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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #177,481
  • May 15, 2009 5:25am May 15, 2009 5:25am
Quoting PandoraBox
If weekly gann flip next week, UJ down might drag GJ too.
Thats what am hoping for..but out if 143.50 hit as a bit scary to continue my short as it almot hit my LTL
  • #177,482
  • May 15, 2009 5:25am May 15, 2009 5:25am
[quote=sycho;2736634]
Quoting forex888
bro,my daily analysis based on my strategy show's g/j would test 142.38 today...full post with chart coming up
she is in the play..o!boy this better be PB or malc pips filling my tank
Imanuel Parsifal
  • #177,483
  • Edited 5:39am May 15, 2009 5:28am | Edited 5:39am
Quoting ewokuk
u dreaming if you think its going near 118. japan would intervene if it started getting that low again (they already mentioned the possibility a few times more recently!), a yen that strong would kill their economy even more than it already is

if it breaks this daily trendline i think we will see 139 quite quickly
lol, dont bet your farm on that mate... when recession gears in, noone is interested to buy any NEW car, or 52" plazma LCD for bedroom, or bathroom..
My point is, those export industries are going to suffer any way. It is a global recession.. and with USD dropping, BOJ is interested to keep the real value on YEN.. WHY ??

because, OIL, FOOD, Commodities are going UP.. Japan is 100% depended from imported OIL.. we saw the bottom in OIL, the next step and level to expected is arround $100/barrel, Gold because is hedged/traded with USD, is to expected to go to 1500 - 2000usd/ounce..

In those enviroments.. BOJ interest is not to Interveine.. but to keep the real value. [the game has changed mate]
  • #177,484
  • May 15, 2009 5:31am May 15, 2009 5:31am
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  • #177,485
  • May 15, 2009 5:34am May 15, 2009 5:34am
Quoting Piters
I exited my shorts mate. And im exiting every day before NY kicks in. Same pattern same thing.. We are in BEAR mode. EU and UK are sellers, NY retracing..


GY is sitting on daily ema, my 4h and daily are very bearish, however, if we cant break the daily down to 142.90 before NY starts, then we go UP to retrace again

I have good news for you bro, Daily UJ extremely OS. Can't go lower then 93 or 92. Now only UJ H1 push UJ down, after H1 UJ complete his work, it will back to 99.

NY will buy dips GJ.
  • #177,486
  • May 15, 2009 5:35am May 15, 2009 5:35am
Will 143.50 Daily TL hold? So far the setup from yesterday produced over 260 pips from the high in asian time atm...The DJ future looks slight negative but I believe it will turn around...

Playout A is still holding but if the Playout B works out than another 200 pips is still available downward to the weekly TL 141.50( Possible Reversal zone)

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=177354





Quoting rgitt05
The daily TL at 143.50 held up during the NY time as well Asian session today

High for Asian session atm is 146.30..Reversal is possible but the bias is bullish since it is above the DPP and MPP

Two playout

A. GJ retest the Daily TL 143.50 zone and reverse back up

B. GJ retest the Daily TL 143.50 zone and break thru to the Weekly TL at 141.50 zone for strong possible reversal

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=177299


IMHO

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  • #177,487
  • May 15, 2009 5:37am May 15, 2009 5:37am
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  • #177,488
  • May 15, 2009 5:37am May 15, 2009 5:37am
Quoting PandoraBox
I have good news for you bro, Daily UJ extremely OS. Can't go lower then 93 or 92. Now only UJ H1 push UJ down, after H1 UJ complete his work, it will back to 99.

NY will buy dips GJ.
Yes bro, im waiting on same task.. [pattern]

every EU/UK session shorts = 200-300pips
every NY session retrace longs = 100-150pips

i wait on my long signal.. 1h is ready to spike up to 145.50 again..
  • #177,489
  • May 15, 2009 5:38am May 15, 2009 5:38am
am off guys
have a nice pips
  • #177,490
  • May 15, 2009 5:39am May 15, 2009 5:39am
Quoting Piters
lol, dont bet your farm on that mate... when recession grears in, noone is interested to buy any NEW car, or 52" plazma LCD for bedroom, or bathroom..
My point is, those export industries are going to suffer any way. It is a global recession.. and with USD dropping, BOJ is interested to keep the real value on YEN.. WHY ??

because, OIL, FOOD, Commodities are going UP.. Japan is 100% depended from imported OIL.. we saw the bottom in OIL, the next step and level to expected is arround $100/barrel, Gold because is hedged/traded with USD, is to expected...
EXACTLY BRO..AND IF THEY have weaker yen to buy crude,that means cost of production ,leaving will octaple making there goods for export too expensive and nobody will want to buy...it's simple logic bro..use your head
Imanuel Parsifal
  • #177,491
  • May 15, 2009 5:40am May 15, 2009 5:40am
Cable: Updated chart, bounce from yesterday's max volume.

Is it sustainable? Well to complete its range it will either continue up from here another 200 pips, or drop to create a double bottom.
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  • #177,492
  • May 15, 2009 5:44am May 15, 2009 5:44am
Quoting Piters
lol, dont bet your farm on that mate... when recession grears in, noone is interested to buy any NEW car, or 52" plazma LCD for bedroom, or bathroom..
My point is, those export industries are going to suffer any way. It is a global recession.. and with USD dropping, BOJ is interested to keep the real value on YEN.. WHY ??

because, OIL, FOOD, Commodities are going UP.. Japan is 100% depended from imported OIL.. we saw the bottom in OIL, the next step and level to expected is arround $100/barrel, Gold because is hedged/traded with USD, is to...
Congrats to those who were in on that short. Man London is definitely the session to trade. Great insights as always Piters but I don't know about $100 a barrel oil. I think oil has been going up along with the indexes. The US Fed has been pumping like mad and the primary dealers (the fed's generals) have just been carrying out orders (trying to re-inflate). It may fail.

It will be interesting to see how it plays out. In the long term you'll probably be right. $60 oil seems like a short term top for now anyway (there's just too much of the stuff sitting around the world for now and price is at a key area for possible reversal).
"Don't trade to trade . . . trade to win." - James16
  • #177,493
  • Edited 7:09am May 15, 2009 5:44am | Edited 7:09am
Quoting Piters
Yes bro, im waiting on same task.. [pattern]

every EU/UK session shorts = 200-300pips
every NY session retrace longs = 100-150pips

i wait on my long signal.. 1h is ready to spike up to 145.50 again..

Me too, I'm closed all my short. Buy dips - GJ.
  • #177,494
  • May 15, 2009 5:48am May 15, 2009 5:48am
Quoting GodfreyH
Cable: Updated chart, bounce from yesterday's max volume.

Is it sustainable? Well to complete its range it will either continue up from here another 200 pips, or drop to create a double bottom.
YES bro, it is important how Cable is gonna play today. She is on 4h Gann and 50 ema [4h]. Breaking that and we are in H/S mode down to 1.48 or lower.. My stoshastics are giving me a Short cycle on 4h.. suggesting a breakout

[chart]
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  • #177,495
  • May 15, 2009 5:50am May 15, 2009 5:50am
...in this move up. ES continues to show weakness.

Still short bias for me for now.
  • #177,496
  • May 15, 2009 5:58am May 15, 2009 5:58am
Quoting ukdaytrader
...in this move up. ES continues to show weakness.

Still short bias for me for now.
short for sure, just the ordinary NY spike retrace, can go from 100-150p, Im not seeing higher then 145.50, but Im may be wrong..

only TP bro.. keep the pips. My 4h shows more drops to come, Daily too, only 1h [stoch] suggesting a retrace to 144.50 - 145.50

[chart]
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  • #177,497
  • May 15, 2009 6:27am May 15, 2009 6:27am
If I look at this M15 chart with the "Better Volume" indicators, with the Climax Volume bar (red showing high volume and high range), followed by two High Volume Churn bars (green showing high volume and low range) meaning that the supply is now met by new demand at the bottom and we might see a change in trend, and break out pass that upper channel line. This means that the red Climax bar will be the start of the new up trend, for how long, you need to look at your other indicators. Let's see how she plays out.
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  • #177,498
  • May 15, 2009 6:31am May 15, 2009 6:31am
price at ellipse i mentioned in my earlier post
if it holds
price should come back down

and if u have followed any of my calls, you woulda been happy
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  • #177,499
  • May 15, 2009 6:42am May 15, 2009 6:42am
possible target area
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  • #177,500
  • May 15, 2009 7:06am May 15, 2009 7:06am
my target = 1.4120
''Art is making something out of nothing and selling it'' Frank Zappa
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