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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #181,461
  • Jun 9, 2009 11:00pm Jun 9, 2009 11:00pm
Quoting Aliassmith
All this time you were my idol because I thought you made over 30% a month. Now you say "barely make 10% per month", say it ain't so. Ok you are still may trading idol but I was hoping to get almost as good as you and make 6% a week
Market is dynamic, returns are different and Malcolm is human like the rest of us around here. There always will be times when we make excessive amounts and then times when we make diddly squat.
  • #181,462
  • Jun 9, 2009 11:01pm Jun 9, 2009 11:01pm
Quoting bartstop
Can you help me out and explain your reasoning?
Visit BABYPIPS.COM .. for DIVERGENCE... AND OTHER STUFF.

Weekly 50 ema is at 159.73..- 83
Markets are not Random, they are designed!
  • #181,463
  • Jun 9, 2009 11:08pm Jun 9, 2009 11:08pm
not so sure on scottys short ...although Scotty is a great trader

GU daily ... perfect cup and handle a bounce off 1.6600 to be expected.

This is major R on daily. If this breaks we go to next resistance at 1.7000 , 1.75000

looking for that rsx on daily to turn up , this would confirm the move off April lows is not over yet

1.6150 is key support on gu right now.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPJPY3MIN222.png Size: 214 KB
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  • #181,464
  • Jun 9, 2009 11:09pm Jun 9, 2009 11:09pm
The overall trade balance is improving..This should help push the GJ up to my 164.00 resistance zone I posted earlier...

Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: trade balance.png Size: 150 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: trade balance1.png Size: 24 KB
[
  • #181,465
  • Jun 9, 2009 11:11pm Jun 9, 2009 11:11pm
Quoting Raza
Visit BABYPIPS.COM .. for DIVERGENCE... AND OTHER STUFF.

Weekly 50 ema is at 159.73..- 83

I've spent some time there and at informedtrades. I don't usually pay any attention to MACD, too many false signals. But maybe I should be?
  • #181,466
  • Jun 9, 2009 11:14pm Jun 9, 2009 11:14pm
Quoting malcolmb14
not so sure on scottys short ...although Scotty is a great trader

GU daily ... perfect cup and handle a bounce off 1.6600 to be expected.

This is major R on daily. If this breaks we go to next resistance at 1.7000 , 1.75000

looking for that rsx on daily to turn up , this would confirm the move off April lows is not over yet

1.6150 is key support on gu right now.

Attachment

I Dont trade this. But looks like Handle is a bit too small. for this Big of a cup.. either the cup is not complete yet or .. by visually looking at it( without analysis) Handle should come to minimum 155 xx AND below( is this area of any importance??)
Markets are not Random, they are designed!
  • #181,467
  • Jun 9, 2009 11:16pm Jun 9, 2009 11:16pm
Quoting Aliassmith
All this time you were my idol because I thought you made over 30% a month. Now you say "barely make 10% per month", say it ain't so. Ok you are still may trading idol but I was hoping to get almost as good as you and make 6% a week
i was being modest.

Even at 2.5 % a week compounded that is a phenomenal return

2 k to 42 k 2 years
2 k to 190 k 3 years
2k to 1 mill 4 years
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #181,468
  • Jun 9, 2009 11:18pm Jun 9, 2009 11:18pm
Quoting bartstop
I've spent some time there and at informedtrades. I don't usually pay any attention to MACD, too many false signals. But maybe I should be?
I dont like MACD.. it doesnot make any sense to me..watched videos about it too... I use Rsi for divergence in aLL TIME FRAMES.. 15 - 4 hR.

Some USE CCI...I have tried it . that doesnot work for me..
Markets are not Random, they are designed!
  • #181,469
  • Jun 9, 2009 11:21pm Jun 9, 2009 11:21pm
Quoting Scotty B
There will not be a better short set up like this for days or possibly weeks. It's not guaranteed of course, just a heck of a setup. The train is boarding folks.

Scotty B
after my SL hitting yesterday with end up -65 pips this week....Would like to take off @ 158 area and see if S1=157.23 able to reach...Daily look like going to 38.2% weekly but going to north...above 157.50 hold after London open may seen confirm for north as what rgiit mentioned...

So atm H1 just flip above gann/H4/Daily/Weekly above gann....north we go..anyway just my 10 sen of short...see how

Anyway interesting to see UY M15/H1 movement atm..
  • #181,470
  • Jun 9, 2009 11:24pm Jun 9, 2009 11:24pm
Oh good I can stop crying in my cereal there is still hope for 6% a week.

Quoting malcolmb14
i was being modest.

Even at 2.5 % a week compounded that is a phenomenal return

2 k to 42 k 2 years
2 k to 190 k 3 years
2k to 1 mill 4 years
  • #181,471
  • Jun 9, 2009 11:26pm Jun 9, 2009 11:26pm
Bearish divergence on the hourly with a bearish two bar pattern . . . will have to see what's up at the end of the hour . . . could head back to the daily pivot (158.18).
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: geppy_hourly.gif Size: 25 KB
"Don't trade to trade . . . trade to win." - James16
  • #181,472
  • Jun 9, 2009 11:29pm Jun 9, 2009 11:29pm
Quoting grashid
after my SL hitting yesterday with end up -65 pips this week....Would like to take off @ 158 area and see if S1=157.23 able to reach...Daily look like going to 38.2% weekly but going to north...above 157.50 hold after London open may seen confirm for north as what rgiit mentioned...

So atm H1 just flip above gann/H4/Daily/Weekly above gann....north we go..anyway just my 10 sen of short...see how

Anyway interesting to see UY M15/H1 movement atm..
157.50 is where WEEKLY will turn into a Doji (reversal).. But we have more than 24 hours for that.. it cant range between 157.50 - 159.50... for 2 days.( well may be it can.) price is about to touch 50 ema at 159.75.. for the second time.If weekly candle closes and next weeks opens above .. 50 ema.. there is trouble...

For Daily 157.50 means a red candle.. candle setup looks the same as when it was at 143xx..( all blue candles) and Divergence is BEARISH... Where is LILMOE..???
Markets are not Random, they are designed!
  • #181,473
  • Jun 9, 2009 11:30pm Jun 9, 2009 11:30pm
Quoting Raza
I dont like MACD.. it doesnot make any sense to me..watched videos about it too... I use Rsi for divergence in aLL TIME FRAMES.. 15 - 4 hR.

Some USE CCI...I have tried it . that doesnot work for me..
Loaded up RSI. I see the divergence now. Thank you.
  • #181,474
  • Jun 9, 2009 11:34pm Jun 9, 2009 11:34pm
Quoting rgitt05
The overall trade balance is improving..This should help push the GJ up to my 164.00 resistance zone I posted earlier...

good Job bro..u see what is clear...loan me ur eyes...
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #181,475
  • Jun 9, 2009 11:36pm Jun 9, 2009 11:36pm
Quoting Raza
I Dont trade this. But looks like Handle is a bit too small. for this Big of a cup.. either the cup is not complete yet or .. by visually looking at it( without analysis) Handle should come to minimum 155 xx ( is this area of any importance??)

I agree ... that handle should be bigger. I am amazed at GBP strength versus usd.

I think that due to bond yields going up based on inflation concerns and NOT recession bottom is in as we see all over the news. I mean how many billions can they pritn before inflation is a concern ??? There is liekly an under current of feeling of weakness on the usd as inflation will not always mean hiked interest rates

I think that at least a test of 1.6600 is in order before any significant top is in

FTSE is in what looks to be bullish continuation pennant on 4 hour ... tonight will be break out night (watching that 4 hour rsx to see if it comes above 50 or if break down is going to occur) . this may take both gu and gj up if it breaks to upside

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ftse.gif Size: 46 KB
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  • #181,476
  • Jun 9, 2009 11:36pm Jun 9, 2009 11:36pm
Quoting Raza
157.50 is where WEEKLY will turn into a Doji (reversal).. But we have more than 24 hours for that.. it cant range between 157.50 - 159.50... for 2 days.( well may be it can.) price is about to touch 50 ema at 159.75.. for the second time.If weekly candle opens above .. 50 ema.. there is trouble...

For Daily 157.50 means a red candle.. candle setup looks the same as when it was at 143xx..( all blue candles) and Divergence is BEARISH... Where is LILMOE..???


dont forget rsi can remain divergence while price move up and up until some point before u see what u want, PA now is showing bull let play safe , i dont see any fall yet 162.55 may come europe
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #181,477
  • Jun 9, 2009 11:51pm Jun 9, 2009 11:51pm
Quoting donfriday
dont forget rsi can remain divergence while price move up and up until some point before u see what u want, PA now is showing bull let play safe , i dont see any fall yet 162.55 may come europe
Posted a chart about 5 hrs ago.. Please refer to that.. and focus on the target..


Syymetrical triangle.. Ascending Triangle... In an UP TREND...

Violent breakout to the upside. expected. It could break out right from here.158.88.. to make a Double top at 160xx.. Then down alittle bit.

But I think. one last time down.. to 157.0 first... 157.80-90 is gonna be an interesting area as well...if price gets there...!!

HIDDEN BEARISH diversion(small one).. Then huge bullish Divergence.. TONIGHTS European session!!

Evening doji on HOURLY.. Atm..

Buying Dips ...
Attached Thumbnailshttp://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1244589364
Markets are not Random, they are designed!
  • #181,478
  • Jun 9, 2009 11:52pm Jun 9, 2009 11:52pm
based on my 15min tf..i see some clear signal of heavy move coming in a short while,though everything seems to be pointing to the upside,am very caution of the great bear sentiment hanging around cable..so am tttighting my sl on my longs from 156areas..here are the earlier post and charts http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=1274
Imanuel Parsifal
  • #181,479
  • Jun 9, 2009 11:54pm Jun 9, 2009 11:54pm
Quoting Raza
157.50 is where WEEKLY will turn into a Doji (reversal).. But we have more than 24 hours for that.. it cant range between 157.50 - 159.50... for 2 days.( well may be it can.) price is about to touch 50 ema at 159.75.. for the second time.If weekly candle closes and next weeks opens above .. 50 ema.. there is trouble...

For Daily 157.50 means a red candle.. candle setup looks the same as when it was at 143xx..( all blue candles) and Divergence is BEARISH... Where is LILMOE..???
ya..because of that reason am float my 10 sen and see where she will going to...totally no idea atm....
  • #181,480
  • Jun 9, 2009 11:57pm Jun 9, 2009 11:57pm
Quoting sycho
based on my 15min tf..i see some clear signal of heavy move coming in a short while,though everything seems to be pointing to the upside,am very caution of the great bear sentiment hanging around cable..so am tttighting my sl on my longs from 156areas..here are the earlier post and charts http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=1274


some of usd strength based on speculation they were going to raise interest rates...not the case (all lies but will be perceived as being the truth and more strength gu to come)

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...d=aR2peeJA76bM
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