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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #171,381
  • Apr 17, 2009 4:36am Apr 17, 2009 4:36am
Quoting arezab
As long as be stay below 1.4870 (H1 last high) we will see 1.4550 (fib %38.2) and if broken then 1.4170 (%61.8 fib retrace)
Any reason why you wouldn't include the 50% fibo at 143.50 ish.?
  • #171,382
  • Apr 17, 2009 4:39am Apr 17, 2009 4:39am
Quoting arezab
As long as be stay below 1.4870 (H1 last high) we will see 1.4550 (fib %38.2) and if broken then 1.4170 (%61.8 fib retrace)

even we move above 1..4870s slightly, expect to see more shorts coming into the market to push the pair lower to 1.46 and below
  • #171,383
  • Apr 17, 2009 4:42am Apr 17, 2009 4:42am
Quoting ukdaytrader
Any reason why you wouldn't include the 50% fibo at 143.50 ish.?
Long term consolidation above %38.2 which is the case right now normally breaks through %50 when %38.2 level is broken successfully and targets at least %61.8 and sometimes %78.6 fib retrace.
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #171,384
  • Apr 17, 2009 4:43am Apr 17, 2009 4:43am
sorry for he stupid question but where did the 150 party vanish
  • #171,385
  • Apr 17, 2009 4:45am Apr 17, 2009 4:45am
Quoting forexlion
sorry for he stupid question but where did the 150 party vanish
I personally was never fond of 150 or 151+
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #171,386
  • Apr 17, 2009 5:16am Apr 17, 2009 5:16am
It could be another range day bouncing off resistance @ 146.60 gong to .... !! If the resistance is broken then pos down to the next support @ 145.86..Any thoughts or does anyone care.... remember tomorrows Saturday and we dont like losses to cary over ... makes for a shitty weekend.

  • #171,387
  • Apr 17, 2009 5:17am Apr 17, 2009 5:17am
Quoting Fusion
Do you really think it is gonna play the bounce back up again?
with at least @ 148 area back or more..before more down by next week..seems like market trying to make his decision where she should go...look back from my previous post to get some idea how she should play with..but we need to see either 145.85 to break to be more tank lol to 144.50-142.50-140.50 or even lower..
  • #171,388
  • Apr 17, 2009 5:24am Apr 17, 2009 5:24am
YM is trading (marked up) higher pending the Citi results, looks like all the carries are being forced up there as well.
  • #171,389
  • Apr 17, 2009 5:24am Apr 17, 2009 5:24am
GE and City earning out soon.
  • #171,390
  • Edited 5:44am Apr 17, 2009 5:33am | Edited 5:44am
Just taken a small cowboy short at 147.19. Will cut quick if i'm wrong....

I would not advise this.

EDIT:
Closed at +25. Cannot be sure if we continue down or bounce off support.
  • #171,391
  • Edited 5:43am Apr 17, 2009 5:37am | Edited 5:43am
Quoting ukdaytrader
Just taken a small cowboy short at 147.19. Will cut quick if i'm wrong....

I would not advise this.
Brave man ... looks like you could be right .... ish ???
  • #171,392
  • Apr 17, 2009 5:50am Apr 17, 2009 5:50am
Although their loss was better than expected, Citi shares have fallen off their high since the report. (Was >+4%, now +2.5%).

Bearish sentiment today by the looks of it. We'll see....
  • #171,393
  • Apr 17, 2009 5:51am Apr 17, 2009 5:51am
Quoting ukdaytrader
Just taken a small cowboy short at 147.19. Will cut quick if i'm wrong....

I would not advise this.

EDIT:
Closed at +25. Cannot be sure if we continue down or bounce off support.
Good boy .... to have held you need balls of steel!!!
  • #171,394
  • Apr 17, 2009 5:56am Apr 17, 2009 5:56am
Morning Guys,

Normal Case, based on my H4 TF, if current H4 candle close below 147.25, we might see GJ drop another 300 pips and break support at 145.80.

BUT

GJ at the moment in ranging mode. If you take a look at M30, GJ want back to north.

-IMO -
  • #171,395
  • Apr 17, 2009 6:01am Apr 17, 2009 6:01am
Quoting PandoraBox
Morning Guys,

Normal Case, based on my H4 TF, if current H4 candle close below 147.25, we might see GJ drop another 300 pips and break support at 145.80.

BUT

GJ at the moment in ranging mode. If you take a look at M30, GJ want back to north.

-IMO -
Am agreed with you..if not GY will be crazy again...am looking @ 145.85 to be more tank..and confirm with UY to break 99.20...if not she going to visit north a bit ~ 148 area...maybe not more than 149..am may be wrong and let see how she dance lol
  • #171,396
  • Apr 17, 2009 6:09am Apr 17, 2009 6:09am
Quoting grashid
Am agreed with you..if not GY will be crazy again...am looking @ 145.85 to be more tank..and confirm with UY to break 99.20...if not she going to visit north a bit ~ 148 area...maybe not more than 149..am may be wrong and let see how she dance lol

If my GJ H4 candle close below 147.20, I get 3 solid bearish candle at H4. I will consider it strongly bearish. At the moment H1 below EMA 50, now waiting H4 below EMA 50.

p/s: Europe on the vacation - GJ died, just move 10 ~ 60 pips daily.
  • #171,397
  • Apr 17, 2009 6:10am Apr 17, 2009 6:10am
Quoting forexlion
sorry for he stupid question but where did the 150 party vanish
yo baby...PA is just consolidating at the min...watch the 146.40 level...a day close significantly below this and PA will probably head towrds 143.

But for that to happen PA MUST have daily close below that level...anything else is just...erm...relative baby

Geppy is just resting..she's exhausted after all that trusting.....
  • #171,398
  • Apr 17, 2009 6:12am Apr 17, 2009 6:12am
Quoting PandoraBox
If my GJ H4 candle close below 147.20, I get 3 solid bearish candle at H4. I will consider it strongly bearish. At the moment H1 below EMA 50, now waiting H4 below EMA 50.

p/s: Europe on the vacation - GJ died, just move 10 ~ 60 pips daily.
ram naam satya hai
murda bada mast hai
  • #171,399
  • Apr 17, 2009 6:13am Apr 17, 2009 6:13am
Quoting PandoraBox
If my GJ H4 candle close below 147.20, I get 3 solid bearish candle at H4. I will consider it strongly bearish. At the moment H1 below EMA 50, now waiting H4 below EMA 50.

p/s: Europe on the vacation - GJ died, just move 10 ~ 60 pips daily.
and am looking my M5/H1 as 146.70 is an improtant area for me atm..either decide to short or long...will come back in few hr in DW time...need to go back...no trade atm..as I need to take a rest before look either can make my decison of Long/short...see ya
  • #171,400
  • Apr 17, 2009 6:16am Apr 17, 2009 6:16am
Quoting grashid
and am looking my M5/H1 as 146.70 is an improtant area for me atm..either decide to short or long...will come back in few hr in DW time...need to go back...no trade atm..as I need to take a rest before look either can make my decison of Long/short...see ya
#

Yes I am looking around there too, my chart is saying 145.23 A 4H candle close below there and it is all the way down to about 14250-14300.

OR

Alternatively if it close above 149 then double top at 151.50
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