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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

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  • Post #217,121
  • Quote
  • Mar 2, 2010 6:01am Mar 2, 2010 6:01am
  •  Cowboy11
  • | Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Choose a good PROJECTOR model | 717 Posts
EJ & CJ were closed by travelling stop, so, this 2 counters delivered only 200+.
Doesnt matter, will look for opportunity to short again.
Face both Win and Lose bravely
 
 
  • Post #217,122
  • Quote
  • Mar 2, 2010 6:01am Mar 2, 2010 6:01am
  •  notoSCUM
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2008 | 39 Posts
i saw traders on TV saying that cable might collapse down to 1.2
 
 
  • Post #217,123
  • Quote
  • Mar 2, 2010 6:03am Mar 2, 2010 6:03am
  •  grashid
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Oct 2008 | 5,712 Posts
Quoting special0nefx
Disliked
I believe it will making retrace to [email protected] there only we visit more down to 125 target there...Like this the chart will be more pretty and nice.
Ignored
yup i saw that area too 136.30-138.60 or even 139....

still away for GY atm...n GU long X3 still holding it for my TP@ 1.5050-1.5225..

I could be wrong..let c what happen
 
 
  • Post #217,124
  • Quote
  • Mar 2, 2010 6:06am Mar 2, 2010 6:06am
  •  kingrex
  • | Joined May 2009 | Status: Feed My People | 191 Posts
Quoting notoSCUM
Disliked
i saw traders on TV saying that cable might collapse down to 1.2
Ignored

never believe what you hear on TV...

unless its Animal Planet
Attached Image
 
 
  • Post #217,125
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  • Mar 2, 2010 6:08am Mar 2, 2010 6:08am
  •  zweig
  • | Additional Username | Joined Jun 2008 | 217 Posts
Quoting JhonMonsalve
Disliked
Looks great, why are you bullish on EG & GChf? I mean, this pairs are inverses, when EG rise, GChf falls and vice versa.
Ignored

yip i was bullish on gbp/chf... but we break through all the supp and now im looking for a bull move in EG,if the H&S will hold it .. but the big question is are we in gona break to new highs or double top ? on monthly .
i was totally wrong with gbp/chf. but again we cant ignor yet the bull move in gbp/chf ..but for now we can play the H&S setup on EG,and target monthly high for possible double top,,, and see if we break and continue with the bull trend..
 
 
  • Post #217,126
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  • Mar 2, 2010 6:09am Mar 2, 2010 6:09am
  •  kingrex
  • | Joined May 2009 | Status: Feed My People | 191 Posts
Quoting grashid
Disliked
yup i saw that area too 136.30-138.60 or even 139....

still away for GY atm...n GU long X3 still holding it for my TP@ 1.5050-1.5225..

I could be wrong..let c what happen
Ignored

What do you think about newbies taking the counter trend trade in this market?

I saw that long entry but it was way too risky for me so i sat out and waited to short again above 1.4940. seem more less risky since more TF confirm strong downtrend?
 
 
  • Post #217,127
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  • Mar 2, 2010 6:11am Mar 2, 2010 6:11am
  •  special0nefx
  • | Joined Sep 2009 | Status: Freshman Fledgling Neophyte | 1,663 Posts
Quoting grashid
Disliked
yup i saw that area too 136.50-138.60 or even 139....

still away for GY atm...n cable long X3 still holding it for my TP@ 1.5050-1.5225..

I could be wrong..let c what happen
Ignored
If i follow my EW count, I don't think it can break 138.22 there because for me this is wave 4 which can't cross wave 1 threshold. That's why my maximum retrace is 136.53 only...
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  • Post #217,128
  • Quote
  • Mar 2, 2010 6:13am Mar 2, 2010 6:13am
  •  kingrex
  • | Joined May 2009 | Status: Feed My People | 191 Posts
Quoting special0nefx
Disliked
If i follow my EW count, I don't think it can break 138.22 there because for me this is wave 4 which can't cross wave 1 threshold. That's why my maximum retrace is 136.53 only...
Ignored

what happens when PA blows right through daily resistance?
 
 
  • Post #217,129
  • Quote
  • Edited 6:19pm Mar 2, 2010 6:15am | Edited 6:19pm
  •  Fudomyo
  • Joined Apr 2009 | Status: Know Your Wave | 2,640 Posts
Quoting kingrex
Disliked
What do you think about newbies taking the counter trend trade in this market?

I saw that long entry but it was way too risky for me so i sat out and waited to short again above 1.4940. seem more less risky since more TF confirm strong downtrend?
Ignored
Trade what you feel comfortable with. everyone has different approach, so no one else can say what's right for you.

Anyway...

NFP Friday + Greece meeting w/ Germany. If they cut a deal on the bailout, bears will be all over the Sterling.

In the meantime a retest of prior support as resistance and a 61.8% retrace is logical. Personally I'm looking 138 area as a target prior to 139.

We need to consolidate a bit more before we start moving, either from here or after we test the low again to catch a few more shorts.

I don't listen to Barclays. 14936 is major support level + coincides w/ TL support on the weekly. A dip and bounce to catch the shorts makes sense. looking for 14620 monthly TL test and potentially lower after NFP.
 
 
  • Post #217,130
  • Quote
  • Mar 2, 2010 6:16am Mar 2, 2010 6:16am
  •  grashid
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Oct 2008 | 5,712 Posts
Quoting kingrex
Disliked
What do you think about newbies taking the counter trend trade in this market?

I saw that long entry but it was way too risky for me so i sat out and waited to short again above 1.4940. seem more less risky since more TF confirm strong downtrend?
Ignored
that should be the way...
dun follow me..

am a suicide trader as some of you notice that...
and just raise my view...

come and let c what happen
 
 
  • Post #217,131
  • Quote
  • Mar 2, 2010 6:17am Mar 2, 2010 6:17am
  •  JhonMonsalve
  • Joined Oct 2007 | Status: Take The A-Trade | 2,303 Posts
Quoting zweig
Disliked
yip i was bullish on gbp/chf... but we break through all the supp and now im looking for a bull move in EG,if the H&S will hold it .. but the big question is are we in gona break to new highs or double top ? on monthly .
i was totally wrong with gbp/chf. but again we cant ignor yet the bull move in gbp/chf ..but for now we can play the H&S setup on EG,and target monthly high for possible double top,,, and see if we break and continue with the bull trend..
Ignored
Or short GChf @1.66 - 67, TP @1.58
"THE ALL is Mind; the Universe is Mental--held in the mind of THE ALL."
 
 
  • Post #217,132
  • Quote
  • Mar 2, 2010 6:22am Mar 2, 2010 6:22am
  •  kingrex
  • | Joined May 2009 | Status: Feed My People | 191 Posts
Quoting Fudomyo
Disliked
Trade what you feel comfortable with. everyone has different approach, so no one else can say what's right for you.

Anyway...

NFP Friday + Greece meeting w/ Germany. If they cut a deal on the bailout, bears will be all over the Sterling like Oprah on a baked ham.

In the meantime a retest of prior support as resistance and a 61.8% retrace is logical. Personally I'm looking 138 area as a target prior to 139.

We need to consolidate a bit more before we start moving, either from here or after we test the low again to catch a few more shorts....
Ignored

1103 GMT [Dow Jones] A weaker pound is the inevitable consequence of a weaker UK economy, says today's Taking Stock column, and British exporters could use a break. However, FX markets probably feel a sterling crisis is overdue so don't expect sober judgment on the subject. (DAC)
 
 
  • Post #217,133
  • Quote
  • Mar 2, 2010 6:30am Mar 2, 2010 6:30am
  •  Vanhook2
  • | Joined Mar 2008 | Status: ------ | 519 Posts
Strength Index for the £/¥
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I trade what I see on my charts. Do Not listen to the Muppets.
 
 
  • Post #217,134
  • Quote
  • Mar 2, 2010 6:31am Mar 2, 2010 6:31am
  •  Myrza
  • Joined Nov 2008 | Status: Mmmm.. | 1,322 Posts
It looks like it is bull time ..if you notice the fakey set up in the smaller H4 inside bar. But IMO I think the up side will be limited to 135
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  • Post #217,135
  • Quote
  • Mar 2, 2010 6:39am Mar 2, 2010 6:39am
  •  kingrex
  • | Joined May 2009 | Status: Feed My People | 191 Posts
Quoting Myrza
Disliked
It looks like it is bull time ..if you notice the fakey set up in the smaller H4 inside bar. But IMO I think the up side will be limited to 135
Ignored

Why is the dollar selling off?

that was a massively emotional north candlestick yesterday...

8129.35 rejected twice yesterday...now at 8080.

yesterday's low 8011.50
 
 
  • Post #217,136
  • Quote
  • Mar 2, 2010 7:04am Mar 2, 2010 7:04am
  •  kingrex
  • | Joined May 2009 | Status: Feed My People | 191 Posts
Scalpers Respect the GBPUSD 50% retracement....usually 30M chart
 
 
  • Post #217,137
  • Quote
  • Mar 2, 2010 7:15am Mar 2, 2010 7:15am
  •  forexer
  • Joined Jan 2006 | Status: FX TRADER | 861 Posts
Quoting rgitt05
Disliked
This is not a long term view...It just a retracement that will happen before another leg down to the 128 zone..

IMHO



GU hit 61.8% and retracement most of the time bounced back up first before any continuation..Therefore all cross GBP pairs will go up..
Ignored
Hi rgitt05,


now i can see that you changed your bias over night from 128.00 to 139.00.
I always knew that someday I would make it big
 
 
  • Post #217,138
  • Quote
  • Mar 2, 2010 8:03am Mar 2, 2010 8:03am
  •  Fudomyo
  • Joined Apr 2009 | Status: Know Your Wave | 2,640 Posts
Quoting forexer
Disliked
Hi rgitt05,


now i can see that you changed your bias over night from 128.00 to 139.00.
Ignored
We won't go to 128 in a straight line.

After we accumulate, then we distribute, rinse, repeat.

GY likes 50%, GU likes 61.8%, but nothing's written in stone. In this kind of market, we could easily build liquidity in a consolidation without a large retrace, so caution trading countertrend is prudent.
 
 
  • Post #217,139
  • Quote
  • Mar 2, 2010 8:15am Mar 2, 2010 8:15am
  •  special0nefx
  • | Joined Sep 2009 | Status: Freshman Fledgling Neophyte | 1,663 Posts
Quoting Fudomyo
Disliked
We won't go to 128 in a straight line.

After we accumulate, then we distribute, rinse, repeat.

GY likes 50%, GU likes 61.8%, but nothing's written in stone. In this kind of market, we could easily build liquidity in a consolidation without a large retrace, so caution trading countertrend is prudent.
Ignored
Bro where is ur GU 61.8% price ?
 
 
  • Post #217,140
  • Quote
  • Mar 2, 2010 8:27am Mar 2, 2010 8:27am
  •  TerpFan2
  • Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Terrapin Pipper | 1,186 Posts
Or,
G.U.,
as you prefer...
Here's a 61.8 Retracement, possibly going for more
or -Less, who knows.

But we have a lower low, and she's retracing,
at least today back up some, from London's 04:00am ish lows...
of 1.48861/2 "Ish"
I'll try the "Gif." thing here,
'See how this works:

Jeff !
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I will work to Objectively Identify my Edges
 
 
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