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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #165,601
  • Mar 12, 2009 7:39pm Mar 12, 2009 7:39pm
Quoting PracticalPip
Seriously? I just do not see it? In fact, this last low looks extremely similar to the previous one. Did it "seem" like a low was in place there? Nobody seems to be posting any real analysis for the long side. I mean, if I showed that chart to a 3 year old and said "which way tomorrow?", I think they'd point down 9 times out of 10.

yep right on down to 131.50 as stated a cpl weeks ago missed by 6 pips

But im sure if Q put some volume on that chart of his there, it would clesrly show that that bar prior to the lo was exxxxhaustion of sellers.
"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
  • #165,602
  • Mar 12, 2009 7:39pm Mar 12, 2009 7:39pm
Quoting pipsbull
I see that,too. G/U bounced hard off 4hr ema. U/j broke my support at 97,4 and form such a long bull flag, need to b long enough to start desrepecting itself and fall hard. Gann on 4hr broken and it down. But may take a couple sessions
good stuff folks. let's see how the chips fall in.
Before Forex I was tall, and clean shaven. Now I am an Ewok.
  • #165,603
  • Mar 12, 2009 7:39pm Mar 12, 2009 7:39pm
Quoting PracticalPip
Seriously? I just do not see it? In fact, this last low looks extremely similar to the previous one. Did it "seem" like a low was in place there? Nobody seems to be posting any real analysis for the long side. I mean, if I showed that chart to a 3 year old and said "which way tomorrow?", I think they'd point down 9 times out of 10.
No one (but a few people) was posting from the gj short side when I posted charts 2 weeks ago talking about the bearish daily chart and targets to 133 when I was short at 141.34!

rather most were saying we were going to the moon - 155-160!


key is to try to get in on the move before it happens but taking risk vs. reward in consideration! and of course sound DD!
  • #165,604
  • Mar 12, 2009 7:42pm Mar 12, 2009 7:42pm
Quoting quecee5


gotta know what u looking at. . . here is a lesson for u:
I don't need a lesson, nor someone laughing at me. I simply asked for some supporting analysis instead of "see here's a chart... going up" when the chart is obviously in a downtrend. I wasn't personally attacking you (nor laughing at you), but perhaps I will be if we do head lower...
  • #165,605
  • Mar 12, 2009 7:42pm Mar 12, 2009 7:42pm
Quoting OrionsWay
yep right on down to 131.50 as stated a cpl weeks ago missed by 6 pips

But im sure if Q put some volume on that chart of his there, it would clesrly show that that bar prior to the lo was exxxxhaustion of sellers.
Yes, yes bro gotta get the volume thingy down - lol!
will do some reading this weekend. . .
  • #165,606
  • Mar 12, 2009 7:43pm Mar 12, 2009 7:43pm
Quoting quecee5
No one (but a few people) was posting from the gj short side when I posted charts 2 weeks ago talking about the bearish daily chart and targets to 133 when I was short at 141.34!

rather most were saying we were going to the moon - 155-160!


key is to try to get in on the move before it happens but taking risk vs. reward in consideration! and of course sound DD!
Good call
  • #165,607
  • Mar 12, 2009 7:45pm Mar 12, 2009 7:45pm
Quoting PracticalPip
I don't need a lesson, nor someone laughing at me. I simply asked for some supporting analysis instead of "see here's a chart... going up" when the chart is obviously in a downtrend. I wasn't personally attacking you (nor laughing at you), but perhaps I will be if we do head lower...
only time will tell my friend. . .
not laughing at u rather laughing at your funny comments - didn't take it as an attack. ..

I simply said u be the judge - u don't need a lot of stuff on the charts to see what's going on but rather look at key items on there to make an assement.

now play nice!
  • #165,608
  • Mar 12, 2009 7:52pm Mar 12, 2009 7:52pm
Quoting quecee5

now play nice!
Deal, I like you and think you have great analysis and find it's often times in line with mine. I was just very surprised to see you change your sentiment so quickly today and felt the need to challenge you on it. If anything, it will make you think harder about it and reinforce your views.
  • #165,609
  • Mar 12, 2009 7:52pm Mar 12, 2009 7:52pm
Quoting Piters
mate, to be honest, I cant remember I cought some intervention move... I was just thinking on that.. why ?? maybe becouse on my chart I dont have any Intervention indicator??? lol ... no... I was just thinking the same..

they happend sneeky, and suden, and usualy on opposite obvious Chart setting and bias.. as they "THE interventions" are not happening everyday, they are very impulsive.. and the best thing is not to trade them, as they break every S/R levels...

Been there, from experiance, when you trade against, you are lying to yourself...
Mate,

I posted this a while ago about BOJ intervention:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=160863

I think this still holds true, but we are well down the track to constant intervention.

Volumes on the last move up was very low, most of the big players weren't in the interbank market during it. I would say that the intervention was 'off market', and was well planned.
{Some Profound Statement goes here}
  • #165,610
  • Mar 12, 2009 7:58pm Mar 12, 2009 7:58pm
Quoting bpatto
Mate,

I posted this a while ago about BOJ intervention:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=160863

I think this still holds true, but we are well down the track to constant intervention.

Volumes on the last move up was very low, most of the big players weren't in the interbank market during it. I would say that the intervention was 'off market', and was well planned.
Yes mate, I believe too.. starting with CITI, FX today and to push DOW above 7000 mark.. as now the world economy is OK..

no reccesion.. anymore.., we can start buying YM up to 14400
  • #165,611
  • Mar 12, 2009 8:03pm Mar 12, 2009 8:03pm
Quoting Piters
Yes mate, I believe too.. starting with CITI, FX today and to push DOW above 7000 mark.. as now the world economy is OK..

no reccesion.. anymore.., we can start buying YM up to 14400
up to 10000 or 11000.
  • #165,612
  • Mar 12, 2009 8:04pm Mar 12, 2009 8:04pm
Quoting Piters
Yes mate, I believe too.. starting with CITI, FX today and to push DOW above 7000 mark.. as now the world economy is OK..

no reccesion.. anymore.., we can start buying YM up to 14400
and tmr Lehmans and Bear Stearns come back to life saying "we never failed"
  • #165,613
  • Mar 12, 2009 8:05pm Mar 12, 2009 8:05pm
q,

i think euro will go a lot higher than 1.30.
  • #165,614
  • Mar 12, 2009 8:06pm Mar 12, 2009 8:06pm
Quoting Piters
Yes mate, I believe too.. starting with CITI, FX today and to push DOW above 7000 mark.. as now the world economy is OK..

no reccesion.. anymore.., we can start buying YM up to 14400
Hi Piters,
On Geppy D1 Chart, I am seeing not so idea hammer. But it sounds like a bottom for our yesterday downtrend. What is the best point to enter new long position? Will it go straight up to 144 zone from now?
  • #165,615
  • Mar 12, 2009 8:08pm Mar 12, 2009 8:08pm
Quoting PracticalPip
Deal, I like you and think you have great analysis and find it's often times in line with mine. I was just very surprised to see you change your sentiment so quickly today and felt the need to challenge you on it. If anything, it will make you think harder about it and reinforce your views.
thats fine and I respect that. . .
just wanted to share my view after doing some dd to look at both sides of the coin. . .

just to be fair I closed all shorts on the run down based on what I'm seeing - will wait for further developments before entering short or long which every way PA takes me. . .

reasoning - didn't like what I saw with GU and uj is now basing and can swing up 100 pips to back above the figure by 2morrow NY session. . . driving gj up. . .

since I stop trading on friday's no need to get greedy - taking profits and locking them in - plenty of pips next week. ..
  • #165,616
  • Mar 12, 2009 8:08pm Mar 12, 2009 8:08pm
Quoting Eulogy
and tmr Lehmans and Bear Stearns come back to life saying "we never failed"
including Mr. Madoff and co.. saying

" it wasnt me, they, they made me to do that, to cover the holes.."
  • #165,617
  • Mar 12, 2009 8:15pm Mar 12, 2009 8:15pm
My Big Red system tells me that gu still has upward potential. this has been intact since last session. But it is in half signal mode meaning that further conditions would have to occur for it to really head north. This could occur at anytime and the upward potential could also reverse. Cheers.
Before Forex I was tall, and clean shaven. Now I am an Ewok.
  • #165,618
  • Mar 12, 2009 8:16pm Mar 12, 2009 8:16pm
have a great weekend everyone it's been a good ride this week. . .

  • #165,619
  • Mar 12, 2009 8:19pm Mar 12, 2009 8:19pm
Quoting quecee5
have a great weekend everyone it's been a good ride this week. . .

Take it easy... enjoy!
  • #165,620
  • Mar 12, 2009 8:21pm Mar 12, 2009 8:21pm
Quoting maryinvest
Hi Piters,
On Geppy D1 Chart, I am seeing not so idea hammer. But it sounds like a bottom for our yesterday downtrend. What is the best point to enter new long position? Will it go straight up to 144 zone from now?

Honestly, doesnt matter how silly looks, but I stoped to beleive in hammers! Current PA is what I see.. and from present situation, Im shorting every Bull run on GY, unless we take yesterday High.. [136.56]

Again, it is a someone's game maybe.. but.. the bear sentiment is printed on my charts... for me to start thinking on bullish setup, I need 137.10/20 to be taken, to start thinking that the bear party is over... Anyway trade both ways,,, but as you asked me for my bias,,, that is my oppinion...

We just finished FIBO 50 from the last Drop.. where we go after... we have to watch the market,, my "crystal ball" view is down to the 131 level and lower.. IF any intervention doesnt pop in again

cheers:
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