next year's forcast.
if bulls are going to win and price manages to close above weekly 50ema, then anywhere between 167 (50%) and 178-179 (61.8%) should be the target (a max of 183 - FE100 of 118-163-139), which i think should coincide with monthly 50ema, then a drop from there for a retest of 130-140. then anywhere between those 2 areas for a nice messed up range....
on the contrary, if bears win, then price should fall anywhere between 119-130.
i think 130 is more likely since it's a historical low back in 1995 and it coincides with an FE100 (163-140-153) then an upmove from there IF that level holds. if not then we have a (good?) chance of reach 100-103 levels by summer of next year (FE61.8 of 2008's move down from 216-119-163).
charts
if bulls are going to win and price manages to close above weekly 50ema, then anywhere between 167 (50%) and 178-179 (61.8%) should be the target (a max of 183 - FE100 of 118-163-139), which i think should coincide with monthly 50ema, then a drop from there for a retest of 130-140. then anywhere between those 2 areas for a nice messed up range....
on the contrary, if bears win, then price should fall anywhere between 119-130.
i think 130 is more likely since it's a historical low back in 1995 and it coincides with an FE100 (163-140-153) then an upmove from there IF that level holds. if not then we have a (good?) chance of reach 100-103 levels by summer of next year (FE61.8 of 2008's move down from 216-119-163).
charts