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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #206,381
  • Oct 30, 2009 4:13pm Oct 30, 2009 4:13pm
Your wish is granted... What now?

Quoting PandoraBox
Bro....take a look at monthly TF. What do you see?

If monthly candle close above 146, 147, 148, 149 we might see Bullish Harami ...reversal pattern.
  • #206,382
  • Oct 30, 2009 5:12pm Oct 30, 2009 5:12pm
What bullish harami? What TF?

Bullish Harami: A bullish Harami occurs when there is a large bearish red candle on Day 1 followed by a smaller bearish or bullish candle on Day 2. Again, the most important aspect of the bullish Harami is that prices gapped up on Day 2 and price was held up and unable to move lower back to the bearish close of Day 1.

Bearish Harami: A bearish Harami occurs when there is a large bullish green candle on Day 1 followed by a smaller bearish or bullish candle on Day 2. The most important aspect of the bearish Harami is that prices gapped down on Day 2 and were unable to move higher back to the close of Day 1. This is a sign that uncertainty is entering the market.




Quoting Fusion
Your wish is granted... What now?
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  • #206,383
  • Oct 30, 2009 5:27pm Oct 30, 2009 5:27pm
what happened, US went back into recession? what now, who pissed g-j off? i bet it was the annoying bulls from yesterday...
i haven't seen such a strong reversal in quite some time. nice.
btw, you know what would be real fun next week? a tweezer bottom . now that, i still have to see. up 400 pips, down 500 pips and then up again 600 pips.
have a nice weekend everyone.
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #206,384
  • Edited 5:51pm Oct 30, 2009 5:30pm | Edited 5:51pm
A bearish Tweezer Top occurs during an uptrend when bulls take prices higher, often closing the day off near the highs (a bullish sign). However, on the second day, how traders feel (i.e. their sentiment) reverses completely. The market opens and goes straight down, often eliminating the entire gains of Day 1.


Hopefully a Bullish Tweezer Bottom at 140.00 zone

140<x<153 range

I think it will range in this area until next year..







Quoting Scrat
what happened, US went back into recession? what now, who pissed g-j off? i bet it was the annoying bulls from yesterday...
i haven't seen such a strong reversal in quite some time. nice.
btw, you know what would be real fun next week? a tweezer bottom . now that, i still have to see. up 400 pips, down 500 pips and then up again 600 pips.
have a nice weekend everyone.
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  • #206,385
  • Oct 30, 2009 5:31pm Oct 30, 2009 5:31pm
Quoting rgitt05
What bullish harami? What TF?

Bullish Harami: A bullish Harami occurs when there is a large bearish red candle on Day 1 followed by a smaller bearish or bullish candle on Day 2. Again, the most important aspect of the bullish Harami is that prices gapped up on Day 2 and price was held up and unable to move lower back to the bearish close of Day 1.

Bearish Harami: A bearish Harami occurs when there is a large bullish green candle on Day 1 followed by a smaller bearish or bullish candle on Day 2. The most important aspect of the bearish...


nice Rob,,,that my favorite web site ..
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #206,386
  • Oct 30, 2009 5:38pm Oct 30, 2009 5:38pm
Quoting Scrat
what happened, US went back into recession? what now, who pissed g-j off? i bet it was the annoying bulls from yesterday...
i haven't seen such a strong reversal in quite some time. nice.
btw, you know what would be real fun next week? a tweezer bottom . now that, i still have to see. up 400 pips, down 500 pips and then up again 600 pips.
have a nice weekend everyone.

you also have a lovely weekend bro and everyone...Time to have some rest...
take care...
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #206,387
  • Oct 31, 2009 4:11am Oct 31, 2009 4:11am
Prices on XE is 148.81, seems that GJ couldn't break yet the 147.62 which is the door for downside, I'm still insisting that no Kaboom before breaking 147.62, prices before the market close dropped to 147.65 and on some other platforms to 147.63 which means it didn't even touched the 147.62, let us wait and see, it will be amazing.
  • #206,388
  • Edited 5:18am Oct 31, 2009 5:03am | Edited 5:18am
Xe 148.13

edit: now 150.14

...it's all over the place. I wouldn't read much into it
TRADE FOR SWAP
  • #206,389
  • Oct 31, 2009 10:26am Oct 31, 2009 10:26am
Quoting pino2
Prices on XE is 148.81, seems that GJ couldn't break yet the 147.62 which is the door for downside, I'm still insisting that no Kaboom before breaking 147.62, prices before the market close dropped to 147.65 and on some other platforms to 147.63 which means it didn't even touched the 147.62, let us wait and see, it will be amazing.
here is what I see

daily reversal bar friday bearish

we have wave 1 and 2 completed ....we are in start of wave 3. Plotting fib extensions this takes into 136.92 if it is a run way wave could stop at M s1.

overall i am bearish gj and will be looking for sell rallies

now lets look at market structure overall on dj form a ta standpoint

1) bear div rsx .. only other time this happened was top 2007
2) 1st sign weakness 9822 with high vol up bar on weekly that was sold into
3) up move has been on bearish vol divergence up until we saw the 1st sign weakness ... that increase in volume is likely distribution
4) now we have another evening star formation ... with 3rd candle having highest vol since may 2011

I do not know where the next down move is going to end but the weekly dj is showing MAJOR weakness, I am expecting a 50% loss on indexes thru to summer 2010

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Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #206,390
  • Oct 31, 2009 11:19am Oct 31, 2009 11:19am
Malcolmb, you are the master here, I used to put your thoughts in my consideration.
The daily and weekly pivot, R1, R2, R3, R4 and S1, S2, S3, S4 are almost the same this week, also the daily and weekly camarilla levels are almost the same, as the high, low and close of the week was the same as of Friday, which rarely happens.
  • #206,391
  • Oct 31, 2009 1:04pm Oct 31, 2009 1:04pm
Quoting pino2
Malcolmb, you are the master here, I used to put your thoughts in my consideration.
The daily and weekly pivot, R1, R2, R3, R4 and S1, S2, S3, S4 are almost the same this week, also the daily and weekly camarilla levels are almost the same, as the high, low and close of the week was the same as of Friday, which rarely happens.
not so sure about a master... I think the market is very hard to swing trade , hence I like day trading. There much better than me out there.

here is an interesting set up on weekly chart ...

could it be that we are in a flag .... base of flag 143 ish right now , flag pole is 8000 pip long. I do not expect an 8000 pip drop . However lets look at daily and symmetry (2nd chart)

2nd chart is daily .....same set up as top on august 10th , symmetry of moves takes us to target 130 . There is major support form mid July all the way to 147 , but if we break this then 140 test for sure and if symmetry holds could be 130 , specially if the s&p daily trend line breaks

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Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #206,392
  • Oct 31, 2009 2:58pm Oct 31, 2009 2:58pm
Quoting malcolmb14
not so sure about a master... I think the market is very hard to swing trade , hence I like day trading. There much better than me out there.

here is an interesting set up on weekly chart ...

could it be that we are in a flag .... base of flag 143 ish right now , flag pole is 8000 pip long. I do not expect an 8000 pip drop . However lets look at daily and symmetry (2nd chart)

2nd chart is daily .....same set up as top on august 10th , symmetry of moves takes us to target 130 . There is major support form mid July all the way to 147 , but...
not bad charts Mal from a non-swing trader.
  • #206,393
  • Oct 31, 2009 4:21pm Oct 31, 2009 4:21pm
What I'm seeing for next week. We retrace up a little and then continue down to lower TL.

Im gonna wait till we see 150.15 or so and then go with trend down
As always gotta watch PA at the levels and if it never retraces I'll be fine, always another setup. Trade at your own risk.

Also notice the weekly H&S coming...
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Going to make it big by age 21.
  • #206,394
  • Oct 31, 2009 5:04pm Oct 31, 2009 5:04pm
Quoting dstryr
What I'm seeing for next week. We retrace up a little and then continue down to lower TL.

Im gonna wait till we see 150.15 or so and then go with trend down
As always gotta watch PA at the levels and if it never retraces I'll be fine, always another setup. Trade at your own risk.

Also notice the weekly H&S coming...
with charts like these you sure going to make it by 21, I wish I could be 19 again. You are way beyond anyone...keep it up!
  • #206,395
  • Oct 31, 2009 5:09pm Oct 31, 2009 5:09pm
Malc, you are the Grand Master of your analysis, which helps to recognize the opportunity as well as the way of your trading, which produces huge returns of 10% weekly!
Could you explain, why do you think that 8000 pips drop could not be reached, please?
  • #206,396
  • Oct 31, 2009 5:25pm Oct 31, 2009 5:25pm
Quoting Estero
with charts like these you sure going to make it by 21, I wish I could be 19 again. You are way beyond anyone...keep it up!
Appreciate it man. I was flipping through the thread and figured I'd offer my opinion on Cable as well. Waiting for a breakout either up or down from the blue area.
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Going to make it big by age 21.
  • #206,397
  • Oct 31, 2009 5:39pm Oct 31, 2009 5:39pm
With 2nd equity market crash just around the corner,there is a great chance for usd and jen to appreciate. Im not planning to guess for how much, but ill be very carefull entering long scalps...

The fact is, equity crash is inevitable, so it all depends if correlation DJI,Jen,Usd is gonna continue or not...
  • #206,398
  • Oct 31, 2009 9:22pm Oct 31, 2009 9:22pm
anyone have any idea on gbp... bullish cs on ,montly... i think .. trend was chance...
  • #206,399
  • Oct 31, 2009 11:07pm Oct 31, 2009 11:07pm
Quoting PandoraBox
and

when Weekly and Monthly Gann flip, we can say bye bye to 130, 140 and 150. Next figure will be 160, 170 adn 180. MACD Monthly already cross.

Step by Step.
i agree with u you... trend have change.. new high on november
  • #206,400
  • Oct 31, 2009 11:10pm Oct 31, 2009 11:10pm
Quoting PandoraBox
Bro....take a look at monthly TF. What do you see?

If monthly candle close above 146, 147, 148, 149 we might see Bullish Harami ...reversal pattern.
wave 2 on weekly already complete..
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