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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #173,221
  • Apr 26, 2009 6:52pm Apr 26, 2009 6:52pm
are you refferring this to everyone
  • #173,222
  • Apr 26, 2009 7:08pm Apr 26, 2009 7:08pm
Possible move for week 04/26/09

GBP/JPY

149.00 H
136.50 L

498 pips for the week

622 pip divergence / 5 days = 124 pip break


622- 124 = 498 pip potential profit in place for this week.
  • #173,223
  • Apr 26, 2009 7:15pm Apr 26, 2009 7:15pm
Amed,

No doubt you have outlined how you make these divergence calculations before, but could you please quickly share the logic with me? JUst interested...

Cheers,
MM


Quoting amed12
Possible move for week 04/26/09

GBP/JPY

149.00 H
136.50 L

498 pips for the week

622 pip divergence / 5 days = 124 pip break


622- 124 = 498 pip potential profit in place for this week.
"If it bleeds ... we can kill it"
  • #173,224
  • Apr 26, 2009 7:21pm Apr 26, 2009 7:21pm
I thought I would try a swine flu play on usd/chf.
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  • #173,225
  • Apr 26, 2009 7:26pm Apr 26, 2009 7:26pm
Quoting Ari Gold
Amed,

No doubt you have outlined how you make these divergence calculations before, but could you please quickly share the logic with me? JUst interested...

Cheers,
MM

google

implied vollatility
  • #173,226
  • Apr 26, 2009 7:51pm Apr 26, 2009 7:51pm
Quoting malcolmb14
you mean you did not just see the 30 pip risk aversion move ...lol

right now we are ranging as you said. .... futures are off 12 points on s&p since open

140.60 is lower channel
Lower later at least 139.40 if not more. . . JMHO!
  • #173,227
  • Apr 26, 2009 7:54pm Apr 26, 2009 7:54pm
Quoting Piters
errrr.. Im confused.. you mean LONG???
Yeah long upside down. . .
  • #173,228
  • Apr 26, 2009 8:04pm Apr 26, 2009 8:04pm
hm... short setup? i see a huge hidden bullish divergence on daily, with an extreme oversold level on cci. no break outside weekly channel, yet.
short setup? i don't see it, at least not yet.
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Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #173,229
  • Apr 26, 2009 8:06pm Apr 26, 2009 8:06pm
Is anyone concerned that we are now trading below the daily LTL. . .?????

Daily pivot. . .????
Daily gann...????
And have been making lower highs for the last week????

Not sure why many are thinking we are just going to spring board back up, would appear to me that we would have to bounce off some solid support at this point. . .

Like monthly pivot or daily support of some sort. . .

Just my two cents. . .
  • #173,230
  • Apr 26, 2009 8:13pm Apr 26, 2009 8:13pm
from my point of view, monthly chart shows higher highs and higher lows. my bias remains long (medium term) and i will keep adding longs on daily confirmations until i see at least a lower low on monthly.
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #173,231
  • Apr 26, 2009 8:13pm Apr 26, 2009 8:13pm
Quoting quecee5
Yeah long upside down. . .
I see, let me put this right. As im am Down under and everything here is "in inverse", so we are talking here Double Negation, means...

WHen you said long, translated on my language should be a short??

but when you said "long upside down" is more like a tripple negation" here, I lost you now...

errr ... please help me.. im Lost

j/k
  • #173,232
  • Apr 26, 2009 8:16pm Apr 26, 2009 8:16pm
what do you mean?

Quoting Piters
I see, let me put this righ. As im am Down under and everything here is "in inverse", so we are talking here Double Negation, means...

WHen you said long, translated on my language should be a short??

but when you said "long upside down" is more like a tripple negation" here, I lost you now...

errr ... please help me.. im Lost

j/k
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #173,233
  • Apr 26, 2009 8:19pm Apr 26, 2009 8:19pm
Quoting Scrat
hm... short setup? i see a huge hidden bullish divergence on daily, with an extreme oversold level on cci. no break outside weekly channel, yet.
short setup? i don't see it, at least not yet.
Nice chart. . .

but. . .

According to this daily chart. . . Price is trading below daily LTL. . .

1) Daily has given us a short set-up - macd slow has crossed fast and histogram gave us early warning signs (below zero)

2) Gann has crossed daily 5sma (white) and is about to cross 55ema (green)

3) Daily qqe has crossed and is heading below 50 line

4) Daily mom is showing that price incline is fading/decreasing and could head even lower

If we manage to get a 4hr close below 141.70 area we could see price retrace the entire move started at 135.50 bro. . . with 1st major supports at monthly pivot. . .
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  • #173,234
  • Apr 26, 2009 8:23pm Apr 26, 2009 8:23pm
Quoting Scrat
from my point of view, monthly chart shows higher highs and higher lows. my bias remains long (medium term) and i will keep adding longs on daily confirmations until i see at least a lower low on monthly.
Are you not concern about this????
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  • #173,235
  • Apr 26, 2009 8:23pm Apr 26, 2009 8:23pm
Quoting Scrat
what do you mean?
bro, messing with Q.. only.

btw, im flat on Gy.. wating to reenter my shorts higher.. maybe of the 142.40/50, or on breaking the NL on 1h..

I see that HD, but the swing is not over bro, Q is right here, we need some sound support to bounce and activate that HD on daily... Im thinking on 139.40 or 137.50. if we break the current support, then the next is 139.30 as a daily fibo 382 or 137.50 as a weekly gann
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  • #173,236
  • Apr 26, 2009 8:25pm Apr 26, 2009 8:25pm
Quoting Scrat
hm... short setup? i see a huge hidden bullish divergence on daily, with an extreme oversold level on cci. no break outside weekly channel, yet.
short setup? i don't see it, at least not yet.
Yes, there is HB div, but the macd is not crossed upside yet, in fact it seems wider to the downside .. very dangerous to buy. Verdict: more to the downside
  • #173,237
  • Apr 26, 2009 8:27pm Apr 26, 2009 8:27pm
Quoting Piters
bro, messing with Q.. only.

btw, im flat on Gy.. wating to reenter my shorts higher.. maybe of the 142.40/50, or on breaking the NL on 1h..

I see that HD, but the swing is not over bro, Q is right here, we need some sound support to bounce and activate that HD on daily... Im thinking on 139.40 or 137.50. if we break the current support, then the next is 139.30 as a daily fibo 382 or 137.50 as a weekly gann
I m thinking 135 this week http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon10.gif
  • #173,238
  • Apr 26, 2009 8:34pm Apr 26, 2009 8:34pm
Quoting mktjong
I m thinking 135 this week http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon10.gif
Lol, bro, If I post what i think here, that we are maybe seeing a TOP of 151.50 and this is a jsut begining of the trend reversal here; im afraid, they are going to BAN me on FF to not posting anymore
Im going step by step, to not scare anyone, and play our roadmap down..

so, 139,30 then 137.50 is fine for me..

- what I realy believe is that we bounce form these levels Up to 145 - even 147 early next month, and after the rejection from those levels, we go down for new lows..
sorry folks, but that is my long mid term analysis..

let's play.. as first play.. im looking on that beauty on 1h chart... break or make..

cheers bro..
  • #173,239
  • Apr 26, 2009 8:34pm Apr 26, 2009 8:34pm
Quoting mktjong
I m thinking 135 this week http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon10.gif
  • #173,240
  • Apr 26, 2009 8:38pm Apr 26, 2009 8:38pm
I see what looks like a well formed descending triangle on the 1H G/J chart.

http://www.chartpatterns.com/descend...nglecharts.htm
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