Boring Periods of year in Forex ! | Forex Factory

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Boring Periods of year in Forex !

  • #1
  • First Post: Sep 26, 2009 5:49am Sep 26, 2009 5:49am
Hello
while gathering info around the boring periods of Forex..aka the less volatile, less volumunous periods of a year..
i came to know periods like thanksgiving holidays (dont know the exact time period..let me know) have comparitively less people trading..and markets can be boring (for large move trades ofcourse)


I think year ends, december last 2 weeks also has less trading goin on due to yr end? is it?

Over all in small time scale we know, monday and fridays and weekly opens can be boring too (explosive too sometimes though)

Through this thread i would like to have your views and info you have got about what other periods or times , this thing happens!

Regards

P.S. Experienced/old traders must be having more better info ...solicited !
100 Fold Challenge->Interested? ->https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/32152
  • #2
  • Sep 26, 2009 9:49am Sep 26, 2009 9:49am
Hey i would like too know the exact periods of the year that Forex is more volitale/Less volitale too,it would seem that since it is getting close to X mas that it would be more volitale than other quarters,but logically thinking vacation,and since i made my money i can take a break,the kids are home anyway they need attention,Hey lets go too Disneyland,MagicMoutain,WaterParks,.I think thats the thinking of humans and since forex traders are Humans,this would apply.
  • #3
  • Sep 27, 2009 11:05am Sep 27, 2009 11:05am
174 views and 1post (that too a asker like me)
Many experienced members must have been in those 174.
Kindly Share your views!

Regards
100 Fold Challenge->Interested? ->https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/32152
  • #4
  • Sep 27, 2009 11:54am Sep 27, 2009 11:54am
Open MT4, put a ATR(50) on a daily chart, zoom out, I'm sure you will catch the basic pattern.
The breaking of a wave cannot explain the whole sea.
  • #5
  • Sep 27, 2009 12:41pm Sep 27, 2009 12:41pm
Quoting Craig
Open MT4, put a ATR(50) on a daily chart, zoom out, I'm sure you will catch the basic pattern.
Hello Craig, thanks for reply !
Done; Attached; Last 3 yrs in there.
But cant make out much that is related to the threads's issue, out of that Chart. It just shows the volatility over a period of time...Thats all i think.

Kindly explain more if you can!
Regards
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aa.gif Size: 17 KB
100 Fold Challenge->Interested? ->https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/32152
  • #6
  • Sep 27, 2009 12:49pm Sep 27, 2009 12:49pm
Sorry, I read your post wrong, I thought your question was 'when are the less volatile periods in the year', but upon re-reading you are actually asking a slightly different question, you are asking for specific dates of inactive periods which is information I don't have.
The breaking of a wave cannot explain the whole sea.
  • #7
  • Sep 27, 2009 12:55pm Sep 27, 2009 12:55pm
Quoting Craig
Sorry, I read your post wrong, I thought your question was 'when are the less volatile periods in the year', but upon re-reading you are actually asking a slightly different question, you are asking for specific dates of inactive periods.
Nothing to be sorry Craig...actually i also was still pondering over it ... thinking i was missing something u relieved me !

Yes i want to know abt periods with approximate dates or weeks, when Big traders (or Big Dogs) (or institutional traders) (or even majority of retail trader) are supposed to not trade.. which are supposed to be Not real trading periods for a normal trader !

Periods like Thanksgiving holidays(?), Christmas(?), New year (?)..do they?
100 Fold Challenge->Interested? ->https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/32152
  • #8
  • Sep 27, 2009 2:15pm Sep 27, 2009 2:15pm
The periods I tend to avoid because of low volume or rangy conditions:

 

  1. End of year (including the last 2 weeks of December and the first week of January).
  2. End of month (last trading day).
  3. End of week (Friday).
  4. End of trading day (last half of New York session).
  5. Start of trading day (first half of Asian session).

Holidays can be slow too. When banks in the US are closed (like for Thanksgiving or July 4) it’s a good time to avoid US session trading. When they’re closed in most of Europe (like for Easter) it’s a good time to avoid Frankfurt / London session trading. Sometimes you might not even have a choice, because your broker might also be closed.

I’ve heard complaints about the month of August, and it’s usually tied to vacations. But I haven’t personally had problems with it.

If I had to religiously skip just one of these time periods, it would be the 3 weeks in Dec / Jan. I don’t think it’s worth the effort.

  • #9
  • Sep 28, 2009 8:39am Sep 28, 2009 8:39am
Quoting ballhead
Hey i would like too know the exact periods of the year that Forex is more volitale/Less volitale too,it would seem that since it is getting close to X mas that it would be more volitale than other quarters,but logically thinking vacation,and since i made my money i can take a break,the kids are home anyway they need attention,Hey lets go too Disneyland,MagicMoutain,WaterParks,.I think thats the thinking of humans and since forex traders are Humans,this would apply.
Wanted to put it laimens terms
All Holidays will be low volume
Beginning of the year High volume
US markets everyone is watching,
so high volume will be at the US Session write now,
in time it may go back to London Session.
  • #10
  • Sep 29, 2009 12:51am Sep 29, 2009 12:51am
Quoting Pips_Cruiser
The periods I tend to avoid because of low volume or rangy conditions:

 

  1. End of year (including the last 2 weeks of December and the first week of January).
  2. End of month (last trading day).
  3. End of week (Friday).
  4. End of trading day (last half of New York session).
  5. Start of trading day (first half of Asian session).

[font=Verdana]Holidays can be slow too. When banks in the US are closed (like...


Thanks Cruiser
Can you tell me more abt thanksgiving? i mean is it holidays or holiday? some say Holidays? and when actually are these holiday/s? different in different countries?

Regards
100 Fold Challenge->Interested? ->https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/32152
  • #11
  • Sep 29, 2009 2:42am Sep 29, 2009 2:42am
Things may pick up with the recent movement of the USD and Yen.
  • #12
  • Sep 29, 2009 2:54am Sep 29, 2009 2:54am
Quoting forexsaint
Hello Craig, thanks for reply !
Done; Attached; Last 3 yrs in there.
But cant make out much that is related to the threads's issue, out of that Chart. It just shows the volatility over a period of time...Thats all i think.

Kindly explain more if you can!
Regards
ple can you explain what you mean and how it works to me
  • #13
  • Sep 29, 2009 3:07am Sep 29, 2009 3:07am
Just because a market has lower liquidity, which can lead to higher/lower volatility doesn't mean it is untradeable. To me it is irrelevant when during the year I trade, I trade when there are opportunities on my charts. If theres no opportunity I don't trade regardless of when during the year.

One thing I have noticed is that gap trades tend to do very well during the holidays and holiday breaks.

Trade opportunity.

-snacker
  • #14
  • Sep 29, 2009 5:45am Sep 29, 2009 5:45am
Quoting thesnacker
Just because a market has lower liquidity, which can lead to higher/lower volatility doesn't mean it is untradeable. To me it is irrelevant when during the year I trade, I trade when there are opportunities on my charts. If theres no opportunity I don't trade regardless of when during the year.
Agree. BUT Aim here is same. its a case of more or less Filteration!
IMO opportunities will be of course less when "market has lower liquidity "
So info is mainly required to dont trade those timings at all.. if one is not interested in trading all throughout the year ! Simple..Aint it !

Hope you agree this way too!
100 Fold Challenge->Interested? ->https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/32152
  • #15
  • Last Post: Sep 30, 2009 8:12pm Sep 30, 2009 8:12pm
Quoting forexsaint
Thanks Cruiser
Can you tell me more abt thanksgiving? i mean is it holidays or holiday? some say Holidays? and when actually are these holiday/s? different in different countries?

Regards
Hi Saint,

Thanksgiving always falls on the 4th Thursday of November. It's a 1 day US holiday, and US banks and the NYSE are closed. The day after Thanksgiving is a popular day to take off, also. Some companies give their employees a 2 day holiday which equates to a 4 day weekend. Those without this luxury might take a vacation on Friday, and get a 4 day weekend too. But technically speaking, Thanksgiving is over after one day. Most US banks and the NYSE are open on Friday.
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