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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #192,021
  • Aug 27, 2009 7:46am Aug 27, 2009 7:46am
Quoting grashid
fyi
wow grashid !!! nice indicator !!! got arrow pointing buy or sell ???
Trading Forever !!!
  • #192,022
  • Aug 27, 2009 7:49am Aug 27, 2009 7:49am
Quoting msniper
humm can u attach your chart plz ?
Here
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  • #192,023
  • Aug 27, 2009 7:51am Aug 27, 2009 7:51am
Quoting Eulogy
Here
nice charts man

so according to your charts if we manage to get a close above 152.40 GJ will be bullish
  • #192,024
  • Aug 27, 2009 7:57am Aug 27, 2009 7:57am
Quoting msniper
nice charts man

so according to your charts if we manage to get a close above 152.40 GJ will be bullish
lol not really. Even above 152.4 there is still a shitload of resistance.

152.8 is UTL of the downward channel
153.5 is that huge resistance area where there previously was an intermediate quadruple bottom before we broke through on the 5th attempt.

fundamental front. Jobless claims number is a weekly item and is not subject to much revision. Prelim GDP however is an up-in-the-air item and has usually displayed a great disparity between itself and the ultimate revised figure later on.

That Lacker jawbone was the icing on the cake too. I think the populace is starting to wake up to the fact that the Fed is just string people along until it can actually be bothered to get off its fat cushy arse.
  • #192,025
  • Aug 27, 2009 7:58am Aug 27, 2009 7:58am
looks to me like the release was sold into, temporary up move now its going back down. i think its going to make a new low yet below 151.50
  • #192,026
  • Aug 27, 2009 8:00am Aug 27, 2009 8:00am
this chart is really ugly

and might make GJ go down again if the pattern breakout
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  • #192,027
  • Aug 27, 2009 8:01am Aug 27, 2009 8:01am
Quoting ewokuk
looks to me like the release was sold into, temporary up move now its going back down. i think its going to make a new low yet below 151.50
agreed. YM had a pre-news move up, and then a news spike which got sold aggressively.

I'll pop a few Karmo patience pills now and hop into the shower. Its getting late over here, need to sleep soon.
  • #192,028
  • Aug 27, 2009 8:07am Aug 27, 2009 8:07am
Quoting Eulogy
agreed. YM had a pre-news move up, and then a news spike which got sold aggressively.

I'll pop a few Karmo patience pills now and hop into the shower. Its getting late over here, need to sleep soon.
yes 2 factors i think it wil make a new low still, the selling on the news, and the fact that the range today is only 143 pips so far today. thats at least 100 pips from normal and today is not normally a quiet day. So to make its daily range or get anywhere close to it, it will have to either drop towards 150.50 or climb PAST 153 and head towards 154.

to get towards 154 it has to break a ton of resistance at the daily S1 at 152.10, resistance at 152.30, 152.50, 153, the old downtrend line which i also have at the 152.30 area. plus its been in a major downtrend which is getting stronger and faster, plus i see little major support between here and 147!

so it might go flying up.....but if im playing the percentages then i say a new low wil be made before todays close.
  • #192,029
  • Aug 27, 2009 8:09am Aug 27, 2009 8:09am
so it's going to be like yesterday, when chart and news look promising and only a couple of spikes going up...
  • #192,030
  • Aug 27, 2009 8:09am Aug 27, 2009 8:09am
150.13 - as Gann noted: price is an effect and the cycle (our geppy cycle) has to go there, regardless of anything. Also worth noting is that it appears the Dow Jones peaked, though wait for today's close.

of course I could be eating my words soon (though not loosing money)... short at 152.81 [email protected] [email protected]
peace and love
  • #192,031
  • Aug 27, 2009 8:12am Aug 27, 2009 8:12am
Quoting Raza
Think there is still room for another 70 pip.. Down...151.00- 150.92. 150.52....That should be a Perfect Buy entry for few hundred pips..IMO..

Trade your Charts..

newbies are following you ... why so bullish ?
the indexes have treble dojis in a row and gj at 151.90 even though us indexes at year highs ...think they are going back up ?

gj breaks 150 we go to 147 then 137 simple ... no several hundred pips up not till this channel broken ... simple . Stop posting rubbish unless something really valid and forget those hidden divergences on higher time frames , just watch price action EVERY RISE IS BEING SOLD INTO . Not that hard to make money if shorting rallies

Once again today we are under the vluae area of yesterday .... bearish . Down move in gu has slowed down for now , but no sign of buyers yet

Unless we get 3 hour close baove 152.50 it is sell rallies.....REALLY SIMPLE

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  • #192,032
  • Aug 27, 2009 8:12am Aug 27, 2009 8:12am
ok i will stick to my original plan i will not care about the PA

this is my old chart still moving 100% correct

we got hit by sellers at 152.30 and following my chart we just finshed wave A

and now we are in wave B as u can see in the chart

then we will start the strongest wave C which will take us to around 152.70 to 153.50 and from there i will close my long and very possible to go short to start the 5th wave down
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  • #192,033
  • Aug 27, 2009 8:13am Aug 27, 2009 8:13am
Quoting Raza
Cause its oversold.. so it should retrace a little..IMO..( for Scalp) this is not a trade Call..trade your Charts..
OS yes ... few hundred pips up though is reversal not retrace or flag ....lol
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #192,034
  • Aug 27, 2009 8:16am Aug 27, 2009 8:16am
also forgot to mention the s+p had a ton of selling on the news release also and the up move after it was much lower volume. its preparing for drop methinks...or i may be comlpetely wrong

im thinking down move somewhere between 150 and 151, then retrace maybe 152.50 before drop further
  • #192,035
  • Aug 27, 2009 8:20am Aug 27, 2009 8:20am
Quoting malcolmb14
OS yes ... few hundred pips up though is reversal not retrace or flag ....lol
malc what do you think about my analysis for the last chart white background ?
  • #192,036
  • Aug 27, 2009 8:22am Aug 27, 2009 8:22am
mal...been reading your post and seem you use a simple approach...in determining these level....hope that i could learn from you (at least i'm not so blind in positioning & have the patience)if you don't mind though..... ([email protected]) if you are willing to...teach me....thanks in advance....appreciate it...soory guy for interupting...the interesting conversation....
  • #192,037
  • Aug 27, 2009 8:27am Aug 27, 2009 8:27am
Quoting Eulogy
I think the populace is starting to wake up to the fact that the Fed is just string people along until it can actually be bothered to get off its fat cushy arse.
This is unbelievable! The Fed didn't even audit the off balance sheet transactions on the money they lent the banks. No one is keeping track!

And something else very interesting came out of the hearings. When Grayson grilled Fed Vice Chair Kohn, Kohn said the Fed had lent money to foreign central banks to prop up the dollar. This would explain some of the current market manipulation. To top it off, he then refused to provide any names of the institutions they lent 1.2 trillion dollars of the taxpayers money to.

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  • #192,038
  • Aug 27, 2009 8:27am Aug 27, 2009 8:27am
Quoting cscheat
hello Eulogy, may i know the Dow vs GY and how they behave ?

typically they are correlated but they have become disconnected now as gj moves more in sync with gu and usd and US indexes are disconnected

so dj could go to 10200 , but that does not mean gj is going up

however if dj drops based on 4 dojis on daily if today finishes as doji , it will be a mirror image of june 8th .... for drop

gj dropped 160 to 147 in that time ...this time based on 1300 pip move gj 137 , timing 2 - 3 weeks
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #192,039
  • Aug 27, 2009 8:33am Aug 27, 2009 8:33am
Quoting Mr.Elliott
mal...been reading your post and seem you use a simple approach...in determining these level....hope that i could learn from you (at least i'm not so blind in positioning & have the patience)if you don't mind though..... ([email protected]) if you are willing to...teach me....thanks in advance....appreciate it...soory guy for interupting...the interesting conversation....
thx but teach you !!!!!! i want some one to teach me i dont know every thing about elliott only few things
  • #192,040
  • Aug 27, 2009 8:34am Aug 27, 2009 8:34am
Quoting msniper
malc what do you think about my analysis for the last chart white background ?
seems logical and well thought out

watch the indexes though

Nikkei double top came off yesterday
ftse struggling to maintain 4900
dj 4 doji in row on daily

all global indexes look set for retrace ... in fact today short ES on news spike and gj every time it kisses 152 zone

3 times in London 152.20 was kissed ...price action nice little channel ....
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
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