don't know much about fractals, close to nothing.
Is it a reliable approach? How long did you work with this? Maybe worth researching?
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  • #217,505
  • Mar 5, 2010 12:24am Mar 5, 2010 12:24am
Hey Guys and Girls,

We haven't heard from Zweig for the last 9 hours, could he really have taken all the hints and be gone? It's 8:30 AM in SA so maybe he sleeps in?
But for a forex trader 9 hours is a long time to take for sleep.

We'll see
We'll hope he got the message

Poor guy

Shamu
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #217,506
  • Mar 5, 2010 12:30am Mar 5, 2010 12:30am
Again sorry for late reply...Go lower bro...lock in some pips ans let it ride ...I don't have a clear view on the proper TP level...I need some time to think about it properly....but the way that I see it (if I see it right) is that since the down move has been exposed, I look at this whole up move (which by the way has been happening on dying volume since we have bounced from .86) as a great clearing element of shorts....come on...almost 500 pips up from .86...who could have possibly remained short from those levels....?

On a more technical note...if we do manage to get a daily close below .894, we will defenitely go for the test of monthly S1: .8625....plus the fact that I do see a perfect rounded top on daily....you do the math on that as well...


Quoting Myrza
Price rejects mm+2/8 over shoot. Place my short last night with sl few pips above previous high. My target is .8940..GL
  • #217,507
  • Mar 5, 2010 12:37am Mar 5, 2010 12:37am
hmm, GJ should reach back to 133.7 area before going up again i guess
  • #217,508
  • Mar 5, 2010 12:44am Mar 5, 2010 12:44am
Quoting Fusion
...
On a more technical note...if we do manage to get a daily close below .894, we will defenitely go for the test of monthly S1: .8625....plus the fact that I do see a perfect rounded top on daily....you do the math on that as well...
Can you guarantee this?
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #217,509
  • Edited 1:37am Mar 5, 2010 12:52am | Edited 1:37am
Quoting mima
Can you guarantee this?
I always think ... questions are never stupid, but I was wrong, here is one that is really stupid.
How can anyone ever guarantee a prediction in forex?
Go back to "www.babypips.com" and learn how you can avoid these kind of really stupid questions!

You're almost 2 years a member of this forum, I can't believe that you ask this.
Maybe you should just buy some safe stock like BAC or so and leave it at that?
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #217,510
  • Mar 5, 2010 1:04am Mar 5, 2010 1:04am
I think only the Lord can do that bro...but one thing that I have learned is that the moves which are made on decaying volume are very likely to be completely reversed....

look at your 4 hr chart....we moved on decaying volume from 0.86 to all the way up to 0.9081...what happened there...? shack oneal (very high volume at 0.9081, the weekly R1, a strong resistance) came in ...what do you think it is?...buyers or sellers? and if it is buyers, why have we gone even 1 pip higher than that?....

tomorrow might be the day that the fate of this pair will be determined... we may have a retest of .9081 (or may not and if the news is pro $US) and we may see a sharp dive from here....

what do you think?



Quoting mima
Can you guarantee this?
  • #217,511
  • Mar 5, 2010 1:07am Mar 5, 2010 1:07am
Quoting KillerWhale
I always think ... questions are never stupid, but I was wrong, here is one that is really stupid.
How can anyone ever guarantee a prediction in forex?
Go back to "www.babypips.com" and learn how you can avoid these kind of really stupid questions!

You're almost 2 years a member of this forum, I can't believe that you ask this.
Maybe you should just buy some safe stock like BAC of so and leave it at that!
Well you are commenting wrong person...How someone can say "defenitely" some price action will happened? How someone can say that is the fact something because s/he see smething on chart...I am not sure that you understood what that person wrote and stated...
Can you put your money on what s/he said will "defenitely" happened?

That is why I asked :Can you guarantee this?

Read very well before you make conclusion...I am disappointed with your comment...
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #217,512
  • Mar 5, 2010 1:15am Mar 5, 2010 1:15am
Quoting mima
Well you are commenting wrong person...How someone can say "defenitely" some price action will happened? How someone can say that is the fact something because s/he see smething on chart...I am not sure that you understood what that person wrote and stated...
Can you put your money on what s/he said will "defenitely" happened?

That is why I asked :Can you guarantee this?

Read very well before you make conclusion...
Cool mima , you are right but always think no one can be right all the time ,everything can change without notice.but we at times become overconfident & may write something we should not .so read my signature.
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #217,513
  • Mar 5, 2010 1:15am Mar 5, 2010 1:15am
Quoting Fusion
Again sorry for late reply...Go lower bro...lock in some pips ans let it ride ...I don't have a clear view on the proper TP level...I need some time to think about it properly....but the way that I see it (if I see it right) is that since the down move has been exposed, I look at this whole up move (which by the way has been happening on dying volume since we have bounced from .86) as a great clearing element of shorts....come on...almost 500 pips up from .86...who could have possibly remained short from those levels....?

On a more technical note...if...
I dont know much about volume..always base my entry on fractal..just look at the fractal red arrow and see the reaction. We may get a retest of .904 and a bounce
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au today.gif Size: 31 KB
  • #217,514
  • Mar 5, 2010 1:20am Mar 5, 2010 1:20am
the definitely that I used in my post was based on the premises of the comments earlier in the note....

I really hate this he said/she said kind of arguments in FF and I do apologize in advance on behalf of myself and all other traders that their choice of words might have been distasteful to you....

was looking at the au$ chart again.... we have a double top in place at 0.9075 zone....one thing that I have learned from Mal. is that resis/supp.s are not fixed numbers...they are ZONES..we have tried to break that ZONE twice so far .. the last time it dove for 200 pips....


Quoting mima
Well you are commenting wrong person...How someone can say "defenitely" some price action will happened? How someone can say that is the fact something because s/he see smething on chart...I am not sure that you understood what that person wrote and stated...
Can you put your money on what s/he said will "defenitely" happened?

That is why I asked :Can you guarantee this?

Read very well before you make conclusion...
  • #217,515
  • Mar 5, 2010 1:22am Mar 5, 2010 1:22am
Quoting mima
Well you are commenting wrong person...How someone can say "defenitely" some price action will happened? How someone can say that is the fact something because s/he see smething on chart...I am not sure that you understood what that person wrote and stated...
Can you put your money on what s/he said will "defenitely" happened?

That is why I asked :Can you guarantee this?

Read very well before you make conclusion...I am disappointed with your comment...
Hey Mima,

I can say, 'without a doubt' that AU is going to drop big time. .50 /.60
  • #217,516
  • Mar 5, 2010 1:27am Mar 5, 2010 1:27am
Quoting KillerWhale
I don't know much about fractals, close to nothing.
Is it a reliable approach? How long did you work with this? Maybe worth researching?

It works for me so far..Hourly up fractal with 2 lower candles is a valid resistance. Just check the hourly and h4 fractals in the past few days..you will notice that price always react to these levels. I found it good for scalping but the best setup is a fakeout at these fractal level. Try it on demo b4 trying this live. GL
  • #217,517
  • Mar 5, 2010 1:27am Mar 5, 2010 1:27am
Quoting Fusion
the definitely that...
It's not a double top. It's a higher , high, actually a channel, or bear flag, what u like call it? don't matter.
  • #217,518
  • Mar 5, 2010 1:31am Mar 5, 2010 1:31am
Quoting Clouds
Hey Mima,

I can say, 'without a doubt' that AU is going to drop big time. .50 /.60
Thanks , i see the au chart & take a position there to keep and also gold .whatever happen.
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #217,519
  • Mar 5, 2010 1:38am Mar 5, 2010 1:38am
Quoting Clouds
Hey Mima,

I can say, 'without a doubt' that AU is going to drop big time. .50 /.60

The key words were :"definitely" and "the fact"...not the numbers...
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #217,520
  • Mar 5, 2010 1:43am Mar 5, 2010 1:43am
I have the pair as bullish for today. Resistance: 134.67,135.83, support:133.51.

-Marko
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