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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #194,781
  • Sep 5, 2009 2:36pm Sep 5, 2009 2:36pm
Quoting Maks
I trade my Charts, not the news. But the current period of time is not usual. It is just when I read this statement of the head of IMF I recalled the recent discussions here regarding the surge of the gold price and signs of bearishness on the indexes (Malcolmb's posts few days ago). The Charts are dynamic, they change.

news can often be seen in charts before it happens ... this is what most do not understand

think that the pros do not know the news before it comes out ? that is like saying the Pope will not know he is going to go to morning mass before he goes to bed each night

when you know what to look for trading news is simple.... those who have traded with me on skype will verify I call and enter trades before they happen . GJ I wanted to short before NFP .

thewre are only 2 news items i will not trade the days of ... fomc rates and nfp

why was easy already saw weakness in background ....
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #194,782
  • Sep 5, 2009 2:47pm Sep 5, 2009 2:47pm
Off Topic. Lets Get Brain .F*** d on NEWS..all weekend..long.

AUD/USD.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: CUP AND Handle AUD.jpg Size: 248 KB
Markets are not Random, they are designed!
  • #194,783
  • Sep 5, 2009 3:00pm Sep 5, 2009 3:00pm
Quoting malcolmb14
news can often be seen in charts before it happens ... this is what most do not understand

think that the pros do not know the news before it comes out ? that is like saying the Pope will not know he is going to go to morning mass before he goes to bed each night

when you know what to look for trading news is simple.... those who have traded with me on skype will verify I call and enter trades before they happen . GJ I wanted to short before NFP .

thewre are only 2 news items i will not trade the days of ... fomc rates and nfp

why was easy...

even when everyone is busy with chillin and party u posting chart ad analysis....hahahah malc u are so in love with tradin,
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #194,784
  • Sep 5, 2009 3:09pm Sep 5, 2009 3:09pm
Quoting donfriday
even when everyone is busy with chillin and party u posting chart ad analysis....hahahah malc u are so in love with tradin,

with clear mind I do best analysis on weekend... hit gym for 2 hours ... now doing some ' work ' and tonight is party time ...
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #194,785
  • Sep 5, 2009 3:13pm Sep 5, 2009 3:13pm
Quoting malcolmb14
with clear mind I do best analysis on weekend... hit gym for 2 hours ... now doing some ' work ' and tonight is party time ...

okay, i'm done for the day, i had a wonderful satruday, it's 8.12 pm here ..readin watching movie then sleep my head off.
have fun and dont get drunk
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #194,786
  • Sep 5, 2009 3:17pm Sep 5, 2009 3:17pm
Quoting Raza
Off Topic. Lets Get Brain .F*** d on NEWS..all weekend..long.

AUD/USD.

ok i have seen to references to cup and handles ..one was v wedge and one was this no rounded bottom

cups have ROUNDED bottoms ... those are real cup and handles ... but lets assume aud could also be this .....

I like the drop to 7500....

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  • #194,787
  • Sep 5, 2009 4:32pm Sep 5, 2009 4:32pm
Quoting malcolmb14
ok i have seen to references to cup and handles ..one was v wedge and one was this no rounded bottom

cups have ROUNDED bottoms ... those are real cup and handles ... but lets assume aud could also be this .....

I like the drop to 7500....

Attachment
Here is the Monthly ...Simple Retest of RED line. forget Cup....V...etc..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Monthly Aud.jpg Size: 160 KB
Markets are not Random, they are designed!
  • #194,788
  • Sep 5, 2009 5:01pm Sep 5, 2009 5:01pm
hmm wonder if this G20 bank reguation stuff is likely to increase risk and send gj up further. market might like what it hears with this increased regulation they are talking about
  • #194,789
  • Sep 5, 2009 5:11pm Sep 5, 2009 5:11pm
Quoting ewokuk
hmm wonder if this G20 bank reguation stuff is likely to increase risk and send gj up further. market might like what it hears with this increased regulation they are talking about
I doubt it. The regulation is a limitation of profit, i.e. affects price of shares and brings uncertainty, which investors do not like.
  • #194,790
  • Sep 5, 2009 5:15pm Sep 5, 2009 5:15pm
Quoting rgitt05
Here is my charts I posted three times..

My chart shows 140-141 area as a strong support

Enjoy the drawdown if you still in bullish position..

Markup special!!

This economy is real bad for all the outsider
I must agree with you, my analysis is showing the same and i thought i was wrong but seems like there is "Someone" that has the same so.. Thanks for posting, we are going down, on weekly anyways trend formed to drop then it will be a long term bullish..
  • #194,791
  • Sep 5, 2009 6:57pm Sep 5, 2009 6:57pm
Quoting ewokuk
hmm wonder if this G20 bank reguation stuff is likely to increase risk and send gj up further. market might like what it hears with this increased regulation they are talking about
lol. come on ... regulation is bring back mark to market , stop these crazy credit default swaps and high risk loans

regulation means banks profits go down .. not up . bringing back mark to market alone would reduce bank profits by over 30 % overnight
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #194,792
  • Sep 5, 2009 7:05pm Sep 5, 2009 7:05pm
Quoting feardox
I must agree with you, my analysis is showing the same and i thought i was wrong but seems like there is "Someone" that has the same so.. Thanks for posting, we are going down, on weekly anyways trend formed to drop then it will be a long term bullish..

I am bear and happy ... in fact more I look at charts more I get bearish all way to 110..

1st weekly div 50 % drop ....
2bd weekly bear div ? 500 ? or 317

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  • #194,793
  • Sep 5, 2009 7:12pm Sep 5, 2009 7:12pm
off topic aud weekly ... err last week highest vol since 2006 ...

doubt that is buyers

8500 to 8600 zone sell for 1000 pip minmum

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  • #194,794
  • Sep 5, 2009 7:35pm Sep 5, 2009 7:35pm
Quoting malcolmb14
or ...... would they make bulls think ...wow my entry was 149 and not 147 , this really is bullish as it did not even make it to 147 ... going all in . and this is some form of bull trap under low volume.

Look at this forum .. everyone turned bullish ...most anyway .

DO NOT FORGET MOST TRADERS OUT THERE ARE BULLISH ON MARKET NOT BEARISH .
malc i have 2 questions for u

1- if a trader can make huge profit more than 300 pips in a LOW VOLUME market

what u will call him ? a PRO or LUCKY ?

2- if a trader can enter against the market direction and in LOW VOLUME he catched the buttom or reversal area

what you call him ? a PRO or LUCKY ?

thanks
  • #194,795
  • Sep 5, 2009 8:16pm Sep 5, 2009 8:16pm
Quoting malcolmb14
lol. come on ... regulation is bring back mark to market , stop these crazy credit default swaps and high risk loans

regulation means banks profits go down .. not up . bringing back mark to market alone would reduce bank profits by over 30 % overnight
Not quite right. It'll reduce bank assets by over 30%. Remember Colonial Bank? Immediate 37% markdown on its portfolio of assets after being thrown into the arms of BB&T. Given the average banks portfolio leverage, 30% writedown on assets means an immediate solvency problem which by all rights, other than from the involuntary grace of the American taxpayer, would mean a 100% reduction of profits as the bank gets shut down for good.
  • #194,796
  • Sep 5, 2009 9:09pm Sep 5, 2009 9:09pm
I'm short GJ @ 152.59 and AUDUSD @ .8520 and will wait for a good chance to short GU if reached 1.65xx for a big drop for the 3 of them, I'm bearish and I'm still not bullish, next week might give a clear vision but after the holiday.
  • #194,797
  • Sep 5, 2009 10:05pm Sep 5, 2009 10:05pm
Quoting malcolmb14
off topic aud weekly ... err last week highest vol since 2006 ...

doubt that is buyers

8500 to 8600 zone sell for 1000 pip minmum

Attachment

can u analyze silver for me ? because i guess selling right now ?
  • #194,798
  • Sep 6, 2009 1:28am Sep 6, 2009 1:28am
NO BIAS, NO BIAS, NO BIAS.

Impossible to predict what will happen until volume comes into the market.

Have a great week everyone.
  • #194,799
  • Sep 6, 2009 2:19am Sep 6, 2009 2:19am
Quoting msniper
malc i have 2 questions for u

1- if a trader can make huge profit more than 300 pips in a LOW VOLUME market

what u will call him ? a PRO or LUCKY ?

2- if a trader can enter against the market direction and in LOW VOLUME he catched the buttom or reversal area

what you call him ? a PRO or LUCKY ?

thanks
lucky lol .... of course...

I like to trade safe ... 100 % wins last week ALL shorts and trust me more than 300 pip overall for week.... down ..that is the trend on the daily off 163 until i see bullish volume coming into markets. I have learnt that it is safer to trade with the way professional money is trading not against it. I do not play retracements in a down trend .. not for swing trades anyway .. kind of like swimming before a rip tide ... you could get carried away by it

drops 153 to 149 24 hours ..... retracement 149 to 153 60 hrs .... yeah seems likes stacks buyers in the market ...lol

now if we get a low volume test of 150 or 149 zone then and only then will I be bullish

Tuesday will be tell tale when US traders return to desks
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #194,800
  • Sep 6, 2009 2:21am Sep 6, 2009 2:21am
Quoting Eulogy
Not quite right. It'll reduce bank assets by over 30%. Remember Colonial Bank? Immediate 37% markdown on its portfolio of assets after being thrown into the arms of BB&T. Given the average banks portfolio leverage, 30% writedown on assets means an immediate solvency problem which by all rights, other than from the involuntary grace of the American taxpayer, would mean a 100% reduction of profits as the bank gets shut down for good.

that is what I meant ... but when reporting they have to report the losses on assets right... if mark to market is in force. . meaning that a 30 % reduction in assets , will make a draw down of 30% on earnings per share ....I think i have this right ?????
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
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