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New opportunities on EUR/USD market

  • #121
  • May 25, 2009 5:54am May 25, 2009 5:54am
So back to previous post...
On Friday I mansioned about unusually large injection of volume at 1,4024...and today we have a classical reaction of asian-europe low-volume session to large volumes of previous american high-volume session:

http://savepic.ru/638948m.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #122
  • May 25, 2009 6:13am May 25, 2009 6:13am
Quoting Alex_S
So back to previous post...
On Friday I mansioned about unusually large injection of volume at 1,4024...and today we have a classical reaction of asian-europe low-volume session to large volumes of previous american high-volume session:
Is this your broker volumes or it's world wide volumes??
  • #123
  • May 25, 2009 6:16am May 25, 2009 6:16am
Quoting egkid
Is this your broker volumes or it's world wide volumes??
Its worldwide volumes.Data is taken from euro futures that are traded at CME.
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #124
  • May 25, 2009 7:09am May 25, 2009 7:09am
Quoting Alex_S
Its worldwide volumes.Data is taken from euro futures that are traded at CME.
Thanks for sharing this valuable data
Here it's Us$ Index in Long term,I think it deserve to take a look on it.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: index.gif Size: 14 KB
  • #125
  • May 25, 2009 8:09am May 25, 2009 8:09am
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1243256893
  • #126
  • May 27, 2009 4:56am May 27, 2009 4:56am
Shorted from yesterday`s largest volumes:

http://savepic.ru/595755m.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #127
  • May 28, 2009 12:01pm May 28, 2009 12:01pm
Any update Alex
  • #128
  • Jun 14, 2009 11:39am Jun 14, 2009 11:39am
Hello everyone! Jun09 contract has inspired and new Sep09 contract has begane, volumes are already large, so next week I expect first good move of new contract, will also start posting here some entries, 1 and 2 monthes of currency futures contracts are the most pleasant for speculation
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #129
  • Jun 15, 2009 5:24am Jun 15, 2009 5:24am
EUR/USD's break of 1.3911 minor support flips intraday bias back to the downside and put focus on 1.3793 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2884 to 1.4337 at 1.3782). As mentioned before, firm break of 1.3793 will confirm rise from 1.2884 has completed at 1.4337, in form of a head and shoulder top (ls: 1.4049, h: 1.4337, rs: 1.4171). In such case deeper fall should be seen to channel support at 1.3327 next. On the upside, though, note that a break of 1.4171 will dampen the head and shoulder case and argue that price actions from 1.4337 are merely consolidation in larger up rally. Another rise to above 1.4337 should then be seen before topping.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2329 are treated as consolidation in the down trend from 1.6039 only, with first leg completed at 1.4719, second at 1.2456. Break of mentioned 1.3793 support will argue that the third leg from 1.2456 has completed at 1.4337 too and deeper decline should be seen to 1.2456/2884 support zone. Though, in such case, as we're favoring that it's developing into triangle consolidation, downside should be contained by 1.2456/2884 support zone and bring one more rise to complete the consolidation. On the upside, while another rise cannot be ruled out for the moment, focus will remain on reversal signal as EUR/USD approaches trend line resistance (now at 1.4419).
Attached Image
  • #130
  • Jun 15, 2009 8:35am Jun 15, 2009 8:35am
Quoting johnscorpion
EUR/USD's break of 1.3911 minor support flips intraday bias back to the downside and put focus on 1.3793 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2884 to 1.4337 at 1.3782). As mentioned before, firm break of 1.3793 will confirm rise from 1.2884 has completed at 1.4337, in form of a head and shoulder top (ls: 1.4049, h: 1.4337, rs: 1.4171). In such case deeper fall should be seen to channel support at 1.3327 next. On the upside, though, note that a break of 1.4171 will dampen the head and shoulder case and argue that price actions from 1.4337 are...
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #131
  • Jun 15, 2009 12:04pm Jun 15, 2009 12:04pm
Quoting johnscorpion
EUR/USD's break of 1.3911 minor support flips intraday bias back to the downside and put focus on 1.3793 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2884 to 1.4337 at 1.3782). As mentioned before, firm break of 1.3793 will confirm rise from 1.2884 has completed at 1.4337, in form of a head and shoulder top (ls: 1.4049, h: 1.4337, rs: 1.4171). In such case deeper fall should be seen to channel support at 1.3327 next. On the upside, though, note that a break of 1.4171 will dampen the head and shoulder case and argue that price actions from 1.4337 are...
I don't think so we won't back there.In my view we will go not more than 1.3450 MAX 1.2880
  • #132
  • Jul 23, 2009 7:32am Jul 23, 2009 7:32am
Hello people!!!After some delay I will start again posting here some education materials and current view of situation on currecies markets.

Currently Yen:

1,0607 important level:

http://savepic.ru/780653m.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #133
  • Jul 23, 2009 7:47am Jul 23, 2009 7:47am
Yen
http://savepic.ru/729453m.png

If anyone opened from same level, its time to move s/l from -10 pips to the opening price

Euro

http://savepic.ru/736621m.png

if break above 4258 possible long trade from 4273
good luck!
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #134
  • Jul 23, 2009 9:19am Jul 23, 2009 9:19am
Good job yen!

http://savepic.ru/735599m.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #135
  • Jul 23, 2009 1:34pm Jul 23, 2009 1:34pm
Important levels for yen:

http://savepic.ru/744804m.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #136
  • Jul 23, 2009 5:49pm Jul 23, 2009 5:49pm
EURO analysis
Day was closed under opening price. In the beggining of US session there was more long positions at the market, as on Wednesday main volumes were formed at the range 1.4215 - 1.4188. These levels were the point for long trade, and as today market tested new max price of this week, a lot investors shorted at that levels futures on euro as well as options. Lets look at this day in details.
When US session opened, market tested main levels of Wednesday and then bulls took the control. At price range 1.4282 - 1.4274, at local high of the day most of investors became bearish and price of the euro futures became much lower till the end of trading session. Closing of the market has formed main volumes of Thursday.

http://savepic.ru/733564m.png

Main levels for Friday.
Max volume of the day 1.4204 - one of the main levels for tomorrow trading sessions.
1.4274- 1.4282 this range and 1.4255 - 1.4248- will be important for tomorrow too.

http://savepic.ru/725372m.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #137
  • Jul 23, 2009 6:40pm Jul 23, 2009 6:40pm
YEN
Whole day- dynamic declining trend was shown today on yen currency market. One of the sygnals of todays shorts was todays opening much lower than closing price of Wednesday. Main levels for Friday are indicated lower.

http://savepic.ru/732543m.jpg
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #138
  • Jul 27, 2009 1:20am Jul 27, 2009 1:20am
Yen analysis

Yen in the beginning of last trading week led the tendency of gaining to the basic accumulation of last week. Having reached formation of the basic large volumes of last week, yen was trading in flat for two days, and as a result yen has generated sufficient volume to continue further declining trend. If to consider price movements on this week areas, of balanced market are visible accurately - Tuesday, Thursday and Friday. These price ranges to consider as the priority prices for movement next week.

http://savepic.ru/726233m.png

Let's consider from the point of view of the analysis the basic volume of the trading sessions of the last week. First area occurred in a range
1.0556 - 1.0549. And the second area was formed on Tuesday and Wednesday 1.0679 - 1.0692.

http://savepic.ru/764120m.png

Yen has tested the price of the maximum volume of all contract 1.05.
If market will not go under these range, long positions are expected. It is possible to buy from the first basic area of last week and to the second as the second area of volume congestion can stop price movement. In this case it is better to fix a part of the position and expect for breaking of this range. If on Monday-Tuesday market will leave under level 1.05 - only short positions.
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #139
  • Jul 27, 2009 1:28am Jul 27, 2009 1:28am
Euro futures analysis (EUA, 6E)

Current situation is rather predicted as this week traded in very narrow range, the basic volumes of week were in a price range 1.4229-1.4214.
This range also will be key level for trades of the next week. Next week declining tendency is expected. In a situation of strengthening of the dollar a result 1.43 - 1.44 is possible.

http://savepic.ru/757976m.png

http://savepic.ru/759000m.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #140
  • Jul 27, 2009 1:31am Jul 27, 2009 1:31am
Currently euro (Asian - European session)

http://savepic.ru/742616m.png

Counter with volumes of last week:

http://savepic.ru/732376m.png
skype: aleksey_trader
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