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Elliott Wave Trading

  • #2,681
  • Jul 8, 2009 1:52am Jul 8, 2009 1:52am
Quoting Blue bottle
Hey 5ysfx, you're here..

Welcome back..
Hi

I have been here just not to talk to much and watched how my prediction is going.Spectator mode.
Now when i feel something starting to accelerate there is my time

Maybe you remember this post

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...40#post2417340

and this

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...5&page=71#1053

More or less is still valid.

My goal is above 1.32 either 161.8% or 261.8% we will see.
  • #2,682
  • Jul 8, 2009 4:03am Jul 8, 2009 4:03am
Quoting Blue bottle
hi tazzam,

thanks for the feedback. Surely i will re-look into my counts..

I'm curious to know wave (1) and wave (2) in your monthly chart(2nd chart), please post it for me. Thanks.

Here is the monthly chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: JPY USD m 37.png Size: 41 KB
  • #2,683
  • Jul 8, 2009 7:24am Jul 8, 2009 7:24am
Reversal signals are getting stronger
  • #2,684
  • Jul 8, 2009 7:45am Jul 8, 2009 7:45am
Quoting Phi
Reversal signals are getting stronger
I'm seeing a triangle still hopefully breaking to the downside to complete wave 5 .
  • #2,685
  • Jul 8, 2009 8:05am Jul 8, 2009 8:05am
I'm just forecasting today
By the way, how far you think triangle go?
  • #2,686
  • Jul 8, 2009 8:11am Jul 8, 2009 8:11am
Quoting Phi
I'm just forecasting today
Let's have no reversal and down down down all the way.
  • #2,687
  • Jul 8, 2009 8:15am Jul 8, 2009 8:15am
Quoting tazzam72
Here is what I saw when I back test the waves back for july 1 , Look at the charts below , The 4 h looks like a mess no clear direction and the daily did not confirm countra trend candle was above moving average 6-4 high (blue) not 6-4 low , that is why i did not short the eur usd yet , Look at the charts and let me know , if you saw this chart back on june 30 you will still short the Euro on July 1?
Thanks tazzam, It's good to compare my counts with yours in the period.

Happy trading
  • #2,688
  • Jul 8, 2009 9:16am Jul 8, 2009 9:16am
Quoting tazzam72
Sell Holding Short to 58.90 +Pips

Hit TP , It is about time
  • #2,689
  • Jul 8, 2009 10:44am Jul 8, 2009 10:44am
Position update of http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2604

Closed half for 6.5R just now at higher-degree abc typical level, the other half is trailed for the possibility of the continuation of the trend down.

Good luck!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurjpy.gif Size: 15 KB
Trading = a mirror to your human flaws. Fix them or be fixed.
  • #2,690
  • Jul 8, 2009 11:10am Jul 8, 2009 11:10am
Are you still riding the down? I've tp on one lot with another lot still opened - want to see 59.
  • #2,691
  • Jul 8, 2009 11:13am Jul 8, 2009 11:13am
Quoting tazzam72
I am Short to 126.03 +Ve Pips sp far

On the way to a Big Profit
  • #2,692
  • Jul 8, 2009 12:24pm Jul 8, 2009 12:24pm
Quoting tazzam72
CADUSD , Short early -ve pips for this pair but i am still in did not hit my SL yet

HIt my SL , Got in early without clear confirmation , it is ok 3 Wins one loss
  • #2,693
  • Jul 8, 2009 2:35pm Jul 8, 2009 2:35pm
Quoting 4cfx
Are you still riding the down? I've tp on one lot with another lot still opened - want to see 59.
I have SL at 1.6065 & buy limit at 1.5980 & 1.5920
  • #2,694
  • Jul 8, 2009 10:22pm Jul 8, 2009 10:22pm
Possible Long Term Trade on the weekly Chart (CADJPY)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: CAD JPY W 38.png Size: 38 KB
  • #2,695
  • Edited 2:39am Jul 9, 2009 2:27am | Edited 2:39am
Good morning this is how i see E/U: we are now in wave 5 of wave C of bigger degree and that should finish wave 4 so that there will be a big long move the most probable 5th wave ending points are 3855 or 3800 and least likely 3725 i think p
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU H1.GIF Size: 46 KB
  • #2,696
  • Jul 9, 2009 3:50am Jul 9, 2009 3:50am
I have a question: is it possible [more wave 4 tend to go up] can make [more wave 5 tend to go down] ? (because of the triangle range)
If it's true then watching wave 4 would be tell us the forecast.
  • #2,697
  • Jul 9, 2009 4:13am Jul 9, 2009 4:13am
Quoting Phi
I have a question: is it possible [more wave 4 tend to go up] can make [more wave 5 tend to go down] ? (because of the triangle range)
If it's true then watching wave 4 would be tell us the forecast.
In terminal impulses (diagonal triangles) it is common that wave-5 ends at the trendline but it is not a rule since 5th wave can be some simple or complex corrective pattern (triangle). in this situation wave-4 went to it's maximum - 61.8%; according to internal relationships the most common lenght of wave-5 would be 38.2% of wave-3 (since wave-3 is 61.2% of wave-1), then 61.8% and least likely but possible 99%. on the other hand, the external rel. show that the end of the entire impulse should be at least at 1.3700 so the trendline doesnt go with any of these targets and I think the best thing to do would be to wait and see what structure wave-5 will have
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU H1.GIF Size: 66 KB
  • #2,698
  • Jul 9, 2009 4:43am Jul 9, 2009 4:43am
if I got it right you mean there's a conflict between internal & external relationship, so which one is prior?
  • #2,699
  • Jul 9, 2009 5:04am Jul 9, 2009 5:04am
Quoting Phi
if I got it right you mean there's a conflict between internal & external relationship, so which one is prior?
now that wave-4 exeeded the 61.2% level i have only one option: that wave-5 will be extended, but that would mess up all my count so i have nothing to say ...
  • #2,700
  • Jul 9, 2009 5:11am Jul 9, 2009 5:11am
GU_H4:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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