Edward Russel Dewey (1895-1978) was an economist who studied cycles in economics and other fields. His views are generally regarded as inconsistent with mainstream economics.
Dewey’s cycles work
Dewey first became interested in cycles while Chief Economic Analyst of the Department of Commerce in 1930 or 1931 because President Hoover wanted to know the cause of the Great Depression.[3] Dewey reports that economists gave him no consistent answers on the cause of the depression and he lost faith in economic methods. He received and took advice to study how business behaviour occurred rather than why.
Dewey devoted his life to the study of cycles, claiming that “everything that has been studied has been found to have cycles present.” He carried out extensive studies of cyclicity in economic, geological, biological, sociology, physical sciences and other disciplines. In 1941 he formed the Foundation for the Study of Cycles with a board that included distinguished scientists and industrialists to act as a central clearing house of cycles studies from diverse areas. The foundation made studies of natural and social sciences as well as business and economics, and new methods were devised for isolating significant cycles present in time series. A magazine called “Cycles” was published from June 1950, and the foundation also published a four volume collection of reports on cycles including some of Dewey’s selected writings on cycles named “Cycles Classic Library Collection”. Together with author Og Mandino, Dewey published a book entitled Cycles: The Mysterious Forces That Trigger Events.[1] The Foundation for the Study of Cycles is still active and is located in offices in Albuquerque, New Mexico.
As a result of his research, Dewey asserted that seemingly unrelated time series often had similar cycles periods present and that when they did the phase of these cycles was mostly the nearly the same (cycle synchrony). He also asserted that there were many cycles with periods that were related by powers or products of 2 and 3. This claim is illustrated in the table below. To construct this table starting from the period 17.75 years, multiply by three as you proceed along diagonals from lower left to upper right, and multiply by two as you proceed along diagonals from lower right to upper left.
More info here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foundat...tudy_of_Cycles
In 1931 Edward R Dewey was appointed chief economics analyst for the U.S. Department of Commerce with the special task of finding out what had caused the market crash two years before. When he asked other economists what they thought the cause was he got as many different answers as there were economists, and found the most honest answer was “we don’t know”.
He was always a cautious man in reaching conclusions but found that there were cycles in many economic variables and that sometimes multiple cycles came together to cause especially large dips.
Dewey formed and became the President of the Foundation for the Study of Cycles (FSC) in 1942, an organisation which studied cycles in anything for which sufficient time span of reliable data could be found. Over the years he traced the varying cycles in stock market prices, the economy, wildlife abundance, prices of wheat, corn and cotton, precipitation, in wars, tree rings and fashion designs, and many, many more. Cycles were found with periods ranging from months to hundreds of years and several thousand cycles were recorded.
Dewey used simple techniques such as moving averages to highlight the cyclical aspect of any time series, and listened carefully to mathematicians and scientists so that he only presented conclusions that could be considered reliable ones. Most of the analysis was done by hand, computers only becoming accessible in his final years.
These cycles studies were published in Cycles magazine and in a book Cycles, The Mysterious Forces that Trigger Events (Hawthorn Books, Inc., New York, 1971) written together with Og Mandino. Later the best articles from Cycles magazine were collected together with a catalogue of cycles and this book and sold by FSC as the Classic Cycles Collection.
Some of the fundamental empirical laws of cycles found by Dewey over the years are:
Common cycle periods appear in many seemingly unrelated disciplines.
Cycles Synchrony is the observation that cycles of the same period often have the same phase.
Cycles harmonic ratios is the observation that the common cycle periods are often related by ratios of 2, 3 and their products.
Cycles outside the earth are related to cycles on earth. This was a conclusion that he came to reluctantly because it sounds like astrology.
Although the FSC continued after Dewey’s death it became more narrowly focussed on market cycles in the mid 1990s and went defunct in about 1996. The formation of the Cycles Research Institute in 2004 aimed to keep alive the work of Dewey and other interdisciplinary cycles researchers for future generations, in the spirit of this great pioneer.
http://www.addebook.com/economic/eco...vents_162.html
Dewey’s cycles work
Dewey first became interested in cycles while Chief Economic Analyst of the Department of Commerce in 1930 or 1931 because President Hoover wanted to know the cause of the Great Depression.[3] Dewey reports that economists gave him no consistent answers on the cause of the depression and he lost faith in economic methods. He received and took advice to study how business behaviour occurred rather than why.
Dewey devoted his life to the study of cycles, claiming that “everything that has been studied has been found to have cycles present.” He carried out extensive studies of cyclicity in economic, geological, biological, sociology, physical sciences and other disciplines. In 1941 he formed the Foundation for the Study of Cycles with a board that included distinguished scientists and industrialists to act as a central clearing house of cycles studies from diverse areas. The foundation made studies of natural and social sciences as well as business and economics, and new methods were devised for isolating significant cycles present in time series. A magazine called “Cycles” was published from June 1950, and the foundation also published a four volume collection of reports on cycles including some of Dewey’s selected writings on cycles named “Cycles Classic Library Collection”. Together with author Og Mandino, Dewey published a book entitled Cycles: The Mysterious Forces That Trigger Events.[1] The Foundation for the Study of Cycles is still active and is located in offices in Albuquerque, New Mexico.
As a result of his research, Dewey asserted that seemingly unrelated time series often had similar cycles periods present and that when they did the phase of these cycles was mostly the nearly the same (cycle synchrony). He also asserted that there were many cycles with periods that were related by powers or products of 2 and 3. This claim is illustrated in the table below. To construct this table starting from the period 17.75 years, multiply by three as you proceed along diagonals from lower left to upper right, and multiply by two as you proceed along diagonals from lower right to upper left.
More info here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foundat...tudy_of_Cycles
In 1931 Edward R Dewey was appointed chief economics analyst for the U.S. Department of Commerce with the special task of finding out what had caused the market crash two years before. When he asked other economists what they thought the cause was he got as many different answers as there were economists, and found the most honest answer was “we don’t know”.
He was always a cautious man in reaching conclusions but found that there were cycles in many economic variables and that sometimes multiple cycles came together to cause especially large dips.
Dewey formed and became the President of the Foundation for the Study of Cycles (FSC) in 1942, an organisation which studied cycles in anything for which sufficient time span of reliable data could be found. Over the years he traced the varying cycles in stock market prices, the economy, wildlife abundance, prices of wheat, corn and cotton, precipitation, in wars, tree rings and fashion designs, and many, many more. Cycles were found with periods ranging from months to hundreds of years and several thousand cycles were recorded.
Dewey used simple techniques such as moving averages to highlight the cyclical aspect of any time series, and listened carefully to mathematicians and scientists so that he only presented conclusions that could be considered reliable ones. Most of the analysis was done by hand, computers only becoming accessible in his final years.
These cycles studies were published in Cycles magazine and in a book Cycles, The Mysterious Forces that Trigger Events (Hawthorn Books, Inc., New York, 1971) written together with Og Mandino. Later the best articles from Cycles magazine were collected together with a catalogue of cycles and this book and sold by FSC as the Classic Cycles Collection.
Some of the fundamental empirical laws of cycles found by Dewey over the years are:
Common cycle periods appear in many seemingly unrelated disciplines.
Cycles Synchrony is the observation that cycles of the same period often have the same phase.
Cycles harmonic ratios is the observation that the common cycle periods are often related by ratios of 2, 3 and their products.
Cycles outside the earth are related to cycles on earth. This was a conclusion that he came to reluctantly because it sounds like astrology.
Although the FSC continued after Dewey’s death it became more narrowly focussed on market cycles in the mid 1990s and went defunct in about 1996. The formation of the Cycles Research Institute in 2004 aimed to keep alive the work of Dewey and other interdisciplinary cycles researchers for future generations, in the spirit of this great pioneer.
http://www.addebook.com/economic/eco...vents_162.html
I dont wish this thing of astro could be to much abstract to people interested in the topic, i try my contributions really could give some logic, give some sense and of course could attract some discussion about the topic of cycles. We are not nostradamus and this stuff is controversial but is not esoteric. Its cientific, math, geometry, its nature. 
