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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #198,841
  • Sep 19, 2009 2:09am Sep 19, 2009 2:09am
Picking Tops and Picking Bottoms are very "Dirty Jobs".. Please guys when next time you are picking the bottoms, use Latex Gloves..
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  • #198,842
  • Sep 19, 2009 2:45am Sep 19, 2009 2:45am
Quoting malcolmb14
5 wave down ....

reatrce to no higher than 149.20

then down to 147 to 144 ...wave 5

that bull div on rsx has to break maybe the small retrace will sort that out
Hi Malcolmb! Could you advise where I could find the RSX + trailing SMA indicator that you have? Could you share it please? Thank you
  • #198,843
  • Sep 19, 2009 9:49am Sep 19, 2009 9:49am
thought for the day

Inserted Video
  • #198,844
  • Sep 19, 2009 11:32am Sep 19, 2009 11:32am
Quoting Maks
Hi Malcolmb! Could you advise where I could find the RSX + trailing SMA indicator that you have? Could you share it please? Thank you
google jurik ... I think 6 months is $200 ..linked to esignal user password
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #198,845
  • Sep 19, 2009 12:19pm Sep 19, 2009 12:19pm
Dollar Falls to One-Year Low as Economy Spurs High-Yield Demand

Link: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...d=algd6JOpOmvE
  • #198,846
  • Sep 19, 2009 12:29pm Sep 19, 2009 12:29pm
Quoting cohiba pips
thought for the day

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kc0xQfi4vPA
This is very true and secret is revealed
  • #198,847
  • Sep 19, 2009 1:54pm Sep 19, 2009 1:54pm
Quoting fourxtrader
I never look for crosses but what I look for are MMA's to
gather / bunch / stack up / wind up or coil together like
this. Sometimes they cross or bounce but they always
explode apart after a tight gathering.... eventually in every
time frame, often in every session with the lower TF's......
Corrections in red.
No need to embellish the facts.

Dr. D.
  • #198,848
  • Edited 5:05pm Sep 19, 2009 2:16pm | Edited 5:05pm
Quoting direct-trade
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=198492

That 15109 Short looking good, still holding those other Shorts from 15220, so can't complain sitting at 14850 area.

Question is...do we rise from here or just retrace slightly?

I think we will see a major down move over the next week and I am going to hold with an ultimate target of 141 area. Of course, I take partial profits each couple of hundred pips as we go...always good to take some of the table.

I would say we will see below 148 before NY close and selling...
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=198816


My thoughts/charts for the coming week/s. I see no PA for a Long position ATM, so continue to hold Shorts.

Looks Short From Monthly all the way down to 1hr IMHO.

Have a good weekend.
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  • #198,849
  • Sep 19, 2009 2:51pm Sep 19, 2009 2:51pm
a crystal ball
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  • #198,850
  • Sep 19, 2009 3:32pm Sep 19, 2009 3:32pm
Quoting direct-trade
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=198816


My thoughts/charts for the coming week/s. I see no PA for a Long position ATM, so continue to hold Shorts.

Looks Short From Monthly all the way down to 1hr IMHO.

Have a good weekend.
I agree that at this very moment, there are still no valid/strong signs of price reversal, but my study shows that we are nearly at a reversal and I am waiting the right moment. I do have small long position @ 148.50 to test my hypothesis. But if you swing trade, better to take out your shorts first as we are currently right at the neck of the double top. If there is a rejection, it will be quite big one. What you have to lose anyway, you can reenter your shorts after the breakout.

Just a friendly reminder..
  • #198,851
  • Edited 3:55pm Sep 19, 2009 3:35pm | Edited 3:55pm
Quoting direct-trade
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=198816


My thoughts/charts for the coming week/s. I see no PA for a Long position ATM, so continue to hold Shorts.

Looks Short From Monthly all the way down to 1hr IMHO.

Have a good weekend.
actually there was a kind of big demand on GBP after NY close.
we might see gap up on cable when market open.

bullish div on GU and GC and bearish one on EG
  • #198,852
  • Sep 19, 2009 3:49pm Sep 19, 2009 3:49pm
Quoting 5ysfx
actually there was a kind of big demand on GBP after NY close.
we might see gap up on cable when market open.
Where did u see that? I think whatever they (gov bodies) are working on since last year, are already showing the results.. Frankly, I still have not seen any strong up pattern yet, but i have a feeling that things will turn around..
  • #198,853
  • Sep 19, 2009 3:56pm Sep 19, 2009 3:56pm
Since last year, we still haven't achieve 38% fibo yet, if this is the beginning of a bull run, we might achieve up to 50% fibo on weekly which is the breakout point to the downside last year (sorry, I'm currently on mac, so I don't have the chart and I don't remember the price).. until I see valid positive momentum and acceleration on weekly based on a basket of currency pairs, I will just assume that this will be a major reversal first.. It's too early to call for that, anyway..
  • #198,854
  • Sep 19, 2009 4:05pm Sep 19, 2009 4:05pm
Selling all rallies unless the daily down channel is broken..


Quoting direct-trade
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=198816


My thoughts/charts for the coming week/s. I see no PA for a Long position ATM, so continue to hold Shorts.

Looks Short From Monthly all the way down to 1hr IMHO.

Have a good weekend.
[
  • #198,855
  • Sep 19, 2009 4:08pm Sep 19, 2009 4:08pm
Quoting A-speculator
Since last year, we still haven't achieve 38% fibo yet, if this is the beginning of a bull run, we might achieve up to 50% fibo on weekly which is the breakout point to the downside last year (sorry, I'm currently on mac, so I don't have the chart and I don't remember the price).. until I see valid positive momentum and acceleration on weekly based on a basket of currency pairs, I will just assume that this will be a major reversal first.. It's too early to call for that, anyway..
Well
as i said cable hit SMA100 daily its one of last support so i expect nice bounce off from here may be short lived but i dont care.
We buy on support and short below resistance , dont we ?
if something goes wrong SL is in place.

for now bullish divergence on m15 TF with double bottom pattern fo GU and GC and mirrored pattern for EG

charts below.

http://www.voila.pl/042/t1x4c/index.php?get=1&f=1
  • #198,856
  • Sep 19, 2009 4:09pm Sep 19, 2009 4:09pm
Quoting rgitt05
Selling all rallies unless the daily down channel is broken..
you have to consider the support at the neckline also.. better secure some profit first and then look for another setup.. at least if your first setup gone wrong, you still have some cushion to cover the second setup.. just my 2 cents..
  • #198,857
  • Sep 19, 2009 4:16pm Sep 19, 2009 4:16pm
Quoting 5ysfx
Well
as i said cable hit SMA100 daily its one of last support so i expect nice bounce off from here may be short lived but i dont care.
We buy on support and short below resistance , dont we ?
if something goes wrong SL is in place.

for now bullish divergence on m15 TF with double bottom pattern fo GU and GC and mirrored pattern for EG

charts below.

http://www.voila.pl/042/t1x4c/index.php?get=1&f=1
I don't think it will be short lived but it won't be v-shaped either.. from the daily, there has been a change in momentum & acceleration from negative to positive.. but there is still no strong/clear sign of pattern yet. But as you said, we buy at support.. and I think we are currently at support, perhaps a major one and it's has only been tested once..
  • #198,858
  • Sep 19, 2009 4:23pm Sep 19, 2009 4:23pm
148.22 - strong support.
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  • #198,859
  • Sep 19, 2009 4:45pm Sep 19, 2009 4:45pm
Quoting PandoraBox
148.22 - strong support.
If i recall correctly, UJ currently in flat top triangle/accending triangle form.. we might break to the upside next week.. now depending on GU.. if it continue down, we might get boring PA but it it moves up, it will be quite a rebounce..
  • #198,860
  • Sep 19, 2009 4:52pm Sep 19, 2009 4:52pm
Quoting A-speculator
If i recall correctly, UJ currently in flat top triangle/accending triangle form.. we might break to the upside next week.. now depending on GU.. if it continue down, we might get boring PA but it it moves up, it will be quite a rebounce..

UJ now entering bullish zone after break zero line at MACD H4. UJ might give influent to GJ movement. 148 or 146 is reversal point for GJ. I will sell at the top, not from here.
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