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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #200,181
  • Sep 27, 2009 10:03am Sep 27, 2009 10:03am
Quoting igmak
As I said, keep it simple. Sell the spikes. Below 50 EMA = short bais.

GU is forming h/s on daily, took few short positions @ 1.6715 and 1.6620.
GU retracement may reach is 1.615 to test LTL (aka Neck Line for H&S on weekly chart).

We have bearish MACD divergance on the same chart.

Also, all my indicators are turned so bearish. IMO, GU may test Low 1.35 or even make a new low in near future.

I am only waiting for QQE to cross 50 line.

Let's ride it to my targets 1.52, 1.35 and 1.18 (maybe)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 09-27-09 GU H&S Weekly.jpg Size: 379 KB
Do not follow my trades. Trade what you see on your own charts.
  • #200,182
  • Sep 27, 2009 10:17am Sep 27, 2009 10:17am
Yo DubaiFx,

I know that pound is in trouble..I posted many charts about GU breakout from the daily, weekly, monthly forming the H & S for weeks.Anyway, malcomb14 also pointed out a major breakout was due for the pound..I posted the article for people to see that analysis target 1.54.( it's a j/k) If the dollar strengthen against the EU which I think is also due, fast and furious price action for the GU,GJ down to the 135.00 zone.

IMHO

Look at this video from Jim Rogers:

http://link.brightcove.com/services/...id=14510970001






Quoting DubaiFX
POUND MAY FALL OT 1.54 END OF HTE YEAR i must say couple of weeks
bro..
just my 1 pip..
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: kaaboom gu.gif Size: 31 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: daily gu2.gif Size: 27 KB
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  • #200,183
  • Sep 27, 2009 11:19am Sep 27, 2009 11:19am
I put some projections together. It's late here so I won't get into too much detail, but take a look at the charts, they're self explanatory.

First chart is my 30Y channel projection and major trendlines. we are at an event horizon for the pound if the ltl we're sitting above gives way. (I know 118 may seem far away, but with the way we're dropping I wanted to get a broader view what we're looking at below)

If we are getting a bounce anywhere, I see it at 141.2 area. Take a look at chart 2 and 3. they support this as a major pivot, but the purple down channel on chart 2 is dominant, so the utl should hold even if we get a bounce..

Chart 3, if we knock through the 20, 5 envelope and the 141 pivot, then the bottom really comes out. We're sitting on the bottom edge of the envelope now.

My targets are 139, 137 and 133 once we get past 141.

macro view: everyone's been talking 167 for ages, but on chart 2, the retracements from the high in August 1990 at 286.0 to 118 are complete. with the last bounce off the 23.6% at 161.6 this August.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: WAVE GOODBYE.jpg Size: 124 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: chancloseup.gif Size: 24 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GYthis week.JPG Size: 70 KB
  • #200,184
  • Sep 27, 2009 11:21am Sep 27, 2009 11:21am
Quoting siboy
Yes I use FXCM....if your problem is no data there never is in the weekend.
What you mean? Ya i know weekend is closed, but is there any bug? like they stop you out when your in the profit, or don't let you close ur profit etc etc. Do you have?
Read the entire market, money is made on the main trend not the fluctuation
  • #200,185
  • Sep 27, 2009 11:38am Sep 27, 2009 11:38am
Quoting rgitt05
Look at this video from Jim Rogers:

http://link.brightcove.com/services/...id=14510970001

Yeah, Jim Rogers has been saying this for ages. Marc Farber, Peter Schiff, Max Keiser, and Gerald Celente are all pretty much on the same tract.

If you haven't already, check out Jay's video store in the interactive section. A lot of other videos from Jim Rogers and these guys posted there.

good stuff.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=153569
  • #200,186
  • Sep 27, 2009 11:49am Sep 27, 2009 11:49am
Quoting grashid
offcause lah...am already start my chapter 2 last week friday ..ask Mktong..he know everything..147-141.50-135.50(136 PB) step by step profit taking....till end of Sept 09.

U may check my post ( if you want la) some where ~ June 22...whre there are no bull for me....what ever price go to the top..am short....which ever 500 & 1000/2000pips (sometime more) am close....step by step profit taking ..Only doing my part time in M15/H1 atm...Good luck
.....
  • #200,187
  • Sep 27, 2009 12:17pm Sep 27, 2009 12:17pm
Quoting grashid
.....
brother what about euro
  • #200,188
  • Sep 27, 2009 12:28pm Sep 27, 2009 12:28pm
Quoting pakitrader
brother what about euro
as i told balaji and some others during our YM last 2 week before my long leave..to short EU is the best at 1.4820/30 and my first target for it was 1.4620/30-1.4420/30-break 1.4300 area am looking for 1.4180-1.3750..

see what happen tomorrow as i need to analyse my chart for my fresh entry tomorrow asian-London...

Good luck and c u tomorrow london

P/S : be honest..no eu pair to play with in mine mind atm
  • #200,189
  • Sep 27, 2009 12:40pm Sep 27, 2009 12:40pm
Quoting Kofmaster
What you mean? Ya i know weekend is closed, but is there any bug? like they stop you out when your in the profit, or don't let you close ur profit etc etc. Do you have?
hello,for me happened one time,i open for short ,but i start to go up before i set my stopps,the softa did not close the position.i call them,it taked about 20 minits,that they close it,(they return money, so i did not lose anything)everything else have been good.sorry my bad english,regards from Finland to all.
  • #200,190
  • Sep 27, 2009 1:32pm Sep 27, 2009 1:32pm
Thanks Fudomyo




Quoting Fudomyo
I put some projections together. It's late here so I won't get into too much detail, but take a look at the charts, they're self explanatory....
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  • #200,191
  • Sep 27, 2009 2:02pm Sep 27, 2009 2:02pm
Posted this tonight on the Cable thread, but seeing as I am trading GBP/JPY as well will put in on here.:

My view on 13th September:


http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost.php?p=3052516&postcount=16 5189
All targets have been hit and we are now at the 16000/16100 area I speak of above.
　
　
　
My current view:

Still holding Short Cable 16683, GBP/JPY 15220. TP ’s have been taken at various levels on the way as shown in previous charts in the thread.

I think we will not see a bounce from here. We may rise 100 pips or so, but I expect large scale selling into any rise.

I am lowering my ultimate targets to 135 on Cable, 118 on GBP/JPY and will continue to sell all rallies.

GBP/JPY next target 14093 (50% Fib of rise from 18882), other targets shown on chart.

Cable next target 15689 (50% Fib of rise from 13501), other targets shown on chart.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #200,192
  • Sep 27, 2009 2:51pm Sep 27, 2009 2:51pm
You've been looking at my charts.





Quoting direct-trade
Posted this tonight on the Cable thread, but seeing as I am trading GBP/JPY as well will put in on here.:

My view on 13th September:


[size=3][font=Arial]http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost.php?p=3052516&postcount=16 5189
[font=Arial][font=Arial][size=2]All targets have been hit and we are now at the 16000/16100...
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  • #200,193
  • Edited 3:11pm Sep 27, 2009 2:52pm | Edited 3:11pm
hmm i am trying to decide which is safer to short, gu or gj

with UJ closing in on important possible bounce area at 88 perhaps gu is safer. but then with dollar weakness and yen showing no sign of weakening, gj may be safer hmmm
  • #200,194
  • Sep 27, 2009 2:56pm Sep 27, 2009 2:56pm
IMO this fallin just begun not on a straight line but major trend is bearish, gu just started and this should bring gj down to 141-140 then 135...major support..
Attached Image
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #200,195
  • Sep 27, 2009 3:16pm Sep 27, 2009 3:16pm
Short everything


Quoting ewokuk
hmm i am trying to decide which is safer to short, gu or gj

with UJ closing in on important possible bounce area at 88 perhaps gu is safer. but then with dollar weakness and yen showing no sign of weakening, gj may be safer hmmm
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  • #200,196
  • Sep 27, 2009 3:18pm Sep 27, 2009 3:18pm
Quoting rgitt05
Short everything
you think its best to wait for a rally to sell from? seems overdue for some sort of retrace
  • #200,197
  • Sep 27, 2009 3:29pm Sep 27, 2009 3:29pm
Hi all

Oanda is showing all yen pair down. Is market allready open? or will it be open at 5.00 EST?

I am in big position and in profit. Should I close in profit?
  • #200,198
  • Sep 27, 2009 3:34pm Sep 27, 2009 3:34pm
Depending on your risk, I wouldn't go long at all until at least the 140-141 level been tested...PA will continue from friday.

It would be hard to short now cause the PA can do anything until asian market open.


This week fundamentals will bring some major PA.

Stay tune..




Quoting ewokuk
you think its best to wait for a rally to sell from? seems overdue for some sort of retrace
[
  • #200,199
  • Sep 27, 2009 3:35pm Sep 27, 2009 3:35pm
Quoting Banker
Hi all

Oanda is showing all yen pair down. Is market allready open? or will it be open at 5.00 EST?

I am in big position and in profit. Should I close in profit?
dont know what oanda you are looking at but the only yen pair i see thats down is UJ, the rest are slightly up
  • #200,200
  • Sep 27, 2009 3:36pm Sep 27, 2009 3:36pm
Quoting ewokuk
you think its best to wait for a rally to sell from? seems overdue for some sort of retrace
I am not picking on you. but why are u so worried about the retrace? its not like somebody is going to pay u million dollars for that?

go with the flow and think objectively...my 2 cents
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