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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #209,121
  • Nov 29, 2009 4:40pm Nov 29, 2009 4:40pm
Quoting lilmoe
oh, so you're a samurai now?


sup don?
cool bro..u where gone when u joined but i read some of ur post... before u left so i miss those DIV......pls give us notice next time u wanna go ....
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #209,122
  • Nov 29, 2009 4:43pm Nov 29, 2009 4:43pm
U.S. banks less exposed to Dubai than European rivalsDerivative-based hedging, loan syndication clouds ultimate exposures

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- U.S. banks are probably less exposed than European rivals to a potential debt default by Dubai World, but a lack of transparency and the interconnectedness of the modern financial system make it difficult to know which institutions are ultimately exposed, analysts said this week.

Of that total, European banks hold 72%, with the United States and Japan only holding 9% and 7% of the exposure, respectively. France and Germany each account for around 9%. The United Kingdom is by far the biggest creditor with a share of 41%, Brown Brothers Harriman said.

London maybe rally from the recent news from Dubai's

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-...ope-2009-11-27




Quoting malcolmb14
reality is is the market is weak anyway , this Dubai thing is just a shot across the bow. Think about it ... Dubai have not defaulted they are just mentioning that . Also how much exposure do American banks have to Dubai 15% .... nah got to be more than that , as one bank gets the debt and sell it on to another. I bet they are up to their necks in exposure to Dubai as they are greedy , BUT we will never know due to mark to market ruling being cancelled last year. Even if they have 20 billion debt and it goes into default and is worth...
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  • #209,123
  • Nov 29, 2009 4:48pm Nov 29, 2009 4:48pm
Quoting rgitt05
U.S. banks less exposed to Dubai than European rivalsDerivative-based hedging, loan syndication clouds ultimate exposures

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- U.S. banks are probably less exposed than European rivals to a potential debt default by Dubai World, but a lack of transparency and the interconnectedness of the modern financial system make it difficult to know which institutions are ultimately exposed, analysts said this week.

[b]Of that total, European banks hold 72%, with the United States and Japan only holding 9% and 7% of the...
Ok forgive my dumbness, that is such a mixed message what are you trying to say?
  • #209,124
  • Nov 29, 2009 5:12pm Nov 29, 2009 5:12pm
My tgheory is that IF ftse did not push ES ff 1067 and then up thru low volume trading to 1080 with -2% on frdiay there owuld have been a drop of 10% or more On monday due to mad panic ......black Friday followed by black Monday

so theu p move of ftse was designed to move the futures closer to Wednesdays close

just a theory

Quoting rgitt05
U.S. banks less exposed to Dubai than European rivalsDerivative-based hedging, loan syndication clouds ultimate exposures

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- U.S. banks are probably less exposed than European rivals to a potential debt default by Dubai World, but a lack of transparency and the interconnectedness of the modern financial system make it difficult to know which institutions are ultimately exposed, analysts said this week.

[b]Of that total, European banks hold 72%, with the United States and Japan only holding 9% and 7% of the...
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #209,125
  • Nov 29, 2009 5:17pm Nov 29, 2009 5:17pm
gj we will just call her the acocunt maker or account breaker

holy shit .. 100 pip move for now reaosn up and down

I have never traded gj off a 144tick chart before ..... might start as of today lol
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #209,126
  • Nov 29, 2009 5:28pm Nov 29, 2009 5:28pm
he malcolmb14, you dont think the BOJ will intervene today in tokyo session ? and YEn pairs will fly ?all here talk about a bearish trend but did boj intervene we will a high high fly
High risk High return!
  • #209,127
  • Nov 29, 2009 5:38pm Nov 29, 2009 5:38pm
Quoting malcolmb14
My tgheory is that IF ftse did not push ES ff 1067 and then up thru low volume trading to 1080 with -2% on frdiay there owuld have been a drop of 10% or more On monday due to mad panic ......black Friday followed by black Monday

so theu p move of ftse was designed to move the futures closer to Wednesdays close

just a theory
whoa man careful with the drinks... i can hardly understand you (jk )

anyway, I agree
  • #209,128
  • Nov 29, 2009 6:10pm Nov 29, 2009 6:10pm
Commentary:

Many factors at play today pre open and at the open.....Markets still concerned about the possible loan default of Dubai, as well, there is talk of a press conference later in the day from the UAE in reference to measures to be taken regarding this situation....Added to the mix was Japanese finance Minister Fujii stating that the government won't weaken the yen. Lots of stuff to digest here for a Monday morning.

Yen Options Signal Intervention Threat no Bar to More Strength

Nov. 30 (Bloomberg) -- Options traders are adding to bets the yen will rise against the dollar even after the Ministry of Finance pledged to “do what is necessary” to stem gains following a surge to a 14-year high.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...PO4tiGQU&pos=2


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  • #209,129
  • Nov 29, 2009 6:17pm Nov 29, 2009 6:17pm
Anyone got a price gap on G/J between the last two M15 bars? I am short 142.75 with a 50 pip SL.

Retail market looks to be extremely long USD/CHF, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY (in order of severity), expecting interbank to push some of those longs. Todays safest play looks to be long EUR/USD short EUR/JPY.
  • #209,130
  • Nov 29, 2009 6:24pm Nov 29, 2009 6:24pm
Quoting rgitt05
Commentary:

Many factors at play today pre open and at the open.....Markets still concerned about the possible loan default of Dubai, as well, there is talk of a press conference later in the day from the UAE in reference to measures to be taken regarding this situation....Added to the mix was Japanese finance Minister Fujii stating that the government won't weaken the yen. Lots of stuff to digest here for a Monday morning.

Yen Options Signal Intervention Threat no Bar to More Strength

Nov. 30 (Bloomberg) -- Options traders are adding...
and yet the ASX seems to be absolutely loving the potential for a bailout.
a startling question that has yet to be posed to those AbuDhabi think-tanks business morons over there, if they go ahead with this good-bank/bad-bank bailout model, Dubai swallows up the good bank but then WhoTF does AbuDhabi pawn off the bad-bank off to and who takes the haircut/baldcut?
  • #209,131
  • Nov 29, 2009 6:27pm Nov 29, 2009 6:27pm
You are right about gold correction..I guess they use the Dubai excuse for the PB on gold..

Here is an article I found that support your excellent TA on gold.

Gold Will Collapse Like Oil Did in 2008: Charts


The gold price has moved quickly and it has developed an important new uptrend characteristic. This so-called 'parabolic' trend is a dangerous type with a high probability of a sudden collapse.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/34121808





Quoting Piters
Yes mate,

here is my charts and my targets.. hope the third target will play as previous two..

The 2Y old H/S on weekly in is his play, with targets above $1320; From technical point of view we reached the second target.. which after Im expecting some correction. Two targets I have on my mind.. 1100 and 1050.. after which the last wave UP to 1320-1390 level is to be expect..

this chart I posted when we reached my first target.. at 1065
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...&postcount=153
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=206713
cheers

[Charts]...
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  • #209,132
  • Nov 29, 2009 6:29pm Nov 29, 2009 6:29pm
Quoting Eulogy
and yet the ASX seems to be absolutely loving the potential for a bailout.
a startling question that has yet to be posed to those AbuDhabi think-tanks business morons over there, if they go ahead with this good-bank/bad-bank bailout model, Dubai swallows up the good bank but then WhoTF does AbuDhabi pawn off the bad-bank off to and who takes the haircut/baldcut?
At some point in time, this sloppy s&$t has to come to an end. If Britain, had to hide a 67 billion dollar loan for a year, then who else is hiding what? Only another ass kicking bear wave is going to leave all these debts on shore for all to see.
  • #209,133
  • Nov 29, 2009 6:30pm Nov 29, 2009 6:30pm
not sure
Attached Images
  • #209,134
  • Nov 29, 2009 6:47pm Nov 29, 2009 6:47pm
Quoting Donadoney
At some point in time, this sloppy s&$t has to come to an end. If Britain, had to hide a 67 billion dollar loan for a year, then who else is hiding what? Only another ass kicking bear wave is going to leave all these debts on shore for all to see.
at least 1 trillion at the Fed
BoE 67 billion? LOL. gotta be alot more than that. Housing collapse, Northern Rock scandal, Iceland scandal, Dubai blowup. 67billion my ass. prolly each one of those scandals registers 67 billion as a baseline, highly conservative estimate.
  • #209,135
  • Nov 29, 2009 7:01pm Nov 29, 2009 7:01pm
The Bank of Japan's Governor Shirakawa will be speaking at 1:00GMT at a business event in Nagoya.....Due to the recent volatility in the Yen the likelihood of currency comments is quite high....


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  • #209,136
  • Nov 29, 2009 7:09pm Nov 29, 2009 7:09pm
Quoting Eulogy
at least 1 trillion at the Fed
BoE 67 billion? LOL. gotta be alot more than that. Housing collapse, Northern Rock scandal, Iceland scandal, Dubai blowup. 67billion my ass. prolly each one of those scandals registers 67 billion as a baseline, highly conservative estimate.
Maybe you are interested in JPM.. Friday closes -1.97%
interesting charts

[Charts]
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: jpm w2.png Size: 32 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: jpm.png Size: 42 KB
  • #209,137
  • Nov 29, 2009 7:09pm Nov 29, 2009 7:09pm
In the past 146 was the support and now it should be the resistance..

Rally to the 146 is possible since the asian market is recoverying from this BS dubai's crisis...There is still no details on this 60 billions defaults bailout..

All speculation...

Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: weekly gj.gif Size: 36 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: daily gj.gif Size: 46 KB
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  • #209,138
  • Nov 29, 2009 7:12pm Nov 29, 2009 7:12pm
Quoting Eulogy
at least 1 trillion at the Fed
BoE 67 billion? LOL. gotta be alot more than that. Housing collapse, Northern Rock scandal, Iceland scandal, Dubai blowup. 67billion my ass. prolly each one of those scandals registers 67 billion as a baseline, highly conservative estimate.
Or my Uncle's vehicle ??? Friday closed -2.82%

interesting charts too..

[Charts]
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gs d.png Size: 43 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GS w.png Size: 43 KB
  • #209,139
  • Nov 29, 2009 7:16pm Nov 29, 2009 7:16pm
Quoting MoForce
whoa man careful with the drinks... i can hardly understand you (jk )

anyway, I agree
lol .. that really was a bad post sorry ... rushed
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #209,140
  • Nov 29, 2009 7:16pm Nov 29, 2009 7:16pm
& if 5th-wave finished, it can drop.
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