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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #11,741
  • Dec 22, 2009 5:34pm Dec 22, 2009 5:34pm
Quoting fti
Nice slow ride, Good to see you.
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year.

regards

Wishing everyone a HAPPY and SAFE Holiday!
  • #11,742
  • Dec 22, 2009 6:14pm Dec 22, 2009 6:14pm
Quoting aiyahmarklah
Geeze I need to refresh my memories on options, I was looking at it for sideway markets. Maybe can try it for 2010 on seperate acc, best thing about oanda is I can try it cheap, what I read on website is my guess is can be used for delta hedging only, not get lucky and collect premiums with no positions to worry about.

ps : i suck at options anyway, actually any type of derivative, too much maths, just toying with the idea....
The box options at Oanda are different than what you are thinking I believe, although I have never looked at the maths they use, your just picking a price level and time for the market to hit but their R:R is no good, at least it seemed that way to me when i looked at them.

fwiw,

@ FTI, by your posts, are you going to be back in the spot markets after the 1st?

regards
  • #11,743
  • Edited 6:39pm Dec 22, 2009 6:19pm | Edited 6:39pm
Quoting auxesis
The box options at Oanda are different than what you are thinking I believe, although I have never looked at the maths they use, your just picking a price level and time for the market to hit but their R:R is no good, at least it seemed that way to me when i looked at them.

fwiw,

@ FTI, by your posts, are you going to be back in the spot markets after the 1st?

regards
nope aux, on the 4th Jan
and nobody in the retail ticket should have anything to do with the boxes. Thats killing flys with trucks model(Big cap to make pittance). It only for BIG Boys.Wondering why retail broking offering this. Beware your cost of funds in the equation. Time is short, so time money will be very X, in % terms.Becareful the premium spreads. I bet volatility pricing is X as well.


Merry Christmas and Happy New Year.

regards

Far East is gonna bring us to nice prices for usd buying
  • #11,744
  • Dec 23, 2009 4:04am Dec 23, 2009 4:04am
Quoting auxesis
The box options at Oanda are different than what you are thinking I believe, although I have never looked at the maths they use, your just picking a price level and time for the market to hit but their R:R is no good, at least it seemed that way to me when i looked at them.

fwiw,

@ FTI, by your posts, are you going to be back in the spot markets after the 1st?

regards
Hi auxesis, you are right, i misread the whole thing, the hit or miss feature made me think that i get to do some sort of writing but in their case, its me picking the price and they write the options. Its a little bit better than binary options offered by spread bettors but cost is still too high. If oanda starts offering regular calls and puts, then i see some opportunites....

Anyway i am just doing things outside regular trading since its the holidays, sometimes may come across a gem LOL

Blessed Xmas
  • #11,745
  • Dec 23, 2009 4:08am Dec 23, 2009 4:08am
Quoting fti
nope aux, on the 4th Jan
and nobody in the retail ticket should have anything to do with the boxes. Thats killing flys with trucks model(Big cap to make pittance). It only for BIG Boys.Wondering why retail broking offering this. Beware your cost of funds in the equation. Time is short, so time money will be very X, in % terms.Becareful the premium spreads. I bet volatility pricing is X as well.


Merry Christmas and Happy New Year.

regards

Far East is gonna bring us to nice prices for usd buying
LOL thanks fti, for a while I felt silly thinking i can write options in fx. But hopefully retail fx can mature to a stage where fx derivatives are available to the masses. Main issues is always ticket size.
  • #11,746
  • Dec 23, 2009 2:34pm Dec 23, 2009 2:34pm
Guys come to ljubljana, Slovenia it would be cheapest for me as I live there
I think for this period of time spain would be the best as It's not cold. Canary Islands, barcelona, malaga or mallorca are good choices. I wish you all marry x-mas and happy new year and huge profits in 2010.
  • #11,747
  • Dec 23, 2009 3:52pm Dec 23, 2009 3:52pm
Marry Christmas and Happy New Year to everyone. I am done trading for the year but will be back from time to time to check in on the chatter. Hope you all have a wonderful holiday. I will be spending next week on the ski slopes of Colorado, but will be back to the charts on January 4, 2010. Best wishes and God bless you all.
  • #11,748
  • Dec 23, 2009 7:29pm Dec 23, 2009 7:29pm
GEfx has asked me to check this out!!!

Looks like it's a anti everything BS thread so sounds interesting, adding it to my subscriptions to read when more awake!!
Nothing to it, but to do it!!! Stick to the plan FOOL!!!!
  • #11,749
  • Dec 23, 2009 8:26pm Dec 23, 2009 8:26pm
Quoting GEfx
Marry Christmas and Happy New Year to everyone. I am done trading for the year but will be back from time to time to check in on the chatter. Hope you all have a wonderful holiday. I will be spending next week on the ski slopes of Colorado, but will be back to the charts on January 4, 2010. Best wishes and God bless you all.
My first time sking was out there in Telluride, had a lot of fun.
Best thing this newbie did was take lessons for 3 days .
  • #11,750
  • Dec 23, 2009 8:36pm Dec 23, 2009 8:36pm
Taking her up with note taken of e/u 4321 area.
  • #11,751
  • Dec 23, 2009 10:23pm Dec 23, 2009 10:23pm

http://i696.photobucket.com/albums/v...stmas-snow.gif

Wishing fti and all members a very merry Christmas and many happy "battlestations!" in 2010.
http://www.smileys4me.com/getsmiley.php?show=1783
Hope isn't a viable investment vehicle.
  • #11,752
  • Edited Dec 24, 2009 3:53am Dec 23, 2009 11:30pm | Edited Dec 24, 2009 3:53am


Hi ALL,

Merry Christmas

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gone to Christmas Mass.

regards
  • #11,753
  • Dec 24, 2009 2:20am Dec 24, 2009 2:20am
Merry Christmas, dear fti and all TAF traders!

http://ak.imgag.com/imgag/product/fu...0wallpaper.jpg
  • #11,754
  • Dec 24, 2009 2:31am Dec 24, 2009 2:31am
Dear friends. Merry Christmas and happy new year. And at least 2010 pips everyday... (greenpips,not like me)
  • #11,755
  • Dec 24, 2009 4:04am Dec 24, 2009 4:04am
Gone to Mass.

Merry Christmas to ALL.
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  • #11,756
  • Dec 24, 2009 5:42am Dec 24, 2009 5:42am
eyes open e/u 4417-25 area
  • #11,757
  • Dec 24, 2009 5:50am Dec 24, 2009 5:50am
To Fti and all my friends here, Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year, and thanks for all your help and input. Ray
  • #11,758
  • Dec 24, 2009 6:10am Dec 24, 2009 6:10am
Have to say we have quite a assortment of holiday cheer going on here.
  • #11,759
  • Dec 24, 2009 6:19am Dec 24, 2009 6:19am
Again Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year to every one!
  • #11,760
  • Edited 9:39am Dec 24, 2009 8:48am | Edited 9:39am
One of my all time favorites,

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As we read in Exodus chapter 12 the specifications of the Passover lamb are given, male lambs , spotless and such…. I encourage everyone to read the account of the Passover and the Exodus of the Nation of Israel from Egypt if they are not familiar.

One of the true gems of Biblical history, mainly forgotten is the fact that that after the building of the Tabernacle, the Passover lambs, a special breed. were raised and meticulously cared for in the fields around Bethlehem, just a couple of miles away from Jerusalem.

Each year the week before the Passover, the local Shepards would bring the best of the flocks into Jerusalem, through the Sheep’s gate (if you ever wondered what that was), where the Priests would inspect each lamb before they could be accepted for sacrifice.

33 years after Jesus’ birth, riding on a donkey, Jesus would enter Jerusalem at the same time.

May the Light of Christmas shine His love on us all…


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